Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Mobile, AL

283 
WWUS54 KMOB 192302
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
602 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

ALC023-192312-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-100619T2315Z/
CHOCTAW AL-
602 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CHOCTAW COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS.

LAT...LON 3189 8814 3190 8847 3222 8843 3219 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 004DEG 8KT 3204 8830

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
236 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)STRONG...POSSIBLY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING WHEN NEW FORECAST IS ISSUED BUT
EXPECT THESE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR
MOST OF AREA UNTIL 6 PM BUT AREAS THAT SEE RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON...WILL GET SOME EARLY RELIEF. MAY NEED ANOTHER HEAT
ADVISORY FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGHER TEMPERATURES FORECAST...SLIGHTLY
LOWER DEW POINTS OVER THE INLAND AREAS MAY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A
SUNDAY HEAT ADVISORY ALL BUT THE COASTAL ZONES.  WARM AND HUMID
OVERNIGHT WITH SOME LIGHT FOG IN THE RAIN AREAS. LESS CONVECTION
EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ARRIVING FROM THE NORTH
AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST ACROSS TENNESSEE. EXPECT SOME SEA
BREEZE INTERACTION ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON. SHORT
RANGE MODELS SHOW A BOUNDARY...POSSIBLY A LEFT OVER OUTFLOW WITH
NORTH WINDS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTHERLY OVER THE COAST ON MONDAY
DRIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH DURING THE DAY. A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW
ALOFT AROUND AN UPPER HIGH AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES(2+
INCHES) WILL KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST...MAINLY LATE MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING BOTH MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. /11

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)SUMMER PATTERN CONTINUES
THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH MAINLY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS MOSTLY 90 TO 95 AND LOWS
IN THE MIDDLE 70S. /11

&&

.AVIATION...[18Z ISSUANCE]...EXPECT CB'S AND TSRA TO DEVELOP THROUGH
01Z AS THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE. STRONG CROSSWINDS AND
AN INCREASED RISK FOR DANGEROUS DOWNDRAFTS WITH LOCALIZED 30 TO 40
KNOT WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE IN AND VERY NEAR CONVECTION. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING IN CLOUD...CLOUD TO GROUND AND VISIBILITY REDUCING HEAVY
RAINS ALSO A THREAT. MAYBE SOME LINGERING CB AFT 00Z. AWAY FROM
TSRA...VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED. /10

&&

.MARINE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE DEEP
SOUTH AND COASTAL WATERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SUGGESTS A
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW SETTING UP DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO MORNING HOURS. THEN...A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS DURING THE
DAY AS A WEAK COASTAL TROF SETS UP DUE TO HEATING OF THE LAND.
SEAS CHANGE LITTLE...AVERAGING NEAR A FOOT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.
NEXT WEEK...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
THE SOUTHEAST WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND EXPANDING WESTWARD INTO
THE AREA...RESULTING IN A SOUTHEAST TO EAST FLOW. SEAS BUILDING A
BIT AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEW WEEK...WITH 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE BY TUE
THRU THU DUE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST FETCH. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A LITTLE DRIER OVER THE INTERIOR ZONES ON SUNDAY BUT
A WAYS FROM NEEDING ANY FIRE WATCH CONCERNS. WINDS REMAIN DOMINATED
BY THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION...CALM TO LIGHT NORTHERLY AT NIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAY INLAND...BECOMING SOUTH AND SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATE
MORNING OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES AND POSSIBLY ONE MORE TIER INLAND
BY LATE AFTERNOON. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      73  97  75  95 /  30  20  20  20
PENSACOLA   77  95  79  95 /  30  20  20  30
DESTIN      80  93  80  90 /  40  30  20  30
EVERGREEN   70  98  72  97 /  20  10  10  30
WAYNESBORO  70  97  73  97 /  20  20  10  20
CAMDEN      70  98  72  98 /  20  10  10  20
CRESTVIEW   71  98  72  96 /  30  20  20  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAW...CLARKE...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

FL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-201700-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1200 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AS A DEEPLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT BECOMES
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF
CONTAINING BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH AS WELL AS VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. STORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN LIGHTNING AND CAN BE A
KILLER. DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF ENVIRONMENTAL INSTABILITY...A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING.

AWAY FROM STORMS...HEAT INDICES LOOK TO INCREASE TO AROUND 108
DEGREES FOR SEVERAL AREAS. THUS...A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS PREVAILS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.
HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS WITH A FEW
REACHING OR EXCEEDING SEVERE LIMITS CAN BE EXPECTED.

HEAT INDICES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 105 EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE STORMS MAY BE REQUIRED ON AN ISOLATED BASIS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

.PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1247 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

MSZ067-191815-
WAYNE-
1247 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 1247 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF EUCUTTA...MOVING SOUTH AT 15
MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
WHISTLER AND STRENGTHFORD THROUGH 115 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN
SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF ELECTRICAL POWER MAY
RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
424 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

ALZ053>058-060-192215-
COVINGTON-CONECUH-MONROE-BUTLER-CLARKE-CRENSHAW-WILCOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMDEN AND LUVERNE...
424 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COVINGTON...CONECUH...
MONROE...BUTLER...CLARKE...CRENSHAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES...

AT 419 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR LAMISON TO RUTLEDGE...MOVING
SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
LUVERNE...CAMDEN...ANNE MARIE...ROCKWEST...KIMBROUGH...SHAWNEE...WALD
AND CALEDONIA THROUGH 515 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN
SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF ELECTRICAL POWER MAY
RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.