Alert archive / Alabama / Red Flag Warnings in 2010

Red Flag Warning 67, NWS Mobile, AL

October 14, 201010 counties in Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this red flag warning at Oct 14, 2010, 1:20 AM CDT for 10 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Oct 15, 2010, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2010, 1:20 AM CDT (06:20 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 15, 2010, 10:00 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2010, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL

Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2010-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 00:00Z on 2010-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1681 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

819 
WWUS84 KMOB 140620
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITY
LESS THAN 35 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW
HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR THE LIKELY OCCURRENCE OF LOW
HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT COMBINED WITH NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10
TO 20 MPH...

.DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT SURGE OF DRIER AIR
AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON BUT WITH LOWER WINDS. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH
CONSIDERING THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND THE REGION EXPERIENCING
MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. 

MSZ067-075-076-140730-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. 

ALTHOUGH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...LOWEST HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IS
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT. HUMIDITY VALUES LOOK TO BE
SHY OF REACHING CRITICAL LEVELS AND CRITERIA FOR UPGRADING THE WATCH
TO A RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

FLZ001>006-142230-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0061.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING.

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20
MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT ON FRIDAY BUT
WITH LESS WIND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH 
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT MAY COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 
MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF 
UNCONTAINED FIRE. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND
UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO
COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-142230-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20
MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT ON FRIDAY BUT
WITH LESS WIND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH 
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT MAY COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 
MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF 
UNCONTAINED FIRE. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND
UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO
COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING.


&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
756 
WWUS84 KMOB 141016
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR
CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY
FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW
HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 10 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY.  

.DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT
SURGE OF DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH CONSIDERING THE DRIER
AIR MOVING IN AND MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCURRING
OVER THE REGION.

ALZ051>064-142200-
/O.EXB.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
CDT THIS EVENING. 

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO 20
MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING
DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR
MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON
FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY
EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH
AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED
FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

FLZ001>006-142200-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6
PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO
20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR
20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER
WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO
BE AROUND 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY.

LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH
AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED
FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.


&&

$$
284 
WWUS84 KMOB 141913
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
FOR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO
20 MPH...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF
VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 10 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF
CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY.

.DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT
SURGE OF DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST
INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH
CONSIDERING THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND MODERATE TO SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER THE REGION.

FLZ001>006-151115-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO
20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR
20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER
WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
TO BE AROUND 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY.

LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO
25 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF
UNCONTAINED FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-151115-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY. 

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO
20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...
DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST
CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN
20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER
IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY
EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF
UNCONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$
533 
WWUS84 KMOB 141932
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
FOR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF
VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING...
BRINGING DRIER AND COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. LOWEST HUMIDITY EXPECTED
TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY.
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL EASE UP THIS EVENING...EXCEPT
ALONG THE BEACHES. WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY GUSTY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
NO RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FLZ001>006-151100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35
PERCENT ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER AND FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...DIPPING DOWN
NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY.

LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO
25 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF
UN-CONTAINED FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-151100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY. 

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. DAYTIME
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER AND FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...DIPPING
DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY.


 THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY
HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY
EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF
UN-CONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$
322 
WWUS84 KMOB 150140
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
840 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY
FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW
HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOWEST HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT EACH
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY. NO RAIN EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FLZ001>006-151745-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
840 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-151745-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
840 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
FRIDAY. 

THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY
HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY
EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$
462 
WWUS84 KMOB 150950
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT TODAY AND
FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR
A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT
TODAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT
AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND COOL AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOWEST HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. 

FLZ001>006-152100-
/O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0068.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0063.101017T1700Z-101017T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO AROUND 20 PERCENT TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A LONG PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS.
SURFACE WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL
DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 MPH ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-152100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
450 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM CDT
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM CDT
THIS AFTERNOON. 

MIXED LAYER WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH THIS AFTERNOON TO RESULT IN
20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN
GUSTS. THESE WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
DROPPING TO AROUND 20 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$
356 
WWUS84 KMOB 151947
RFWMOB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
247 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT TODAY AND
FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT TODAY
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT AND
20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND COOL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. LOWEST HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO BE 20 TO 25 PERCENT EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A LITTLE HIGHER ALONG THE BEACHES.

FLZ001>006-161100-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.000000T0000Z-101016T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0068.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0063.101017T1700Z-101017T2300Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
247 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CDT
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. 

AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY'S WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A LONG PERIOD OF RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. SURFACE WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 MPH ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

ALZ051>064-152200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.000000T0000Z-101015T2200Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-
247 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY'S BETWEEN 18 AND 25 PERCENT TODAY
HAS RESULTED IN A LONG PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY WITH SURFACE WINDS
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF
10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-
CONTAINED FIRE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...
REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY
AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 13, 11:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 11:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...AVIATION UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1105 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010

.AVIATION (06Z ISSUANCE)...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE LATE TONIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. A NORTH WIND OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. /13

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)A COLD FRONT CAME
THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW WELL EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. AM EXPECTING SOME CLOUDINESS...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS AND POSSIBLY A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS LATE
TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES. FRONT SHOULD BE WELL EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF AREA BY THURSDAY SUNSET WITH DRIER AND COOLER AIR
POURING IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. OTHER THAN THE LOW POPS OVER
THE NORTH TONIGHT...NO RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.
TONIGHTS LOWS WILL BE HELD UP A BIT BY THE SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SCATTERED CLOUD COVER. THURSDAY NIGHTS LOWS
BACK INTO THE 40S...ALL BUT THE BEACHES AS WINDS DIE OFF AND
EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING OCCURS. HIGHS AROUND 80...WHICH IS
ABOUT NORMAL. /11

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A
WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH MOST OF
THE LONG TERM. BY MID WEEK AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES
WILL BEGIN TO DRAW SOME MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE FORECAST. /11

&&

.MARINE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES WILL SHIFT EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH NEXT WEEK GIVING WAY TO A
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WIND FLOW LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH MID
MORNING FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET
OUT TO 20 NM...AND 3 TO 5 FEET 20 TO 60 NM OUT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY WITH CHOPPY TO ROUGH CONDITIONS ON AREA BAYS AND
SOUNDS. AS A RESULT SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTH BY AFTERNOON EACH DAY
MAINLY FROM WEAK SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS FROM AFTERNOON HEATING.
32/EE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ANOTHER FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF DRIER AIR AND NORTHWEST WINDS INTO THE AREA. NEW
GUIDANCE HAS SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEW POINTS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF
ALABAMA...BUT WILL LEAVE CURRENT WATCHES FOR ALABAMA AND MOST OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AS IS AS WELL AS THE RED FLAG FOR FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  STRONGEST WINDS MAY OCCUR BEFORE THE DRIER AIR ARRIVES
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DRY AGAIN FRIDAY BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE
ONLY THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL NEED A WATCH AS  WINDS WILL BE TOO
LOW OVER ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      58  81  48  79 /  05  00  00  00
PENSACOLA   62  84  51  79 /  05  00  00  00
DESTIN      64  83  53  78 /  05  00  00  00
EVERGREEN   55  77  43  78 /  20  00  00  00
WAYNESBORO  54  79  42  80 /  20  00  00  00
CAMDEN      54  77  41  79 /  20  00  00  00
CRESTVIEW   55  84  42  79 /  05  00  00  00

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GREENE...PERRY...AND WAYNE.

GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 4:50 PM CDT, 8 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
450 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-141400-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
450 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
LATE TONIGHT AND PERSISTS THROUGH THURSDAY...RESULTING IN AN
INCREASED HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE REGION THURSDAY AS DRIER
AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA WITH WINDS GUSTS POSSIBLY UP TO NEAR 20
MPH DURING THE LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A STATEWIDE
BURN BAN HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE MISSISSIPPI FORESTRY COMMISSION AND
A STATEWIDE FIRE ALERT CONTINUES THROUGH THE ALABAMA FORESTRY
COMMISSION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY THEN SUBSIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  SMALL CRAFT
WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND LIKELY INTO
THE WEEKEND AS MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA. A STATEWIDE
BURN BAN HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE MISSISSIPPI FORESTRY COMMISSION AND
A STATEWIDE FIRE ALERT CONTINUES THROUGH THE ALABAMA FORESTRY
COMMISSION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE STORMS WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 5:16 AM CDTFire Weather WatchMOB24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2010Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2010Every red flag warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.