Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Melbourne, FL

791 
WWUS52 KMLB 032014
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
414 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

FLC095-117-032024-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-100603T2045Z/
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
414 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN SEMINOLE AND CENTRAL 
ORANGE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS. AS A
RESULT...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 2867 8125 2879 8110 2866 8101 2864 8101
      2860 8098 2841 8105 2848 8129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 218DEG 10KT 2856 8110

$$


52

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1036 AM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

.UPDATE DISCUSSION...

AS EXPECTED...MORNING CAPE SOUNDING SHOWS HIGHER PRECIP WATER
VALUES (1.94") WITH -9C AT 500 MB. HI RES VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS
CONGESTED CU DEVELOPING FROM OKEECHOBEE CO TO THE TREASURE COAST
AND EXPECT CONVECTIVE INITIATION TO AGAIN OCCUR IN THIS REGION...
IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS TO START. THE SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP IN
THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS ALG THE TREASURE COAST WHICH WILL BE A FOCUS
FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS. SEA BREEZE WILL
DEVELOP NORTHWARD ALG THE BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES AS WELL BUT
EXPECT LESS INLAND PENETRATION AS OFFSHORE FLOW IS FORECAST TO
INCREASE DURING THE DAY. SEA BREEZE MAY STALL OR EVEN GET PUSHED
BACK TO THE EAST ESP IN VOLUSIA. STILL EXPECTING A HIGH COVERAGE
OF RAIN/STORMS MAINLY LATE THIS AFTN INTO EARLY THIS EVENING ON
THE EAST SIDE OF THE PENINSULA. CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE AND
HAVE MADE ONLY SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE GRAPHICAL FORECAST
BASED ON OBSERVATIONS. NO ZFP UPDATE.

TODAY (PREVIOUS)...SYNOPTIC PTRN FEATURES S/SSW SFC WINDS WITH SW
FLOW FROM JUST OF THE DECK UP THROUGH H70. H50 HGTS (585/586 DM)
AND TEMPS (-9C/-10C) A BIT BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY JUNE. COULD ALSO
SEE MINOR INCRS IN DPVA OVER THE NRN CWA AS MID LVL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH SE OF LA (SEEN IN WATERVAPOR IMAGERY) SLIDES ENE TODAY.
MEAN PWAT PROGGED TO INCRS TO AROUND 1.8"/1.9" WITH SWRLY STEERING
LYR FLOW ALSO INCRSG TO ABOUT 20-25MPH AFT 18Z. ALL THIS SPELLS
HIGHER COVRG OF STORMS FOR THE CTRL/ERN SIDE OF THE PENINSULA
COMPARED TO WED. GOING WITH 60 PCT AREAWIDE...WHICH IS SHADED
TOWARD THE HIGH SIDE OF MAV/MET MOS. ECSB SHOULD MAKE STEADY
PROGRESS INLAND WITH COLLISION NEAR/SLGTLY EAST OF LK GEORGE-
KSFB-KMCO-KOBE LINE. EXPECT NMRS SHRA/TS TO FIRE EARLY ALONG
SEA/LAKE BREEZE INTERFACE OVER TREASURE COAST COS AND AROUND LAKE
OKEE. TEMPTED TO NUDGE POPS UP IN THAT AREA TO 70...BUT WILL KEEP
GOOD CONTINUITY WITH ADJCT FO'S.

FOR THIS EVENING...TEMPTED TO TRIM INTR POPS BACK A LTL BIT GIVEN
INCRS IN STEERING WINDS BUT KEPT 40...IN LINE WITH TPA. EXPECT ANY
LINGERING ACTIVITY TO PUSH OFFSHORE BY AROUND 03Z...PROBABLY SOONER
ACROSS THE NRN CWA.

SHOULD SEE SOME STRONGER STORMS ALONG BDRY INTERACTIONS WITH ISOLD
PULSE SVR (WIND/HAIL) AND FQT/EXCESSIVE LTG AND THE USUAL TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS. INCRSG STORM MOTION VECTOR COULD MITIGATE STORM TOTALS
SLGTLY...HOWEVER TEMPORARY URBAN PONDING/FLOODING STILL A DECENT BET
IN SOME SPOTS.

&&

.AVIATION...
ALREADY SEEING ISOLD MVFR CIGS ~FL020 INVOF VRB/FPR/SUA AND THIS
SHOULD DEVELOP NORTHWARD WITH BASES GRADUALLY LIFTING TO VFR THIS
AFTN. EXPECT SHRA/TS WITH MVFR/IFR VSBYS DVLPG AFT 15Z/16Z INVOF
VRB/MLB...THEN GRDLY INCRSG IN COVRG AREAWIDE THROUGH AROUND 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. SSW FLOW 10-15 KNOTS THIS MORNING WILL
TURN ONSHORE IN A SEA BREEZE. SEAS 1-2 FEET NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 3
FEET WELL OFFSHORE. CHANCE FOR STORMS OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND
NEARSHORE ATLC MAINLY SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET AS EARLY AS
NOON...THEN CHANCE FOR OFFSHORE MOVING STORMS VOLUSIA AND BREVARD
TOWARD EVENING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  91  75  91  74 /  60  40  70  30
MCO  92  74  91  74 /  60  40  60  20
MLB  90  75  90  74 /  60  40  70  30
VRB  90  74  89  74 /  60  40  70  30
LEE  93  75  90  74 /  60  40  60  20
SFB  93  75  92  74 /  60  40  60  20
ORL  93  76  92  74 /  60  40  60  20
FPR  90  74  90  74 /  60  40  60  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

KELLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
613 AM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-032000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
613 AM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING
AND THE AFTERNOON SEA AND LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY.

A FEW SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL FORM STARTING LATE THIS MORNING
...WITH THE BEST CHANCE AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST.
COVERAGE WILL INCREASE FROM EARLY AFTERNOON ONWARD AS THE EAST COAST
SEA BREEZE MOVES SLOWLY INLAND...AND THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES
INLAND AND EASTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER PACE.

THESE BOUNDARIES WILL COLLIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM LAKE GEORGE TO SANFORD...ORLANDO LAKE MARIAN...AND
BASINGER...WITH RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS POSSIBLE BETWEEN BEGINNING
AROUND 5 OR 6 PM. STORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
...MAINLY FROM THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.

STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY TODAY... WITH STORM
MOTION INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH TOWARD SUNSET. DUE TO COLDER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT...SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...
WITH A FEW SEVERE STORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY IN SEVERAL STORMS TODAY.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR INLAND LAKES AND THE TREASURE
COAST FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. OFFSHORE MOVING
STRONG STORMS ARE MORE LIKELY AROUND THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET STARTING BY LATE AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. MARINERS SHOULD BE
ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL OF STORMS MOVING IN RAPIDLY FROM THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING STORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. STORMS WILL
MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE MAINLAND INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
AFTERNOON...POSING LIGHTNING...WIND...HAIL AND TORRENTIAL RAINS
AS HAZARDS TO ALL OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES OVER LAND AND WATER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

CRISTALDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
233 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

FLZ147-031915-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
233 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH OVER NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT.

AT 229 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER KENNEDY SPACE
CENTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2843 8058 2845 8061 2853 8058 2858 8060
      2858 8061 2854 8060 2847 8064 2853 8074
      2869 8065 2860 8058 2853 8056 2848 8053
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 218DEG 9KT 2855 8060

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
257 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

FLZ044-144-031945-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
257 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH AND SMALL HAIL OVER LAKE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT.

AT 255 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL 20 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MASCOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL INCLUDE CLERMONT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORMS PASS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

STATE LAW REQUIRES HEADLIGHTS TO BE TURNED ON WHEN WINDSHIELD WIPERS
ARE IN USE.

LAT...LON 2894 8193 2896 8166 2919 8155 2879 8142
      2878 8166 2859 8165 2835 8167 2836 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 225DEG 41KT 2836 8207

67

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
312 PM EDT THU JUN 03 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             5 WSW WEST MELBOURNE    28.05N 80.75W
06/03/2010  E0.25 INCH       BREVARD            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZED HAIL OBSERVED AT INTERSECTION OF HOLLYWOOD
            BLVD. AND HENRY AVE.

&&

JRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
314 PM EDT THU JUN 03 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             WEST MELBOURNE          28.08N 80.67W
06/03/2010  E0.25 INCH       BREVARD            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZED HAIL OBSERVED NEAR INTERSECTION OF ELLIS AND
            WICKHAM RDS. 4 TO 6 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER OBSTRUCTING
            ONE LANE.

&&

JRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
338 PM EDT THU JUN 03 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     HAIL             OCOEE                   28.57N 81.53W
06/03/2010  E0.88 INCH       ORANGE             FL   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL OBSERVED NEAR INTERSECTION OF MAGUIRE
            AND THE TURNPIKE IN SOUTH OCOEE.

&&

JRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
344 PM EDT THU JUN 03 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND GST     MELBOURNE               28.08N 80.61W
06/03/2010  E50 MPH          BREVARD            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND GUST NEAR POST AND PINE CONE ROADS.
            SMALL TREE BRANCHES DOWN ALONG DEERWOOD TRAIL.

&&

JRC