Small Craft Advisory 143, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010

...STRONG COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUN PRECEDED BY NARROW BAND
OF CONVECTION WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY...THE MUCH TALKED ABOUT AND ANTICIPATED LOW HAS WOUND ITSELF
UP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING...MOVING QUICKLY FROM NEAR
THE THE TX/LA BORDER TO NEAR THE MOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN THE
PAST 6 HOURS. CLOSER TO HOME...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLIDE
OFF TO THE EAST LEAVING ITS AXIS DRAPED ACROSS S FL FOR THE DAY.

THE LOW WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AND SKIRT ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES
DURING...AND IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA
BY AROUND 00Z. WITH THE LOW NOT ARRIVING UNTIL THIS EVENING...AND
ITS MAIN IMPACTS NOT UNTIL OVERNIGHT...CHRISTMAS DAY WILL BE FAIRLY
PLEASANT WITH INCREASING HIGH/MID LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE DAY AND
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 10-15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.

S-SW FLOW WILL HELP BRING AFTERNOON MAX TEMPERATURE TO NEAR SEASONAL
NORMS WITH UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-4
CORRIDOR...TO MID 70S OVER OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST.

TONIGHT...SFC LOW WILL QUICKLY CROSS THE N FLORIDA PENINSULA
OVERNIGHT...EMERGING INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR JACKSONVILLE BY 06Z (1
AM) AND BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH ALL BUT MARTIN COUNTY BY
DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. PWATS HAVE COME UP TO 0.80" ON THE MORNING
SOUNDING AT KXMR...BUT ONLY 0.60" AT KTBW...BETTER THAN YESTERDAYS
0.40"...BUT STILL LOW FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP AMOUNTS. PWATS ARE
FORECAST TO COME UP TO ABOUT 1.10" WITH THE FRONT...WHICH ALONG WITH
THE LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE BOUNDARY. NO MENTION OF THUNDER OVER THE LAND AREAS.

THE WIND FIELD ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL BE MAINLY
UNI-DIRECTIONAL...BUT STRONG...FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 45-55KT AT
925MB AND 850MB...RESULTING IN IMPRESSIVE SPEED SHEAR. WHILE WE ARE
NOT EXPECTING HEAVY RAINFALL ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW STRONGER CELLS MAY CONTAIN
GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AS THESE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

FOR POPS WILL START OUT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE EVERYWHERE DURING THE
EVENING...THEN SEE CHANCES INCREASE TO LIKELY (60 PERCENT) LATE
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-4
CORRIDOR. FURTHER SOUTH WILL GO WITH 50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 40 PERCENT
OVER THE TREASURE COAST AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTY.

&&

.AVIATION...WILL SEE INCREASED CLOUDINESS THROUGH THE DAY FROM HIGH
& MID LEVELS. THICKENING CLOUD COVER WITH GRADUALLY LOWERING BASES
WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING & OVERNIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. NARROW BAND OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
BRINGING -SHRA/SHRA TO KLEE-KISM-KMCO-KDAB B/N 05Z-09Z AND
KMLB-KVRB-KFPR-KSUA 09Z-12Z. MAIN THREAT FROM CONVECTION WILL BE A
QUICK SHOT AT SOME PCPN AND GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE FROM IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS ALOFT POSSIBLY REACHING 40-45
KTS. BREEZY CONDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS BOUNDARY APPROACHES
WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KTS AND GUSTY AHEAD OF FRONT WITH SHIFT
TO W/WNW BEHIND BOUNDARY.

&&

.MARINE...

TODAY-TONIGHT...PERSISTENT LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELL CONTINUES
TODAY WITH SEAS 5-6 FT OVER THE GULF STREAM WITH BUOY 41009 ALSO
SHOWING SMALL 13-14S SWELL WITH THE MAIN 11-12S PERIODS. WILL KEEP
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS OFFSHORE SOUTH OF VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE
AND NEAR SHORE GULF STREAM SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. L

LIGHT S/SW INCREASING TO 10-15 KTS AWAY FROM THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. A TIGHTER PGRAD CONTINUES THIS EVENING & OVERNIGHT AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE
15-20 KTS...BECOMING 25-30 KTS AND GUSTY BY DAYBREAK SUN MORNING.
SEAS WILL BE A BIT SLOWER TO RESPOND BUT WILL INCREASE WELL OFFSHORE
6-8 FT BY DAYBREAK SUN MORNING AND 4-6 FT NEAR SHORE.

SCA FOR OFFSHORE WATERS STARTING AT 00Z (7PM) TONIGHT AND NEAR SHORE
AT 06Z (1AM). THE GALE WATCH IN EFFECT OFFSHORE BEGINNING AT 09Z
(4AM) HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A GALE WARNING.

SUN-MON...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
20-25KT NEAR SHORE 25-30 KT OFFSHORE WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE...ALSO MENTIONED A FEW GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS. WINDS BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON MONDAY AS PGRAD STARTS
TO SLACKEN. EXTENDED SCA OFFSHORE WATERS AFTER GALE WATCH EXPIRATION
INTO MON EVENING...ALSO THROUGH MON AFTN FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
     FLORIDA.

AM...GALE WARNING FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...MOSES
LONG TERM....CRISTALDI

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>