Small Craft Advisory 87, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

493 
WHUS71 KPHI 020230
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

ANZ430-431-020900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T0900Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
930 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST TONIGHT
IN DELAWARE BAY. WIND GUSTS SHOULD DECREASE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA TOWARD THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-021030-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS SHOULD DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA AROUND SUNRISE ON THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD DROP BELOW
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THE LATEST TOWARD NEW YORK CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

218 
WHUS71 KPHI 020903
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

ANZ430-021015-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T0900Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
403 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EXPIRED AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EXPIRED AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

ANZ431-021200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
403 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST UNTIL
AROUND DAYBREAK OVER LOWER DELAWARE BAY. WIND GUSTS SHOULD
DECREASE BELOW THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERION AFTER THAT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-021200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
403 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL
AROUND DAYBREAK. WIND GUSTS SHOULD THEN DROP BELOW THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

526 
WHUS71 KPHI 021113
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
613 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

ANZ431-021215-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
613 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 25 KNOTS EARLY THIS
MORNING, SUSTAINED ADVISORY CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED.

$$

ANZ450>455-021600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
613 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WIND GUSTS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING. WIND GUSTS AND SEAS SHOULD THEN DROP
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

612 
WHUS71 KPHI 021552
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1052 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010
 
ANZ450>455-021700-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-101202T1600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1052 AM EST THU DEC 2 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. 

$$


TFG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY
TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST, BUT NEVER TAKE FULL CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER. MEANWHILE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN AND MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND
WHILE ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE INTER-MOUNTAIN
WEST AND SWEEPS TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND, THEN RE-CURVES BACK
INTO NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN CANADA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE AREA, HOWEVER THERE
STILL REMAIN A FEW FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS, SO PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST STATEMENTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE STRONG
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT BROUGHT GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON HAS NOW CROSSED THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES AND
DEW- POINTS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
BEHIND THE FRONT AND DROP BELOW FREEZING FOR EVERYONE BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY. THE POTENT NEGATIVE TILT TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS
THE AREA THIS EVENING AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN THROUGH THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN, IN TURN CUTTING OFF ANY PRECIPITATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NOW THAT THE FRONT HAS CROSSED THE AREA, HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE WILL TRY TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, HOWEVER THE HIGH WILL NEVER MAKE IT
FULLY INTO OUR AREA. IT SHOULD NOSE ITS WAY IN ON ITS NORTHERN EDGE
ON THURSDAY, BUT RETREAT BACK SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTH IN EASTERN CANADA
ON THURSDAY, WHILE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS OVER THE OCEAN
FRIDAY ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MOVES BACK INTO NEW
ENGLAND ON SATURDAY. THIS SHOULD KEEP A STEADY WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME ALTHOUGH ONE CAN NEVER RULE OUT
FLURRIES OR A ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER IN THE POCONOS WITH THE NORTHWEST
FLOW. ON THURSDAY WE SHOULD SEE IN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER LATE IN
THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING AS A SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE AREA, BUT
AGAIN, WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE,
MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY.
A FAIRLY PERSISTENT MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND REGION THROUGH SATURDAY, AND
WITH A STEADY WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW, OUR TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN
FAIRLY COOL, ACTUALLY A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, EACH DAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE WEATHER DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHEASTERN US AND SOUTHEAST CANADA. THIS PATTERN WILL
MAINTAIN A COLD BUT MAINLY DRY NWLY FLOW OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION RESULTING IN TEMPS 5 TO 10 DEG BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL.

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE BY WELL TO OUR SOUTH
ON SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE DELMARVA
REGION AT THAT TIME...BUT IT APPEARS THAT MOST PRECIP FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL STAY SOUTH OF DELAWARE SO IT IS NOT MENTIONED IN THE
FORECAST.

ONCE THIS CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES OFFSHORE FROM CAPE HAT ON SUNDAY IT
IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY AND THEN CURVE BACK TO THE NW AND INTO
THE LOWER ST. LAWRENCE VLY BY MON NIGHT. THIS WILL HAVE THE NET
EFFECT OF RE-ENFORCING THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NE-US AND ALSO THE
COLD NWLY FLOW OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC THRU MID-WEEK. THERE IS NOT
MUCH CHANCE FOR PRECIP...EXCEPT SNOW FLURRIES AND POSSIBLY A FEW
LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE PA POCONOS AND FAR NW NJ.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

CIGS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FROM MVFR TO VFR ACROSS THE TAF AREA AND
THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST. GUSTY WEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE DONE
FOR THE DAY. WE FORECAST THE CIGS TO BE GONE BY EARLY THIS EVENING
THROUGHOUT OUR TAF AREA ALONG WITH THE LOSS OF THE WIND GUSTS. A VFR
DAY IS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY. A VFR CU/SC CIG MIGHT FORM, WITH
HIGHEST CONFIDENCE AT KABE AND KRDG. THERE SHOULD BE SOME WIND GUSTS
DURING THE DAY THU ALSO, BUT MORE IN THE ORDER OF AROUND 20 KT.

OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. WINDS MAY GUST TO 25 KNOTS FROM TIME TO
TIME ON SATURDAY. A CLIPPER TYPE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE
PASSING SOUTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. IF IT TRACKS
FARTHER TO THE NORTH THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED, IT COULD BRING
SOME MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW. AFTER THAT VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
THE GALE WARNINGS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE OR BE CANCELLED AT 4 PM
AND HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE DURATION OF
THE NIGHT FOR ALL OUR COASTAL WATERS. ON THURSDAY DAY THE FORECAST
WIND GRADIENT SHOULD JUST BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AS
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TRIES TO NUDGE ITS WAY NORTHEAST CLOSER TO
OUR CWA. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD THEN BE FURTHER BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE GRADIENT SHOULD TIGHTEN AGAIN ON SATURDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM RETROGRADE INTO MAINE AND WE WILL COME CLOSE TO SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. A CLIPPER TYPE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
SLIDE SOUTH OF THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.
THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX AGAIN AS THIS OCCURS. BUT ONCE THE LOW MOVES
OFFSHORE, IT WILL INTENSIFY AND CHANCES ARE PRETTY HIGH THAT WE WILL
HAVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND WE
MIGHT EVEN APPROACH OR HAVE GALE FORCE CONDITIONS BEFORE MONDAY
PASSES. RIGHT NOW CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO DETERMINISTICALLY
FORECAST GALE FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ALL TIDAL FLOODING PRODUCTS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 4 PM ALSO.
ONGOING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IN CHESAPEAKE BAY SHOULD BE COMING TO
AN END. WITH THE WEST WIND ALREADY IN PROGRESS, NO FURTHER TIDAL
FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON
NEAR TERM...ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...AMC
AVIATION...GIGI
MARINE...GIGI
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-022100-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
349 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012>027-PAZ067>071-
022100-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
349 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-022100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
349 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-022100-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
349 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1017 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-011600-
CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-
QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
1017 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT CAROLINE...CECIL...KENT...NEW CASTLE...QUEEN ANNE'S...SUSSEX
AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 1012 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF
HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT.
THE FRONT AND LINE EXTENDED FROM 22 MILES SOUTH OF LANCASTER TO 25
MILES SOUTHWEST OF EASTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MILES AN HOUR. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR OCTORARO...NEWTOWN...COPPERVILLE AROUND
1020 AM...WYE MILLS...WEST NOTTINGHAM...OLD TOWN AROUND 1025 AM...
WINDYHILL AND TANYARD AROUND 1030 AM. WINDS GUSTS UP TO AROUND 50
MILES AN HOUR WILL OCCUR WITH THIS LINE...AND MAY CAUSE ISOLATED
DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS AS WELL AS LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3867 7576 3869 7590 3856 7605 3876 7640
      3887 7626 3882 7620 3883 7620 3894 7624
      3884 7638 3903 7633 3900 7618 3915 7628
      3927 7622 3944 7600 3953 7599 3969 7622
      3969 7621 3967 7563 3849 7548 3846 7571

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1049 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-011645-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1049 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN NEW JERSEY LATE THIS MORNING...

AT 1040 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY
SHOWERS AND A FEW POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILKES-BARRE PENNSYLVANIA TO 26
MILES SOUTH OF EASTON MARYLAND...MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 40 MILES
AN HOUR.

THIS ACTIVITY WAS SURROUNDING A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE EASTWARD
THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

GENERAL WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES AN HOUR WERE OCCURRING ACROSS
THE REGION THIS MORNING. SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING EVEN STRONGER WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE DOWN
TO THE GROUND. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH 50 MILES AN HOUR AND CAUSE
SPOTTY DAMAGE INCLUDING DOWNED TREES OR TREE LIMBS AND ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES. THE STRONGEST WINDS MAY OCCUR JUST AHEAD OF AND WITH
THE COLD FRONT OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS
MORNING...AND THEN AS THE FRONT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD...OVER EASTERN
SECTIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. BE ALERT FOR ANY SHORT-FUSED WARNINGS
WHICH MAY BE ISSUED. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO THIS
AFTERNOON.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THE SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS. A FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERKS COUNTY...THE LEHIGH VALLEY...
NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...AND THE POCONOS INTO TONIGHT.

LAT...LON 3845 7564 3846 7570 3871 7629 4014 7590
      4054 7623 4122 7556 4109 7501 4135 7468
      4097 7427 4059 7444 4041 7399 4047 7399
      4046 7398 4043 7396 3978 7408 3892 7495
      3951 7553 3958 7554 3958 7556 3846 7503

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1147 AM EST WED DEC 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N ELKTON                39.60N 75.82W
12/01/2010                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            65 MPH WIND GUST ALONG WITH STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. AWNING
            BLOWN DOWN, AS WELL AS BACK FENCE AND SHED BLOWN OVER.

&&

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1148 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

DEZ001>003-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-021>025-027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-011745-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CHESTER PA-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-
NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1148 AM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...HEAVY SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT KENT...SUSSEX...WARREN...MORRIS...
HUNTERDON...SOMERSET...SALEM...CUMBERLAND...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...
MERCER...MIDDLESEX...DELAWARE...PHILADELPHIA...CHESTER...
MONTGOMERY... BERKS...LEHIGH...NORTHAMPTON...CARBON...BUCKS...
MONROE...MONMOUTH...NEW CASTLE...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC AND BURLINGTON
COUNTIES...

AT 1140 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY
SHOWERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES
WEST OF MOUNT POCONO TO 16 MILES SOUTH OF DOVER...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH. THE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR GOULDSBORO STATE PARK...EDDYSTONE...
WOODSTOWN...TROUT LAKE AROUND 1150 AM...LANSDOWNE...FOLCROFT...
COLLINGDALE...SAYLORSBURG AROUND 1155 AM...ROXBOROUGH AND SPRINGTOWN
AROUND NOON. THESE SHOWERS WERE ALONG A COLD FRONT WHICH WAS MOVING
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DELAWARE VALLEY AREA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH NEW JERSEY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO NEAR OR JUST OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
SHOWERS.

LAT...LON 3929 7455 3899 7479 3892 7497 3916 7491
      3917 7514 3929 7527 3924 7538 3888 7525
      3883 7552 3943 7555 3943 7554 3924 7539
      3928 7530 3946 7555 4115 7563 4125 7550
      4126 7514 4109 7501 4135 7468

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1229 PM EST WED DEC 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N ELKTON                39.60N 75.82W
12/01/2010                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            65 MPH WIND GUST ALONG WITH STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. AWNING
            BLOWN DOWN, AS WELL AS BACK FENCE AND SHED BLOWN OVER.

1145 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N MALVERN               40.04N 75.51W
12/01/2010                   CHESTER            PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE AND WIRE DOWN ALONG THE PAOLI/THORNDALE LINE BETWEEN
            MLAVERN AND THORNDALE.

1213 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG N HAMILTON TWP          40.21N 74.70W
12/01/2010                   MERCER             NJ   AMATEUR RADIO

            5 TREES DOWN IN HAMILTON TWP. NON-THUNDERSTORM RELATED.

&&

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
206 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

NJZ013-014-020-026-011930-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
206 PM EST WED DEC 1 2010

...A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL MOVE OFF THE COASTS OF MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES
SOON...

AT 203 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WIND
GUSTS FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROOKLYN TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF SANDY
HOOK TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. EXPECT A SHARP WIND SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE WEST AS
THIS LINE MOVES THROUGH AND OFF THE COAST BY 230 PM.

LAT...LON 3978 7408 3974 7409 3972 7414 3975 7412
      3977 7415 3977 7412 3980 7413 3982 7410
      3991 7409 3978 7417 3972 7415 3970 7429
      4022 7414 4046 7413 4041 7399 4047 7402
      4047 7399 4041 7396 4032 7396

FORECASTER: GORSE