River Flood Warning 48, NWS Mobile, AL

010 
WGUS84 KMOB 030113
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
813 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER
LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.  IT IS 
EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE 
THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-040113-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100506T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T1500Z.100509T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 32.1 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

ALC023-025-129-040112-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100507T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T0200Z.100509T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 26 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

124 
WGUS84 KMOB 031517
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1017 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE 
  AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-041517-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100506T1434Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T1434Z.100509T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 32.3 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

ALC023-025-129-041516-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T1800Z.100509T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 26.2 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

889 
WGUS84 KMOB 040242
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
942 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC097-050242-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100505T0300Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100504T0600Z.100504T2100Z.NO/
942 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING 
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 4.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
AT 4 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-050242-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100507T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0000Z.100509T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 31.2 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

$$

ALC023-025-129-050242-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T1930Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T1930Z.100509T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

168 
WGUS84 KMOB 041556
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1056 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE 
  AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-051556-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100506T2136Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T2136Z.100508T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 30.6 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC023-025-129-051556-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T1800Z.100508T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 25.4 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

$$

895 
WGUS84 KMOB 050159
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
859 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG SOME AREA RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-060159-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100506T1312Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T1312Z.100508T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 31.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-060159-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T1536Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T1536Z.100508T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.6 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

448 
WGUS84 KMOB 060424
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1124 PM CDT WED MAY 5 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-070424-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.100506T1200Z-100510T1500Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T1200Z.100508T0600Z.100510T0900Z.NO/
1124 PM CDT WED MAY 5 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 30.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-070424-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T1630Z.100508T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1124 PM CDT WED MAY 5 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 25.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
*AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

477 
WGUS84 KMOB 061455
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
955 AM CDT THU MAY 6 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-071455-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100506T1800Z.100507T1800Z.100509T1200Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU MAY 6 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 29.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-071455-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.100506T2100Z-100510T1424Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100506T2100Z.100508T0600Z.100510T0824Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU MAY 6 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 24.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

715 
WGUS84 KMOB 070505
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1205 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-080505-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T2136Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0140Z.100508T1200Z.100509T1536Z.NO/
1205 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 11PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-080504-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100510T0700Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T0600Z.100508T1800Z.100510T0100Z.NO/
1205 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 24.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

047 
WGUS84 KMOB 071512
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1011 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-081511-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T2159Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0140Z.100508T0600Z.100509T1559Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-081510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100510T0959Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T1526Z.100508T1200Z.100510T0359Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 8 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

174 
WGUS84 KMOB 080345
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1045 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-090345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0140Z.100508T0600Z.100509T1200Z.NO/
1045 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 10PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.7 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-090344-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100510T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T2120Z.100508T1800Z.100510T0000Z.NO/
1045 PM CDT FRI MAY 7 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

090 
WGUS84 KMOB 081504
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1004 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-091330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T1330Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0140Z.100508T0900Z.100509T0730Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-091503-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100510T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T2120Z.100508T1800Z.100510T0000Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

548 
WGUS84 KMOB 090258
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
958 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE 
  AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-091200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100509T1200Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.100507T0140Z.100508T0900Z.100509T0600Z.NO/
958 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 9PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
* AT 29.0 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
  BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-100257-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100510T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.100507T2120Z.100509T0600Z.100510T0000Z.NO/
958 PM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
 OCCUR. CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
910 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

.UPDATE...TORNADO WATCH 133 HAS BEEN ISSUED AND IS VALID FOR OUR
MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES UNTIL 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE ALREADY UPDATED
GRIDS AND ZONES FOR TORNADO WATCH. DEVELOPING LINE OF SHRA/TSRA TO
OUR WEST SHOULD BE MOVING INTO STONE AND PERRY COUNTIES BY AROUND 10
AM...THEN CONTINUE EAST ACROSS SE MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. CURRENTLY NO SVR/TOR WARNINGS ISSUED ON THE LINE TO OUR
WEST...BUT CONDITIONS NOTED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION WILL FAVOR AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SVR WEATHER...INCLUDING ISOLATED
TORNADOES...LATER TODAY. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES NEEDED WITH REGARD TO
SHORT TERM FCST. 12/DS

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 502 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010 FOLLOWS...

.SHORT TERM...FOR TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT ADVANCING
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DECELERATES TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS A SURFACE
LOW ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS QUICKLY NORTHWARD.  BREEZY
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND STRONG 850 MB FLOW AT 45-50 KNOTS CONTINUES TO
SEND VERY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT GULF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING TO AROUND 2.5 INCHES.  DAYTIME
HIGHS WILL BE MUTED SOMEWHAT BY COPIOUS CLOUD COVER AND A WELL MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH MLCAPES RISING TO 500-1000 J/KG OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH 300-500 J/KG OVER THE
EASTERN HALF...WITH MLCAPES OF 400-800 J/KG THIS EVENING GRADUALLY
DECREASING TO 300-500 J/KG OVERNIGHT AS THE WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SAGS INTO THE FORECAST AREA.  THE STRONG LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW PRODUCES 0-1 KM HELICITIES OF 150-250 M2/S2 ACROSS
THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHER VALUES OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
AREA TODAY AND TRANSITIONING TO OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OVERNIGHT.
SPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ANTICIPATED CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  BASED ON THE BEST INSTABILITY...HAVE ADDED
WORDING OF SOME SEVERE STORMS OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THEN ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT.  FOR POPS HAVE
GONE WITH POPS INCREASING TO CATEGORICAL OVER THE WESTERN THIRD
DECREASING TO CHANCE OVER THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON
THEN CATEGORICAL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SLOWLY
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  CONSIDERING THE VERY HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES...SLOW MOVING FRONT AND STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH
THE STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW...HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE RATHER HIGH...LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINS TODAY WILL PRIME THE GROUND MAKING CONDITIONS MORE
FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
AS THE SLOW MOVING FRONT PROMOTES TRAINING CELLS.  EXPECT GENERAL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND
7 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. /29

FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BY MONDAY...THE ABUNDANT ENERGY OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS HAS MOVED OVER THE PLAINS...PUSHING THE SURFACE FRONT
TO JUST NORTHWEST OF THE FA. MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY DRIVEN
BY A SHORTWAVE ON THE SOUTH END OF THE SWIRLING COMPLEX(MOVES OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MISS RIVER VALLEY)...THE LOW LEVEL
JET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE FA...AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH THE ASSISTANCE FROM THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL JETS TO THE
WEST...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. HELPING TO
MITIGATE THIS ARE THE VERY HIGH PRECIP H20 AMOUNTS (2.5"+) LIMITING
THE INSTABILITY...BUT PROVIDING ABUNDANT FUEL FOR RAINFALL PRODUCTION. THIS
BAND OF SOUPY PRECIP H20 VALUES SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD WITH THE
SYSTEM. MODEL SOUNDING SHOW GOOD DIRECTIONAL/SPEED SHEAR
SUNDAY...THOUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...SOME BACKING IN THE LOWEST
LEVEL HELPS TO CREATE A LINEAR DIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE. THIS LEADS
TO MORE "LINE" SYSTEMS DEVELOPING AND MOVING NORTHEAST OVER THE FA.
BASICALLY BANDS OF TSRA MOVING NORTHEAST OVER THE FA.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE FRONTAL BAND SHIFTS SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SURFACE FRONT LAYING UP ALONG THE GULF COAST
LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LATEST GUIDANCE DOESN'T HAVE THE
PRECIP MOVING EAST OF THE FA UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE UNDERCUT
DAYTIME HIGHS A BIT TO COMPENSATE FOR THE RAIN COOLED AIR AND MINIMAL
INSOLATION.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT ON)THE PRECIP FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE
FA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN
YESTERDAY'S 00Z GUIDANCE. THIS WILL HELP TO COOL DAYTIME TEMPS
WEDNESDAY SOMEWHAT FROM YESTERDAY'S NUMBERS. 90 OR ABOVE TEMPS ARE
NOT QUITE SO PREVALENT AS YESTERDAY...THOUGH TEMPS ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. DURING THIS
PERIOD...A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST OVER THE NORTHERN US ROCKIES TO
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL US PLAINS AS THIS UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST TO
OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO SATURDAY...PUSHING A SURFACE FRONT TO NEAR
THE FA BY SATURDAY MORN. THE ECMWF IS A BIT QUICKER IN MOVING THE
FRONT OVER THE FA THAN THE GFS...BUT THIS FAR OUT...6HRS IS SMALL
POTATOES. WHAT IS SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT IS THE PRECIP
PLACEMENT...WITH THE ECMWF MOVING PRECIP OVER THE FA WITH THE
FRONT...WHILE THE GFS WEAKENS THE FRONT AS IT MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS...BRINGING LOW QPF/POPS TO THE FA FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z ISSUANCE)IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WITH BREEZY SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY THEN
WINDS SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT.  WILL HAVE SCATTERED MORNING THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING PREVAILING FOR THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.  WILL
HAVE TEMPO GROUPS FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND SHARPLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
/29

&&

.MARINE...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.  WAVE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY TOO HIGH
COMPARED TO OBSERVED WAVE HEIGHTS AND HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO BLEND
WITH NEIGHBORS WHO BETTER MATCH OBSERVED DATA AS WELL.  THIS RESULTS
IN SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE TODAY SLOWLY SUBSIDING TO 4 TO
6 FEET BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH SEAS NEAR SHORE FOLLOWING A SIMILAR
TREND.  THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE BAY
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA AS THE ONSHORE FLOW DECREASES WITH THE WEAKENING FRONT
SLOWLY MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THE FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD
INTO THE MARINE AREA ON TUESDAY MORNING WITH A BRIEF NORTHERLY FLOW
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THEN RETURNS INLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW RESUMING. A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW FOLLOWS FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES AND A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ADVANCES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. /29

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS
WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY AS A FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE
OVER THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WEAKENING AS IT PASSES...BUT BRINGING
ABUNDANT RAIN TO THE AREA. THIS RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE
AREA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      80  72  82  67  84 /  80  80  80  40  50
PENSACOLA   79  73  80  70  81 /  50  80  90  50  60
DESTIN      79  72  77  69  78 /  30  60  90  50  60
EVERGREEN   84  72  84  65  83 /  50  80  90  40  50
WAYNESBORO  82  68  85  63  83 /  90  80  70  40  40
CAMDEN      83  70  84  63  83 /  70  90  80  50  50
CRESTVIEW   84  73  85  66  85 /  40  70  90  50  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND
     WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     AND MOBILE BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1045 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-031500-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1045 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ABUNDANT GULF
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WHILE A COLD FRONT ADVANCING FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT.  SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND BECOME
WIDESPREAD OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
THIS AFTERNOON.  WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY
MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE AREA.  ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA.  THE RISK OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT.  THE
MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.  THE VERY HIGH AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE
AND SLOW MOVING NATURE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO PROMOTE HIGH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY TONIGHT RESULTING IN AN
INCREASED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA BEGINNING THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW COMBINED WITH A SPRING TIDE CYCLE
WILL CREATE A HEIGHTENED RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  THE STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW WILL ALSO CREATE HEAVY SURF CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.  A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT FOR
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT AND ALSO CREATE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING DURING THE MORNING HOURS THEN
DECREASING MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT.  ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FOR THE AREA.  VERY HIGH MOISTURE AMOUNTS IN
THE ATMOSPHERE AND THE SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE AN
INCREASED RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.  TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY AS THE FRONT WEAKENS AND
EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES.  A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURNS FOR SATURDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT ADVANCES FROM THE PLAINS
AND MOVES INTO THE AREA.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY.

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA MONDAY
MORNING DECREASE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SEAS SUBSIDING
THROUGH TUESDAY. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF THE MARINE AREA UNTIL THE WINDS
AND SEAS SUBSIDE SUFFICIENTLY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES
FOR MONDAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO TIDES AS MUCH AS 1.5 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WITH
THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND SPRING TIDAL CYCLE. SOME SHORELINES
COULD EXPERIENCE NUISANCE TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY AROUND
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL THE WINDS
SUBSIDE. HEAVY SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LOCAL ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN
ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED TO
OTHER AREAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1055 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

MSZ067-021615-
WAYNE-
1055 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 1048 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM JUST SOUTHWEST OF EUCUTTA IN NORTHWEST WAYNE
COUNTY MISSISSIPPI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 1115 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD
BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN
SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. LOCAL LOSS OF ELECTRICAL POWER MAY
RESULT FROM DOWNED POWER LINES. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN
OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...OR SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.