Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2010, 6:44 PM CDT for 6 counties in Mississippi; Lee County, Phillips County, Arkansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 16, 2010, 6:44 PM CDT (23:44 UTC)
- Expired
- May 16, 2010, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Coahoma County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 341 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -45 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 618 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 25 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 5:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 5:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
521 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010
.UPDATE...
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS NOW PUSHING INTO EASTERN
ARKANSAS. THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE PUSHING EAST EARLY THIS EVENING
AND WILL ENCOUNTER A FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL DAYTIME INSTABILITY DIMINISHES AROUND 02Z. REFERENCE SPC SWO
MCD 585.
IN ADDITION...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LINE SO
EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
GRIDS UPDATED AND PRODUCTS SENT.
BORGHOFF
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 335 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010/
DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON PLACES A QUASI-
STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE AND ARKANSAS.
MEANWHILE...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE/UPPER AIR PROFILER TRENDS
INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS LOCATED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. REGIONAL WSR-88D RADAR
TRENDS INDICATE MOST OF THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA BEING DRIVEN BY DAYTIME HEATING WHILE ACROSS
ARKANSAS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WAS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARKANSAS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/HEAVY RAINFALL
POTENTIAL INTO EARLY THIS EVENING IS THE MAIN CONCERN IN THIS
AFTERNOON/S FORECAST PACKAGE.
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH
THROUGH EARLY TO MID EVENING AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. BASED ON LATEST SHORT TERM CONVECTIVE TRENDS
BELIEVE THAT A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI
AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL/FLASH FLOODING BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW AT THIS
TIME TO JUSTIFY EXTENSION OF FLASH FLOOD WATCH BEYOND 00Z.
SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AND END BY MONDAY NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...12Z LONG RANGE MODELS
CONTINUE TO DIVERGE WITH SOLUTIONS AS AN OPEN WAVE UPPER LEVEL LOW
EJECTS OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD.
TRENDED FORECAST TOWARDS THE 12Z ECMWF BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE
KEPT LOW POPS GOING IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST.
CJC
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS
AT KMEM...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL 08-11Z.
PUSHED BACK VCTS/TSRA TEMPO TO THE 23-02Z TIME FRAME THINKING
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE DELAYED...THOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF
ISOLATED/SCATTERED TSRA DEVELOPED BEFORE THIS TIME FRAME. BRIEF
MVFR...PERHAPS IFR CONDITIONS...AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THIS TIME FRAME WITH TSRA. KEPT MVFR CONDITIONS AFTER 09Z...BUT
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE NORTHWEST AFTER 14Z MONDAY.
AT KMKL...KJBR...AND KTUP...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
UNTIL 06-09Z. TSRA WILL OCCUR NEAR KTUP 18-01Z...ESPECIALLY BEFORE
21Z...WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS.
WENT WITH TEMPO AT KJBR 22-24Z...AND LEFT TEMPO TSRA OUT OF KMKL
WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE. MOST TSRA SHOULD END BY 03Z.
APPEARS MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA 06-10Z WITH
CHANCES FOR LIFR CONDITIONS...PARTICULARLY NEAR KMKL.
MBS
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM 65 79 58 78 / 100 20 10 10
MKL 63 77 55 75 / 60 30 10 10
JBR 62 77 55 76 / 100 30 10 10
TUP 64 83 57 79 / 60 20 10 10
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR DUNKLIN-
PEMISCOT.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR ALCORN-BENTON
MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE
MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.
TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 5:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 513 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-171115- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 513 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM JONESBORO ARKANSAS...TO JACKSON TENNESSEE...TO BOONEVILLE MISSISSIPPI. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL MIDNIGHT THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING. BORGHOFF
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 16, 5:46 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 546 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 ARZ028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001-162315- MISSISSIPPI AR-DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO-LAKE TN- 546 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR LANDSPOUTS EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR... NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE... SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... AT 546 PM CDT SPOTTERS REPORTED LANDSPOUTS NEAR STEELE MISSOURI...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR LANDSPOUTS ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA UNTIL 615 PM CDT. LANDSPOUTS ARE PRODUCED BY MECHANISMS WHICH ARE DIFFERENT FROM THOSE WHICH PRODUCE TORNADOES...SO THEY DO NOT HAVE THE SAME DEADLY POTENTIAL. THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCE LANDSPOUTS ARE WEAK...PRODUCING NOT MORE THAN A MODERATE RAIN SHOWER. LANDSPOUTS CAN CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. IF A LANDSPOUT APPROACHES YOUR AREA...THEN SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID OPEN AREAS WHERE LOOSE OBJECTS COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.
Local storm report, May 16, 6:18 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
618 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM TSTM WND DMG LYNN 36.01N 91.25W
05/16/2010 LAWRENCE AR BROADCAST MEDIA
POWER LINES DOWN AND A TREE FELL ON A CAR IN SOUTHWEST
LAWRENCE COUNTY.
0545 PM TORNADO STEELE 36.08N 89.85W
05/16/2010 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LANDSPOUTS WERE REPORTED IN STEELE AND THROUGHOUT
PEMISCOT COUNTY.
0610 PM TORNADO STEELE 36.08N 89.85W
05/16/2010 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LANDSPOUTS WERE REPORTED IN STEELE AND THROUGHOUT
PEMISCOT COUNTY.
&&
CCDSpecial weather statement, May 16, 6:23 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 623 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 ARZ028-TNZ048-170000- MISSISSIPPI AR-LAUDERDALE TN- 623 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR... NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTH CENTRAL LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GOSNELL AT 623 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN LAUDERDALE AND MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR BLYTHEVILLE AND GOSNELL...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT ALSO INCLUDES BIG LAKE. .A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY AREA.
Local storm report, May 16, 6:34 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
634 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM TSTM WND DMG LYNN 36.01N 91.25W
05/16/2010 LAWRENCE AR BROADCAST MEDIA
POWER LINES DOWN AND A TREE FELL ON A CAR IN SOUTHWEST
LAWRENCE COUNTY.
0545 PM TORNADO STEELE 36.08N 89.85W
05/16/2010 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LANDSPOUTS WERE REPORTED IN STEELE AND THROUGHOUT
PEMISCOT COUNTY.
0610 PM TORNADO STEELE 36.08N 89.85W
05/16/2010 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LANDSPOUTS WERE REPORTED IN STEELE AND THROUGHOUT
PEMISCOT COUNTY.
0613 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE HORNERSVILLE 36.07N 90.08W
05/16/2010 DUNKLIN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
SEVERE DAMAGE TO FARM EQUIPMENT ON COUNTY ROAD 735 JUST
WEST OF HIGHWAY CC NEAR RIVES AREA.
&&
CCDLocal storm report, May 16, 6:42 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, May 16, 6:44 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Henry | 44 min |
| May 16, 12:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby | 2 hr |
| May 16, 5:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lake | 50 min |
| May 16, 6:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale, Tipton | 26 min |
| May 16, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Tunica | 47 min |
| May 15, 7:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 2 hr |
| May 16, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 46 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2010Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.