Red Flag Warning 65, NWS Melbourne, FL

961 
WWUS82 KMLB 040937
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
437 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-042300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0065.101204T1600Z-101204T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
437 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SOUTH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND LOW
LEVEL WINDS BACK AROUND THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

RL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1000 AM EST FRI DEC 3 2010

.DISCUSSION...

AFTER ANOTHER COLD START...WE WILL SEE ANOTHER COOL AND SUNNY DAY
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AS THE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTHWARDS. HIGHS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH AREAS ACROSS THE NORTH REACHING INTO THE
MID 60S AND THE TREASURE COAST AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTY PERHAPS
REACHING 70.

&&

.AVIATION...CLEAR. MIGHT HAVE SOME NORTHERLY GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS FROM
LATE MORNING-EARLY AFTERNOON KMLB-KFPR.

&&

.MARINE...
BUOY 41009 CONTINUES TO SHOW NORTH WINDS AT 15-20 KNOTS...SO WILL
MAKE NO CHANGE TO THE ONGOING ADVISORY IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS
CONTINUE AT 4 TO 5 FT WITH A MIXED SWELL AT 12-13S AND 5S. WILL WORD
THE FORECAST FOR THE SHORTER AND MORE DANGEROUS 5 SEC.

WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND BACK SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE SAGS INTO THE NORTHERN PENINSULA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIST
OVER THE GULF SAT AND WILL GET PUSHED TO THE SOUTHWEST SUN AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT BUILDS DOWN OVER THE AREA. MARINE CONDS WILL
DETERIORATE INTO LATE SAT NIGHT AS WINDS INITIALLY INCREASE OUT OF
THE WEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THEN SWITCH TO THE NORTH AS BOUNDARY
BUILDS SOUTH OVER THE WATERS SUN. MARINE CONDS WILL THEN REMAIN POOR
INTO THE WORK WEEK AS COLDER/DRY AIRMASS IS REINFORCED OVER THE AREA
KEEPING NORTHERLY WINDS/SEAS ELEVATED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BOTH OBS AT ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AND EXEC AIRPORTS SHOW RH VALUES
HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BELOW 35 PERCENT WITH KISSIMMEE NOT FAR BEHIND
IN THE UPPER 30S. DOSN'T LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE ANY PROBLEM
REACHING RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL LOCATIONS...BUT
WILL HAVE TO WATCH NORTHERN BREVARD IF TEMPS MANAGE TO CREEP A
LITTLE HIGHER THAN FORECAST.

DRY AIRMASS AND A MORE WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA SATURDAY
SHOULD ALLOW FOR SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES DURING
THE AFT OVER ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. HAVE THEREFORE ISSUED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CWA.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-
     OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
     MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

MOSES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
443 AM EST FRI DEC 3 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-032100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
443 AM EST FRI DEC 3 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A NORTH WIND FLOW WILL PRODUCE A SOUTHWARD FLOWING LONGSHORE
CURRENT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AND ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
COOL NORTH WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH...SO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE IN THE GULF STREAM INTO THIS
AFTERNOON.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO USHER DRY AIR INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL
RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS INTERIOR
SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BRING A HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERN
AGAIN SATURDAY.

HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND
EXTEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
THE EXTENDED. REMEMBER TO CHECK ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRENDS FOR
LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

LASCODY