Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2010
Small Craft Advisory 30, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Mar 26, 2010, 3:38 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 26, 2010, 6:36 PM EDT. It was in force for 69 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 26, 2010, 3:38 PM EDT (19:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 26, 2010, 6:36 PM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 29, 2010, 3:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 69 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
541 WHUS71 KPHI 261938 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 338 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ANZ430-270015- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-100327T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.100326T1938Z-100327T0400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 338 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH GRADUALLY IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-270000- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-100327T0000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 338 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-270015- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-100327T0200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 338 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$
10 follow-up statements
085 WHUS71 KPHI 262236 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 636 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ANZ431-270800- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-100327T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100327T0800Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 636 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH GRADUALLY IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM, BUT WILL TAKE MOST OF THE NIGHT FOR THIS TO OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-270800- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-100327T0200Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100327T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 636 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM. WHILE WINDS SHOULD DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BY SATURDAY MORNING, SEAS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-270800- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100327T0800Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 636 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH GRADUALLY IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM, BUT IT NOW APPEARS THIS WILL TAKE MUCH OF THE NIGHT FOR WINDS TO DECREASE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ TFG
745 WHUS71 KPHI 270724 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 324 AM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ANZ430-431-270830- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100327T0800Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 324 AM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ ANZ450>455-272000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100329T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 324 AM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH IN THE WAKE OF A RECEDING FRONTAL SYSTEM. WHILE WINDS SHOULD DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS MORNING, SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE CRITERIA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND PROBABLY LONGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RPW
400 WHUS71 KPHI 271933 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 333 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ANZ430-431-280830- /O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.100328T1600Z-100329T1200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 333 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS EXPECTED. SEAS WILL ALSO BECOME MORE ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-280830- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100329T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 333 PM EDT SAT MAR 27 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. MOSTLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ELEVATED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AN INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY WIND SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL ALLOW GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS TO OCCUR ALONG WITH SEAS TO BUILD AND CONDITIONS TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GORSE
896 WHUS71 KPHI 280803 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 403 AM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ANZ450>455-282000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 403 AM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. MOSTLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD AND CONDITIONS TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-282000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.100328T1600Z-100329T1600Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 403 AM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EDT MONDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS EXPECTED. SEAS WILL ALSO BECOME QUITE ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RPW
044 WHUS71 KPHI 281956 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 356 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ANZ450>455-290830- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 356 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SEAS TO BUILD WITH INCREASINGLY ROUGH CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-290830- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100329T1600Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 356 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL GUSTS TO ABOUT 30 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CREATE ROUGHER SEAS, ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE MOUTH OF THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GORSE
527 WHUS71 KPHI 282133 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 533 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ANZ430-431-290545- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100329T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0016.100328T2133Z-100329T0600Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 533 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS, FUNNELING UP THE DELAWARE BAY, WILL GUST UP TO 40 KNOTS THIS EVENING FOR SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE DECREASING BELOW GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-290545- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 533 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SEAS TO BUILD WITH INCREASINGLY ROUGH CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
973 WHUS71 KPHI 290554 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 154 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ANZ430-431-291400- /O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-100329T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 154 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SEAS TO BUILD WITH INCREASINGLY ROUGH CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-291400- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 154 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 KNOTS THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SEAS TO BUILD WITH INCREASINGLY ROUGH CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
800 WHUS71 KPHI 290731 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 331 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ANZ430-431-292115- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 331 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS COULD GUST UP TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS WILL BUILD AND BE VERY CHOPPY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-292115- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 331 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS COULD GUST UP TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS WILL BUILD AND BE VERY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ROBERTSON
486 WHUS71 KPHI 291536 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1136 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ANZ430-431-292230- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 1136 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH TODAY WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS, A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AND GUST TO NEAR 30 KNOTS. THE WINDS WILL THEN TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH TONIGHT, THEN MORE NORTHWESTERLY ON TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450>455-292230- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 1136 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH TODAY WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS, A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT AND GUST TO AROUND 30 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL THEN TURN TO THE EAST TONIGHT, THEN SHIFT AGAIN ON TUESDAY. THE SEAS WILL REMAIN VERY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GORSE
669 WHUS71 KPHI 291930 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 330 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ANZ452>455-300830- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0017.100329T1930Z-100331T0400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 330 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY. AS A RESULT, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE AREA. THE WINDS SHOULD GUST TO AROUND 35 KNOTS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE SEAS WILL REMAIN VERY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450-451-300830- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0017.100329T1930Z-100330T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 330 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY. AS A RESULT, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME. THE WINDS SHOULD GUST TO AROUND 35 KNOTS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM. THE SEAS WILL REMAIN VERY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-300830- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-100330T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0017.100329T1930Z-100331T0400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 330 PM EDT MON MAR 29 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING TO OUR SOUTH WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY. AS A RESULT, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE AREA. THE WINDS SHOULD GUST TO AROUND 35 KNOTS DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THE SEAS WILL BUILD AND BECOME RATHER CHOPPY AS A RESULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ GORSE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 26, 3:19 PM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 26, 3:19 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
319 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE, DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTH, WILL CONTROL THE
WEATHER OVER THE REGION FOR TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLIP OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL
CROSS OUR REGION MONDAY AND MOVE SLOWLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION FOR
THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PARTS OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION SHOULD CLEAR THE REGION BY 400 PM THIS AFTERNOON
LEADING TO CLEARING SKIES AND COLD TEMPERATURE FOR TONIGHT. GIVEN
THE LOW DEWPOINT VALUES AND THE CLEARING SKIES, LEANED TOWARD THE
SLIGHTLY COLDER GFS MOS GUIDANCE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
PERIOD STARTS OFF COOL AND DRY AND ENDS UP A LOT WETTER. STAYED
CLOSE TO NGM MOS/GFS MOS BLEND REGARDING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD. PREFER SLIGHTLY SLOWER ARRIVAL (AND SUBSEQUENT DEPARTURE)
OF NEXT SYSTEM. PUSHED BACK ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION TO LATE
SUNDAY AFTEROON TIMEFRAME. THEN RAISED POPS TO CATEGORICAL LEVEL
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. QPF AMOUNTS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY KEPT AT RATHER OPTIMISITIC 1.0-1.5 INCH RANGE. QPF AMOUNTS
OF THIS MAGNITUDE (OR GREATER) WILL PRODUCE RISES ON AREA STREAMS
AND RIVERS. STAY TUNED.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE WEATHER PATTERNS WE HAVE FOUND OURSELVES WITHIN SINCE EARLY
MARCH HAVE BEEN EITHER FEAST OR FAMINE. THE TREND IN THE LONG TERM
IS TOWARD THE FEAST AGAIN. THIS IS PRETTY WELL CORROBORATED BY BOTH
THE GWO AND MJO THAT ARE FAVORING A WARMER PATTERN ACROSS THE
EASTERN CONUS.
BUT THE START OF THE LONG TERM SHOULD STILL BE WET AS NEARLY EVERY
LONG TERM MEDIUM RANGE MODEL HAS BEEN AND STILL IS SLOWER AND NOT AS
PROGRESSIVE AS THE GFS. THIS PROLONGS THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
FLOODING. THE GFS IS SHOWING SIGNS OF SLOWING, BUT ITS PRECIPITATION
ENDS APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS SOONER THAN THE ECMWF. WE WILL CARRY
LIKELY POPS FOR MON NGT AND THEN LOWER TO CHANCE POPS TUE DAY AND
SLGT CHC TUE EVE AS THE CLOSED LOW SLIDES EAST OF OUR CWA.
AFTER THAT ITS JUST A QUESTION OF HOW QUICKLY DO WE WARM AS THE
EASTERN CONUS IS FORECAST TO COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG
500MB RIDGE. THE GFS HAS HAD A STRONG COLD BIAS ACROSS OUR CWA SINCE
THE BEGINNING OF MARCH AND EVEN OVER THE LAST 5 TO 10 DAYS ITS 850MB
COLD BIAS BY DAY 7 HAS RANGED FROM 3 TO 7C ACROSS OUR CWA. BUT THE
MODEL IS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN ITS OTHER COLLEAGUES WITH BRINGING
THE H5 RIDGE TO THE EAST COAST. SO SOMEWHERE IN THIS LONG TERM AND
WE ARE THINKING THURSDAY MEX MOS MAY BE RIGHT FOR THE WRONG REASON
AS THE WARMING SHOULD BE SLOWER THAN DEPICTED BY THE GFS.
NEVERTHELESS BY FRIDAY WE BELIEVE EITHER THE CLIMO AND/OR COLD BIAS
INFLUENCE IS IN FULL FORCE IN MEX MOS GUIDANCE AND WE WENT ABOVE IT
AND CHANCES ARE NOT HIGH ENOUGH.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
THE LAST OF THE PRECIPITATION AND MVFR CEILINGS MOVES OUT OF ACY
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON TAF PERIOD. AFTER THAT, MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
WILL GIVE WAY TO CLEAR SKIES. WINDS SHOULD BE NORTH OR JUST EAST OF
NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND
25 KT, THEN MAINTAIN THE DIRECTION BUT LOSE MUCH OF THE GUSTINESS.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE VFR.
TOMORROW SHOULD FEATURE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES, GOOD VISIBILITIES AND
MAINLY LIGHT WINDS VEERING FROM NORTH TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST DURING
THE COURSE OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.
OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS INTO THE FIRST PART OF SUNDAY. AFTER THAT, CONDITIONS
WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE AGAIN WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM.
&&
.MARINE...
THE GALE HAS BEEN MARGINAL OVER OUR WATERS, WITH SOME LOCATIONS
SHOWING A FEW GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. THE MODELS STILL WANT THE WINDS
TO BE SOLIDLY GALE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WE COULD SEE A
FEW MORE GALE FORCE GUSTS IF WE CAN MIX UP A LITTLE MORE WITH THE
CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION, SO OVER MOST LOCATIONS WE WILL LET THE
WARNING CONTINUE. THE EXCEPTION IS THE UPPER BAY, WHERE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THE THREAT OF GALE FORCE WINDS IS OVER. WE HAVE ISSUED AN
ADVISORY THERE. WINDS WILL COME DOWN FAIRLY QUICKLY OVERNIGHT. THE
ADVISORY FOR THE UPPER BAY LASTS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. AN ANTICIPATED
ADVISORY FOR THE LOWER BAY LIKELY WON'T LAST MUCH LONGER.
WE WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH SEAS ALONG THE ATLANTIC THAT LIKELY WILL
HAVE US EXTENDING A FUTURE ADVISORY INTO SATURDAY. THEY HAVE COME UP
PER WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE AT 44009, ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE AS MUCH AT
44025. THE RECEDING SYSTEM WILL KEEP SEAS UP FOR A WHILE, BUT SWELLS
WILL INCREASINGLY DOMINATE WITH TIME.
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH AND CAUSE A DOWNTURN IN
MARINE WEATHER FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
SSE GUIDANCE AND LOCAL GUIDANCE BOTH SUGGEST THAT THE HIGH TIDES
THIS EVENING AND TOMORROW MORNING ALONG THE COAST, RARITAN BAY AND
DELAWARE BAY WILL FALL SHORT OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. THE CLOSER
CALL LOOKS TO BE TOMORROW MORNING BECAUSE IT IS THE HIGHER HIGH
TIDE. WE HAVE MENTIONED THE POSSIBILITY OF SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ALONG THE COAST AND THE BAYS TOMORROW MORNING IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK, BUT ARE NOT GOING TO ISSUE ANY ADVISORY AT
THIS TIME.
AGAIN, THE TIDAL DELAWARE AND CHESAPEAKE BAY TEND TO REACT LAST IN
THESE EVENTS. THEY LIKELY WILL NOT EXPERIENCE ANY TIDAL FLOODING,
BUT WE WILL KEEP WATCHING.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ450>455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR ANZ430.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ431.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SZATKOWSKI
NEAR TERM...SZATKOWSKI
SHORT TERM...SZATKOWSKI
LONG TERM...GIGI
AVIATION...DELISI/KLINE
MARINE...DELISI/KLINE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DELISI/KLINEHazardous weather outlook, Mar 26, 3:26 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-PAZ054-055- 060>062-067>071-271000- NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN- MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BRING RAIN TO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS AND IN URBAN AREAS, AND POSSIBLY EVEN ON LARGER RIVERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002>004-NJZ013-014-020>027-271000- KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE SATURDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BRING RAIN TO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO INCREASE THE THREAT OF FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS AND IN URBAN AREAS, AND POSSIBLY EVEN ON LARGER RIVERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450>455-271000- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-271000- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ431-271000- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 326 PM EDT FRI MAR 26 2010 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SZATKOWSKI
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2010Every small craft advisory in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.