Small Craft Advisory 22, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

886 
WHUS71 KPHI 282025
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

ANZ450-451-011000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.100301T0300Z-100302T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0009.100301T0300Z-100302T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
325 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND WELL OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTENSIFY. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL
CREATE AN GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS COULD
REACH GALE FORCE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND SEAS SHOULD BE 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-011000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.100301T0300Z-100302T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
325 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND WELL OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTENSIFY. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL
CREATE AN GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS COULD
REACH THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE AND SEAS SHOULD BE 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

446 
WHUS71 KPHI 010204
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
904 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

ANZ450-451-011000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0009.100301T0204Z-100302T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
904 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND WELL OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTENSIFY. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL
CREATE AN GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS COULD
REACH GALE FORCE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND SEAS SHOULD BE 3 TO
5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-011000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.100301T0204Z-100302T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
904 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND WELL OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTENSIFY. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL
CREATE AN GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS COULD
REACH THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE AND SEAS SHOULD BE 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

487 
WHUS71 KPHI 010840
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 AM EST MON MAR 1 2010

ANZ450-451-012200-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-100302T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
340 AM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF MAINE, IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND THEN PUSH EASTWARD OFF THE COAST TODAY.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
WEST WILL CREATE A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
WIND SPEEDS COULD REACH GALE FORCE TODAY WITH SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-452>455-012200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
340 AM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF MAINE, IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND THEN PUSH EASTWARD OFF THE COAST TODAY.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
WEST WILL CREATE A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
WIND SPEEDS COULD REACH 25 TO 30 KT TODAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
3 TO 5 FT ALONG THE OCEAN AND LOWER DELAWARE BAY AND 2 TO 3 FT IN
THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

992 
WHUS71 KPHI 012032
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

ANZ450-451-021000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-100302T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0007.100303T0600Z-100304T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
332 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY. A
GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL PULL OUT TO SEA
TONIGHT, ALLOWING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SLACKEN TEMPORARILY
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COASTAL STORM WILL PASS TO OUR EAST LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING TO OUR NORTHEAST AND OUT TO
SEA THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
GALE FORCE CONDITIONS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-452>455-021000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0007.100303T0600Z-100304T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
332 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL PULL OUT TO SEA
TONIGHT, ALLOWING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SLACKEN TEMPORARILY
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COASTAL STORM WILL PASS TO OUR EAST LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING TO OUR NORTHEAST AND OUT TO
SEA THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
GALE FORCE CONDITIONS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-020600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
332 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL PULL OUT TO SEA
TONIGHT, ALLOWING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SLACKEN TEMPORARILY
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COASTAL STORM WILL PASS TO OUR EAST LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING TO OUR NORTHEAST AND OUT TO
SEA THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY, BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ROBERTSON

594 
WHUS71 KPHI 020223
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
923 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

ANZ431-450>455-021030-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0600Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0007.100303T0600Z-100304T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
923 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-020330-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-100302T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
923 PM EST MON MAR 1 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

SZATKOWSKI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STILL HOVERING OVER THE REGION WILL TAKE
ITS TIME MAKING ITS WAY OUT TO SEA ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL ABSORB OUR LOW PRESSURE
ON MONDAY AND MOVE FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST. THINGS MAY BECOME
INTERESTING ONCE MORE ON WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE DISTURBANCE MOVES
OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AND NEARS OUR COAST. THIS LOW
SHOULD THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE
FILING IN BEHIND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A 0700Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES THE VERTICALLY STACKED MID-LATITUDE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE. AN MSAS
ANALYSIS SHOWS SOME WEAK THETA-E ADVECTION TAKING PLACE JUST TO OUR
WEST WHICH LINES UP WELL WITH OUR THE CURRENT REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY
SHOWING AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW/RAIN IN CENTRAL PA. DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS IN OUR CWA WOULD CURRENTLY PRODUCE MOSTLY VIRGA EXCEPT
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL.

CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY AS WILL
THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE CWA WITH THIS
ASSOCIATED PASSAGE, PRIMARILY DUE TO THE LACK OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE
TO SQUEEZE OUT. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE A REALLY GOOD HANDLE ON
THE OCCLUDED LOW AS BOTH MODELS ARE WELL ALIGNED WITH ONE ANOTHER AS
TO THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE VORT LOBE PASSAGE.

AS WAS SAID IN OUR EARLIER DISCO, THE POPS IN THE GRIDS ARE MORE
INDICATIVE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. MOST OF THE CWA WILL SEE
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ON SUNDAY WITH A GOOD POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT RAIN
MIXING IN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT
WARMER TODAY THAN THEY WERE ON SATURDAY WITH WEAK TO NEUTRAL WARM
AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS
PASSAGE. STILL WITH OVERCAST SKIES, TEMPERATURES WILL DEFINITELY BE
TEMPERED A GREAT DEAL ON SUNDAY.

A BLEND CONSENSUS OF THE MAV/MET MOS GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WITH WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGING TRIES TO BUILD IN IN THE
WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE, WHICH ON MONDAY WILL BE SITTING
JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. A CHANNELIZED VORT MAX WILL BE STRETCHED
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES EARLY ON MONDAY, BUT FOR NOW DO NOT
SEE ENOUGH DYNAMICAL SUPPORT TO HAVE CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST
AFTER 12Z. AS ALWAYS WITHIN OUR NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME, THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WHILE
EVERYWHERE ELSE IS DRY.

WITH OUR PESKY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OUT OF THE REGION AND A ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE DEEP SOUTH, THE TWO PHASE
AND THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS A DEEPENING PROCESS ONCE MORE. THE
BOMBING OF THE LOW ALLOWS A PIECE OF MID-LEVEL ENERGY TO BE THROWN
BACK TO THE WEST OVER THE GREAT LAKES WHICH THEN BEGINS TO INTERACT
WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM MID-LEVEL TROUGH. THE EASTWARD PROPAGATING
TROUGH AXIS STARTS TO SHARPEN UP WITH THE HELP OF NEWLY INJECTED
ENERGY AND ITS SURFACE INFLECTION REALLY STARTS TO TAKE SHAPE ON
TUESDAY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.

THIS TIME, THE COASTAL SYSTEM BEHAVES LIKE AN ORDINARY NOR'EASTER IN
THAT IT STARTS TO DEEPEN OFF THE CAROLINAS ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVES IN
A NORTHEASTWARD FASHION. AS THE LOW GETS CLOSER TO OUR REGION SO
DOES THE MID-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION AS IT SLOWLY SLIDES TO THE
EAST. THE ECMWF SHOWS A MORE PESSIMISTIC THERMAL PROFILE WHEN
COMPARED TO THE GFS WITH THE 540DM THICKNESS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE REGION. THE EURO ALSO HAS THE CENTER OF THE LOW FURTHER
OFFSHORE OF THE GFS'S POSITION AND PER HPC'S MODEL DIAGNOSTICS, THE
GFS WAS THE PREFERRED MODEL FOR THIS RUN. THAT BEING SAID, CHANCE
POPS WERE PLACED IN THE GRIDS FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MOST LOCALES STARTING AS RAIN
WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 40S AND THEN SLOWLY
TRANSITIONING TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX AFTER SUNSET AND THEN TO ALL SNOW
BY MIDNIGHT...THE SAME APPLIES TO WEDNESDAY.

THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY QUICK HITTER, AT LEAST WHEN
COMPARED TO THE LAST SYSTEM. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULABLE SNOWFALL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, EXCEPT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS, AT THIS TIME SINCE THERE IS DECENT SHOT OF MIXING. WITH THE
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC, THERE WILL BE A COPIOUS
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TO PLAY WITH FOR THIS SYSTEM, THAT IS IF THE
CURRENT PROGGED TRACK IS CORRECT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE EASTERN TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS PATTERN, AS WE HAVE SEEN THIS WINTER, FAVORS
COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND FREQUENT WET WEATHER SYSTEMS
EJECTING OUT OF THE GULF. THERE IS ONE MORE SYSTEM IN THE EARLY PART
OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD, BUT TODAYS LONGER RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING
THAT IT (HOPEFULLY) WILL PASS MOSTLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION. WE
WILL KEEP A CHANCE (NORTH)/HIGH CHANCE (SOUTH) POPS IN FOR THE TUE
NIGHT AND WED PERIODS FOR NOW WITH RAIN/SNOW P-TYPE EVENT FOR THE
AREA. WE HAVE TO CONTINUE TO WATCH ANY NORTHWARD OR WESTWARD
MOVEMENT WITH THE STORM TRACK, SINCE THESE SYSTEMS HAVE SHOWN A
TENDENCY TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST AS THEY GET INTO THE SHORTER
RANGES. PRESENTLY THE 12Z GFS IS CLOSER TO THE COAST WITH THE
SYSTEM AND THE ECMWF KEEP ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OFF THE
COAST. THE UPPER LOW WILL STILL BE MOVING OVER THE AREA, SO A MORE
GENERAL LIGHT PRECIP EVENT STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE.

THE BETTER NEWS FOR THE LONGER RANGE PERIOD IS THAT THE MODELS SHOW
THE UPPER TROUGH IS GETTING SCOURED OUT OF THE EAST AND MILDER
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BEGIN TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND...THERE IS EVEN
A POSSIBLY OF NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE FIRST SAT/SUN IN MARCH.
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEMS IN THE THU-SAT PERIOD, SO
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EACH DAY...A DECENT MELTING OF
SNOW SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDS PREVAIL OVER THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING, WITH MOST
LOCATIONS HAVING MID OR HIGH CLOUDS, BUT SOME LINGERING SC IS AROUND
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TAF SITES LATER ON.  HOWEVER, FOR THE MOST
PART, ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE VFR.  THE ONLY CAVEAT, MUCH LIKE
YESTERDAY, IS ANY SNOW SHOWERS THAT WOULD IMPACT THE AIRPORTS.  THE
CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN ON SATURDAY AND AREAL COVERAGE IS SMALL, SO
WILL NOT INCLUDE THEM IN THE INDIVIDUAL TERMINALS. BUT, CONDS COULD
BECOME MVFR IF A STRONG ENOUGH SNOW SHOWER HIT ANY TAF SITE.
OTHERWISE, W TO NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT ARE THRU THE PD.

OUTLOOK...
STRONG NWLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY.  SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 15
TO 20 KT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AT LEAST 25 KT ARE EXPECTED.  HOWEVER,
VFR CONDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.  THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
ANOTHER COASTAL STORM THAT MAY AFFECT THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
DEPENDING ON ITS TRACK, IT COULD BRING VSBY/CIG OBSTRUCTIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
RATHER TRANQUIL CONDS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERWAYS THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY.  HOWEVER, THOSE CONDS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER VERY
STRONG VORT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AS THE PERSISTENT LOW FINALLY
BEGINS TO LOSE ITS GRIP ON THE AREA.  HOWEVER, ANOTHER AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FCST TO MOVE NWD WELL OFF THE ATLC CST AND INTENSIFY ON
MONDAY.  THESE TWO FEATURES WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN W TO NW WINDS
WILL AFTER SUNSET AND SCA CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURG THE
EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.  SCA FLAGS
WILL BE RAISED WITH THE MORNING PKG.  IT DOES APPEAR TO BE MORE OF A
WIND THAN WAVE EVENT, WITH WAVEWATCH KEEPING SEAS AT 4 FT AT BUOY
44009.  HOWEVER, CAN NOT RULE OUT SEAS WOULD HIT 5 FT.
NEVERTHELESS, IT APPEARS THAT THE NRN WATERS WILL HAVE A GREATER
IMPACT FROM THIS THAN THE SRN WATERS, WHERE IT MAY BE VERY
MARGINAL.  IT IS PSBL, IF LATER MDL RUNS INCREASE THE WIND  SPEEDS,
THAT GALES MAY END UP BEING NECESSARY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE NRN
WATERS, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL SETTLE DOWN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN WE
WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT IMPACT A DEVELOPING CSTL STORM HAS ON THE
REGION.  OF COURSE, ITS ALL DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
THE LOW, BUT ATTM, IT APPEARS THAT IT MAY IMPACT SRN AREAS MORE THAN
NRN LOCATIONS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDES ARE STILL RUNNING A BIT ABV FCSTS AND ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGH
DUE TO TODAY'S FULL MOON.  THE OCEAN LOCATIONS WERE FCST TO BE VERY
CLOSE TO MINOR FLOODING CRITERIA.  DUE TO THE OBS BEING A BIT HIGHER
THAN FCST, CURRENT THINKING IS A COASTAL FLOOD ADVY IS NECESSARY.
IT WILL BE VERY CLOSE.  THE EVENING TIDE IS THE LOWER ONE AND WITH
TIDAL DEPARTURES COMING DOWN AND OFFSHORE FLOW INCREASING, WILL JUST
KEEP A SHORT CFA FOR THE MORNING TIDE CYCLE ATTM.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NJZ013-
     014-020-022>027.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR DEZ003-
     004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...HEAVENER/O'HARA
AVIATION...NIERENBERG
MARINE...NIERENBERG
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...NIERENBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-021-
PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-010845-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
345 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-010845-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
345 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-010845-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
345 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.