Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1025 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOW THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA UNDER A HIGH
SHEAR/LOW CAPE STORM ENVIRONMENT THIS MORNING...DEEP MOISTURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE N WITH KTAE/KJAX SOUNDINGS FULLY SATURATED.
STRONG LOW LVL ENVIRONMENTAL INFLOW WITH SE SFC WINDS GUSTING TO
25-30MPH.

NMRS SHRAS/ISOLD TSRAS OVER THE NRN/CENTRAL CWA AHEAD OF FRONTAL
TROF PUSHING INTO THE WRN GOMEX.  CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE
FURTHER THIS AFTN AS STRONG DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR AHEAD OF THE
TROF PUSHES ACRS THE FL PENINSULA.  WIDESPREAD SHRAS AND SCT TSRAS
WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS...RAPID STORM DEVELOPMENT
PSBL.

CHANGES TO THE ZONES MAINLY TO REFRESH WORDING...HWO UPDATE PENDING
AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...
THRU 11/18Z...PREVAILING CIGS BTWN FL040-050 WITH NMRS MVFR
SHRAS/ISOLD IFR +SHRAS...OCNL SFC WND G25KTS. BTWN 11/18Z-12/06Z...
PREVAILING CIGS BLO FL020 WITH WDSPRD MVFR SHRAS/SCT IFR TSRAS...
OCNL SFC WND G20KTS.  BTWN 12/06Z-12/12Z PREVAILING CIGS BTWN
FL020-030 WITH SCT MVFR SHRAS/ISOLD IFR +SHRAS.

&&

.MARINE...
TIGHT PGRAD OVER THE LCL ATLC AHEAD OF A FRONTAL TROF OVER THE WRN
GOMEX.  SCA CONDITIONS AT ALL LCL BUOYS WITH SRLY WINDS 20-25KTS...
SEAS 4-6FT WITH 5-6SEC PDS.  WINDS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND VEER TO
THE SW OVERNIGHT...THEN TO THE NW BY DAYBREAK AS THE FRONT PUSHES
THRU THE PENINSULA.  WDSPRD SHRAS WITH SCT TSRAS THRU FRI.

FPR SCRIPPS BUOY MEASURING 6FT SEAS WITHIN 4NM OF THE COAST...
BUOY009 OVER 7FT.  WITH SUCH POOR PREVAILING CONDITIONS...WILL
EXPAND THE SCA TO INCLUDE ALL NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS AND EXTEND
EXPIRATION TIME THRU 10PM THIS EVENING.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...BRAGAW
LONG TERM....CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1141 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-120445-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1141 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER FLORIDA WILL ALLOW WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH THIS
EVENING. WIND PROFILES OVER THE AREA INDICATE SUFFICIENT LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR TO PRODUCE ROTATING STORMS THAT WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ALSO WILL AID
IN PRODUCING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH 6:00 PM THIS EVENING.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
ALTHOUGH STORMS TODAY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH...
INDIVIDUAL CELLS MAY TRAIN REPEATEDLY OVER ANY GIVEN LOCATION.
HEAVY SHORT TERM RAINFALL MAY RESULT THAT WOULD ALLOW WATER TO
POND ON STREETS...IN LOW LYING AREAS...AND THE LOW SPOTS
UNDERNEATH BRIDGES.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STRONG OFFSHORE MOVING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE FUNNEL CLOUDS AND WATER SPOUTS OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND
30 KNOTS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY BREEZE WILL PRODUCE VERY ROUGH...
SHORT PERIOD SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC TODAY. SEAS HEIGHTS OF 5
TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE AND 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE
AREA ON FRIDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AND MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED.

GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY
SATURDAY. MARGINALLY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN
THE OPEN ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER. FORMAL ACTIVATION MAY BE
NEEDED.

BRAGAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1009 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

FLZ041-044>046-053-141-144-147-111630-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE
COUNTY-
1009 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...INCREASINGLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY...LAKE COUNTY...ORANGE COUNTY...NORTHERN OSCEOLA
COUNTY...SEMINOLE COUNTY...AND VOLUSIA COUNTY THROUGHOUT THIS
MORNING...

AT 10 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL STORMS GROWING IN INTENSITY OVER THE NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA...ESPECIALLY FROM NEAR ZELLWOOD AND ORLANDO...TO DELAND AND
BARBERVILLE...TO NEAR ORMOND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. OTHERS
MAY AFFECT LOCATIONS NEAR SANFORD AND TITUSILLE.

ALSO...A SEVERE STORM HAS BEEN INDICATED OVER MARION COUNTY HAVING
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A TORNADO. A SIMILAR THREAT WILL GROW SOUTH
AND EASTWARD TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN FOR THE MENTIONED AREAS.

PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO ACT
QUICKLY GIVEN THAT BOTH STORM GROWTH AND MOVEMENT ARE LIKELY TO BE
VERY FAST.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HOWEVER...THE
CHANCE FOR A TORNADO IS ALSO A REAL CONCERN. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

DWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1133 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

FLZ045-046-053-141-147-111730-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-
1133 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

...STRONG FAST MOVING STORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE AND NORTHERN
OSCEOLA COUNTIES WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN ORANGE AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES
...THEN INTO SOUTHERN VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES...

AT 1128 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG STORMS FROM ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TO 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE MARY JANE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STRONG STORM INCLUDE WEDGEFIELD...
UNIVERSITY PARK...BITHLO...CHRISTMAS...OVIEDO...CHULUOTA...OAK
HILL AND MIMS.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SMALL HAIL...PEA TO DIME SIZE...WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

CRISTALDI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1137 AM EST THU MAR 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     DAYTONA BEACH           29.21N 81.03W
03/11/2010                   VOLUSIA            FL   ASOS

            MULTIPLE FUNNEL CLOUDS SIGHTED 2SW OF DAYTONA BEACH ASOS.

&&

JRC

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>