Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 265, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 2, 2010, 3:52 PM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2010, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2010, 4:21 PM CDT
- In force
- 29 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 1:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 351 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2069 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 698 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -26 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 2, 12:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1254 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 .UPDATE... ADDED/INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH THROUGH 9 PM. EXPANDED STRONG/SEVERE WORDING IN HWO. ADJUSTED OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS WELL. && .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST RADARS INDICATED ROBUST THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR WEST MEMPHIS AND SOUTHWARD TO NEAR CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI. SINCE THESE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED...THE MID LEVEL CAPPING INVERSION HAS BEEN BUSTED...THUS THINK ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS ANYWHERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. THUS...ADDED 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCES FOR NOW OVER THE AREA...BUT THESE MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED...ESPECIALLY IF COLD POOLS DEVELOP ALLOWING NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO INTERSECT AND GENERATE MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS. LATEST MODELS SEEMED TO BE UNDERESTIMATING THE AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S...THUS UNDERDOING QPF/CONVECTION OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE AIR IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH SBCAPE 3000-4000 J/KG...THUS SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS WELL AS PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AS A FEW INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR PER HOUR WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. FOR NOW...KEPT STRONG TO SEVERE WORDING IN HWO. WITH WEAK SHEAR...STORMS WILL BE UNORGANIZED AND PULSE TYPE IN NATURE. UPDATE HAS BEEN SENT AND ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NEEDED. MBS && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 510 AM CDT WED JUN 2 2010/ DISCUSSION...09Z SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING PLACES A QUASI- STATIONARY BOUNDARY FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION BACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MEANWHILE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA AS OF 4 AM CDT FORECAST ISSUANCE. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS THE MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE ENTIRE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGE. SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE/UPPER AIR PROFILER TRENDS THIS MORNING SHOW MCS ACTIVITY UPSTREAM ACROSS IOWA/MISSOURI/ILLINOIS AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...A DRY SLOT IS BRINGING RAIN FREE WEATHER TO THE MID SOUTH THIS MORNING. ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH PERHAPS MIDDLE 90S IN THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON WHERE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE LESS CAPPED. SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES APPROACHING 3000 J/KG...LI/S BETWEEN -7 TO -8...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.6 INCHES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A PULSE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TO BECOME STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE MAIN THREATS. LATEST 00Z SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE MID SOUTH LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL FLOW TRANSITIONING TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. KEPT 20 POPS GOING ACROSS THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT IF ANY UPSTREAM ACTIVITY MOVES INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. CHANCES FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE LESS LIKELY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE. THIS SUGGESTS PULSE TYPE THUNDERSTORMS BEING THE MOST LIKELY MODE OF CONVECTION WITH SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES AROUND 3000 J/KG AND LI/S BETWEEN -6 TO -8. DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN THREATS FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE. LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...00Z ECMWF/GFS/GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS STILL INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD...ESPECIALLY TOWARD LATE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET AXIS APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RUN TO RUN MODEL CONTINUITY PROBLEMS AND THE STRENGTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES PRESENT CHALLENGES DURING THIS PERIOD WITH THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY/MCS/S EMBEDDED WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. CONSEQUENTLY...KEPT POPS AROUND SLIGHT CHANCE BUT MAY LIKELY NEED TO BE RAISED IN LATER FORECASTS. CJC && .AVIATION... 18Z TAFS CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR AT ALL SITES...WITH A TEMPO IFR AT KTUP FROM 08-12Z. SCATTERED CB LAYER AND VCTS AT KMEM AND KTUP THIS AFTERNOON AS SATELLITE CONTINUES TO SHOW INCREASING DEVELOPMENT OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN ARKANSAS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTH AT 5-10KTS. LATER TONIGHT...SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT THAT FRONT IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. THUS HAVE ADDED VCSH AND CB LAYER IN AT KJBR AND KMKL AFTER 09Z. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME VARIABLE AT THESE SITES AS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEARBY. TSRA CHANCES WILL DIMINISH DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS...BUT WILL INCREASE AT...AND JUST BEYOND THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. JAB && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 92 74 91 72 / 30 20 50 30 MKL 92 70 90 67 / 20 20 50 30 JBR 94 72 90 69 / 20 20 50 30 TUP 91 70 90 70 / 20 20 40 30 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 2:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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</html>In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 223 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 MSZ002-008-012-013-022015- MARSHALL MS-TATE MS-LAFAYETTE MS-PANOLA MS- 223 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR... NORTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHEASTERN TATE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED OVER JOHN W KYLE STATE PARK AT 223 PM CDT... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN LAFAYETTE...MARSHALL...PANOLA AND TATE COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BATESVILLE...HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...JOHN W KYLE STATE PARK...OXFORD AND WALL DOXEY STATE PARK...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO INCLUDES SARDIS LAKE.
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 241 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 MSZ003-004-009-014-016-022015- TIPPAH MS-BENTON MS-PRENTISS MS-UNION MS-LEE MS- 241 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWESTERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN TIPPAH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF NEW ALBANY AT 241 PM CDT... MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN BENTON...LEE...PRENTISS...TIPPAH AND UNION COUNTIES... INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BALDWYN AND NEW ALBANY...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 3:07 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 307 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 MSZ004-009-014-016-017-022045- TIPPAH MS-PRENTISS MS-UNION MS-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA MS- 307 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR... NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF PRATTS FRIENDSHIP AT 308 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN ITAWAMBA...LEE...PRENTISS...TIPPAH AND UNION COUNTIES... INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BALDWYN...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 3:19 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 319 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 TNZ002-003-022100- WEAKLEY TN-OBION TN- 319 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR... EASTERN OBION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... WEAKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF UNION CITY AT 319 PM CDT... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN OBION AND WEAKLEY COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR MARTIN AND UNION CITY...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. .A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY AREA.
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 3:25 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 325 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ARZ008-009-022115- CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR- 325 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR... NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED OVER MAYNARD AT 326 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN CLAY AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. .A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY AREA.
Local storm report, Jun 2, 3:27 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
327 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM TSTM WND DMG TUPELO 34.26N 88.73W
06/02/2010 LEE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
911 RECEIVED REPORTS OF TREES DOWN BETWEEN JACKSON AND
LUMPKIN STREETS IN THE CITY OF TUPELO
&&
ZEIThe office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 1:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lake | 48 min |
| Jun 2, 2:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lake | 117 min |
| Jun 2, 2:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lake, Obion | 52 min |
| Jun 2, 4:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lake | 26 min |
| Jun 2, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lauderdale, Tipton | 42 min |
| Jun 2, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lauderdale | 33 min |
| Jun 2, 2:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Union | 2 hr |
| Jun 2, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee | 36 min |
| Jun 2, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 30 min |
| Jun 2, 5:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun | 39 min |
| Jun 2, 5:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Coahoma, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 2 hr |
| Jun 2, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw | 49 min |
| Jun 2, 2:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 31 min |
| Jun 2, 2:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 23 min |
| Jun 2, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene, Randolph | 34 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.