Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
144 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

.DISCUSSION...THE MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN
PARKED OVER THE AREA WILL RETREAT WEST A BIT AND ALLOW A WEAK COLD
FRONTAL TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE TN. VALLEY TO MOVE INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA ON TUESDAY WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY.
ANYHOW, THE MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. WITH THE FRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHING ON MONDAY, WESTERLY
FLOW WILL TAKE OVER WITH POSSIBLY A SEABREEZE PINNED NEAR THE COAST.
BUT WITH THE FRONT GETTING CLOSER, WE WILL SEE NUMEROUS ACTIVITY
ON MONDAY WHICH WILL BE A BIT HIGHER THAN TODAY'S 50% POPS. SOME
STORMS MAY BE STRONG TODAY AND MONDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE IN THE LOWER TO
MID 90S THROUGH THE WEEK EVEN WITH THE FRONTAL TROUGH IN THE AREA,
BUT POSSIBLY A BIT OF RELIEF AT THE ATLANTIC COAST WITH SOME SITES
BELOW 90 TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY BUT THEN THE EASTERLIES RETURN.
NORMAL SCATTERED POPS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY ON.

&&

.AVIATION...LOOKS LIKE LITTLE HAS CHANGED THIS CYCLE. THINK SHRA/TS
WILL DEVELOP INTERIOR AND MOV SE NEAR THE E CST TERMINALS THROUGH
AROUND 00Z. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AS COVERAGE WILL BE SCT OR LESS
BUT A BRIEF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CIG/VSBY POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE VFR
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SEA BREEZES ALONG BOTH COASTS WILL MAINTAIN
ONSHORE WIND FLOW AT ALL TERMINALS BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND
VRB/03KT AFT 02Z.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WITH RATHER LIGHT WINDS WILL
CONTINUE...EXCEPT IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS HERE AS THE MINIMUM RH'S WILL BE ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  92  75  89 / 40 60 30 40
FORT LAUDERDALE  78  92  77  90 / 40 60 30 40
MIAMI            75  92  77  91 / 40 60 30 40
NAPLES           78  91  77  90 / 10 40 20 40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...18/GR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...30/KOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
400 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-062200-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL
BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
400 AM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTERIOR AND EAST TODAY...
...HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 105 TO 110 TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD, ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL.

LIGHTNING: A MODERATE RISK OF LIGHTNING WILL BE GENERALLY EXPECTED
OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA DUE TO THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NO
RISK IS EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST.

FLOOD: LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW
LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

WIND: WINDS GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH MAY OCCUR IN THE ANY OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPERATURE: HEAT INDEX VALUES, THE APPARENT TEMPERATURES, MAY RANGE
FROM 105 TO 109 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAT INDEX MAY POSSIBLY BE UP 110 IN SOUTH
CENTRAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A DAILY CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER ALL AREAS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AGAIN RANGE BETWEEN 105-109
FOR MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED,
HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL
AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
402 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

FLZ066-070-062045-
HENDRY FL-INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-
402 PM EDT SUN JUN 6 2010

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN
COLLIER AND SOUTHERN HENDRY COUNTIES FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 T0 55 MPH...UP TO NICKEL-SIZED
HAIL...

AT 400 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF
HENDRY CORRECTIONAL I/A/P TO 6 MILES NORTH OF COPELAND...MOVING EAST
AT 10 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT...

ROCK ISLAND...
DEEP LAKE...
INTERSECTION ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND SR 839...
HENDRY CORRECTIONAL I/A/P...
BIG CYPRESS ACCESS AREAS OFF ALLIGATOR ALLEY...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 T0 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT
FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2646 8095 2594 8099 2598 8143 2646 8135
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 273DEG 8KT 2638 8123 2605 8134

BAXTER