Red Flag Warning 34, NWS Pueblo, CO

046 
WWUS85 KPUB 190158
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
758 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY.
THIS WARNING IS FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SUNDAY.
THIS WATCH IS FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES
VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING...HOWEVER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR. AS WINDS INCREASE TOMORROW...ALL
OF THE MOUNTAINS... VALLEYS...AND ADJACENT INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR
WILL SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS RETURN. HIGH HAINES VALUES OF 6 AND
LOW HUMIDITIES BELOW 10 PERCENT...WILL RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM ON
SUNDAY FOR ALL OF THE MOUNTAINS...VALLEYS AND INTERSTATE
25 CORRIDOR.

COZ220>222-224>227-191800-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-100619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.100619T1700Z-100620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0024.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
758 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM
MDT SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN COLORADO...220...221...222...224...225...226...227

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES
ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT AND HIGH
HAINES INDICES WILL ALLOW FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 40 MPH.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ223-228-229-191800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.100619T1700Z-100620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0024.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-
758 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN COLORADO...223...228...229

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION ON SATURDAY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT AND HIGH HAINES INDICES WILL
ALLOW FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR SHOULD A FIRE START SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

297 
WWUS85 KPUB 190922
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
322 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM TODAY UNTIL 9 PM THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND
DRY FUELS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...CONTINUES A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
TODAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY. STRONG GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS...COUPLED WITH DRY FUELS
AND HIGH HAINES VALUES...WILL RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

COZ220>229-200130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.100619T1700Z-100620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0024.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
322 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN COLORADO...220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228
...229

GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH...ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT AND
HIGH HAINES INDICES...WILL ALLOW FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR TO ONCE
AGAIN DEVELOP TODAY. 

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON
SUNDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

904 
WWUS85 KPUB 192112
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
312 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220
THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 
THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 
THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES...IS CONTINUING THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY...AND A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY.  STRONG GUSTY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS...COUPLED WITH DRY
FUELS AND HIGH HAINES VALUES...WILL RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO RETURN FOR MONDAY
AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS POSITIONED ACROSS COLORADO. 

COZ220>229-201315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0024.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0035.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0025.100621T1700Z-100622T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-100620T0300Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
312 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY. A
NEW FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN COLORADO...220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228
...229

GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH...ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT AND
HIGH HAINES INDICES...WILL ALLOW FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER 900 PM
WITH POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY LOCATIONS. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL RETURN
TO THE AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING
BELOW 15 PERCENT BY LATE MORNING. COMBINED WITH HIGH HAINES
VALUES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON
MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

104 
WWUS85 KPUB 200254
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
854 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SUNDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY
FUELS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 229...WHICH INCLUDES LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...TELLER COUNTIES...THE SOUTHERN FRONT
RANGE...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

.A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY...AND A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY. STRONG GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS... COUPLED WITH DRY FUELS
AND HIGH HAINES VALUES...WILL RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR THIS
EVENING...AND AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO RETURN FOR MONDAY AS THE JET
STREAM REMAINS POSITIONED ACROSS COLORADO.

COZ220>229-201900-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-100620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0035.100620T1700Z-100621T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0025.100621T1700Z-100622T0300Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
854 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM
MDT SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN COLORADO...220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228
...229

GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED THIS EVENING AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE BEGUN TO RISE ALLOWING THE RED FLAG WARNING
TO EXPIRE AT 900 PM. EXPECT POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY LOCATIONS.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL
RETURN TO THE AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES
DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT BY LATE MORNING. COMBINED WITH HIGH
HAINES VALUES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON
MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
257 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

.SHORT TERM...

(TONIGHT AND SATURDAY)

...DRY...BREEZY AND HOT CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE HIGH FIRE DANGER
ACROSS MOUNTAINS AND INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR FOR SATURDAY...

CURRENTLY...OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...WITH DEW POINTS STILL IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S ACROSS THE ARKANSAS RIVER AS OF 19Z.  HOWEVER AIRMASS IS VERY
DRY ALOFT...AND ANY CAPE IN THE SOUNDINGS IS VERY HIGH BASED (ABOVE
H6) ACCORDING TO LAPS.  BOTH NAM12 AND GFS STILL SUGGEST THIS
SHALLOW MOISTURE WILL MIX OUT RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
MOST OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  TOYED WITH PULLING POPS OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS FOR THIS EVENING...BUT DECIDED TO MAINTAIN SOME LOW
ISOLATED POPS ACROSS FAR EASTERN SECTIONS AS DEW POINTS SEEM TO BE
HOLDING IN LONGER THAN EXPECTED.  MAIN THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING. MEANWHILE...OUT WEST...RED FLAG
CONDITIONS BEING MET AT KALS AND KCOS AS WELL AS OTHER MTN RAWS.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EXPECTED FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS
OVERNIGHT.

FOR SATURDAY...SHALLOW FRONT WHICH DROPS BACK INTO SE CO OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT IS PROGGED BY BOTH NAM AND GFS TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTHEAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL ALLOW DEW POINTS TO DROP INTO THE
20S AND 30S ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND ADJACENT PLAINS...WITH
SINGLE DIGIT AND TEENS DEW POINTS ACROSS THE VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS.
WITH UPPER JET AXIS TRANSLATING OVER THE AREA TOMORROW...AND LEE
TROF DEEPENING...SHOULD SEE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS MIX BACK DOWN INTO
THE MOUNTAINS/VALLEYS AND I-25 CORRIDOR BY AFTERNOON...PROBABLY A
COUPLE HOURS EARLIER THAN WHAT OCCURRED TODAY.  STILL REAL DRY
THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE ATMOS WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES YIELDING
HAINES VALUES OF 6.  ALREADY SEEING THE SMOKE PLUME FROM THE MEDANO
FIRE THIS AFTERNOON (A LITTLE LATTER THAN WHAT OCCURRED YESTERDAY DUE
TO SLOWER ONSET OF WINDS)...AND WILL LIKELY SEE EVEN MORE FIRE
GROWTH TOMORROW GIVEN PROBABILITY FOR STRONGER WINDS.  AFTER A QUICK
CALL TO FIRE MANAGEMENT AGENCIES TO CHECK ON FUEL STATUS...ZONE 223
HAS NOW BEEN ADDED TO THE LIST...SO FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE
CONVERTED TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF THE
MOUNTAINS...VALLEYS...AND I-25 CORRIDOR.  FARTHER EAST...RAIN HAS
BEEN ABLE TO MAINTAIN GREEN-UP SO NO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
EXPECTED.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SOAR INTO THE 90S ACROSS THE
PLAINS...AND A FEW SPOTS MAY HIT THE CENTURY MARK.  GENERALLY 80S
FOR THE VALLEYS EXPECTED...WITH 70S FOR THE MOUNTAINS.  COULD SEE
GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 40 MPH TOMORROW AFTERNOON OUT WEST...WITH GUSTS TO
20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.  AS FOR THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES...WITH FRONT/DRY LINE EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH AND EASTWARD
OUT OF THE AREA...HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS.  -KT

.LONG TERM...

(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)

...LONG TERM CONCERNS INCLUDE THE CONTINUED THREAT OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH
LOCATION OF MOISTURE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS FOR MID WEEK
AND BEYOND...

SATURDAY NIGHT-MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH MODERATE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS AN
EASTERN PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS THE PAC
NORTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN
THROUGH SUNDAY AND LIFTS OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. WARM...DRY AND BREEZY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO LEAD
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL ACROSS THE AREA WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES ALLOWING FOR GUSTY WINDS TO MIX DOWN ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
LATE MORNINGS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENINGS AND HAVE ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM THROUGH 9 PM ON SUNDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220 THROUGH 229 (WHERE AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES HAVE
INDICATED FUEL STATUS IS CRITICAL). SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP
A LEE SIDE LOW ACROSS THE SE PLAINS AND THE DRY LINE AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE LURKING ACROSS THE PLAINS. LATEST MODELS KEEP MOISTURE WELL
EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY WITH MOISTURE POSSIBLE SURGING WESTWARD
SUNDAY NIGHT AND LIFTING BACK OUT ACROSS THE FAR SE PLAINS ON
MONDAY. WITH THAT SAID...HAVE CUT POPS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON SUNDAY
THOUGH WILL KEEP CURRENT SLIGHT POPS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON MONDAY.
TEMPS TO REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S TO
AROUND THE CENTURY MARK ACROSS THE PLAINS AND 60S TO 80S ACROSS THE
MTS AND HIGH MT VALLEYS.

TUESDAY-FRIDAY...MODERATING WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED
THROUGH MID WEEK WITH PASSING NORTHERN ROCKIES SYSTEM ALLOWING FOR
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
BETTER CHANCES OF DIURNAL CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
MTS AND PLAINS. LONGER RANGE MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER BY THE END OF
WEEK WITH THE LATEST GFS INDICATING INCREASING SW FLOW ALOFT AND
DRYING ONCE AGAIN FOR FRIDAY AND BEYOND...WHERE AS THE ECMWF
CONTINUES TO HINT AT A MORE "MONSOONISH" PATTERN DEVELOPING BY WEEKS
END WITH UPPER RIDGE SLIDING TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST ALONG WITH
MOISTURE BEGINNING TO STREAM UP FROM MEXICO. TIME WILL TELL. -MW

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL THREE TAF SITES.  GUSTY
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT THE KPUB AND KCOS TAF SITES...AND
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AT KALS SHOULD DIMINISH BETWEEN 02-03Z WITH
LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS SETTING UP OVERNIGHT. GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT ALL THREE TAF SITES
TOMORROW WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25-30 KTS BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ220>222-
224>227.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR COZ220>229.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR COZ220>229.

&&

31/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
705 AM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

COZ058>089-093>099-191315-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
705 AM MDT FRI JUN 18 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO
MAINLY WEST OF I-25...EXCLUDING THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THIS RED
FLAG WARNING IS FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES
INDICES...AND EXISTING DRY FUELS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE
OF NICKELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS...LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT
AND TELLER COUNTIES. GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS
WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD. THESE
CONDITIONS MAY RETURN FOR MOST OF THIS AREA AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS THE
HOT AND DRY PATTERN CONTINUES.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG THE COLORADO AND KANSAS BORDER OVER THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

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