Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Melbourne, FL

075 
WWUS82 KMLB 151912
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
212 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

FLZ041-044>046-053-141-144-147-160900-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0013.100216T1700Z-100216T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-100215T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
212 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARMING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH CRITICALLY DRY CONDITIONS LIKELY AGAIN ON 
TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 TO
96 HOURS. PLEASE MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST FIRE
WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

FLZ047-054-058-152300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-100215T2300Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-
212 PM EST MON FEB 15 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

DRY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARMING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
926 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY-TONIGHT...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE JUST
WEST OF TALLAHASSEE CONTINUES MVMT TOWARD THE REGION. CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS REMAIN LARGELY ALONG AND WEST OF THE FRONTAL ZONE ATTM. THE
LOCAL SOUNDING AT XMR REMAINS QUITE DRY WITH LESS THAN HALF AN INCH
OF PRECIPITABLE WATER WITH VEERING WINDS FROM THE SFC UP THROUGH H7.
MIXING BY LATE MORNING WILL BRING SW WINDS AND GRADUAL MOISTURE
INCREASE TO THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIP CHCS IN THE FORM OF
ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL UNFOLD BY EVENING WITH
APPROACH OF FRONT. LACK OF APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD
PRECLUDE QPF AMTS ANY MORE THAN A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THROUGH
THE TIME OF FRONTAL PSG LATER TODAY. WL UPDATE FCST WITH A FEW MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH 21Z. ISOLD MVFR AFTER 22Z DUE TO CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES IN/NEAR RAINSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA. MOST CIGS SHOULD REMAIN AOA 040 HOWEVER.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING OFFSHORE COMPONENT FLOW AS THE GRADIENT
STRENGTHENS BETWEEN A FRONT ADVANCING OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM RETREATING AWAY FROM THE PENINSULA. WINDS EXPECTED
TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS...20 NM AND BEYOND
AND AROUND 10 TO 15 KNOTS OVER THE NEARSHORE MARINE ZONES BEYOND A
FEW MILES OF SHORE OUT TO 20 NM INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WL
INCREASE TO 20 KNOTS OR MORE OVER THE OUTER WATERS LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...CALM WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE MID AND UPPER 30S. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN INCREASING AND SHIFT TO
THE SOUTH DURING THE MORNING AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES. LOOKING AT
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOW 40S AS DEW POINTS ARE
EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE 40S DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE
SOUTHERLY FLOW PULLS GULF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 60S. ALTHOUGH GROUND MOISTURE IS HIGH
ENOUGH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE IN THE LOW
40S...LOW LEVEL WINDS APPROACH 15 MPH FOR A WHILE THEREFORE WILL
NEED TO KEEP A WATCH ON WEATHER CONDITIONS.

TUE-FRI...DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN SOME RH VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT
THROUGH THE PERIOD. INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR
LONG DURATIONS WILL BE LATER IN THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY THU-FRI AS
THE LOW LEVEL WIND TRAJECTORY SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST AND
MODIFYING INFLUENCE OF THE GULF BEGINS TO WANE.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

JP/PG/DVD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
518 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-152000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
518 AM EST MON FEB 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
MODERATE DUE TO LONG PERIOD SWELLS IMPACTING THE BEACHES. THE
THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...DURING THE
OUTGOING TIDE. CHECK WITH YOUR LOCAL BEACH PATROL FOR THE LATEST
BEACH CONDITIONS BEFORE ENTERING THE SURF...AND NEVER SWIM ALONE.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
THEN TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS KNOTS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH MORNING
LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE NEAR FREEZING INTERIOR LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY MORNING

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

WIMMER