Lake Wind Advisory 7, NWS Melbourne, FL

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
940 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...

...COLD WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT TOWARD DAYBREAK THURSDAY...

CURRENT...LOW PRESSURE GETTING CRANKED UP EAST OF BUOY 41010 THIS
EVENING. ASCD COLD FRONT HAS PASSED WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA AND
STRONG ADVECTION OF COLD AIR WILL OCCUR THE REST OF TONIGHT WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS AT THE BEACHES. A SHIELD OF LIGHT RAIN RELEGATED
TO THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY RECEDE OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS DURING THE OVER NIGHT HOURS LEAVING SOME CLOUDS AND
CHILLY CONDITIONS THROUGH DAY BREAK. WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE 30S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY REQUIRED ADVISORIES FOR ALL
BUT THE TREASURE COAST. WL UPDATE EVENING FCST WITH MORE PERSISTENT
CLOUDS AND OTHER MINOR ADJUSTMENTS

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS MAINLY OVER THE SPACE AND TREASURE COAST THROUGH 07Z
THEN BECOMING VFR AREA WIDE. WINDS G25KT MAINLY AT THE IMMEDIATE
COAST THROUGH 09Z.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL MARINE ZONES INTO SATURDAY
WITH GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM SATURDAY OVER THE OUTER WATERS NORTH OF
SEBATIAN INLET. OVERALL HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
     NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
     SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-
     ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
     INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     GALE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
525 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-251030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
525 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT...ALLOWING OVERNIGHT
LOWS ACROSS NORTH LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES TO FALL INTO
THE MIDDLE 30S BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15
TO 20 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AND LOWER WIND CHILLS AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND TOWARD DAYBREAK TO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE
MIDDLE 30S WILL BE FELT AS FAR SOUTH AS OSCEOLA AND SOUTH BREVARD
COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FROM 2AM THROUGH 9AM THURSDAY MORNING.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL OVERSPREAD
THE COASTAL WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS EVENING. WIND
SPEEDS NEAR SHORE WILL BECOME SUSTAINED AROUND 20 KNOTS AND 25 TO
30 KNOTS OFFSHORE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD AWAY FROM
THE COAST NEAR SHORE 4 TO 6 FEET...AND 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
POOR BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AS A
DEVELOPING GALE CENTER LIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA. A BRIEF WINDOW
OF IMPROVED BOATING CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY. BUT INCREASED
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

DECREASING WINDS WITH A VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL SET UP A
POTENTIAL FREEZE ACROSS LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES THURSDAY NIGHT.
NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND
INLAND FROM THE COAST.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE SENSITIVITY BOTH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY FOR LONG DURATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALSO BE GUSTY ON THURSDAY.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM MAY TRACK ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND BRING A ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY
STRONG...TO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

BRAGAW