Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2010

Small Craft Advisory 66, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

September 26, 2010

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Sep 26, 2010, 3:55 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 27, 2010, 10:46 AM EDT. It was in force for 65 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 26, 2010, 3:55 PM EDT (19:55 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 27, 2010, 10:46 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 30, 2010, 3:43 AM EDT
In force
65 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

903 
WHUS71 KPHI 261955
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

ANZ451>455-270900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1600Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE, DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES, WILL MOVE
NORTH TO WESTERN PA TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO
CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA
TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-270900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100928T0400Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO
6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 6
PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE, DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES, WILL MOVE
NORTH TO WESTERN PA TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO
CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA
TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW
12 follow-up statements
558 
WHUS71 KPHI 270314
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1114 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

ANZ450-270900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.100927T0314Z-100927T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100928T0400Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
1114 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT
TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...WILL MOVE NORTH TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY MORNING.
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE EASTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WAS
CAUSING ADVISORY WIND GUSTS AND SEAS WHICH WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT.
WINDS AND SEAS MAY RELAX SOMEWHAT DURING MONDAY...BUT WILL
STRENGTHEN AGAIN LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451-270900-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.100927T0314Z-100927T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1600Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1114 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...WILL
MOVE NORTH TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW
MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE
PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE EASTERLY FLOW WAS CAUSING
ADVISORY WINDS AND SEAS WHICH WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. WINDS AND
SEAS MAY RELAX SOMEWHAT MONDAY MORNING BUT WILL STRENGTHEN BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-270900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1600Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1114 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE... DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES... WILL
MOVE NORTH TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW
MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA... THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE
PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING MONDAY CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
721 
WHUS71 KPHI 270755
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

ANZ450-271600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100928T0400Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
THE EASTERLY FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING WAS CAUSING WINDS TO GUSTS
NEARLY TO 25 KNOTS...AND SEAS WERE IN THE 4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE.
WINDS MAY RELAX SOMEWHAT DURING TODAY...BUT WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN
LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ELEVATED AT
OR ABOVE ADVISORY LIMITS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451-271600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1600Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
THE EASTERLY FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING WAS CAUSING WINDS TO GUSTS
NEARLY TO 25 KNOTS...AND SEAS WERE IN THE 4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE.
WINDS MAY RELAX SOMEWHAT DURING TODAY...BUT WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN
LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ELEVATED AT
OR ABOVE ADVISORY LIMITS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-271600-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100928T0400Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 KNOTS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET
TONIGHT...BUT UP TO 5 FEET NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY DURING
TONIGHT AND CONTINUING TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-271600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1600Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
355 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 4 TO 6 FEET
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
685 
WHUS71 KPHI 271446
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1046 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

ANZ452>455-272015-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T1446Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1046 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING SOUTH
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. GUSTS COULD REACH 25 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. SEAS WILL RUN 4 TO 6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT TO 4
TO 7 FEET TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-272015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1046 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
THE EASTERLY FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SE LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTHERLY TUESDAY. WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 25
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS
WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 7 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT, AND 5 TO 8 FEET
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-272015-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100928T0400Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1046 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY...
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD INTO CANADA...
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...
WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25 KNOTS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 2 TO
4 FEET TONIGHT...BUT UP TO 5 FEET NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY
DURING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW
671 
WHUS71 KPHI 272003
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 PM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

ANZ430-280900-
/O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
403 PM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE, OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL MOVE NORTH TO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TONIGHT AND SOUTHERLY WINDS TUESDAY WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS AT
TIMES. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE TUESDAY, WINDS WILL
DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-280900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100929T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
403 PM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE, OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL MOVE NORTH TO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST
TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY TUESDAY AND
GUST TO 30 KNOTS AT TIME. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY OR TUESDAY EVENING, WINDS WILL DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY AND THEN
SLOWLY SUBSIDE FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-280900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100929T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
403 PM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE, OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL MOVE NORTH TO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST
TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY TUESDAY AND
GUST TO 30 KNOTS AT TIME. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY OR TUESDAY EVENING, WINDS WILL DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY AND THEN
SLOWLY SUBSIDE FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-280900-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.100927T2003Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
403 PM EDT MON SEP 27 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE, OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL MOVE NORTH TO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA, THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BE PULLED ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
TONIGHT AND SOUTHERLY WINDS TUESDAY WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS AT
TIMES. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE TUESDAY, WINDS WILL
DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. SEAS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, BUT COULD INCREASE TO AROUND 5 FEET NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE BAY FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW
282 
WHUS71 KPHI 280730
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

ANZ450-451-282000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO
CANADA TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR
AREA LATE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL GUST TO 25 TO 30
KNOTS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE TODAY OR THIS
EVENING...WINDS WILL DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. SEAS WILL BE 5
TO 8 FEET TODAY AND THEN SUBSIDE SLOWLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT...BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY
CRITERIA INTO OR THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-282000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO
CANADA TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR
AREA LATE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL GUST TO 25 TO 30
KNOTS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE TODAY OR THIS
EVENING...WINDS WILL DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. SEAS WILL BE 5
TO 8 FEET TODAY AND THEN SUBSIDE SLOWLY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TONIGHT...BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY
CRITERIA INTO OR THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-282000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO
CANADA TODAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR
AREA LATE TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS.
ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA LATE TODAY...WINDS WILL DROP
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
817 
WHUS71 KPHI 281944
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
344 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

ANZ430-431-282045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100928T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
344 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WIND SPEEDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

ANZ450-451-290900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
344 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN SUBSIDE
TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-290900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
344 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS
GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 7 FEET TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN SUBSIDE
TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RPW
835 
WHUS71 KPHI 290125
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
925 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

ANZ452>455-291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
925 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM WEDNESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 7 FEET
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-291000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
925 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM WEDNESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 7 FEET
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A SMALL
VESSEL, SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$
197 
WHUS71 KPHI 290749
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

ANZ452>455-291630-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
349 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS ADJACENT NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELL OF NEARLY 6 FEET IS CONTINUING THE SMALL 
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS BORDERING THE ATLANTIC TODAY.

THE SWELLS WILL SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE SHOULD BE A 6 TO
12 HOUR PERIOD OF SEAS JUST BELOW 5 FEET LATE TODAY INTO EARLY
TONIGHT.

A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW! ITS MOST PRONOUNCED
IMPACT WILL PROBABLY EXTEND FROM COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY INTO
THE DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS WHERE AN HOUR OR TWO OF 50 KNOT STORM
FORCE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

THE START OF THE SOUTHEAST GALE...35 KNOT GUSTS...SHOULD DEVELOP
NEAR OR JUST AFTER DAWN.

WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE DIMINISHING WIND.

SEAS ON THURSDAY WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET DURING THE
MORNING DAYLIGHT HOURS AND NOT SUBSIDE BELOW 10 FEET UNTIL SOMETIME
FRIDAY MORNING.

IT MAY BE LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY BEFORE SEAS SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-291630-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100929T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
349 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL 
WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELL OF NEARLY 6 FEET IS CONTINUING THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS BORDERING THE ATLANTIC TODAY.

THE SWELLS WILL SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE SHOULD BE A 6 TO
12 HOUR PERIOD OF SEAS JUST BELOW 5 FEET LATE TODAY INTO EARLY
TONIGHT.

A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW! 

WHILE ITS MOST PRONOUNCED IMPACT WILL EXTEND FROM COASTAL SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY INTO THE DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS...EVEN SANDY HOOK SHOULD
EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS OF GUSTS AROUND 40 TO 45 KNOTS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING.

SEAS ON THURSDAY WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET DURING THE MIDDAY
HOURS AND NOT SUBSIDE BELOW 10 FEET TIL SOMETIME FRIDAY MORNING.

IT MAY BE LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY BEFORE SEAS SUBSIDE BELOW 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-291630-
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
349 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF DELAWARE BAY.

A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY THE
LOWER BAY. 

SOUTHEAST GALE FORCE GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR OR
JUST AFTER DAWN WITH PEAK GUSTS AROUND 45 KNOTS DURING THE MIDDAY 
HOURS.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
AS TO THE TIMING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
191 
WHUS71 KPHI 291526
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1126 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

ANZ452>455-292330-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1126 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELL OF NEARLY 6 FEET IS CONTINUING THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS BORDERING THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN.
 
A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW. ITS MOST
PRONOUNCED IMPACT WILL PROBABLY EXTEND FROM COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY INTO THE DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS WHERE AN HOUR OR TWO OF 50
KNOT STORM FORCE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

THE START OF THE SOUTHEAST GALE...35 KNOT GUSTS...SHOULD DEVELOP
NEAR OR JUST AFTER DAWN.

WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE DIMINISHING WIND.

SEAS ON THURSDAY WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET DURING THE
MORNING DAYLIGHT HOURS AND NOT SUBSIDE BELOW 10 FEET UNTIL
SOMETIME FRIDAY MORNING.

IT MAY BE LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY BEFORE SEAS SUBSIDE BELOW
5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-292330-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1126 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 

LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELL OF NEARLY 6 FEET IS CONTINUING THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS BORDERING THE ATLANTIC.
 
A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW.

WHILE ITS MOST PRONOUNCED IMPACT WILL EXTEND FROM COASTAL
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY INTO THE DELAWARE COASTAL WATERS...EVEN SANDY
HOOK SHOULD EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS OF GUSTS AROUND 40 TO 45 KNOTS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING.

SEAS ON THURSDAY WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET DURING THE MIDDAY
HOURS AND NOT SUBSIDE BELOW 10 FEET TIL SOMETIME FRIDAY MORNING.

IT MAY BE LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY BEFORE SEAS SUBSIDE BELOW
5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THOSE RANGES WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING A
SMALL VESSEL... SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-292330-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1126 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

A GALE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY EVENT FOR TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY THE
LOWER BAY.

SOUTHEAST GALE FORCE GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR OR
JUST AFTER DAWN WITH PEAK GUSTS AROUND 45 KNOTS DURING THE MIDDAY
HOURS.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TIMING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

TFG
812 
WHUS71 KPHI 291942
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
342 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

ANZ452>455-300900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
342 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

SOME LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF UP TO 5 FEET WILL AFFECT THE
AREA THIS EVENING. THEN WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE ON THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING BELOW GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF
STORM FORCE GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK AROUND 15
FEET ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR
SEAS TO SUBSIDE AND PROBABLY NOT DROP ENTIRELY BELOW 10 FEET UNTIL
FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-300900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
342 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

SOME LEFTOVER SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF UP TO 5 FEET WILL AFFECT THE
AREA THIS EVENING. THEN WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE DURING
THE MORNING ON THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO LATE THURSDAY EVENING
BEFORE DECREASING BELOW GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A
COUPLE OF STORM FORCE GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK
AROUND 15 FEET ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IT WILL TAKE A
WHILE FOR SEAS TO SUBSIDE AND PROBABLY NOT DROP ENTIRELY BELOW 10
FEET UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-300900-
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0010.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1200Z-101001T0200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
342 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON
THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE DECREASING BELOW
GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM FORCE
GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK CLOSE TO 10 FEET ACROSS
THE MOUTH OF THE BAY.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
  
A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


TFG
322 
WHUS71 KPHI 300119
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
919 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

ANZ452>455-300900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
919 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH, THEN INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON
THURSDAY. THE GALES SHOULD PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM FORCE
GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK AROUND 15 FEET ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR SEAS TO
SUBSIDE AND PROBABLY NOT DROP ENTIRELY BELOW 10 FEET UNTIL FRIDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-300900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
919 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH, THEN INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON
THURSDAY. THE GALES SHOULD PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM FORCE
GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK AROUND 15 FEET ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR SEAS TO
SUBSIDE AND PROBABLY NOT DROP ENTIRELY BELOW 10 FEET UNTIL FRIDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-300900-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1200Z-101001T0200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
919 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT THURSDAY.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON
THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE DECREASING
BELOW GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM
FORCE GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK CLOSE TO
10 FEET ACROSS THE MOUTH OF THE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
400 
WHUS71 KPHI 300743
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
343 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

ANZ452>455-301545-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY.

SQUALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KNOTS AT TIMES 
LATER THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM
FORCE GUSTS... ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST 25 TO 30 KNOTS ON FRIDAY WITH LEFTOVER
SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF AT LEAST 7 FEET THROUGH THE DAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT THE GALE WARNING WILL NEED
EXTENSION INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS
RESERVED FOR THIS COMING THURSDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-301545-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-100930T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1000Z-101001T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
343 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY.

SQUALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST 35 TO 45 KNOTS AT TIMES FROM
MIDDAY INTO TONIGHT. THERE MIGHT BE A COUPLE OF STORM FORCE GUSTS...
ESPECIALLY IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST 25 TO 30 KNOTS ON FRIDAY WITH LEFTOVER
SOUTHEASTERLY SWELLS OF AT LEAST 7 FEET THROUGH THE DAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT THE GALE WARNING WILL NEED
EXTENSION INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS
RESERVED FOR THIS COMING THURSDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-301545-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0020.100930T1200Z-101001T0200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
343 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR DELAWARE BAY. 

SQUALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KNOTS AT TIMES
LATER THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR ANY AFTERNOON OR NIGHT TIME THUNDERSTORMS. 

SEAS WILL BUILD AND COULD PEAK CLOSE TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE MOUTH
OF THE BAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST 25 TO 30 KNOTS ON FRIDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT THE GALE WARNING WILL NEED EXTENSION
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS RESERVED
FOR THIS COMING THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DRAG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 26, 3:37 PM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 3:37 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL START
BACKING NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT NEAR THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL DEEPEN AND
MOVE NORTH. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO OUR WEST LATE MONDAY
NIGHT. ITS COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, THEN STALL JUST OFFSHORE FOR THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RIDE NORTH ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ARRIVING FROM WESTERN
CANADA SHOULD NUDGE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE GFS INITIALIZATION WAS BETTER THAN THE WRF-NMM INITIALIZATION
OFF THE 12Z SOUNDINGS. THE WRF'S 500MB CLOSED LOW WAS FARTHER TO
THE SW AND STARTED IT ON THE PATH OF THE SLOWEST MDL EVOLUTION.
WHAT IS OCCURRING AND WILL LIFT FROM THE CARIBBEAN IS WREAKING
HAVOC ON THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ONCE WE GET PASSED 72HRS WITH NOT
MUCH RUN TO RUN MODEL CONTINUITY.

THE SHORT WAVE THAT HELPED BRING THE SHOT OF LIGHT SHOWERS/SPRINKLES
INTO OUR CWA WILL BE EXITING EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE
A BRIEF DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF PCPN ACROSS OUR CWA LATE THIS
AFTN/EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIG TONIGHT. TO ITS EAST WITH NOT
MUCH RIDGING ALOFT TO STOP IT, THE GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE IS
OPEN FOR BUSINESS. THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS IN THE CONDUIT FOR
FCST ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WAA INTO TUESDAY MORNING. BOTH FEATURES
INCREASE IN STRENGTH DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT TONIGHT.
THUS WE HAVE INCREASED POPS OVERNIGHT BRINGING LKLY POPS TO OUR
NRN BORDER BY MORNING.

THERE ARE MODEL DIFFERENCES AS TO QPF TONIGHT AND WE BELIEVE IT HAS
TO DO WITH THE BORDERLINE INSTABILITY ALOFT FOR THUNDER, WITH THE
MORE UNSTABLE MODELS WETTER. THERE HAS BEEN A DIURNAL CURVE WITH
TSRA POTENTIAL WITH THE DAY RUNS MORE MUTED AND THE NIGHT RUNS MORE
VIGOROUS. BASED ON THE TSRA'S INABILITY TO GET MUCH INLAND SO FAR
TODAY WE WILL LEAVE THE ELEVATED THUNDER OUT FOR TONIGHT AND THUS
WENT WITH THE MORE CONSERVATIVE QPF.

THERE IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE IN THE STAT GUIDANCE FOR MINS TONIGHT
WHICH APPEARS REASONABLE BASED ON CLOUDINESS AND PRESENT DEW POINTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ONE WOULD HAVE TO GO BACK TO MARCH TO SEE A WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC
SCALE EVENT AS COPIOUS AS THE ONE WE ARE EXPECTING TO OCCUR INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE AN AVERAGE EVENT TOTAL OF
1 TO 3 INCHES APPEARS LIKELY FOR OUR CWA. THIS WILL PUT A DENT IN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS. FLASH FLOOD AND HEADWATER GUIDANCE IS SKY HIGH
AND WOULD BE DIFFICULT EVEN WITH THOSE AMOUNTS TO INITIATE ANY
STREAM OR SMALLER RIVER FLOODING WITHOUT TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

AS FOR THE PARTICULARS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WHILE THERE WILL BE
CONTINUED WARM AIR ADVECTION ON MONDAY, THE BACKING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS FORECAST TO LOSE ITS CONVERGENT APPEARANCE. GIVEN THE LOCATION
OF THE FCST H2.5 JET, H8 JET, UPSLOPE FLOW AND MID LEVEL FGEN AND
QVEC CONVERGENCE ON MONDAY, THIS WOULD FAVOR THE STEADIEST/HEAVIEST RAIN BY
THE AFTERNOON SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OUR CWA. THE SERN
HALF OF OUR CWA MAY GET INTO A PCPN LULL DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. OUR THINKING IS DEPICTED FAIRLY WELL IN THE LATEST
HI RES 4KM WRF-NMM. AS STATED BEFORE THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
BORDERLINE WITH ELEVATED TSRA PTNL WITH THE 12Z RUNS SLIGHTLY MORE
STABLE. WE STARTED ISOLD TSRA FOR MON AFTN WITH THE EXPECTATION
THAT THE NIGHT RUNS WILL TREND MORE UNSTABLE AGAIN.

A VIGOROUS LLJ LIFTING FROM THE DEEP SOUTH SHOULD IGNITE
STRONG/SEVERE TSRAS OVER THAT AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON. IN A LESS
ROBUST STATE AND IN A MORE STRATIFORM VERSION, RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
TSRAS SHOULD WORK THEIR WAY INTO OUR CWA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS STARTS
THE MORE FAVORABLE TIME FOR HEAVIER PCPN AS THE LLJ LIFTS NORTHWARD
AND THE ENTRANCE REGION TO THE H2.5 JET APPROACHES. AT LEAST FOR
MONDAY NIGHT A PRECIPITATION INDUCED INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO STOP
THE STRONGER WINDS FROM MIXING TO THE SURFACE.

OUR TURN FOR VIGOROUS CONVECTION POTENTIAL MIGHT OCCUR ON TUESDAY
DAY PENDING ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND HOW MUCH
INSOLATION CAN WE GET. WE WILL HAVE THE FCST DYNAMIC COUPLET OF
THE LLJ AND H2.5 JET ON TUESDAY AND FCST BULK SHEAR VALUES OF
AROUND 30KTS ARE MORE THAN ADEQUATE. THE BIG CAVEAT IS HOW MUCH
MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE AROUND AND OUR INABILITY TO HAVE MUCH
SUNSHINE. AS IT IS STAT GUIDANCE MAX TEMPS ARE 5-10F BELOW SUN
POTENTIAL.

MODEL OUTPUT AS TO HOW FAR OFFSHORE DOES THE FRONT GET BEFORE THIS
ONE STALLS TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE MODELS MOVE THE
FRONT SUFFICIENTLY OFFSHORE. IT DID NOT WORK TOO WELL TODAY, SO WE
WILL SEE IF THIS IS GOING TO BE AN ONGOING THEME. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR THE FRONT TO GET TOO FAR
OFFSHORE.

NOT MUCH STAT GUIDANCE DIFFERENCE FOR MAX TEMPS ON MONDAY. PREFER
LOWER NAM MOS BASED ON OCEAN WATER TEMPS AND CUR TEMPS. MIN TEMPS
ARE CLOSE AND ACCEPTED FOR MONDAY NIGHT. BECAUSE OF THE UPSIDE
POTENTIAL SIDED CLOSER WITH GFS MOS FOR TUE DAY. GOING WITH THE MORE
PROGRESSIVE MODEL SOLUTIONS, WE SHIED AWAY FROM NAM MOS FOR MINS TUE
NGT AND ACCEPTED MEX MOS FOR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
5-WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES BECOMING MORE AMPLIFIED BY LATE IN
THE PERIOD AS A WESTERN RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD FURTHER NORTH. THIS
ALLOWS FOR A VERY NON-PROGRESSIVE EAST-WEST FLOW AND KEEPS A
BAROCLINIC ZONE ENTRENCHED JUST OFF THE COAST.

THE GFS HAS BECOME A LOT MORE ROBUST WITH IN ITS QPF FIELDS OVER THE
PAST DAY OR TWO OF RUNS WITH THE INTRODUCTION OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE 00Z ECMWF KEPT THE BAROCLINIC ZONE FURTHER
OFFSHORE WHICH IN TURN SHOVED THE MOISTURE FURTHER TO THE EAST WHICH
BUT ITS LATEST 12Z RUN, WHICH WAS AVAILABLE FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE, NOW COMES CLOSER IN LINE WITH THE 12Z GFS.

FOR THE MOST PART WE KEEP THE EXTENDED UNSETTLED WITH THE STALLED
FRONT OFFSHORE. AMPLE ENERGY IN THE MID-LEVELS MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND HELPS TO DEEPEN THE LOW
PRESSURE RIDING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE COASTAL AND SOME INTERIOR AREAS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
THIS LOW THEN PULLS TO THE NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE REGION WHICH
THEN BEGINS TO PULL THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OUT TO SEA WITH IT. RIDGING
IS THEN ABLE TO WORK ITS WAY IN FOR THE WEEKEND.

THE MODELS ARE SHOWING WHAT COULD POSSIBLY BE OUR FIRST WIDESPREAD
FROST EVENT OF THE FALL OVER OUR NORTHWESTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY
MORNING. VERY STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACE WITH HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING IN WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW ZERO IN
OUR NORTHERN ZONES. THE TYPICAL FIRST FROST OVER THE NORTH USUALLY
OCCURS AROUND THE AUTUMNAL EQUINOX SO WE HAVE BEEN DELAYED BY A WEEK
OR TWO.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER THIS AFTERNOON.
THE FIRST BATCH OF LIGHT RAIN AND SPRINKLES MOVED NE FROM THE
BALTIMORE AREA AND IS NOW CROSSING CENTRAL NJ. THIS PRECIPITATION
WAS ASSOCIATED WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS, ALTHOUGH THERE WERE A
FEW PATCHES OF HEAVIER RAIN WITH SOME MVFR CIGS. AS LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT, CIGS
WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO MVFR AND THEN TO IFR. SPOTTY RAIN EARLY
TONIGHT WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATER TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY.
VSBYS IN THE RAIN WILL BECOME RESTRICTED ALSO. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME E TONIGHT AND THEN SE MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WORK IT'S WAY NORTH, REACHING
WESTERN PA EARLY TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
OUR AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING PRECEDED AND ACCOMPANIED
BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWER FLYING CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. FAIR WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BUT IT COULD BE SHORT LIVED.
THE FRONT WILL STALL JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP THE FRONT. DEPENDING ON THE
TRACK OF THE LOW, RAIN AND LOWER FLYING CONDITIONS COULD MOVE
BACK INTO OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WITH FAIR WEATHER IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE IN FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUR OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE
MAY NJ AND ON THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY WAS LOWERED AT 1 PM AS
WINDS AND SEAS DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. LOW PRESSURE,
DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES, WILL MOVE NORTH TO
WESTERN PA TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CANADA,
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BE PULLED ACROSS OUR WATERS
TUESDAY EVENING. NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WILL SWING AROUND TO E
TONIGHT AND TO SE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL TIGHTEN LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, CAUSING WINDS AND SEAS
TO INCREASE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE RAISED AT NOON
MONDAY FOR OUR OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF MANASQUAN. FROM SANDY HOOK
TO MANASQUAN, IT WILL GO UP AT MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW,
THE ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY, BUT COULD BE
EXTENDED AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME. WIND GUSTS WILL
PROBABLY REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ON DEL BAY ALSO, BUT NOT UNTIL
SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. SINCE THAT IS OUR THIRD AND
FOURTH FORECAST PERIOD, WE HAVE NOT RAISED THE ADVISORY AT THIS
TIME. HIGH PRESSURE, FOLLOWING THE FRONT, WILL ALLOW WINDS AND
SEAS TO QUIET DOWN A BIT LATER TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. BUT THE LOWER CONDITIONS COULD BE SHORT LIVED, AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES UP THE FRONT ALONG THE EAST COAST. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS COULD RETURN IN THE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY TIME PERIOD.
AS THE LOW PULLS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH
DOWN FROM ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL SUPPLY US WITH A
FAIRLY STRONG NORTHERLY GRADIENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND.
THIS COULD PROLONG THE ADVISORY WINDS AND/OR SEAS FOR, AT LEAST,
PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ451>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EDT
     TUESDAY FOR ANZ450.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI
NEAR TERM...GIGI
SHORT TERM...GIGI
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
AVIATION...RPW
MARINE...RPW
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 26, 3:55 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-272000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SOME HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY
DURING ANY THUNDERSTORMS. THE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT
HARDER FOR ANY STREAMS OR SMALL RIVERS TO FLOOD UNLESS
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS IN SUCCESSION. NEVERTHELESS
THERE SHOULD BE SOME URBAN, FIELD AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN. ALSO, THERE WILL BE STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD MIX SOME OF
THE STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE MAINLY ON TUESDAY. THIS RISK
WOULD INCREASE TUESDAY IF MORE SUNSHINE OCCURS THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ451>455-272000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-272000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-272000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 26, 9:45 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI3 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2010Every small craft advisory in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.