Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Mobile, AL

339 
WGUS74 KMOB 050328
FFSMOB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
928 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

ALC129-MSC041-111-131-153-050336-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100205T0500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WASHINGTON AL-STONE MS-PERRY MS-GREENE MS-WAYNE MS-
928 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR WAYNE...GREENE...
PERRY...EASTERN STONE AND WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

LAT...LON 3092 8883 3100 8882 3100 8843 3112 8844
      3112 8833 3115 8833 3115 8828 3170 8828
      3170 8846 3173 8846 3176 8813 3170 8813
      3170 8828 3115 8828 3115 8815 3072 8817
      3073 8887 3074 8887 3091 8887

$$

ALC023-097-MSC039-050500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100205T0500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW AL-GEORGE MS-MOBILE AL-
928 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...GEORGE AND SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW COUNTIES...

AT 924 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED
AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SIDNEY...
SERVICE...CULLOMBURG...CITRONELLE...BLADON SPRINGS AND AQUILLA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3092 8883 3100 8882 3100 8843 3112 8844
      3112 8833 3115 8833 3115 8828 3170 8828
      3170 8846 3173 8846 3176 8813 3170 8813
      3170 8828 3115 8828 3115 8815 3072 8817
      3073 8887 3074 8887 3091 8887

$$

412 
WGUS74 KMOB 050334
FFSMOB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
934 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

ALC023-050341-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100205T0500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHOCTAW AL-
934 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN
CHOCTAW COUNTY...

LAT...LON 3092 8883 3099 8881 3100 8843 3112 8843
      3112 8833 3115 8833 3115 8815 3072 8817
      3074 8887 3091 8887

$$

ALC097-MSC039-050500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100205T0500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GEORGE MS-MOBILE AL-
934 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN MOBILE AND GEORGE COUNTIES...

AT 930 PM CST...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE 
MOVING EASTWARD AT 15 MPH ACROSS GEORGE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI AND 
MOBILE COUNTY ALABAMA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES 
ARE POSSIBLE AND DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS THIS ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF FLASH FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3092 8883 3099 8881 3100 8843 3112 8843
      3112 8833 3115 8833 3115 8815 3072 8817
      3074 8887 3091 8887

$$

146 
WGUS74 KMOB 050420
FFSMOB

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1020 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

ALC097-MSC039-050428-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-100205T0500Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GEORGE MS-MOBILE AL-
1020 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHWESTERN MOBILE
AND GEORGE COUNTIES...

AT 1018 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY 
RAINFALL HAD ENDED OVER THE MOBILE COUNTY ALABAMA AND GEORGE COUNTY 
ALABAMA.  LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA 
THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND NUSIANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL 
BE POSSIBLE BUT THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED FOR NOW IN 
THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3092 8883 3099 8881 3100 8843 3112 8843
      3112 8833 3115 8833 3115 8815 3072 8817
      3074 8887 3091 8887

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
325 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...SFC LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT...MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ESPECIALLY OVER THE MARINE AREA AND NEAR THE
COAST BUT THE THREAT REMAINS RATHER SMALL AND HAVE REMOVED THE
MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FORECAST. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 1.8 INCHES TONIGHT...WHICH IS MORE THAN
TWICE THE NORMAL AMOUNTS THIS TIME OF YEAR. CONSEQUENTLY...THE
GREATEST THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AS MOST AREAS
WILL RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS. THE
GROUND REMAINS RATHER WET FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALL AND THIS WILL LEAD
TO RUNOFF PROBLEMS. IN ADDITION...MANY AREA RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD OR
VERY CLOSE AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY CREATE ADDITIONAL
PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

THE SFC LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
AREA FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE RAIN ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. WRAP
AROUND LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS
THE UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. MAX TEMPS ON
FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES TO
THE MID 60S COASTAL AND EASTERN ZONES...COOLING TO THE MID/UPPER 50S
ON SATURDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT LOW TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S
INTERIOR AND LOW/MID 40S CLOSER TO THE COAST. /13

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS
EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
REGION. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. DAYTIME HIGHS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL BE AROUND THE NORMS OF LOW/MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION IN
ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ON MONDAY NIGHT SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. COOLER AND DRY ONCE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. /13

&&

.AVIATION...(04/18Z ISSUANCE)...LIFR TO IFR CEILING CONDITIONS AND
IFR VISIBILITY CONDITIONS...DUE TO PERIODS OF MODERATE/HEAVY
RAIN...WILL PREVAIL AT KMOB...KBFM AND KPNS TAF SITES THROUGH
04/0900Z. MODERATE NORTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL TURN TO EAST
BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY WITH VISIBILITIES IMPROVING...BUT THE LIFR TO IFR CEILING
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. /22

&&

.MARINE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT...REACHING THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG EASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
WILL TURN TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS...ALONG WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS ABOVE GALE FORCE. OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS WILL BUILD
AS HIGH AS 10 TO 12 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS
WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED
LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA. OFFSHORE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE OVER
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA...FOLLOWED BY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      51  60  40  57 / 100  40  05  05
PENSACOLA   56  62  41  56 / 100  60  10  05
DESTIN      58  62  46  56 / 100  80  10  05
EVERGREEN   53  59  39  52 / 100  60  10  05
WAYNESBORO  47  56  38  52 / 100  40  05  05
CAMDEN      49  55  39  51 / 100  50  05  05
CRESTVIEW   55  62  41  55 / 100  80  10  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...AND MOBILE BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
408 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-052215-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
408 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT....
A SURFACE LOW APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SATURATED LOCAL SOIL CONDITIONS. THIS WILL PRESENT
A FLOODING RISK TONIGHT. YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
IN MOBILE HAS THEREFORE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH VALID THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL 2 TO 4 INCHES IS LIKELY IN
THE WATCH AREA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.
HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS...BRINGING EVEN HIGHER RAINFALL. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER
UPDATES...STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO THIS HEAVY
RAINFALL SITUATION.

A STRONG EASTERLY WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTH EARLY
TONIGHT AND WEST TO NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT...BRIGING HIGH SURF AND
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ARE NOW  IN EFFECT.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN AT OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE TO JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS FOR INFORMATION ON AREA
RIVERS THAT ARE AT RISK TO FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA EARLY FRIDAY EAST OF
THE I-65 CORRIDOR. THERE IS A RISK OF AREA OR FLASH FLOODING. STAY
TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY FORCE RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
RIVER FORECASTS FOR INFORMATION ON AREA RIVERS THAT REMAIN IN OR
NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BRING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OUT TO 20 NM
SATURDAY MORNING...AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OUT TO 60 NM THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY
BE REQUIRED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
804 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

ALZ061-062-MSZ076-079-050300-
UPPER MOBILE-GEORGE-GREENE-UPPER BALDWIN-
804 PM CST THU FEB 4 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GEORGE...GREENE...BALDWIN AND
MOBILE COUNTIES...

AT 801 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR AGRICOLA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
SHIPMAN...SHIPMAN...MOFFET...MOFFET AND WILMER THROUGH 900 PM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL
EXACERBATE ANY FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING OVER THE WARNED AREA.
PERSONS ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY RISING WATERS. DRIVER
SHOULD AVOID DRIVING OVER AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO CROSS SAFELY.