Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2010

Coastal Flood Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 12, 20106 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Mar 12, 2010, 3:23 PM EST for 6 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Mar 13, 2010, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 19 hr. 28 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2010, 3:23 PM EST (20:23 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 13, 2010, 4:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 13, 2010, 11:10 PM EST
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 13, 9:20 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG5 N Tabernacle, NJSMALL TREE REPORTED DOWN ON RETREAT ROAD IN SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP.
Mar 13, 10:20 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMG5 N Tabernacle, NJSMALL TREE REPORTED DOWN ON RETREAT ROAD IN SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP.
Mar 13, 11:14 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGNorth Brunswick Townshi, NJPOLE REPORTED DOWN NEAR ADAMS AND COZENS LANE.
Mar 13, 12:14 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGNorth Brunswick Townshi, NJPOLE REPORTED DOWN NEAR ADAMS AND COZENS LANE.
Mar 13, 2:24 PM ESTFLOOD3 E Mays Landing, NJROUTE 322 AT COLOGNE AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
Mar 13, 2:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGSeaside Heights, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 2:45 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBurlington, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 2:48 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGEast Brunswick, NJTREE REPORTED DOWN ON A HOUSE.
Mar 13, 2:58 PM ESTFLOODManalapan, NJROUTE 9 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO FLOODING.
Mar 13, 3:06 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBarnegat Light, NJREPORT OF A FRONT PORCH COLLAPSE IN BARNEGAT. ALSO, A SHEET METAL ROOF REPORTED PEELED BACK.
Mar 13, 3:24 PM ESTFLOOD3 E Mays Landing, NJROUTE 322 AT COLOGNE AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
Mar 13, 3:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGSeaside Heights, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 3:38 PM ESTFLOOD5 N Tabernacle, NJBARN ROOF REPORTED CAVED IN IN SOUTHAMPTON.
Mar 13, 3:40 PM ESTFLOODHammonton, NJROUTE 54 CLOSED IN HAMMONTON DUE TO FLOODING. ALSO, TREES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 3:45 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBurlington, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 3:48 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGEast Brunswick, NJTREE REPORTED DOWN ON A HOUSE.
Mar 13, 3:58 PM ESTFLOODManalapan, NJROUTE 9 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO FLOODING.
Mar 13, 3:59 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGOld Bridge, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 4:06 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBarnegat Light, NJREPORT OF A FRONT PORCH COLLAPSE IN BARNEGAT. ALSO, A SHEET METAL ROOF REPORTED PEELED BACK.
Mar 13, 4:38 PM ESTFLOOD5 N Tabernacle, NJBARN ROOF REPORTED CAVED IN IN SOUTHAMPTON.
Mar 13, 4:40 PM ESTFLOODHammonton, NJROUTE 54 CLOSED IN HAMMONTON DUE TO FLOODING. ALSO, TREES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 4:59 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGOld Bridge, NJTREES AND WIRES REPORTED DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
Mar 13, 6:20 PM ESTFLOODShip Bottom, NJCENTRAL AVE FROM ROUTE 72 TO WEST 28TH STREET REPORTED CLOSED DUE TO TIDAL FLOODING.
Mar 13, 7:20 PM ESTFLOODShip Bottom, NJCENTRAL AVE FROM ROUTE 72 TO WEST 28TH STREET REPORTED CLOSED DUE TO TIDAL FLOODING.
Mar 13, 7:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGMetuchen, NJ*** 2 INJ *** LARGE TREE LIMB FELL ON A VEHICLE AND INJURED TWO PEOPLE.
Mar 13, 8:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGMetuchen, NJ*** 2 INJ *** LARGE TREE LIMB FELL ON A VEHICLE AND INJURED TWO PEOPLE.
Mar 13, 8:31 PM ESTFLOODShip Bottom, NJLONG BEACH BLVD CLOSED FROM SHIP BOTTOM TO BEACH HAVEN DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING.
Mar 13, 9:31 PM ESTFLOODShip Bottom, NJLONG BEACH BLVD CLOSED FROM SHIP BOTTOM TO BEACH HAVEN DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2010-03-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2010-03-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
422 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

014 
WHUS41 KPHI 122023
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
323 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-131000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0002.100313T0900Z-100314T0200Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
323 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
PRESSURE WAS MOVING FROM NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST TO NEAR THE
DELMARVA. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE WINDS AND RAIN
COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS
LIKELY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND FOR A PORTION
OF DELAWARE BAY.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT 6:07
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:31 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY OCCURS
AT 5:37 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:01 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
5:49 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:10 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.0 YO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT 6:23
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:44 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEAN FRONT AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE OCCURS AT
6:05 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:14 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BAY AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE OCCURS AT 7:06
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 7:21 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS ADJACENT TO THE COAST OCCURS A COUPLE
OF HOURS LATER THAN HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016-021-131000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.100313T1200Z-100314T0500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
323 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT...

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
PRESSURE WAS MOVING FROM NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST TO NEAR THE
DELMARVA. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE WINDS AND RAIN
COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS
LIKELY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND FOR A PORTION
OF DELAWARE BAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT. 

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG DELAWARE BAY AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY. 

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 9:00 AND 10:00 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND
AGAIN BETWEEN 9:30 AND 10:30 PM SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
530 
WHUS41 KPHI 122026 CCA
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-131015-
/O.COR.KPHI.CF.W.0002.100313T0900Z-100314T0200Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
326 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
PRESSURE WAS MOVING FROM NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST TO NEAR THE
DELMARVA. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE WINDS AND RAIN
COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS
LIKELY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND FOR A PORTION
OF DELAWARE BAY.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT 6:07
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:31 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY OCCURS
AT 5:37 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:01 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
5:49 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:10 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT 6:23
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:44 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEAN FRONT AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE OCCURS AT
6:05 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:14 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BAY AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE OCCURS AT 7:06
AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 7:21 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS ADJACENT TO THE COAST OCCURS A COUPLE
OF HOURS LATER THAN HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016-021-131015-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.100313T1200Z-100314T0500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
326 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT...

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
PRESSURE WAS MOVING FROM NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST TO NEAR THE
DELMARVA. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE WINDS AND RAIN
COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS
LIKELY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND FOR A PORTION
OF DELAWARE BAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT. 

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG DELAWARE BAY AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY. 

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 9:00 AND 10:00 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND
AGAIN BETWEEN 9:30 AND 10:30 PM SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
034 
WHUS41 KPHI 130857
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
357 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-132000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.W.0002.100313T0900Z-100314T1800Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
357 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY.

A COMPLEX STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NEAR THE VIRGINIA COAST TO NEAR THE
DELMARVA TODAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE WINDS AND
RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING HIGHER THAN
NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND
FOR A PORTION OF DELAWARE BAY.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK... NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
6:07 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:31 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NEW JERSEY
OCCURS AT 5:37 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:01 PM SATURDAY
EVENING. EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT ATLANTIC CITY... NEW JERSEY OCCURS
AT 5:49 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:10 PM SATURDAY
EVENING. EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE AROUND 7.0 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND BETWEEN 6.5 AROUND 7.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT CAPE MAY... NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
6:23 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:44 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING
AND 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEAN FRONT AT REHOBOTH BEACH... DELAWARE OCCURS
AT 6:05 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 6:14 PM SATURDAY
EVENING. EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY
MORNING AND 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BAY AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DELAWARE OCCURS AT
7:06 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN AT 7:21 PM SATURDAY EVENING.
EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHTS WILL BE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET SATURDAY MORNING
AND 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET SATURDAY EVENING.

HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS ADJACENT TO THE COAST OCCURS A COUPLE
OF HOURS LATER THAN HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016-021-132000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.100313T1200Z-100314T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
357 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING TO 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING TO 2 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG DELAWARE BAY AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 9:00 AND 10:00 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND
AGAIN BETWEEN 9:30 AND 10:30 PM SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
267 
WHUS41 KPHI 131858
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

DEZ002-140200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
KENT-
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
THE WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON DELAWARE BAY EARLY TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 9:30 AND 11 PM TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-140200-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0200Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
THE WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
OCEAN FRONTS AND ON THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 6:00 AND 7:30 PM THIS EVENING ON THE
NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS AND AN HOUR OR TWO LATE ON
LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NJZ012>014-020-026-027-140200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T0200Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
THE WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
6:31 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHT OF 8.0 TO 8.5
FEET.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS NEW JERSEY OCCURS
AT 6:01 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHT OF 7.0 TO 7.5
FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

NJZ017-018-PAZ070-071-140200-
/O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
THE WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON THE DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS TONIGHT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016-021-140200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-
158 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
THE WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE LOWER
DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS TONIGHT BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

RPW
971 
WHUS41 KPHI 132148
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
448 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

NJZ012>014-020-026-027-140200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T0200Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
448 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OCCURS AT
6:31 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHT OF 8.0 TO
8.5 FEET.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS NEW JERSEY OCCURS
AT 6:01 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED TIDE HEIGHT OF 7.0 TO
7.5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-140100-
/O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0100Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
448 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING AROUND THE UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 5:00 AND 7:00 PM THIS EVENING ON THE
UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ001-002-NJZ016>018-021-PAZ070-071-140600-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-CUMBERLAND-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
448 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE
LOWER DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS TONIGHT BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-140200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0200Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
448 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS AND ON THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 6:00 AND 7:30 PM THIS EVENING ON THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS AND AN HOUR OR TWO LATE ON LOWER
DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
278 
WHUS41 KPHI 140041
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-140145-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0100Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELED THE
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. 

TIDAL LEVELS HAVE DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR AGAIN WITH THE NEXT
HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING, THEREFORE A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

NJZ012>014-020-026-027-140400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T0400Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST.

HIGH TIDE ON RARITAN BAY AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED, HOWEVER, TIDE HEIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 8.0
FEET FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS NEW JERSEY HAS
ALREADY OCCURRED, HOWEVER, TIDE HEIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEAR OF 7.0 FEET FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR AGAIN
WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING, THEREFORE A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE
PREPARED FOR FLOODING OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY AROUND
THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS...THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

NJZ019-140800-
/O.EXA.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE
LOWER DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS TONIGHT BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR AGAIN
WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING, THEREFORE A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-140400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0400Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS AND ON THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING.

HIGH TIDE HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OR IS OCCURRING ON THE NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE OCEAN FRONTS AND WILL OCCUR IN AN HOUR OR TWO ON
LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR AGAIN
WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING, THEREFORE A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ001-002-NJZ016>018-021-PAZ070-071-140800-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-CUMBERLAND-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
741 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

THE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE
NEW JERSEY COAST SUNDAY. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND A GENERAL EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW. THE
WINDS AND RAIN COUPLED WITH A NEW MOON ON MONDAY WILL BRING
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES TO THE REGION. AT THIS TIME... MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING LOOKS LIKELY ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE
LOWER DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT.

HIGH TIDE OCCURS TONIGHT BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR AGAIN
WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING, THEREFORE A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
664 
WHUS41 KPHI 140410
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

NJZ012>014-020-026-027-141300-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100314T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0010.100314T1000Z-100314T1500Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

AS WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH, WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DROP TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER, THE WATER WILL LIKELY 
REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE, POSSIBLY LEADING TO
WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 7 AND 8 AM ON SUNDAY, WITH THE BACK BAYS
OCCURRING ONE TO TWO HOURS LATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-141300-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0010.100314T1000Z-100314T1500Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DROP TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST
AND LOWER DELAWARE BAY. HOWEVER, THE WATER WILL LIKELY REMAIN
ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE, POSSIBLY LEADING TO WIDESPREAD
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST AND LOWER
DELAWARE BAY IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM ON SUNDAY,
WITH THE BACK BAYS OCCURRING ONE TO TWO HOURS LATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ002-NJZ021-141300-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0010.100314T1000Z-100314T1500Z/
KENT-CUMBERLAND-
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DROP TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST.
HOWEVER, THE WATER WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT
HIGH TIDE, POSSIBLY LEADING TO WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.
HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM
ON SUNDAY, WITH THE BACK BAYS OCCURRING ONE TO TWO HOURS LATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-141300-
/O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.100314T0700Z-100314T1300Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY.

WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TONIGHT ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY. HOWEVER, THE WATER WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE
THEREFORE, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE CYCLE. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE BAY IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM ON SUNDAY, WITH THE BACK BAYS OCCURRING
ONE TO TWO HOURS LATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-140800-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100314T0800Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1110 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY.

WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TONIGHT ALONG THE UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
THEREFORE, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE. HIGH TIDE IS EITHER OCCURRING NOW, OR WILL OCCUR IN THE NEXT
ONE TO TWO HOURS.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR
AGAIN DURING THE DAY SUNDAY, THEREFORE ANOTHER COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Mar 12, 10:40 AM EST, 4 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 10:40 AM EST, 4 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1040 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MEANDER
AROUND THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING EAST. MEANWHILE, A
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWARD AND REACH THE DELMARVA PENINSULA LATE SATURDAY BEFORE
TRACKING OFFSHORE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD
SLIDE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY BEFORE A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM STARTS BUILDING TOWARD THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE FIRST WAVE OF RAIN CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY SLIDE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE CWA AT MID-MORNING. THE NAM/WRF SEEMS TO BE DOING A
BETTER JOB THUS FAR WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MEASURABLE RAIN
AS IT HAS A TIGHTER GRADIENT, WHICH IS MATCHING THE RADAR TRENDS.
THE FORECAST ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MIDLEVEL WAA IS NOT THAT STRONG
AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS AN INITIAL IMPULSE MOVES NORTH
THROUGH OUR CWA TODAY. THE MOIST ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH A
BUILDING HIGH NEAR FAR NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAS BEEN HOLDING THE
TEMPERATURES DOWN SO FAR. THIS TREND LOOKS TO CONTINUE, THEREFORE
WE LOWERED THE HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES FOR MOST LOCALES.
THE HOURLY TEMPERATURES WERE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE MUCH SLOWER
RISE THUS FAR THIS MORNING AND TO BLEND IN WITH THE ADJUSTED
HIGHS. BASED ON THE RAINFALL THUS FAR, WE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE QPF THROUGH TODAY. THE TREND OF THE POPS LOOK GOOD, WITH
LITTLE CHANGES NEEDED ATTM.

WHERE THE FOG WAS THICKER HAS IMPROVED BASED ON THE SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS, HOWEVER THERE STILL IS SOME LIGHTER FOG BEING
REPORTED GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER THAT
HAS TAKEN PLACE. THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PART
OF THE CWA DOES HAVE SOMEWHAT THICKER FOG, THEREFORE WE WILL
CONFINE THE FOG MENTION THERE FOR NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN ACTIVE PERIOD IS EXPECTED DURING THE BULK OF THIS TIME FRAME AS A
HEAVY RAIN EVENT LOOKS LIKELY TO MOVE THROUGH. WE ARE OFF TO AN
OMINOUS START AS THERE IS NOT MUCH UPRIGHT CONVECTION OVER THE
DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS. SOMETIMES THE
CONVECTION CAN STALL THE NORTHWARD PROGRESS OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION,
BUT NOT THE CASE THIS TIME. THE HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO FALL DURING
THE CALENDAR DAY ON SATURDAY. WE CONTINUE TO SEE THE FLOOD
POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND, THEREFORE THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE
CONTINUED.

AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA FROM
THE EXPANSIVE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MIDWESTERN CLOSED
LOW SYSTEM. WE ARE ALREADY SEEING PWAT VALUES EXCEEDING 200
PERCENT OF NORMAL STACKED FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTH THROUGH
FLORIDA.

THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL BE ENHANCED BY A STRONG EAST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET THAT WILL REACH FORECAST VALUES OF 70 TO
80 KNOTS ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. AS FOR FORCING, THAT RATHER
ROBUST LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELD WITHIN A WAA/MOISTURE ADVECTION
REGIME WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG VERTICAL VELOCITIES TO OVERSPREAD THE
ENTIRE AREA LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. THIS WILL
WORK IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST. AS HEIGHTS FALL AND THERE IS SOME DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT, THE VERTICAL VELOCITIES WILL RESPOND BY INCREASING. IN
ADDITION, A BELT OF STRONG FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IS FORECAST TO
MOVE AND INTENSIFY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS OUR CWA DURING
SATURDAY AS STRONG PVA ARRIVES IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE STRONGEST
WIND FIELD, WAA, MID LEVEL TROWAL AND MID LEVEL QVEC CONVERGENCE.
THIS ALL POINTS TO MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MARCHING ACROSS THE CWA.
THE FRONTOGENESIS FROM 850 MB TO 700 MB SUGGESTS THAT THERE MAY BE
BANDS OF HEAVIER RAIN ELEMENTS WITHIN A LARGER RAIN SHIELD. THIS
IS WHERE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL RATES WILL OCCUR.

THE STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD WILL ALLOW FOR BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS IS NOT
THE MOST CONFIDENT OF ADVISORIES AS THERE WILL OBVIOUSLY BE A
STRONGER PRECIPITATION AND MARINE INVERSION THAN WE HAD WITH OUR
WIND ADVISORY/HIGH WIND EVENT ON JANUARY 25TH. ON THE OTHER HAND,
THERE WILL BE A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHEASTERN NEW
ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TO ENHANCE THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. THIS INGREDIENT WAS MISSING DURING OUR LAST TWO WINTER
STORMS WHEN THE GUIDANCE FORECAST WIND SPEEDS WERE OVERDONE. SO AS
A FIRST START WE WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL STRIP
AND A FEW OTHER COUNTIES THAT HAVE NORTHEASTERN TO EASTERN
EXPOSURE ON THE BAYS. THE LLJ IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
NORTH, SO BEST CHANCES FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE IN OUR
NERN NJ CWA. THIS FCST 70 TO 80 KT LLJ WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR
ENTIRE CWA, BUT CONFIDENCE ABOUT PART OF THE WINDS MIXING DOWN
SUFFICIENTLY TO BREAK THROUGH THE INVERSION AND REACH ADVISORY
CRITERIA OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH ATTM TO
ISSUE ONE.

AS FAR AS THUNDER GOES, THERE IS LESS FORECAST UPRIGHT
INSTABILITY THAN THERE WAS WITH LAST NIGHT'S MODEL RUNS. ONCE
AGAIN OUR DELMARVA COUNTIES COULD BE CLOSE SATURDAY. GIVEN THE
LOWER PROBABILITY/CONFIDENCE OF THUNDER ATTM, WE DECIDED TO NOT
INCLUDE IT FOR NOW. AS THE LARGE CLOSED LOW MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA
DURING THE WEEKEND, THE STRONGEST LIFT AND WIND FIELD IS PUSHED TO
THE NORTH. THIS WILL TAKE THE PLUME OF STRONG MOISTURE
ADVECTION/LIFT AND SHOVE IT NORTHWARD. HOWEVER, THERE MAY BE SOME
COMMA HEAD RAIN WRAPPING BACK AROUND OUR CWA SATURDAY NIGHT AND
EVEN THROUGH SUNDAY. OVERALL, THE TREND OF LIGHTER RAINFALL IS
ANTICIPATED THE SECOND HALF OF SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SUNDAY AS THE RAIN TRANSITIONS TO SHOWERS. THE GFS IS THE ONLY
MODEL THAT MAKES IT COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT IN
OUR NWRN ZONES, MAINLY BECAUSE IT IS FASTER AND FARTHER SOUTH WITH
THE UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS. ATTM THIS IS AT ODDS WITH ALL OF THE
OTHER MODELS AND ITS OWN ENSEMBLE MEAN TEMPERATURES THAT ARE
WARMER, SO NO MENTION FOR NOW.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES, THERE COULD BE CHALLENGES WITH THIS GIVEN THE
STRONG WAA THAT WILL BE AIMED INTO OUR AREA FOR ESPECIALLY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE, A SURFACE HIGH UP ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL TRY
AND PUSH SOME COOLER AIR INTO OUR REGION. THE MOS GUIDANCE HAS
TRENDED AND REMAINED COOLER ACROSS A GOOD PART OF OUR CWA. DID NOT
WANT TO GO FULLY TOWARD THIS ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. AS
A RESULT, WE GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM MOS/CURRENT
TEMP FORECASTS AS A COMPROMISE FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS. WE DID
GO WITH A COOLER SOLUTION NORTHERN HALF.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HPC HAS GONE WITH A FORECAST THAT DEPENDS HEAVILY ON THE ECMWF EARLY
AND THAT INCORPORATES THE ECMWF ENSEMBLES LATE. THIS HAS THE
STACKING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT LIKELY WILL CAUSE US SOME PROBLEMS
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM SLOWLY EXITING OUR AREA IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT
TO MONDAY TIME FRAME. THE PRECIPITATION TYPE IN THE NORTHWEST AS
THIS SYSTEM EXITS STILL DOES NOT LOOK AS IF IT WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT
ISSUE.

AFTER THAT, IT APPEARS THAT WE WILL HAVE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE PUNCTUATED BY SOME DRY TROUGHS OR COLD FRONTS THANKS TO AN
EASTERN CANADIAN VORTEX AT MID LEVELS. IF THIS COMES TO PASS /AND
MODEL CONSENSUS IS FAIRLY GOOD/, WE EVENTUALLY WILL SEE SOME WELCOME
DRYING WITH TOLERABLE WINDS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL, ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE AS MILD AS THEY
HAVE BEEN RECENTLY.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS HAVE ARRIVED ACROSS THE AREA AS THE
FIRST BATCH OF RAIN SLIDES NORTHWARD. I AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH
IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS OR VSBYS TODAY AS THE E TO NE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE. MODELS ARE NOT REALLY SHOWING ANY SIGNAL ABOUT WHEN THE
RAIN WILL END /UNTIL SUNDAY NGT/...SO I WILL JUST CARRY RAIN ALL
DAY. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY PICK UP IN INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AND REMAIN UP OVERNIGHT FRI.
LLWS MAY BECOME AN ISSUE.

OUTLOOK...
WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN, LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG. VFR CONDITIONS BACK HOPEFULLY IN TIME FOR THE MON MORNING
RUSH.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS
LATE SAT NIGHT AND SUN MORNING. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING GRADIENT
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH GALES LOOKING MORE LIKELY. WE WILL
PROBABLY SEE THE GALE GUSTS WITHIN 24 HRS OF THE 4AM CWF
ISSUANCE...SO TO SIMPLIFY...A GALE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED NOW AND IT
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT NIGHT. SEAS INCREASE TO SCA CRITERIA THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN 7 TO 10 FT TONIGHT AND 10 TO 12 FT SAT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
PREDICTED RAINFALL, TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY, REMAINS PRETTY
MUCH THE SAME. A WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES LOOKS LIKELY ACROSS THE
HSA. HIGHER AMOUNTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

WITH THESE NUMBERS, BOTH SMALLER STREAMS AND LARGER RIVERS WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STREAMFLOW IS
ALREADY RUNNING HIGH ACROSS SE PA, SO THEY DON'T NEED THE
SNOWMELT TO FLOOD. ON THE OTHER HAND, RIVERS LIKE THE DELAWARE
WILL NEED THE SNOWMELT TO FLOOD, AND IN THIS CASE, IT APPEARS A
PORTION OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE HEADWATER SNOWPACK,
WHICH IS THREE TIMES NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

SO IN VERY GENERAL TERMS, 1 TO 2 INCHES OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING ACROSS THE SMALLER STREAMS, CREEKS AND RIVERS
ACROSS THE PASSAIC, RARITAN, AND DELAWARE BASINS, WITH LITTLE OR NO
FLOODING ALONG THE MAINSTEM RIVERS /LEHIGH, SCHUYLKILL, DELAWARE/.

2.0 TO 3.5 INCHES WOULD CAUSE MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THESE SAME
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS, WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG
THE MAINSTEM RIVERS, ESPECIALLY THE SCHUYLKILL.

3.5 TO 5.0 INCHES OF RAINFALL, BOTH LOCALLY AND OVER THE EXISTING
SNOWPACK IN THE NORTH, WOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING,
WITH MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE MAINSTEM DELAWARE. A SMATTERING OF
MAJOR FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER.

THE LEHIGH VALLEY HAS BEEN A BIT DRIER OVER THE LAST 30, 60, AND
90 DAYS, AND FOR THIS REASON CAN TOLERATE A LITTLE MORE WATER THAN
ADJACENT BASINS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE LATEST ECS GUIDANCE IS SHOWING 3.0 TO 4.0 DEPARTURES ACROSS THE
COAST SAT-SUN. THE GFS MODEL (THE BASIS FOR THIS GUIDANCE) IS NOT
THE PREFERRED CHOICE (NOW) WITH THE UPCOMING SYSTEM. A LOCAL SCHEME
SHOWS DEPARTURES JUST UNDER 2.0 FT AT LEWES, DE  ON SAT MORNING.
THIS WOULD PUT THE COASTAL AREAS IN THE LOW END OF MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING SAT-SUN. THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME TIME STILL, SINCE THE
PEAK DEPARTURES WILL BE LATER SAT (PERHAPS DURING THE LOW TIDE). WE
WILL BRIEF THE AM SHIFT REGARDING THE TIDAL ISSUES IN CASE ANY FLAGS
ARE NEEDED LATER. THE WORDING IN HWO WILL BE REFRESHED TOO.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NJZ021>025.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
     020-026-027.
DE...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR DEZ001>004.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
MD...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI
NEAR TERM...GIGI/GORSE
SHORT TERM...GIGI/GORSE
LONG TERM...DELISI
AVIATION...O'HARA
MARINE...O'HARA
HYDROLOGY...KRUZDLO
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...O'HARA
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 3:18 AM EST, 12 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
318 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-015>019-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-131100-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
318 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NJZ012>014-020-026-027-131100-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
318 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION, WIDESPREAD MINOR AND LOCALLY MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
MAY OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH BEACH EROSION. THE GREATEST
TIDAL DEPARTURES SHOULD BE IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE.
PLEASE LOOK FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE ADVISORIES OR
WARNINGS LATER TODAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>025-131100-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
318 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION, WIDESPREAD MINOR AND LOCALLY MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
MAY OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH BEACH EROSION. PLEASE LOOK
FOR FURTHER UPDATES LATER TODAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-131100-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
318 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TODAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

TFG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 2:35 AM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more46 hr
Mar 12, 3:23 AM ESTGale WarningPHI36 hr
Mar 12, 3:23 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 1 more41 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2010Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2010Every coastal flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.