Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Omaha, NE
NWS Omaha, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 12, 2010, 8:44 PM CDT for Douglas County, Sarpy County, Nebraska. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 12, 2010, 8:44 PM CDT (01:44 UTC)
- Expired
- May 12, 2010, 9:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 31 min
- Issued by
- NWS Omaha, NE
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 50.0 mph
Counties Douglas County, NE, Sarpy County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2865 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 474 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 315 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 315 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 20.7
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 12, 2:30 PM CDT, 6 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 12, 2:30 PM CDT, 6 hours 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 230 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 .DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM...TONIGHT. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN TONIGHT LIES IN PRECIP/TSRA POTENTIAL. SUBJECTIVE 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES UPPER LOW CENTERED IN SRN WY/NWRN CO...WITH 500MB HEIGHT FALLS TO ITS SOUTH AS IT DIGS. 850MB LOW WAS ANALYZED IN WRN KS...WITH DISTINCT WARM FRONT EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS NERN KS/EXTREME SERN NEB INTO CNTRL IA. WARM/MOIST SECTOR WAS IN PLACE TO ITS SOUTH...WITH 850MB DEWPOINT OF 16C AT KTOP. MEANWHILE...SUB-0C 850MB TEMPS HAD WRAPPED INTO WRN NEB...WITH SNOW OBSERVED TODAY. QUESTION FOR TONIGHT IS HOW FAR NORTH CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP...WITH ATTENDANT THREAT FOR LOW-END SEVERE TSRA AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN. 850MB WARM SECTOR HAS REACHED NEAR THE I-80 CORRIDOR PER RUC ANALYSIS AND PROFILER WINDS...AND THERE IS SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR...WITH MUCAPE AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG. ELEVATED STORMS COULD SLIP INTO THE SRN CWA THIS AFTN/EVNG...AND WOULD CARRY A HAIL THREAT. BELIEVE SFC WARM SECTOR WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE CWA THOUGH...ALONG WITH STRONGER STORMS AND HIGHER HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. HAVE TAPERED POPS DOWN IN THE NWRN CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SFC/MID-LEVEL LOW PUSHES THROUGH...LEAVING JUST A SLIGHT SHOWER POTENTIAL IN ITS WAKE. HAVE ALSO BOOSTED POPS OVERNIGHT IN THE SERN/ERN CWA AS SFC LOW PROGRESSES FROM NERN KS INTO IA. MAYES MID TERM...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A COUPLE OF DRY DAYS ARE IN STORE WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES. UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE DAKOTAS EARLY THURSDAY WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. COULD STILL BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN IOWA OR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA THURSDAY MORNING THOUGH...BUT DRY THEREAFTER. TEMPS THURSDAY STILL A LITTLE ON THE COOL SIDE...UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S...BUT WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S/NEAR 70 BY FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT WAVE THAT MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND. DEWALD LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHORT WAVE RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL GIVE WAY TO A TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE GFS BRING IN PRECIP CHANCES ABOUT 12 HOURS QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF WITHIN THE WAA PATTERN AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR A SLIGHTLY SLOWER EASTWARD ADVANCE COMPROMISING BETWEEN THE TWO. HAVE 30/40 PERCENT POPS IN THERE NOW SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE WAVE MOVES THROUGH. SEEMS TO BE BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT DURING THIS TIME...AND MAY EVEN CONSIDER BOOSTING TO 40/50 PERCENT IN LATER FORECAST PACKAGES IF MODEL CONTINUITY HOLDS OUT. ALSO FEEL THAT THE BULK OF THE ENERGY/PRECIP SHOULD BE PAST THE AREA BY DAYBRAEK MONDAY...BUT THIS MAY NEED ADJUSTMENT LATER ON IF THE SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN. SHORTWAVE RIDGING BY MONDAY SHOULD YIELD AT LEAST A COUPLE OF DRY DAYS THROUGH TUESDAY... BUT WILL BRING BACK THE NEXT CHANCE FOR STORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT WEAK TROUGH MOVES OFF THE ROCKIES. DURING THIS TIME...WE SHOULD ALSO RESTABLISH WARMER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH HIGHS EVENTUALLY REACHING THE MID/UPPER 70S BY TUE/WED OF NEXT WEEK. DEWALD && .AVIATION... TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK 18Z TAFS MAINLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THIS AFTN. CONDITIONS COULD DETERIORATE TO LIFR LATER TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT KOFK/KOMA WHERE STRATUS AND SHOWERS HAVE BEEN MORE PERSISTENT THROUGH THE DAY. KEPT RAIN MENTION FOR A LONG DURATION AT TAF SITES...THOUGH IT WILL BE INTERMITTENT AND GENERALLY LIGHT. DID KEEP THUNDER MENTION OUT FOR NOW AS HIGHEST CHANCE OF TSRA IS SOUTH OF ALL TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BACK AROUND FROM EAST/NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHWEST BY MORNING...AND CIGS WILL LIFT TO AT LEAST MVFR BY THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE AS UPPER LOW PULLS AWAY. MAYES && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 7:56 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 756 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ015-032>034-042>045-050>053- 065>068-078-088>093-131500- MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT- PAGE-THURSTON-STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON- BUTLER-SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE- JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON- 756 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD IN ADDITION TO HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN TEXAS WITH A WARM FRONT INTO NORTHEAST KANSAS WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT. IN ADDITION...WAVES OF ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL LOW OVER WYOMING AND THE DAKOTAS...WILL ADD EXTRA SUPPORT FOR STORMS OVERNIGHT. THE BEST SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...HOWEVER...ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT STRONGER STORMS WITH HAIL. THE STORMS MOTIONS ARE FAST...25 TO 30 MPH...HOWEVER DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE AVAILABILITY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESSDAY THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLIGHT...FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE WEATHER SITUATION THIS EVENING AND REPORT ANY HAIL THAT FALLS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NEZ011-012-016>018-030-031-131500- KNOX-CEDAR-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON- 756 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. ZAPOTOCNY
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 12, 7:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, May 12, 7:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
724 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM HAIL 3 SW FAIRBURY 40.11N 97.22W
05/12/2010 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON NE EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
CZAPOTOCLocal storm report, May 12, 7:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
732 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0705 PM HAIL CRETE 40.63N 96.96W
05/12/2010 E0.75 INCH SALINE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
CZAPOTOCSpecial weather statement, May 12, 7:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 737 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 NEZ066-130115- LANCASTER NE- 737 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR LANCASTER COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT... AT 735 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AROUND 5 TO 10 MILES WEST OF LINCOLN...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS MAY OCCUR WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... LINCOLN... MALCOLM... BRANCHED OAK STATE RECREATION AREA... RAYMOND... DAVEY... MILLER
Special weather statement, May 12, 8:30 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 830 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 NEZ044-130215- DODGE NE- 830 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR DODGE COUNTY UNTIL 915 PM CDT... AT 830 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NORTH BEND...OR 27 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE HAIL RANGING FROM PEA SIZE UP TO DIME SIZE AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS DODGE COUNTY. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... NORTH BEND... SNYDER... SCRIBNER... UEHLING... MILLER
Special weather statement, May 12, 8:36 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 836 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 NEZ045-052-053-130215- DOUGLAS NE-SARPY NE-WASHINGTON NE- 836 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...SARPY AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT... AT 832 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GRETNA...OR 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OMAHA... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES MAY OCCUR WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... OMAHA... MILLARD... WATERLOO... PAPILLION... ELKHORN... LA VISTA... OFFUTT AFB... RALSTON... BELLEVUE... COUNCIL BLUFFS... KENNARD... CHALCO... BOYS TOWN... WASHINGTON... BENNINGTON... MILLER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster, Seward | 25 min |
| May 12, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline, Seward | 38 min |
| May 12, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster, Saunders | 24 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.