Red Flag Warning 32, NWS Melbourne, FL

502 
WWUS82 KMLB 190645
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-192300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0032.100319T1700Z-100319T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
245 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THIS AFTERNOON
...ALONG WITH SOME EXPECTED DRIER AIR MOVING INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA...
TOGETHER WILL TEAM TO PROVIDE WILDFIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST BELOW
35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WITH
DURATIONS NEARING 4 HOURS IN MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SEDLOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
921 AM EDT THU MAR 18 2010

.DISCUSSION...
VIGOROUS MID ATLANTIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUMP WRAP
AROUND LOW CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA.
INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF CLOUDS THEN SUN WILL SLOW DAYTIME HEATING
...AND TEAMED WITH SOME COOL ADVECTION...WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER
LOWER THAN CLIMO DAY TODAY TEMPERATURE-WISE. DESPITE SIGNIFICANT
MID-UPPER DRYING/SUBSIDENCE AS EVIDENT WITHIN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY...TRANSLATING COLD POOL ALOFT WILL BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A
CONTINUED MENTION OF ISOLATED SHOWERS...TAPPING THE LIMITED BUT
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS SUPPLIED BY THE LOWER LEVELS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN BRISK WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10-15 MPH.

&&

.AVIATION...IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS FOR MOST SITES TO BE INTERMITTENT
THRU AT LEAST 15Z...LIFTING SLOWLY AOA BKN035 AFTERWARD. VRB
SITUATED FAR ENOUGH SOUTH AWAY FROM WRAP AROUND CLOUDS FOR VFR
COND BUT WITH PASSING DECKS LATER IN PERIOD. EXPECT SERIES OF
SHORT-TERM AMENDMENTS UNTIL CEILINGS LIFT.

&&

.MARINE...A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED SCA
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH BEYOND
20 NM. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS DRIVING SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET
SUBSTANTIATED BY LATEST INTERPOLATED OBS BETWEEN BUOYS 009 & 010.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
     SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM....RL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1143 AM EDT THU MAR 18 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-190345-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1143 AM EDT THU MAR 18 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
BEACHGOERS BEWARE...THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS IS HIGH TODAY AT
AREA BEACHES. THIS THREAT HAS BEEN CONFIRMED BY ON DUTY LIFEGUARDS
ACCORDING TO THEIR VISUAL OBSERVATIONS OF SURF ZONE CONDITIONS. A
HIGH THREAT MEANS THAT RIP CURRENTS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS...LARGER...
AND STRONGER THAN NORMAL. IF ENCOUNTERED...THEY WILL HAVE THE
ABILITY TO PULL EVEN THE MORE EXPERIENCED OCEAN SWIMMERS INTO
DEEPER WATER.

A LONG PERIOD SWELL AND HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE SUPPORTING
ADVERSE SURF ZONE CONDITIONS TODAY. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
BEACHGOERS DO NOT ENTER THE SURF. HOWEVER...IF BRAVELY ENTERING
THE COOL SURF...BE SURE THAT A LIFEGUARD IS NEARBY AND KNOWS THAT
YOU ARE ENTERING THE WATER. NEVER SWIM ALONE.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
OFFSHORE WINDS TO 20 KNOTS AND A BUILDING LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL
ALLOW SEAS TO REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS OFFSHORE THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ELEVATED SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

A DRIER AIR MASS MOVING INTO THE AREA LATE WEEK WILL INCREASE THE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERN FOR FRIDAY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH THE NEXT THREAT FOR SHOWERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

DWS