Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Melbourne, FL

July 15, 2010Lake County, Orange County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2010, 4:52 PM EDT for Lake County, Orange County, Florida. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2010, 4:52 PM EDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2010, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2010-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2048 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2010-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -32 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2048 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 3:55 PM EDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 3:55 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 12:24 PM EDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1224 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-160430-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1224 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE ATMOSPHERE IS MORE MOIST AND SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE TODAY THAN
PREVIOUS DAYS. AS A RESULT...ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED LATE THIS MORNING DESPITE A VEIL OF MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS. THESE CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO THIN AND ADDITIONAL
LIGHTNING STORMS WILL DEVELOP AS SURFACE HEATING INCREASES AND THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE
FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH.
EXPECT STORM MOVEMENT TO BE TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO 3 INCHES IN SOME SPOTS
CAUSING TEMPORARY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STRONGER AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING CLOUD TO GROUND AND CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS OVER INLAND LAKES...AND ON THE INTRACOASTAL
AND NEARSHORE WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SURFACE RIDGE AXIS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO NORTH
FLORIDA BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR
PORTIONS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

SEDLOCK/KELLY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 12:37 PM EDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 1:22 PM EDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 15, 4:09 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 12:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBBrevard38 min
Jul 15, 4:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBLake111 min
Jul 15, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Osceola37 min
Jul 15, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Volusia31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.