Alert archive / Minnesota / Excessive Heat Warnings in 2010

Excessive Heat Warning 2, NWS Twin Cities, MN

August 9, 2010Hennepin County, Ramsey County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this excessive heat warning at Aug 9, 2010, 4:22 AM CDT for Hennepin County, Ramsey County, Minnesota. It took effect at Aug 9, 2010, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2010, 4:22 AM CDT (09:22 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 9, 2010, 12:00 PM CDT
Expired
Aug 9, 2010, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN

Counties Hennepin County, MN, Ramsey County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2772 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2772 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1280 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

687 
WWUS73 KMPX 090922
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
422 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR HENNEPIN AND RAMSEY COUNTIES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING... 
...HEAT ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND ADJOINING
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HENNEPIN AND RAMSEY
COUNTIES FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...WITH A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND ADJOINING PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. EXPECTED HIGHS INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
90S...COMBINED WITH OPPRESSIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN HEAT
INDICES ACROSS THE WARNING AND ADVISORY AROUND 100 DEGREES BY THE
AFTERNOON. 

MNZ060-062-091730-
/O.NEW.KMPX.EH.W.0002.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
HENNEPIN-RAMSEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MINNEAPOLIS...ST. PAUL
422 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO
  MIDDLE 70S.

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT INDICES
  AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS
SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF
FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...
AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

MNZ059-061-063>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ024-091730-
/O.NEW.KMPX.HT.Y.0003.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
WRIGHT-ANOKA-WASHINGTON-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-
CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-
WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...BLAINE...STILLWATER...
GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...
SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...
LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...
OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...RIVER FALLS...
PRESCOTT
422 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO
  MIDDLE 70S.

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT INDICES
  AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
426 
WWUS73 KMPX 090936
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
436 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...EXCESSIVELY HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY EXPECTED TODAY...

.AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HENNEPIN AND
RAMSEY COUNTIES FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...WITH A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND ADJOINING PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. EXPECTED HIGHS INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
90S...COMBINED WITH OPPRESSIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN
HEAT INDICES ACROSS THE WARNING AND ADVISORY AROUND 100 DEGREES
BY THE AFTERNOON.

MNZ060-062-091745-
/O.CON.KMPX.EH.W.0002.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
HENNEPIN-RAMSEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MINNEAPOLIS...ST. PAUL
436 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 
  TO MIDDLE 70S. 

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT 
  INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS
SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF
FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...
AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

MNZ059-061-063>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ024-091745-
/O.CON.KMPX.HT.Y.0003.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
WRIGHT-ANOKA-WASHINGTON-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-
CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-
WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...BLAINE...STILLWATER...
GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...
SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...
LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...
OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...RIVER FALLS...
PRESCOTT
436 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 
  TO MIDDLE 70S. 

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT 
  INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$
559 
WWUS73 KMPX 091551
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1051 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...

.AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HENNEPIN AND
RAMSEY COUNTIES FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...WITH A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND ADJOINING PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH INDICES APPROACHING
OR EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES BETWEEN 3 AND 6 PM.

MNZ060-062-100100-
/O.CON.KMPX.EH.W.0002.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
HENNEPIN-RAMSEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MINNEAPOLIS...ST. PAUL
1051 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 
  TO MIDDLE 70S. 

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT 
  INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING MEANS THAT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
DANGEROUSLY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A DANGEROUS
SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY. DRINK PLENTY OF
FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...
AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

MNZ059-061-063>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ024-100100-
/O.CON.KMPX.HT.Y.0003.100809T1700Z-100810T0100Z/
WRIGHT-ANOKA-WASHINGTON-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-
CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-
WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...BLAINE...STILLWATER...
GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD...CHASKA...
SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...
LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...
OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...RIVER FALLS...
PRESCOTT
1051 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE 
  LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S...WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 
  TO MIDDLE 70S. 

* IMPACTS...AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY...HEAT 
  INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

JLT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this excessive heat warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this excessive heat warning went out at Aug 9, 4:05 AM CDT, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 4:05 AM CDT, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
405 AM CDT MON AUG 9 2010

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERAL ISSUES TO DEAL WITH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. FIRST WILL BE HEAT
ISSUES TODAY...AND THE NEED FOR EXCESSIVE HEAT PRODUCTS. NEXT ON THE
DOCKET ARE THUNDER CHANCES AND SEVERE POTENTIAL FROM LATE MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT TIME FRAME THAT IS LOOKING ACTIVE
AGAIN WILL BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY WHAT WILL
HOPEFULLY BE A MUCH COMFORTABLE WEEKEND WEATHERWISE NEXT WEEKEND.

CURRENT ANALYSIS SHOWS MCS FROM OVERNIGHT THAT MOVED ACROSS IOWA IS
NOW MOVING INTO CHICAGOLAND. IN ITS WAKE...SHORTWAVE RIDGING/MID
LEVEL DRYING IS AGAIN WORKING INTO THE AREA. THOUGH A WEAK SHORTWAVE
UP NEAR LAKE MANITOBA HAS GENERATED A FEW STORMS OVERNIGHT IN
NODAK...THOUGH THIS ACTIVITY WILL STAY WELL NORTH OF THE MPX CWA.
OTHER UPPER AIR FEATURE OF NOTE IS THE PERSISTENT WEAK TROUGH OVER
THE WRN CONUS. WEAK LOW/SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY SPINNING NEAR LAS VEGAS
WILL BE THE IMPETUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AT THE SFC...RATHER DIFFUSE
PRESSURE PATTERN IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST...WITH WHAT IS LEFT OF A WARM/STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS
FROM A WEAK LOW OVER SE NEBRASKA...NE TO NEAR LA CROSSE.

OBVIOUSLY BIG ISSUE FOR TODAY WILL BE THE HEAT. SUBSIDENCE THANKS TO
SHORT WAVE RIDGING MOVING THROUGH LOOKS TO RESULT IN A MAINLY SUNNY
DAY...ONCE CLOUD COVER FROM THE MCS THAT PASSED SOUTH CLEARS.
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...H85 TEMPS WILL STILL BE IN THE 22-25C
RANGE...WHICH PRODUCED WIDESPREAD LOWER/MIDDLE 90 HIGHS YESTERDAY. WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE AIRMASS EXPECTED FOR TODAY...EXPECTING A
REPEAT WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES TOPPING OUT AROUND THE 100 DEGREE MARK. HAVE DECIDED
TO ISSUE AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR HENNEPIN/RAMSEY
COUNTIES...WITH AN ADVISORY FOR SRN HALF OF MN PORTION OF CWA.
HERE IS THE REASONING BEHIND THIS...YESTERDAY MSP HAD A LOW OF
75...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES OVER 100. AS OF WRITING
THIS...THE LOW AT MSP HAS ONLY BEEN 77 THIS MORNING...AND ONCE
AGAIN HEAT INDICES WILL BE MAKING A RUN AT 100. THROW ON TOP OF
THIS THE SYNOPTIC HEAT-WATCH WARNING NETWORK SHOWING THE NEED FOR
A HEAT WARNING IN THE TWIN CITIES AND DECIDED ENOUGH WAS THERE TO
WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING...WITH
ADVISORIES SURROUNDING IT IN AREAS WHERE MAX APPARENT TEMPS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO TOP OUT NEAR 100.

NOW FOR PRECIP POTENTIAL LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. DURING THE DAY
TODAY...SREF KEEPS THE FRONT MENTIONED EARLIER DOWN ACROSS
IOWA...WITH LLJ AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASING ACROSS THE WRN
DAKOTAS AS HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THAT AREA THANKS TO WAVE
CURRENTLY OVER NEVADA HEADING NE. THIS SHOULD CONCENTRATE ACTIVITY
TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY...THOUGH THERE IS
AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THE I-90 CORRIDOR COULD SEE SOME ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN ACTIVITY LOOKS TO COME IN LATE TONIGHT...AS
THETA-E ADVECTION AND LLJ RETURN TO SW MN...THOUGH LIKELY NOT MUCH
UNTIL AFTER 06Z TUESDAY. DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...20-25 KT LLJ
WILL FIND ITS WAY OVER THE AREA AS SHORT WAVE AXIS MOVES FROM THE
DAKOTAS INTO NRN MN DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS LOOKS TO
SEND ANOTHER WARM FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. AT THE MOMENT THIS IS
LOOKING LIKE A RATHER PROLONGED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM EVENT WITH
QUESTIONS AS TO THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. BIG PROBLEM FOR SEVERE
WEATHER IS THAT CLOUD COVER/RAINFALL LOOKS TO REMAIN EXTENSIVE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...SEVERELY LIMITING DIABATIC
HEATING/INSTABILITY POTENTIAL. WITH THAT SAID...WITH DEWPOINTS
LIKELY BACK UP IN THE MID/UPPER 70S...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
HEATING TO DEVELOP SOME INSTABILITY...AS EVIDENCED BY THE
1000-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE ON THE ECMWF. OTHER PROBLEM WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE LACK OF SHEAR...NOT ONLY WILL THE LLJ BE WEAKER
TUESDAY...BUT THE MID AND UPPER JETS DO NOT LOOK TO BE AS STRONG
AS WELL...WHICH RESULTS IN LIMITED SHEAR /0-6KM AROUND 20 KTS/.
BIGGER PROBLEM TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL...AS
BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SEND PWATS BACK OVER THE 2 INCH MARK. BOTTOM
LINE...HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS
ACTIVITY...THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A FEW OF THE STRONGER
STORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG DOWNBURSTS/WIND GUSTS GIVEN
AMOUNT OF PRECIP LOADING EXPECTED.

GOING FORWARD...WITH SOME SORT OF UPPER RIDGING IN PLACE GOING INTO
WEDNESDAY...FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR THE AREA...WITH RAIN LIKELY
LINGERING ACROSS WI CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY...LIKELY GIVING
US ONE DAY TO DRY OUT...BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES THURSDAY
NIGHT. FOR THIS SYSTEM...A DEEP UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES...WITH A SHORT WAVE ROTATING AROUND THIS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...GOING FROM THE DAKOTAS ACROSS NRN MN. THIS
WILL HELP DRIVE YET ANOTHER FRONT AND LLJ ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHEAR/INSTABILITY FORECASTS ON THE
ECMWF A BIT STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO AGAIN A SEVERE THREAT
WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED. THE GOOD NEWS FOR THOSE GROWING TIRED OF
THE HEAT IS THAT THIS FRONT GOING THROUGH FRIDAY LOOKS TO FINALLY
BRING A BIT OF DRIER/COOLER AIR WITH IT...PUTTING AN END TO THE
HEAT WAVE WE CURRENTLY FIND OURSELVES IN.

&&

.AVIATION.../00Z TAF ISSUANCE/

IMMEDIATE CONCERN WILL BE THE CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO
THE THE TERMINALS AND STORM INTENSITY CHANGES. SHORT WAVE IN SOUTH
DAKOTA MOVING INTO SW MN AT THE MOMENT AND WILL MARCH ALONG THE
MN/IA BORDER THIS EVENING. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND HEAT COUPLED WITH
NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES HAVE LED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME STORMS SEVERE.

EXPECT STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE NEAR THE MN/IA BORDER
WITH SOME ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE IN THIS AREA AS WELL AS IN
THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA EAST INTO WESTERN WI. EXPECT THE
SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE FROM RWF TO STC AND EAST
THROUGH 04Z...AFT 04Z MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED FROM
RNH TO EAU AND THAT ACTIVITY WILL BE OUT OF THERE AFTER 07Z. SOME SHRA
ACTIVITY MAY BE NOTED AT AXN AFTER 03Z.

STRATUS/FOG LEFT IN WAKE OF SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
BUT NOT TO THE DEGREE AS LAST NIGHT DUE TO EXTENSIVE MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS. THESE CLOUDS WILL BEGIN MOVING EAST BY 10Z IN THE WESTERN
TAF SITES AND AS A RESULT HAVE LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO AROUND
2-3SM AFTER 09Z. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL
HOLD OVER MSP-RNH-EAU TERMINALS AND DO NOT EXPECT VISIBILITIES TO
DROP BELOW 4SM DUE TO FOG...MAY NOT EVEN GET THAT LOW.

KMSP...CONFIDENCE HIGH THAT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TSRA CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS WILL GUST UP
TO 40KTS IN THE VICINITY BUT PROBABLY NOT RIGHT AT THE TERMINAL.
GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT AFT 0130Z NOT MORE STRONG GUSTS. TSRA WILL
BE OUT OF HERE AFTER 0130Z AND SHRA WILL BE NOTED UNTIL AROUND
07Z. SOME PATCHY FOG BUT NO LIMIT TO VISIBILITY DUE TO LOCATION OF
AIRPORT. MONDAY WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ANOKA-
     BLUE EARTH-BROWN-CARVER-DAKOTA-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-
     LE SUEUR-MARTIN-MCLEOD-NICOLLET-REDWOOD-RENVILLE-RICE-SCOTT-
     SIBLEY-STEELE-WASECA-WASHINGTON-WATONWAN-WRIGHT-YELLOW
     MEDICINE.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR HENNEPIN-RAMSEY.

WI...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     PIERCE.

&&

MPG/JPR
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 8, 10:51 PM CDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1051 PM CDT SUN AUG 8 2010

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
091100-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1051 PM CDT SUN AUG 8 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN DURING THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AND END BY EARLY MORNING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
IS POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA EACH DAY.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIMITED...THE BEST
POTENTIAL OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES AND ESPECIALLY HIGH MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO HEAT IN INDICES NEAR OF POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES
DURING SOME OF DAYS THIS WEEK. ON MONDAY...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
100 DEGREE HEAT INDICES...INCLUDING IN THE TWIN CITIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 8, 10:58 PM CDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1058 PM CDT SUN AUG 08 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE RIVER FALLS        44.84N 92.60W
08/08/2010                   PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            18 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

&&

DEVINNY
Local storm report, Aug 8, 10:59 PM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1059 PM CDT SUN AUG 08 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 NW BUFFALO            45.19N 93.89W
08/08/2010                   WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MONTROSE                45.07N 93.91W
08/08/2010                   WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAS GONE UP AND DOWN.

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAPLE GROVE             45.11N 93.46W
08/08/2010                   HENNEPIN           MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREE DAMAGE INCLUDING 2 TO 4 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN
            AND A FEW 6 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN. DAMAGE
            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATES 494 AND 694.

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHAMPLIN                45.17N 93.39W
08/08/2010  M0.95 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN ENDED/MEASURED 0.95 IN 40 MINS.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BAYPORT                 45.02N 92.78W
08/08/2010                   WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN.

0706 PM     HAIL             OAKDALE                 44.99N 92.97W
08/08/2010  M0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0708 PM     TSTM WND GST     AFTON                   44.90N 92.82W
08/08/2010  M62.00 MPH       WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0726 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 W RIVER FALLS         44.86N 92.74W
08/08/2010                   PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DESCENDED AND ROSE AGAIN.

0737 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE RIVER FALLS        44.84N 92.60W
08/08/2010                   PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            18 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

0819 PM     HEAVY RAIN       RIVER FALLS             44.86N 92.62W
08/08/2010  M0.94 INCH       PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PCPN FELL IN 37 MINUTES.

&&

DEVINNY
Local storm report, Aug 9, 12:14 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1214 AM CDT MON AUG 09 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     TORNADO          3 W EVANSVILLE          46.01N 95.75W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   NWS STORM SURVEY

            AN NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY FROM THE OFFICE IN GRAND FORKS
            DETERMINED THAT AN EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN GRANT
            COUNTY AND PRODUCED INTERMITTENT DAMAGE EASTWARD INTO
            DOUGLAS COUNTY. DAMAGE IN DOUGLAS COUNTY WAS TREE DAMAGE.
            TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS ABOUT 19 MILES...APPROXIMATELY
            THREE AND A HALF MILES IN DOUGLAS COUNTY. TIME AND
            LOCATION ARE ESTIMATES OF WHEN THE TORNADO CROSSED INTO
            DOUGLAS COUNTY.

&&

MTF
Local storm report, Aug 9, 12:17 AM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1217 AM CDT MON AUG 09 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 ENE BERTHA            46.27N 95.04W
08/07/2010                   TODD               MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0803 PM     HAIL             4 NW LASTRUP            46.08N 94.12W
08/07/2010  M1.00 INCH       MORRISON           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0803 PM     TORNADO          3 W EVANSVILLE          46.01N 95.75W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   NWS STORM SURVEY

            AN NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY FROM THE OFFICE IN GRAND FORKS
            DETERMINED THAT AN EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN GRANT
            COUNTY AND PRODUCED INTERMITTENT DAMAGE EASTWARD INTO
            DOUGLAS COUNTY. DAMAGE IN DOUGLAS COUNTY WAS TREE DAMAGE.
            TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS ABOUT 19 MILES...APPROXIMATELY
            THREE AND A HALF MILES IN DOUGLAS COUNTY. TIME AND
            LOCATION ARE ESTIMATES OF WHEN THE TORNADO CROSSED INTO
            DOUGLAS COUNTY.

0812 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EVANSVILLE              46.01N 95.68W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MOST OF THE CITY LOST POWER.

0812 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 SW BERTHA             46.21N 95.14W
08/07/2010                   TODD               MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NEAR COUNTY RD 22 AND COUNTY RD 1

0817 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N BRANDON             46.01N 95.60W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0820 PM     HAIL             1 E BRANDON             45.97N 95.58W
08/07/2010  M1.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0823 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     13 N ALEXANDRIA         46.06N 95.38W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED OVER NORTH END OF LAKE MILTONA.

0823 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 NW ALEXANDRIA         45.93N 95.45W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            OCCURRED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MILTONA.

0826 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     7 W ALEXANDRIA          45.87N 95.52W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0837 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     ALEXANDRIA              45.87N 95.38W
08/07/2010                   DOUGLAS            MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OCCURRED IN NORTHERN PORTION OF CITY.

0841 PM     HAIL             GARFIELD                45.94N 95.49W
08/07/2010  M1.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0846 PM     TSTM WND GST     CARLOS                  45.97N 95.29W
08/07/2010  E70.00 MPH       DOUGLAS            MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0903 PM     HAIL             4 NW LASTRUP            46.08N 94.12W
08/07/2010  M1.00 INCH       MORRISON           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 PM     TSTM WND GST     LASTRUP                 46.04N 94.06W
08/07/2010  M59.00 MPH       MORRISON           MN   MESONET

            OCCURRED AT MILE POST 140.

1023 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ST JOSEPH               45.57N 94.32W
08/07/2010                   STEARNS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            15 INCH DIAMETER HEALTHY TREE PULLED OUT BY ROOTS. ALSO
            NOTED 3/4 INCH HAIL AS WELL.

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILACA                  45.76N 93.65W
08/07/2010                   MILLE LACS         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PATIO AWNING BLOWN AWAY. PORT-A-POTTIES BLOWN OVER. TWO
            TO THREE INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB TWENTY INCHES LONG
            SEVERED. PART OF NORTHERN PORTION OF CITY LOST POWER.

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E LUCK                45.58N 92.34W
08/08/2010                   POLK               WI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3 HOMES DAMAGED IN BONE LAKE TOWNSHIP. ALSO 1 PERSON
            INJURED DO TO FLYING GLASS REQUIRING SEVERAL STITCHES.

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CUMBERLAND              45.54N 92.02W
08/08/2010                   BARRON             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN CUMBERLAND...ALONG WITH THE
            NORTHERN HALF OF BARRON COUNTY.

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E LUCK                45.57N 92.35W
08/08/2010                   POLK               WI   PUBLIC

            OUT BUILDINGS DOWN. SIDING AND WINDOWS OFF HOUSE. THIS
            LOCATION WAS IN ABOUT THE MIDDLE OF A ONE HALF MILE LONG
            AND 100 YARD WIDE PATH OF SCATTERED DAMAGE. OTHER DAMAGE
            INCLUDED A SNOWMOBILE TRAILER BLOWN INTO A TREE.

0130 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FOREST LAKE             45.28N 92.99W
08/08/2010                   WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIME ESTIMATED. SEVEN INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCH SEVERED.

&&

MTF
Local storm report, Aug 9, 12:18 AM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1218 AM CDT MON AUG 09 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 NW BUFFALO            45.19N 93.89W
08/08/2010                   WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MONTROSE                45.07N 93.91W
08/08/2010                   WRIGHT             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAS GONE UP AND DOWN.

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAPLE GROVE             45.11N 93.46W
08/08/2010                   HENNEPIN           MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREE DAMAGE INCLUDING 2 TO 4 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN
            AND A FEW 6 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN. DAMAGE
            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATES 494 AND 694.

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHAMPLIN                45.17N 93.39W
08/08/2010  M0.95 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN ENDED/MEASURED 0.95 IN 40 MINS.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BAYPORT                 45.02N 92.78W
08/08/2010                   WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN.

0706 PM     HAIL             OAKDALE                 44.99N 92.97W
08/08/2010  M0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0708 PM     TSTM WND GST     AFTON                   44.90N 92.82W
08/08/2010  M62.00 MPH       WASHINGTON         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0726 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 W RIVER FALLS         44.86N 92.74W
08/08/2010                   PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DESCENDED AND ROSE AGAIN.

0737 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE RIVER FALLS        44.84N 92.60W
08/08/2010                   PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            18 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN.

0819 PM     HEAVY RAIN       RIVER FALLS             44.86N 92.62W
08/08/2010  M0.94 INCH       PIERCE             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PCPN FELL IN 37 MINUTES.

&&

MTF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 9:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXFaribault, Martin94 min
Aug 9, 4:22 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryMPXAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Dakota, Faribault and 17 more16 hr

Nearby

Excessive Heat Warnings in Minnesota, 2010Every excessive heat warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.