Alert archive / Alabama / Red Flag Warnings in 2010
Red Flag Warning 66, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this red flag warning at Oct 12, 2010, 2:43 PM CDT for 10 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Oct 14, 2010, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2010, 2:43 PM CDT (19:43 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 14, 2010, 1:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2010, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -75 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 990 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
128 WWUS84 KMOB 121943 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 243 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BELOW 30% AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35%... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM THURSDAY DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30% AND NORTH WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... .DISCUSSION...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY...BRINGING MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY AND INCREASING NORTH WIND. THUS...THE RISK OF WILDFIRE WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AND REMAIN HIGH INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IN FLORIDA FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA BEING REACHED OR EXCEEDED IS HIGH...HENCE...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT. FLZ001>006-131145- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2200Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 243 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35%... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 23 TO 28 PERCENT OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. OVER COASTAL SECTIONS LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 27 TO 32 PERCENT. COMBINE THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS AFFECTED MUCH OF THE GULF COAST STATES...BRINGS A RISK OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND ADDITIONAL RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ALZ051>064-131145- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2200Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 243 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM THURSDAY DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30% AND NORTH WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 23 TO 28 PERCENT OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. OVER COASTAL SECTIONS LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 27 TO 32 PERCENT. COMBINE THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS AFFECTED MUCH OF THE GULF COAST STATES...BRINGS ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE DANGER TO THE WATCH AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
7 follow-up statements
319 WWUS84 KMOB 122027 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 327 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BELOW 30 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM THURSDAY DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT AND NORTH WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... .DISCUSSION...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY...BRINGING MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY AND INCREASING NORTH WIND. THUS...THE RISK OF WILDFIRE WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AND REMAIN HIGH INTO THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IN FLORIDA FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA BEING REACHED OR EXCEEDED IS HIGH...HENCE...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT. FLZ001>006-131230- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2200Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 327 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE RISK OF LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 23 TO 28 PERCENT OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. OVER COASTAL SECTIONS LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 27 TO 32 PERCENT. COMBINE THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS AFFECTED MUCH OF THE GULF COAST STATES... BRINGS A RISK OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ALZ051>064-131230- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2200Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 327 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 23 TO 28 PERCENT OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. OVER COASTAL SECTIONS LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO A RANGE OF 27 TO 32 PERCENT. COMBINE THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS AFFECTED MUCH OF THE GULF COAST STATES...BRINGS ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE DANGER TO THE WATCH AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
671 WWUS84 KMOB 131012 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 512 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A LONG DURATION OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BELOW 30 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH OR HIGHER... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE RISK OF A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...A SECONDARY...REINFORCING FRONT MOVES OUT INTO THE GULF AND HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE REGION IN ITS WAKE THURSDAY WILL ALLOW A DEEP LAYER DRY AIRMASS TO OVERSPREAD THE GULF COAST TO END THE WEEK. FLZ001>006-140200- /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0061.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 512 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO DROP TO A RANGE OF 26 TO 31 PERCENT OVER THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND 30 TO 35 PERCENT CLOSER TO THE COAST. A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIKELY CAUSE AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY. THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS ITS GRIP OVER MUCH OF THE GULF COAST RESULTS IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. DAYTIME HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST TO BE EVEN LOWER ON FRIDAY WITH THE LATEST FORECAST CALLING FOR NUMBERS RANGING FROM 16 TO 21 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT MAY COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON FRIDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-140200- /O.EXB.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1900Z-101014T2200Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE- 512 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO DROP TO BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS OVER THE WATCH AREA. A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIKELY CAUSE AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 15 TO 20 MPH AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY. THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS ITS GRIP OVER MUCH OF THE AREA RESULTS IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ ALZ051>064-140200- /O.EXT.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 512 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO DROP TO BELOW 30 PERCENT OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIKELY CAUSE AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY. THE CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING AND THE FACT THAT A MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT HAS ITS GRIP OVER MUCH OF THE GULF COAST RESULTS IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS...REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
053 WWUS84 KMOB 131915 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 215 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND MOST OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT BRINGING IN DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. DRY AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT WITH LOWER WINDS. FLZ001>006-141100- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0061.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 215 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND BRING A DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED LOW HUMIDITY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR. DAYTIME HUMIDITY'S ARE FORECAST TO BE EVEN LOWER ON FRIDAY BUT WITH LESS WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON FRIDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-141100- /O.EXT.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE- 215 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND BRING A DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED LOW HUMIDITY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ ALZ051>064-141100- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 215 PM CDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND BRING A DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTED LOW HUMIDITY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
819 WWUS84 KMOB 140620 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR THE LIKELY OCCURRENCE OF LOW HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT COMBINED WITH NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... .DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT SURGE OF DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT WITH LOWER WINDS. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH CONSIDERING THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND THE REGION EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. MSZ067-075-076-140730- /O.CAN.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE- 120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. ALTHOUGH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...LOWEST HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT. HUMIDITY VALUES LOOK TO BE SHY OF REACHING CRITICAL LEVELS AND CRITERIA FOR UPGRADING THE WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING. $$ FLZ001>006-142230- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0061.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT ON FRIDAY BUT WITH LESS WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT MAY COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ ALZ051>064-142230- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0060.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 120 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT ON FRIDAY BUT WITH LESS WIND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT MAY COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
756 WWUS84 KMOB 141016 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 10 MPH... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY. .DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT SURGE OF DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH CONSIDERING THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER THE REGION. ALZ051>064-142200- /O.EXB.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ FLZ001>006-142200- /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.101014T1800Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 516 AM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO BE AROUND 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
284 WWUS84 KMOB 141913 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 10 MPH... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY. .DISCUSSION...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN THE NEXT SURGE OF DRIER AIR AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH CONSIDERING THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN AND MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER THE REGION. FLZ001>006-151115- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO BE AROUND 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ ALZ051>064-151115- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 213 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AND RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WHILE DAYTIME HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER... DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UNCONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
533 WWUS84 KMOB 141932 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY NEAR 20 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A LONG DURATION OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY. .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING... BRINGING DRIER AND COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. LOWEST HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL EASE UP THIS EVENING...EXCEPT ALONG THE BEACHES. WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY GUSTY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. NO RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FLZ001>006-151100- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1500Z-101016T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0062.101016T1700Z-101016T2300Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER AND FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-CONTAINED FIRE. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$ ALZ051>064-151100- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0066.000000T0000Z-101014T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0067.101015T1700Z-101015T2200Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 232 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM CDT FRIDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. DAYTIME HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER AND FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...DIPPING DOWN NEAR 20 PERCENT...ON FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR MIXED LAYER WINDS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN 20 FOOT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 10 TO 15 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN GUSTS ON FRIDAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE VERY LOW HUMIDITY EXPECTED...CRITERIA IS MET FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR LIKELY WILL OCCUR. A LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY THAT COMBINE WITH WINDS OF 10 MPH AND HIGHER INCREASES THE RISK OF GROWTH AND SPREAD OF UN-CONTAINED FIRE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON LOCAL BURN BANS AND FIRE ALERTS... REFER TO AREA FORESTRY COMMISSIONS...STATE DIVISIONS OF FORESTRY AND UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE STATEMENTS. THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO COMPLY WITH LOCAL BURN BANS AND REFRAIN FROM ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 12, 4:04 AM CDT, 10 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 4:04 AM CDT, 10 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
404 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010
.SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY
SPINNING OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
MOVE SOUTHEAST TODAY...BECOMING CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. WHILE MOISTURE WILL NOT BE ABUNDANT...A DEEP
SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW PRECIPITABLE WATERS TO
CLIMB TO 1.4-1.5 INCHES TODAY. THE SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW...INDICATIVE OF INCREASING DIVERGENCE ALOFT
(300-200 MB JET DIRECTLY OVERHEAD)...COMBINED WITH THE INCREASE IN
MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. THE BEST COVERAGE
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE WEST OF I-65 WHICH WILL BE IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LEVEL FORCING. WE DO NOTE THAT SPC HAS OUR
WESTERN ZONES IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY. 0-6 KM BULK
SHEAR DOES INCREASE TO 40-50 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD
SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT HIGHS
INTO THE LOW/MID 80S WITH MLCAPES ONLY INCREASING TO AROUND 500
J/KG. IN ADDITION...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO BE AOB 6
C/KM THROUGH THE AFTN. SO WHILE THE SHEAR IS FAVORABLE...INSTABILITY
CURRENTLY LOOKS TO BE LACKING...WHICH PRECLUDES A MORE SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THREAT. WILL MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONGER
STORMS...MAINLY OVER THE SE MS COUNTIES THIS AFTN. INSTABILITY
VALUES WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE DAY...ESPECIALLY IF ANY
SIGNIFICANT BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER MATERIALIZES.
SOME CONVECTION WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BUT THE
ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO QUICKLY DECREASE BY LATE EVENING AS THE
ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES AND THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH RAPIDLY SHEARS
OUT. SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS ADVECT INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF
THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE AND WEAK COLD FRONT. WILL GO WITH LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 50S NORTH OF HWY 84 TO LOW/MID 60S ALONG THE
COAST. 34/JFB
.LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...MOVING INTO ANOTHER EXTENDED
PERIOD OF RAINFREE WEATHER COMING UP. AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE UPPER LEVEL
TROF AXIS...OVER THE GULF COAST WED...PIVOTS EASTWARD ON THU. THIS
WILL ALLOW A SECONDARY...REINFORCING COLD FRONT TO SURGE SOUTHWARD
OUT INTO THE GULF BY THU AND HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH A DEEP
LAYER...DRIER AIRMASS TO BUILD BACK IN. PRECIPITABLE WATERS CLOSE TO
AN INCH EARLY WED WILL DROP OFF CONSIDERABLY TO BELOW A HALF INCH
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK. THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ON THE
DRY...WESTERN SIDE OF AN EAST COAST TROF TO START THE WEEKEND. THERE
WILL BE SOME EASTWARD PROGRESSION TO THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FIELD ON
SAT AS EAST COAST UPPER TROF/STORM SYSTEM LIFTS OUT ALLOWING A MID
LEVEL RIDGE TO MOVE IN ACROSS THE SOUTH. THE HIGH LEVEL FLOW BEGINS
TO FLATTEN BY MON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
PICTURE. AS FORECASTERS CONSIDER THE DRY AIRMASS...LIGHT WINDS AND
CLEAR SKIES...AN EXCELLENT RADIATIVE COOLING CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO
RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL FRI THROUGH MON
MORNINGS. EXPECT TO SEE LOWER/MID 40S DURING THIS TIME FRAME OVER THE
INTERIOR WITH MID 50S AT THE BEACHES. HIGHS A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMAL ON WED WILL TREND LOWER AND CLOSER TO SEASONAL
NORMALS...THU THRU MON. /10
&&
.AVIATION (12Z TAF ISSUANCE)...MID LEVEL CIGS (AROUND 8-10 KFT) WILL
SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING...WELL IN ADVANCE OF
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THE UPPER
LOW MOVES CLOSER...CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL INCREASE... ESPECIALLY
OVER SE MS AND WEST AL. TEMPORARY MVFR CONDITIONS ACCOMPANY ANY
CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS. OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR WITH
SKIES GRADUALLY CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FOR FOG POTENTIAL EARLY WED MORNING AS WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
NO SIGNIFICANT DRYING TAKES PLACE. 34/JFB
&&
.MARINE...A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE MARINE AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
THE REGION FROM THE WEST. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS...
PRIMARILY FROM MIDDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING IN ITS
WAKE. A STRONGER OFFSHORE FLOW (15-20 KT) DEVELOPS LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND PERSISTS THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SECONDARY FRONT BRINGS IN A
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. SEAS REMAIN 1-2 FT THROUGH MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY...BUT BUILD WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY (NEAR 2 FT
CLOSE TO SHORE...BUT AS HIGH AS 4-6 FT BEYOND 20 NM). CONDITIONS
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES.
WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
CLOSER TO THE REGION AND RELAXES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. HOWEVER...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN MODERATE DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS DUE TO GOOD COLD AIR DRAINAGE. 34/JFB
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...INCREASED CHANCES OF SHWRS WITH A FEW TSTMS IN THE
MIX TODAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE GULF COAST. INITIAL
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA ON WED. NO RAIN IN THE FORECAST
WED. A REINFORCING SURGE OF DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION ON
THU...WHEN CRITICAL AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES LOOK TO DIP DOWN TO THE MID
20% RANGES OVER THE INTERIOR TO LOWER 30% RANGES OVER THE COASTAL
ZONES. CONSIDERING RH ALONG WITH 20 FT WINDS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM
10-15 KNOTS OR HIGHER IN GUSTS ON THU...CRITERIA IS MET FOR
FORECASTERS TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH THU FOR SW AL/WRN FL
ZONES. NOTE: LATER SHIFTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES
INTO THE WEEKEND FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA...DUE TO THE PERSISTENT
DRY WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 80 61 83 60 / 60 30 05 10
PENSACOLA 81 63 84 63 / 40 30 10 10
DESTIN 80 67 83 65 / 30 30 10 10
EVERGREEN 82 58 82 55 / 50 30 10 10
WAYNESBORO 80 56 83 55 / 60 30 05 10
CAMDEN 81 56 83 55 / 50 30 05 10
CRESTVIEW 83 60 84 55 / 30 30 10 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 11:15 AM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1115 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-131600- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1115 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE ARE DEVELOPING OUT AHEAD OF AN OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LEFT OVER FROM LATE NIGHT THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR WEST. AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...WE ARE WATCHING AN AREA OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR AND AFTER 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIND GUSTS IN HE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE...BUT ONE OR TWO THUNDERSTORMS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH... ESPECIALLY OVER THE GREENE...PERRY AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF MISSISSIPPI AND CHOCTAW AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF ONE INCH IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...BUT MOSTLY IT WILL BE IN THE PEA TO SMALL MARBLE DIAMETER RANGE. INSTABILITY APPEARS TO BE LIMITED AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS IS VERY LOW DUE TO LIMITED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS. DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE...WEAK INSTABILITY AND FASTER MOVING THUNDERSTORMS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH OVER MOST LOCATIONS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH THIS FRONT. THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL BE ON THE WANE BY THE MID EVENING HOURS AS INSTABILITY BECOMES EVEN MORE MEAGER AFTER SUNSET. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES FURTHER EAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...IT IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED VERY NEAR THE I-65 CORRIDOR AROUND MIDNIGHT AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA LINE BY 4 AM CDT. LATEST TRENDS INDICATE SOME RAINSHOWER FORMATION HANGING AROUND BACK IN THE COOL STABLE AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. SO...A SLOW CLEARING TREND IS IN STORE WEDNESDAY MORNING AS DRIER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST. A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED HAZARD FOR SMALL CRAFT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MIDDAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE AREA AND WINDS GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A STATEWIDE BURN BAN HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE MISSISSIPPI FORESTRY COMMISSION AND A STATEWIDE FIRE ALERT CONTINUES THROUGH THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY TUNED TO FORECAST UPDATES THROUGH THE DAY REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 12, 12:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1240 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ALZ058-121830- CRENSHAW- 1240 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CRENSHAW COUNTY THROUGH 120 PM CDT... AT 1237 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHWEST CRENSHAW COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...BRANTLEY AND GLENWOOD THROUGH 130 PM CDT. THIS IS PRIMARILY THE SOUTHERN QUARTER OF CRENSHAW COUNTY. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE PEA-SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BRING DOWN DEAD OR DISEASED TREES AND LARGE LIMBS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 6:17 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | MOB | Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more | 43 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2010Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2010Every red flag warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.