Hurricane Local Statement 1, NWS Miami, FL

339 
WTUS82 KMFL 282253
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 CONTINUES TO HEADS IN THE GENERAL
DIRECTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. 

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL
BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. 

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF, INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY. THE WARNING ALSO EXTENDS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF
FLORIDA BAY FROM THE CARD SOUND ROAD BRIDGE TO CAPE SABLE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE GULF WATERS FROM CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY ACCORDING TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS
DESCRIBED BELOW IN THE SEGMENTS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREAS SHOULD REVISE THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5N...LONGITUDE 82.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT
330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH
OF NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 35 MPH. 

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RAINFALL FLOODING AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY, HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO THE RATHER DISORGANIZED NATURE
OF THE SYSTEM, IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT MOST OF THE IMPACTS WILL
BE ON THE EAST SIDE. THIS MEANS THAT ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT EAST OF
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL RESULT IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND
STRONGEST WINDS REMAINING OFFSHORE. NEVERTHELESS, SOUTH FLORIDIANS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FIRST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AND SECOND THE POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY
PARTICULARLY ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO AND COASTAL AREAS.

THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR SLIGHT RISK OF WEAK TORNADOES MAINLY
ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOME MINOR TIDAL
INUNDATION ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. 

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. 

FLZ168-172>174-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
24 TO 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING BEGINNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERNMOST ZONES AND SPREAD NORTH. CONDITIONS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO IMPROVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES BY MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AND ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES BY EARLY EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH POSSIBLE MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT
TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE TORNADO WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
25 TO 30 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY MAINLY BETWEEN MID TO LATE MORNING
AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOSTLY IN RAIN BANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WITH THOSE WINDS MORE LIKELY TO BE OBSERVED ALONG AREAS CLOSEST
TO THE COAST.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE TORNADO WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

FLZ075-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
16 TO 24 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT. 

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WIND, AND TORNADO SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 
AROUND 30 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND SPREAD NORTH. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BEGINS SUBSIDING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ZONES AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...AND LOCALLY HIGHER...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY
LATE IN THE DAY AS WINDS SUBSIDE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK AND POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN CASE SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY.

$$

GMZ657-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. 

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-290600-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 
20 TO 60 NM-
653 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 MAIN IMPACTS LIKELY TO REMAIN EAST OF
THE AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED SHOULD
ADVERSE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OCCUR. 

$$

659 
WTUS82 KMFL 290440
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 CONTINUES TO HEADS IN THE GENERAL
DIRECTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. 

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL
BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. 

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF, INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY. THE WARNING ALSO EXTENDS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF
FLORIDA BAY FROM THE CARD SOUND ROAD BRIDGE TO CAPE SABLE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE GULF WATERS FROM CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY ACCORDING TO THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS
DESCRIBED BELOW IN THE SEGMENTS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREAS SHOULD REVISE THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9N...LONGITUDE 81.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT
290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH
OF NAPLES FL. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RAINFALL FLOODING AND MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ON THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY, HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY
MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA. DUE TO THE
RATHER DISORGANIZED NATURE OF THE SYSTEM, IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE
THAT MOST OF THE IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE. THIS MEANS THAT
ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT EAST OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL RESULT
IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WINDS REMAINING OFFSHORE.
NEVERTHELESS, SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
FIRST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THROUGH WEDNESDAY, AND SECOND THE
POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DURING THE DAY
ON WEDNESDAY PARTICULARLY ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO AND COASTAL
AREAS.

THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR SLIGHT RISK OF WEAK TORNADOES MAINLY
ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOME MINOR TIDAL
INUNDATION ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE
WITH THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS DESCRIBED IN THIS STATEMENT. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WEB SITE. 

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. 

FLZ168-172>174-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WIND, AND FLOODING SECTIONS. 

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
25 TO 32 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER PARTICULARLY IN RAIN BANDS DURING
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER
...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IF THE TRACK SHIFTS
WEST...THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES...OR THE SYSTEM GETS BETTER ORGANIZED
WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...THESE WINDS DO NOT 
REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE
COULD OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE
UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES
AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED
LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS,
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE
BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND
NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD
BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY, WIND, AND FLOODING SECTIONS. 

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 
UP TO 32 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR HIGHER IN RAIN BANDS PARTICULARLY ALONG
AREAS CLOSEST TO THE COAST DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
PARTICULARLY IF THE TRACK SHIFTS WEST...THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES...OR
THE SYSTEM GETS BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED CLOSER
TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...THESE WINDS DO NOT 
REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE
COULD OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE
UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES
AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED
LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS,
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE
BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND
NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD
BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE TWICE THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

FLZ075-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
15 TO 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT. 

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 
UP TO 33 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND SPREAD NORTH. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BEGINS SUBSIDING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ZONES AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS.

THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...AND LOCALLY HIGHER...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY
LATE IN THE DAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS WINDS SUBSIDE.

$$

GMZ657-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL 
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. 

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-291100-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 
20 TO 60 NM-
1240 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 MAIN IMPACTS LIKELY TO REMAIN EAST OF
THE AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED SHOULD
ADVERSE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OCCUR. 

$$

869 
WTUS82 KMFL 290952
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS
MORNING AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 APPROACHES...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. 

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL
MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE. 

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS. 

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS. 

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 81.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT
190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 250 MILES 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-
NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM TODAY WILL BE PERIODS OF VERY 
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING, AS WELL AS 
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO NEAR OR AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BANDS OF 
VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH SQUALLS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL MOVE 
THROUGH MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES THROUGH LATE MORNING, THEN 
ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON 
HOURS. IT IS WITH THESE BANDS THAT THE WORST CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED 
WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD 
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON 
AND USE EXTREME CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE AREA. 

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS MOVING 
ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, AS 
WELL AS VERY MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA 
BARRIER ISLANDS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO PROTECT
PROPERTY FROM POSSIBLE FLOODING TODAY. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INSIDE FROM
TROPICAL STORM FORCE SQUALLS. 

MOTORISTS ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION THIS MORNING
AND AVOID AREAS OF STANDING WATER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE SQUALLS
CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES, PARTICULARLY ON
BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS AND OVERPASSES.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD HAVE
PREPARATIONS COMPLETED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND
WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

FLZ168-172>174-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS WILL SWEEP ACROSS AREA TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES, WIND AND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 25 TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS. AS THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES TODAY...TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IF THE SYSTEM
INTENSIFIES...OR GETS BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED
CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS DO NOT REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO MANY
MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES
MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS
WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES
AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME
PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME
DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE
GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED
OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK
OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
EXPECTED. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. MINOR
STREET FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER MOST OF THE COASTAL
SECTIONS OF METRO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED TODAY MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE STREET CLOSURES AND WATER
ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR
LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR OR IF
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-300600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS WILL SWEEP ACROSS AREA TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES, WIND AND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 25 TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. 

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS. AS THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES TODAY...TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IF THE SYSTEM
INTENSIFIES...OR GETS BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED
CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS DO NOT REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO MANY
MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES
MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS
WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES
AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME
PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME
DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE
GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED
OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK
OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
EXPECTED. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. MINOR
STREET FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF METRO SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA, AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY MAY LEAD TO
POSSIBLE STREET CLOSURES AND WATER ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR OR IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ075-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WIND SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 18
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING THROUGH
MIDDAY...WITH RAPIDLY BUILDING SEAS PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN
BANDS AND SQUALLS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD WATERS, AND THIS EVENING
OVER THE PALM BEACH WATERS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN
WATERS AND THIS EVENING OVER NORTHERN WATERS. 

$$

GMZ657-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO 12
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. 

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 
20 TO 60 NM-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...MAIN IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 TO REMAIN EAST OF
AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED SHOULD
ADVERSE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OCCUR.

$$

MOLLEDA

559 
WTUS82 KMFL 291630
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. 

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THE
SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 12 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6N...LONGITUDE 80.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTH OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES
FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHEAST 9 MPH. THE STORM INTENSITY WAS 40
MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL
STORM NICOLE...THE TRACK HAS SHIFTED SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE EAST.
FURTHERMORE...WINDS ARE REMOVED FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE LOW.
THIS MEANS THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ANYWHERE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AT THIS TIME.
THEREFORE ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CANCELED.

HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THIS EVENING PARTICULARLY FOR EASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA AND THEREFORE A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME, THAT IS THE MAIN
REMAINING POTENTIAL THREAT IN ADDITION TO ISOLATED BRIEF WEAK
TORNADOES. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN RAIN
BANDS ARE ALSO STILL POSSIBLE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PAY ATTENTION FOR POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES IN AREAS THAT HAVE
EXPERIENCED FLOODING AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR THE POTENTIAL
ISSUANCE OF FLOOD WARNINGS.

MARINERS SHOULD CHECK THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST BEFORE
MAKING ANY DEFINITE PLANS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
AS IT PERTAINS TO THIS EVENT...THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL
STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI
REGARDING THE EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE HAZARDS UPON THE AREA. 

FLZ168-172>174-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND INLAND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED BUT STRONG WIND GUSTS TO NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY STILL OCCUR MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE THIS EVENT IS OVER. MOST LIKELY AREAS
TO BE AFFECTED IN THE SHORT TERM ARE EASTERN SECTIONS OF MIAMI
DADE BUT THE THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. MINOR STREET FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER MOST OF THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF METRO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...AND ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF TODAY MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE
STREET CLOSURES AND WATER ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR OR IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED BUT STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY STILL
OCCUR IN RAIN BANDS. 

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE THIS EVENT IS OVER. MOST LIKELY AREAS
TO BE AFFECTED IN THE SHORT TERM ARE EASTERN SECTIONS OF MIAMI
DADE BUT THE THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. MINOR STREET FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER MOST OF THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF METRO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...AND ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF TODAY MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE
STREET CLOSURES AND WATER ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR OR IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ075-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTIONS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. 

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HOWEVER...WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS.

SEAS OF UP TO 5 TO 7 FEET ARE STILL EXPECTED MAINLY OFFSHORE
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

GMZ657-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND SECTION.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS ARE NO LONGER POSSIBLE.

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-291730-
/O.CAN.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 
20 TO 60 NM-
1230 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM NICOLE TO REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND SECTION.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE PRESENTS NO THREAT FOR THIS AREA. ALL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR REMAINING AREAS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
742 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

.AVIATION...
INCRG CLOUDINESS CAN BE XPCTD THRU THE PD AS A LOW PRES
SYS IN THE W CARIB MOVS NE TWD CUBA. ATTM ISOLD-WDLY SCT SHRA MOVG
NW OVR ATLC WTRS AND OCNLLY ONSHORE. VCSH IN E COAST TAFS ATTM AND
AFT 14 CB RMKS THEN AFT 16Z TSRA XPCTD TO DVLP. SPEED OF TSRA MVMNT
MAY LIMIT MVFR CIG/VSBY DURATION. MVFR CIG/VSBY PSBL AS WELL BUT AFT
00Z WHEN SYSTEM GETS CLOSER BUT NO TEMPO ATTM INDICATING IN TAFS
ATTM. SFC WNDS SE 10-14KTS WITH OCNL GUSTS 20 KTS.

60

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 504 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010/

..FLOOD WATCH ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
..POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT INCREASING...

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING
UP THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. A
PESKY UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH A COLD
FRONT TRAILING INTO NORTH FLORIDA. MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO FORM SOUTH OF CUBA AND WILL ALLOW
CONSIDERABLE DEEP MOISTURE TO CONTINUE PUSHING NORTH...WITH FIRST
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ON SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.

MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME WIDESPREAD AND LOCALLY HEAVY BY LATE IN THE DAY. IT IS
INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SHIFTED EVEN A
BIT FARTHER EAST WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL...WHICH WOULD
IMPACT ONLY THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST. MEANWHILE...THE NAM HAS
BECOME WETTER AND ALSO KEEPS THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FARTHER
WEST...WHERE IT IMPACTS MUCH OF THE PENINSULA INCLUDING AT LEAST
THE WEST COAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NAM12 FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR
MIAMI INDICATE PRECIPITABLE WATERS APPROACHING 2.5 INCHES BY 21Z
TODAY...RISING TO 2.75 INCHES BY 08Z TONIGHT. WHILE THESE AMOUNTS
ARE EXTREMELY IMPRESSIVE...THEY ARE A BIT LOWER THAN THOSE
FORECAST 24 HOURS AGO. SHOWER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL
CERTAINLY BE ON THE INCREASE BY EVENING AS LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW RESULTS IN STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. GIVEN
THE COPIOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE...DEEP SATURATION THROUGH H4...AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR LINEAR BANDS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLOODING
IS A CONCERN. THE HEAVIER BANDS OF RAINFALL MAY BECOME TRAINED
OVER THE SAME LOCALES...WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
PER HOUR QUITE POSSIBLE.

THE MOST WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH THE AXIS OF DEEP
MOISTURE THEN PUSHING OFF THE EAST COAST BY 18Z WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST
COAST INCLUDING THE METRO AREAS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA.
GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES MAY SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES - A HYDROLOGIC
OUTLOOK (ESF) WAS CONTINUED FOR THIS AREA.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE MID-
UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...ALONG WITH ITS DIGGING
TROUGH...WILL BE CRITICAL IN DETERMINING IF THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL TRAVELS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...OR TO THE EAST OVER THE
ATLANTIC. ADDITIONALLY...IF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS FARTHER
TO THE EAST...MUCH OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY BE
PUSHED OFF THE MAINLAND.

CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE LOW BEGINS TO PULL NORTHEAST AND PRECIPITABLE WATERS QUICKLY
FALL AS DRIER ALOFT ARRIVES FROM THE NORTH.

FORECAST REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS
ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY TRY TO FORM IN THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN AND LIFT NORTH TOWARD SOUTH FLORIDA SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.
AT THIS TIME...WE OPTED TO MAKE FEW CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED
FORECAST AND AWAIT BETTER MODEL CONTINUITY AND AGREEMENT.

MARINE...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THE WIND FORECAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...AND WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF A DEVELOPING
LOW TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  87  76  87  75 / 80 80 80 50
FORT LAUDERDALE  87  78  86  78 / 80 80 80 50
MIAMI            87  76  86  78 / 80 80 80 50
NAPLES           86  75  86  78 / 70 70 60 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI
     DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-INLAND BROWARD-
     INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-MAINLAND
     MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-METRO PALM BEACH.

AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...57/DG
AVIATION/RADAR...60/BD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
927 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-282200-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL
BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
927 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING: INCREASING SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD
FLOOD LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...RAINFALL COULD SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE AND FLOODING MAY
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST COAST METROPOLITAN AREAS. A FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF GLADES AND HENDRY COUNTIES...IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LIGHTNING
STRIKES...TORRENTIAL RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

TORNADO: THERE IS A MINIMAL RISK OF A WEAK TORNADO FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

WIND: GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN FAST MOVING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND EAST
COAST METRO AREAS LATE TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: A SOUTHEAST WIND OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF CUBA EARLY WEDNESDAY AND PUSH NORTHEAST
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THE DAY. WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SOME
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST COAST METROPOLITAN AREAS...THOUGH
ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS SOME VULNERABILITY.

AN INCREASE IN WINDS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS WEDNESDAY WILL LEAD TO AN
INCREASED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG COASTAL AREAS. CONDITIONS FOR
MARINERS COULD DETERIORATE AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT, BUT SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.