Storm Watch 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

533 
WHUS71 KPHI 050230
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

ANZ431-451>455-051100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.A.0001.100206T0600Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7:00 PM FRIDAY UNTIL 7:00
PM SATURDAY. A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY AND THEN
HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR STORM FORCE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS A RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS
UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR
MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-450-051100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
930 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7:00 PM FRIDAY UNTIL 7:00
PM SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY AND THEN
HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

127 
WHUS71 KPHI 050852
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

ANZ431-451>455-052100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SR.A.0001.100206T0600Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
352 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY. A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR STORM FORCE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS A RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION REMAINS
UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR
MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-450-052100-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
352 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW

611 
WHUS71 KPHI 051446
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
946 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

ANZ451-052300-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SR.A.0001.100206T0600Z-100207T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
946 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
STORM WATCH. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.
 
&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-052300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SR.W.0001.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.SR.A.0001.100206T0600Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
946 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 50 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ430-450-052300-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.100206T0000Z-100207T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
946 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST SATURDAY. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN HEAD SLOWLY OUT TO SEA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


TFG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
205 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
DEEP SOUTH WILL MOVE TO THE CAROLINA COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN
FURTHER OFF THE EAST COAST SATURDAY. IT WILL LIKELY BRING A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE AREA. ANOTHER HIGH WILL BUILD IN
LATE THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
GREAT WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY...A GOOD DAY TO PREPARE FOR WHAT AWAITS
IN THE SHORT TERM. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST AND CREST OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. SKIES
WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY, EXCEPT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AREAS WHERE LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND TODAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S IN
MOST AREAS WITH A FEW LOW 40S POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING AND WAS EXPANDED TO
INCLUDE NORTHAMPTON, WARREN, AND MORRIS COUNTIES. WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE DELMARVA AND EXTREME
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND THE WINDS HOWLING OUT OF THE EAST TO
NORTHEAST, A BLIZZARD WARNING WAS RAISED FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES
IN NEW JERSEY EXCEPT FOR MONMOUTH AND KENT AND SUSSEX IN DELAWARE.

OVERALL...THE MODELS ARE IN RATHER DECENT AGREEMENT REGARDING THE
MOVEMENT AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW. IT SHOULD MOVE OFF THE N CRLNA
COAST FRI NIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE NW THROUGH SAT. THE SNOW SHOULD
TAPER OFF FROM NW TO SE SAT LATER AFTERNOON. THE QPF FROM THE
MODELS STILL SHOWING SOME SPREAD WITH THE NAM QUITE HIGH AND THE
GFS/ECMWF A GOOD BIT LOWER. THE NAM HAS HIGHER QPF FURTHER NORTH
THOUGH. THE SREF SEEMS A GOOD COMPROMISE AT THIS POINT.

WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE LOW NEARS AND WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
MAY OCCUR ALONG THE COAST. A WIND ADVISORY/WARNING MAY BE NEEDED
IN FUTURE FORECASTS IF THE PRESENT WIND FCST LOOKS TO VERIFY. IT
WOULD HAPPEN IN THE 4TH PERIOD AND IT SEEMS TOO EARLY FOR A WIND
FLAG AT THIS POINT. WINDS MAY CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
HAZARDS ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TRAVEL WILL BE
VERY DIFFICULT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE STORM SHOULD BE WELL OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY EVENING, WITH
PERHAPS A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY LINGERING IN OUR REGION.

WE ARE FAVORING THE HPC/GFS SOLUTION FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED
OVER QUEBEC. IT IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO THE SOUTHWEST, APPROACHING
LAKE HURON LATE ON TUESDAY. THE LOW IS THEN ANTICIPATED TO MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

COLD DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN STATES ON MONDAY AND IT SHOULD REACH THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC COAST ON TUESDAY. AS A RESULT, WE ARE CARRYING CHANCE POPS
FOR TUESDAY. IT APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR MAINLY
SNOW IN OUR REGION.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

EXCELLENT VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FORECAST FOR THE TAF
SITES THROUGH 18Z WITH THE JUST RELEASED TAFS. THE CIRRUS THAT IS
ARRIVING IS THE FIRST SIGNS OF THE MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT WILL BE
AFFECTING OUR TERMINAL AREAS LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. FOE NOW
THE CIRRUS SHOULD THICKEN AS THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT CONTINUE AND
LOWER INTO AN ALTOSTRATUS CEILING DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE
THE CURRENT TAFS END. FOR THE PHILADELPHIA TAF, BE BROUGHT IN THE
SNOW AT 22Z, CLOSER TO THE SLOWER FORECAST MODEL AVERAGES.
NORTHWEST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KTS SHOULD PRETTY MUCH BECOME CALM
TONIGHT. THE CIRRUS SHOULD PREVENT FOG FROM FORMING AND WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW
AND IFR IF NOT LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS TO ALMOST OUR ENTIRE AREA
TERMINAL AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY WITH THE
GREATEST AND LONGEST IMPACTS AT KMIV AND KACY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH VFR FLYING CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM MIGHT BRING MORE SNOW AND IFR
CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UP NORTH HAS BEEN EXTENDED INTO THIS
AFTERNOON FOR OUR NORTHERN OCEAN WATERS AS SOME WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 25 KTS ARE STILL OCCURRING. THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
LOWERED SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG INLET. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BE OVER OUR WATERS TONIGHT AND THEN SHIFT OFF TO THE E AND NE
FRIDAY. THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM THAT SHOULD MOVE FROM THE WESTERN GULF TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
MAJOR EAST COAST STORM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS IT MOVES
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND COULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT MARINE
IMPACTS. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REACH GALE FORCE, AND POSSIBLY HIGHER
SOUTH. WE HAVE ISSUED A GALE WATCH FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 1 TO 2 FEET, WITH THE
GREATEST DEPARTURES IN OUR SOUTHERN WATERS. WE MIGHT CATCH A BREAK
WITH THE TIDES IF THE CURRENT TIMING VERIFIES, AS WIND SPEEDS AND
TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH A MAXIMUM AROUND THE TIME
OF LOW TIDE SATURDAY MORNING AND THE NEXT HIGH TIDE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON IS THE LOWER OF THE TWO HIGH TIDES. ALL MARINE INTERESTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFO ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER, WE WILL BE ISSUING
STATEMENTS, ADVISORIES, AND WARNINGS. AFTER THIS EVENT WINDS AND
SEAS SHOULD SLOWLY SUBSIDE AS AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
PUSHES IN.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     PAZ060>062-067>069.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     PAZ070-071.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NJZ007>010-012>015.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NJZ020>027.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NJZ020>027.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NJZ016>019.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR DEZ002>004.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     DEZ002>004.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     DEZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR ANZ431-451>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ431-
     451>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ450-
     451.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ430-
     450.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER/O'HARA
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...GIGI
MARINE...GIGI/RPW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

NJZ007>010-012>015-PAZ060>062-067>069-051900-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-051900-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-051900-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-051900-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ431-452>455-051900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.
   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-051900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ451-051900-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.
   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-051900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
158 PM EST THU FEB 4 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.