Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2010

Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

January 1, 20106 counties in Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this red flag warning at Jan 1, 2010, 1:51 PM EST for 6 counties in Florida. It took effect at Jan 2, 2010, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2010, 1:51 PM EST (18:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 2, 2010, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 2, 2010, 6:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

Counties Lake County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2010-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 16 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2010-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
16 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
747 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

350 
WWUS82 KMLB 011851
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
151 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-141-144-147-020900-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.A.0037.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0001.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1600Z-100103T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
151 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEGINNING SATURDAY...AND THIS AIR
MASS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...POTENTIALLY BRINGING
SEVERAL AFTERNOONS WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ058-059-064-020900-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0037.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1600Z-100103T2300Z/
OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
151 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEGINNING SATURDAY...AND THIS AIR
MASS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...POTENTIALLY BRINGING
SEVERAL AFTERNOONS WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
492 
WWUS82 KMLB 020942
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
442 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

FLZ058-059-064-022300-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.A.0037.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KMLB.FW.W.0001.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1600Z-100103T2300Z/
OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
442 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...AND THIS AIR MASS WILL
AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING SEVERAL AFTERNOONS
WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-141-144-147-022300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.100102T1700Z-100102T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1600Z-100103T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
442 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...AND THIS AIR MASS WILL
AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING SEVERAL AFTERNOONS
WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

CRISTALDI
083 
WWUS82 KMLB 021909
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
209 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

FLZ041-044>046-053-141-144-031030-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1600Z-100103T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0002.100103T1700Z-100103T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0002.100104T1600Z-100104T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100102T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
209 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND...AND THIS AIR MASS WILL
AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING SEVERAL AFTERNOONS
WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ047-054-058-059-147-031030-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0002.100104T1600Z-100104T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1700Z-100103T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100102T2300Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
209 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FIRE WEATHER REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING.

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND...AND THIS AIR MASS WILL
AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING SEVERAL AFTERNOONS
WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ064-031030-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FW.A.0001.100103T1700Z-100103T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100102T2300Z/
MARTIN-
209 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MASS INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND...AND THIS AIR MASS WILL
AFFECT THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING SEVERAL AFTERNOONS
WITH LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

SEDLOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jan 1, 8:33 AM EST, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 8:33 AM EST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
833 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

.DISCUSSION...

...FAST MOVING STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS LATER
THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...

CURRENTLY...A CLUSTER OF FAST MOVING STORMS IS QUICKLY APPROACHING
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST AHEAD OF AN INTENSE MID LYR SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

THE MORNING XMR SOUNDING INDICATES MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILE
ATTM WITH DEEP MOISTURE THROUGH THE COLUMN. THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO EXTENSIVE
CLOUD COVER...HOWEVER APPROACH OF AN UPR WIND MAX ALONG WITH THE
ACTUAL COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF FORCED CONVECTION
AND SOME STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON AS STORMS DEVELOP/MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

FORECAST WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM TO REFINE TIMING AND CONDENSE
WORDING...

...MODIFIED PREV DISC...

MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR STORMS TO MAINTAIN THEIR
STRENGTH AS THEY PUSH ACROSS THE PENINSULA QUICKLY FROM THE EASTERN
GULF. INCREASING DEEP LYR WINDS FIELDS...H9 WINDS TO 40-50 KNOTS...
H8 WINDS TO 55-60 KNOTS AND H5 WINDS TO 70-75 KNOTS SHOULD BE
ADEQUATE FOR ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

GFS DEEPENS LOW TO 1009 MB AFTER TRAVERSING PENINSULA BY 18Z. BEST
SVR CHANCES WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE LOW TRACK DURING THE THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON LEADING UP TO ACTUAL PASSAGE OF THE
STRONG COLD FRONT. BECOMING WINDY AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH NW
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH. LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN
EFFECT THIS AFTN FOR BREEZY WSW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THEN
BECOMING WINDY FROM THE NW WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES QUICKLY OFFSHORE.

TONIGHT...LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
GUSTY NW WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. COLDER AND DRIER
AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE MID 30S NORTH TO MID 40S S
CSTL. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS
NRN FORECAST SECTIONS AND HAVE INCLUDED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY DOWN
TO OSCEOLA AND NRN BREVARD COUNTIES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE
MID 30S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL FL.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCT SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSRA WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE BTWN 16Z-20Z AS
TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE ERN GULF MOVES QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
E CENTRAL FL PENINSULA. THIS WILL AFFECT ALL TERMINALS TODAY WITH
MVFR CIGS AND IFR VSBY WITH STORMS AT TIMES. COLD FRONT WILL END
PRECIP CHANCES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY LATE AFTN WITH CLEARING SKIES
BY 23Z-02Z AND INCREASING NW WINDS FROM THE LATE AFTN INTO THE
EVENING WITH GUSTS UP TO 24-28 KTS PSBL.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY AS A BAND OF
STORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
WATERS DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS AND THEN STRONG AND
GUSTY NW WINDS DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. NW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25-30 KNOTS OFFSHORE WITH SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT OFFSHORE TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS MAY WANT
TO DELAY TRIPS ON THE OPEN ATLANTIC WATERS WITH THE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. BRISK WINDS AND HIGH/CHOPPY SEAS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN PLACE INTO SUN...WHEN SLGT RELAXATION OF PGRAD MAY ALLOW
WINDS/SEAS TO FALL BACK A BIT TO JUST BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS...THOUGH
EXPECT CAUTIONARY CONDS TO CONTINUE THRU MON. MAY SEE RETURN OF SCA
CONDS BY TUE WITH REINFORCING NW SURGE KICKING UP WINDS/SEAS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
     MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
VOLUSIA-INDIAN      RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN
BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-
OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-     SOUTHERN
LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
     NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
     SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-
     ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY
     LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO
     JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

JP/TES/MRT
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 5:00 AM EST, 8 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
500 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
TOWARD THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING WITH IT A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ENHANCED BY A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM AND STRENGTHENING LOW AND MID LAYER WIND
FIELDS AS IT APPROACHES EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING
AND DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL
BE THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH BOWING THUNDERSTORM
SEGMENTS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. THERE IS A VERY
LOW THREAT THAT A STORM COULD DEVELOP ROTATION AND PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER BY LISTENING FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER QUICKLY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE INDOORS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS LATE THIS MORNING WILL BECOMING WINDY FROM
THE NORTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT DURING
THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND MAY HELP MIX SOME STRONGER WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 35 KNOTS TO THE SURFACE ACROSS THE INLAND LAKES CAUSING A
HAZARD FOR SMALL BOATERS.

GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO BLOW AROUND LIGHT PATIO FURNITURE AND BLOW
DEBRIS ACROSS ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOK OUT FOR
LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN INTO YOUR LANE.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED AT 10 TO 15 MPH
OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S WILL ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S
AND LOWER 30 LATE AT NIGHT.

THIS WILL BE THE FIRST NIGHT OF MANY WITH LOWS IN THE 30S ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. HOUSE AND APARTMENT FIRES POSE A
REAL DANGER DURING FLORIDA COLD AIR OUTBREAKS. REMEMBER TO KEEP
FLAMMABLE MATERIAL SUCH AS CLOTHING OR NEWSPAPERS AWAY FROM
PORTABLE HEATERS. MAKE SURE THAT SMOKE DETECTORS ARE WORKING
PROPERLY BEFORE GOING TO SLEEP.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A DECREASING NORTHEAST SWELL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS AT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES TODAY.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
QUICKLY EASTWARD TOWARD EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MID DAY AND MOVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. THE POTENTIAL IS HIGH
FOR WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35 KNOTS WITH THESE STORMS WHICH WILL BE A
HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS ON THE LARGER INLAND
LAKES...INTRACOASTAL AND ATLANTIC WATERS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE THROUGH THE DAY AS GUSTY SOUTHWEST
TO WEST WINDS ACCOMPANY A LINE OF STORMS AND THEN WIND STRENGTHEN
FURTHER FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS OFFSHORE TONIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING
OVER 10 FEET. BOATING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL
CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SUCCESSIVE NIGHTS WELL INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH LOW WIND CHILLS ALONG WITH A THREAT OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ON A FEW NIGHTS. THE AIR MASS WILL ALSO BE VERY DRY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONCERNS SATURDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER. FORMAL ACTIVATION MAY BE
NEEDED.

VOLKMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 4:06 AM ESTLake Wind AdvisoryMLBLake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia15 hr
Jan 1, 4:17 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryMLBLake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia29 hr
Jan 1, 4:28 AM ESTFire Weather WatchMLBLake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia48 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2010Every red flag warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.