Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2010

Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS Memphis, TN

May 1, 20104 counties in Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood warning at May 1, 2010, 3:32 AM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2010, 3:32 AM CDT (08:32 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2010, 12:30 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Cross County, AR, Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2010-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3037 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2010-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 188 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3037 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
525 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.6
Supercell composite
15.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

979 
WGUS54 KMEG 010832
FFWMEG
ARC037-077-107-123-011430-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0041.100501T0832Z-100501T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
332 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  PHILLIPS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 AM CDT

* AT 332 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL
  HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ELAINE...
  HUGHES...MARIANNA...MARVELL...PALESTINE...WEST HELENA AND WHITE
  RIVER NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR OLD TOWN LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 9103 3528 9094 3500 9081 3501 9043
      3480 9052 3480 9055 3477 9054 3442 9068
      3424 9093 3412 9100 3412 9107 3430 9107
      3434 9105 3435 9100 3447 9100 3448 9105
      3473 9106 3473 9110 3477 9111

$$


TLSJR
2 follow-up statements
309 
WGUS54 KMEG 011427
FFWMEG
ARC037-077-107-123-011730-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-100501T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
927 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  PHILLIPS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 927 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL
  HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ELAINE...
  HUGHES...MARIANNA...MARVELL...PALESTINE AND WEST HELENA.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR OLD TOWN LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING
STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP
TO HIGHER GROUND.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 9103 3528 9094 3500 9081 3501 9043
      3480 9052 3480 9055 3477 9054 3442 9068
      3424 9093 3412 9100 3412 9107 3430 9107
      3434 9105 3435 9100 3447 9100 3448 9105
      3473 9106 3473 9110 3477 9111

$$
361 
WGUS74 KMEG 011731
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1228 PM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

ARC037-077-107-123-011738-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-100501T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CROSS AR-PHILLIPS AR-LEE AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-
1228 PM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ST. FRANCIS...LEE...PHILLIPS AND SOUTHWESTERN CROSS
COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS BECOME MORE 
SCATTERED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS 
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  

HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING...THUS A FLASH 
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY.  ADDITIONAL HEAVY 
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE...THEREFORE BE AWARE THAT A FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
MAY BE ISSUED IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3521 9103 3528 9094 3500 9081 3501 9043
      3480 9052 3480 9055 3477 9054 3442 9068
      3424 9093 3412 9100 3412 9107 3430 9107
      3434 9105 3435 9100 3447 9100 3448 9105
      3473 9106 3473 9110 3477 9111

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 1, 12:26 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 1, 12:26 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1226 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR AVIATION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010/

DISCUSSION...

QUITE A BUSY NIGHT ALREADY WITH SEVERAL TORNADIC STORMS OVER IN
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. NEW TORNADO WATCH HAS JUST BEEN ISSUED WHICH
COVERS OUR COUNTIES WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER UNTIL 4 AM. SOME
OTHER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO CREEP SLOWLY IN INTO
PARTS OF EAST ARKANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. HAVE
JUST UPDATED ZONES WITH NEW TORNADO WATCH WITH NO OTHER CHANGES
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

ARS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 735 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010/

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010/

DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON COMPLEX HEAVY RAIN/SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT THIS WEEKEND...THEN ON A BIG WARM UP NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

AT 1930Z...RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI IN RESPONSE TO DEEP MOISTURE
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...BUT THE THREAT SHOULD BE ISOLATED AWAY
FROM THE MAIN FRONT. MEANWHILE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS...MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING ALONG
THE COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL PUSH EAST SLOWLY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST FORCING TONIGHT WILL BE CONFINED TO NEAR THIS
FRONT...WHICH BEGINS TO STALL LATE. THEREFORE...EXPECT THE BEST
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN TO REMAIN ALONG AND WEST OF THE RIVER
TONIGHT. PUSHED BACK THE START OF THE FFA EAST OF HERE TO 12Z
SATURDAY AND LEFT IT AS IS WEST.

AS THE MAIN BATCH OF THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
PUSHES EAST...IT WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOUNTER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
TO MAINTAIN THEIR SEVERITY AT LEAST TO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IN
FACT...AS I'M WRITING THIS A MODERATE RISK HAS BEEN POSTED FOR
PORTIONS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS. LATE TONIGHT THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE STORMS WILL END AND THE ATMOSPHERE WILL TEND TO
BE WORKED OVER. THUS...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH TOWARD
DAWN.

SATURDAY COULD BE INTERESTING AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS
WESTERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
NORTH SLIGHTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND MODELS SHOW A LULL OF
PRECIP COVERAGE AROUND 18Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE NEARLY
2000 J/KG OF CAPE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON DESPITE
LOW CLOUD COVER. IN ADDITION...BECAUSE OF THE SURFACE LOW
TRACK...WINDS WILL BE BACKED A BIT NEAR THE SURFACE. VERY LOW LCLS
WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE...AND WITH MORE 0-1 KM CAPE THAN LAST
WEEKEND. AS THE LOW EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD IN THE AFTERNOON...IT
APPEARS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ERUPT FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE...INCLUDING
TORNADOES. THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. ADDED SEVERE BACK
TO THE GRIDS FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING.

THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP SATURDAY WILL TEND TO BECOME LINEARLY
FORCED ALONG THE SLOWLY MOVING COLD FRONT BY SATURDAY EVENING.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING SHOULD BE THE BEST TIME FOR
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS AND PW/S AROUND 2
INCHES SHOULD ALLOW FOR TROPICAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING.

IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE SUNDAY...MORE
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS IS A BIT MORE CONDITIONAL...
SO WILL NOT INCLUDE SEVERE IN THE GRIDS ATTM.

MODELS DIFFER ON HOW QUICKLY THE COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA SUNDAY
EVENING. THE 12Z NAM IS THE SLOWEST AND IT NOW DOESN/T LEAVE THE
TN RIVER VALLEY UNTIL 12Z MONDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SLIGHTLY
QUICKER. OVERALL...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THE NAM VERIFY
GIVEN THE PARALLEL FLOW ALONG THE FRONT...BUT FOR NOW I WON/T MAKE
TOO MANY DRASTIC CHANGES. THE 12Z NAM WOULD SPELL 7 TO 9 INCHES
ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE.

WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES OVER THE EAST AND 3 TO 5 INCHES WEST. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL OF COURSE BE POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT GAVE A
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NOW LOOKS NON-EXISTENT AND THE
SOUNDINGS LOOK MUCH TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY CAPE. THUS...REMOVED
RAIN CHANCES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

THICKNESSES AND H5 HEIGHTS WILL BUILD THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF A POSSIBLE COLD FRONT LATE WEEK
WHICH WILL HAVE IMPLICATIONS ON TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND/OR
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH BUILDING 85 TO 90 DEGREE TEMPS OVER THE MIDSOUTH FOR MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. DEPENDING UPON IF THE WET GROUND CAN ZAP SOME OF THE
INCOMING SOLAR RADIATION FROM BEING CONVERTED TO HEAT...WE COULD
SEE SOME LOWER 90S WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY AS 925 MB TEMPS RISE INTO
THE +23C TO +24C RANGE.

BORGHOFF

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS

BROKEN TO SOLID LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM THE MO
BOOTHEEL TO JUST NORTH OF KAWM...TO KLIT. MOST INTENSE CELLS WERE
NORTHWEST OF KMEM...MOVING NORTHEAST. THIS LINE WILL NOT LIKELY
DIRECTLY IMPACT KMEM UNTIL AFTER 08Z...POSSIBLY LATER IF THE RUC
MODEL IS CORRECT. BUT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP IN THE UNSTABLE AIR OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE.
THESE DISCRETE CELLS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN FOR KMEM
THROUGH 07Z. AIRPORT WEATHER WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR FOR SOME
OF THE MORE INTENSE CELLS MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

FOR THE OUTBOUND PUSH... EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS.

PWB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  70  74  58  83 / 100 100  70  10
MKL  69  72  51  82 / 100 100  90  10
JBR  66  75  55  81 / 100  70  30  10
TUP  72  78  54  84 /  70 100 100  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR COAHOMA-DESOTO-
     TUNICA.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-
     LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-
     QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR DYER-LAKE-
     LAUDERDALE-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-GIBSON-
     HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     WEAKLEY.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 8:17 PM CDT, 7 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
817 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-020330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
817 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WEST OF A LINE FROM WYNNE TO CORNING. THERE IS
A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT ALONG A FRONT...AND
AFFECT PRIMARILY AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
SOME STRONG AND LONG-LIVED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH RISK
AREA. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF A LINE FROM UNION CITY TO
CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL LIKELY OCCUR
OVER THESE AREAS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF THE
MIDSOUTH SATURDAY...AND OVER WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI ON
SUNDAY.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOES INTO EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
MIDSOUTH SATURDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY. THE MOST INTENSE
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG A SLOW EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT.
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WILL LIKELY BE AT THE
HIGHEST RISK OF FLASH FLOODING DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. CONSULT THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 1, 12:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1246 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             2 W PICKWICK DAM        35.05N 88.29W
04/30/2010  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             TN   PUBLIC

1105 PM     TORNADO          2 E SUCCESS             36.45N 90.69W
04/30/2010                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO SPOTTED BY SHERIFF DEPUTY ALONG HWY 328.

1117 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JONESBORO        35.77N 90.85W
04/30/2010  E0.75 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL IN CASH, ARKANSAS.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE WEINER            35.69N 90.87W
04/30/2010                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            1 BUILDING COLLAPSED...POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SMALL
            TREES DOWN NEAR US 49 AND PUNKIN CENTER ROAD.

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 N PARAGOULD          36.22N 90.51W
04/30/2010                   GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CARAWAY             35.71N 90.33W
04/30/2010                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DAMAGED FROM US 135 TO MISSISSIPPI COUNTY LINE NEAR
            CR 884. TREE ON HOUSE AT CR 885 ALSO.

1225 AM     HAIL             MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHED BLOWN DOWNA AND POWER LINES DOWN. ALSO SOME POWER
            LINES TOWN SOUTH OF MANILLA.

&&

TLSJR
Local storm report, May 1, 12:54 AM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1254 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             2 W PICKWICK DAM        35.05N 88.29W
04/30/2010  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             TN   PUBLIC

1105 PM     TORNADO          2 E SUCCESS             36.45N 90.69W
04/30/2010                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO SPOTTED BY SHERIFF DEPUTY ALONG HWY 328.

1117 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JONESBORO        35.77N 90.85W
04/30/2010  E0.75 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL IN CASH, ARKANSAS.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE WEINER            35.69N 90.87W
04/30/2010                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            1 BUILDING COLLAPSED...POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SMALL
            TREES DOWN NEAR US 49 AND PUNKIN CENTER ROAD.

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 N PARAGOULD          36.22N 90.51W
04/30/2010                   GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CARAWAY             35.71N 90.33W
04/30/2010                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DAMAGED FROM US 135 TO MISSISSIPPI COUNTY LINE NEAR
            CR 884. TREE ON HOUSE AT CR 885 ALSO.

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHED BLOWN DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. ALSO SOME POWER
            LINES TOWN SOUTH OF MANILLA.

1225 AM     HAIL             MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLSJR
Local storm report, May 1, 1:49 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
149 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             2 W PICKWICK DAM        35.05N 88.29W
04/30/2010  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             TN   PUBLIC

1105 PM     TORNADO          2 E SUCCESS             36.45N 90.69W
04/30/2010                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO SPOTTED BY SHERIFF DEPUTY ALONG HWY 328.

1117 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JONESBORO        35.77N 90.85W
04/30/2010  E0.75 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL IN CASH, ARKANSAS.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE WEINER            35.69N 90.87W
04/30/2010                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            1 BUILDING COLLAPSED...POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SMALL
            TREES DOWN NEAR US 49 AND PUNKIN CENTER ROAD.

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 N PARAGOULD          36.22N 90.51W
04/30/2010                   GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CARAWAY             35.71N 90.33W
04/30/2010                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DAMAGED FROM US 135 TO MISSISSIPPI COUNTY LINE NEAR
            CR 884. TREE ON HOUSE AT CR 885 ALSO.

1225 AM     HAIL             MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHED BLOWN DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. ALSO SOME POWER
            LINES TOWN SOUTH OF MANILLA.

0142 AM     HAIL             STANTON                 35.46N 89.40W
05/01/2010  E1.75 INCH       HAYWOOD            TN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

TLSJR
Local storm report, May 1, 2:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
205 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             2 W PICKWICK DAM        35.05N 88.29W
04/30/2010  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             TN   PUBLIC

1105 PM     TORNADO          2 E SUCCESS             36.45N 90.69W
04/30/2010                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO SPOTTED BY SHERIFF DEPUTY ALONG HWY 328.

1117 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JONESBORO        35.77N 90.85W
04/30/2010  E0.75 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL IN CASH, ARKANSAS.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE WEINER            35.69N 90.87W
04/30/2010                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            1 BUILDING COLLAPSED...POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SMALL
            TREES DOWN NEAR US 49 AND PUNKIN CENTER ROAD.

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 N PARAGOULD          36.22N 90.51W
04/30/2010                   GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CARAWAY             35.71N 90.33W
04/30/2010                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DAMAGED FROM US 135 TO MISSISSIPPI COUNTY LINE NEAR
            CR 884. TREE ON HOUSE AT CR 885 ALSO.

1225 AM     HAIL             MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHED BLOWN DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. ALSO SOME POWER
            LINES TOWN SOUTH OF MANILLA.

0142 AM     HAIL             STANTON                 35.46N 89.40W
05/01/2010  E1.75 INCH       HAYWOOD            TN   AMATEUR RADIO

0155 AM     HAIL             BROWNSVILLE             35.59N 89.25W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       HAYWOOD            TN   PUBLIC

&&

TLSJR
Local storm report, May 1, 2:10 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
210 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             2 W PICKWICK DAM        35.05N 88.29W
04/30/2010  E1.00 INCH       HARDIN             TN   PUBLIC

1105 PM     TORNADO          2 E SUCCESS             36.45N 90.69W
04/30/2010                   CLAY               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO SPOTTED BY SHERIFF DEPUTY ALONG HWY 328.

1117 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JONESBORO        35.77N 90.85W
04/30/2010  E0.75 INCH       CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL IN CASH, ARKANSAS.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE WEINER            35.69N 90.87W
04/30/2010                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            1 BUILDING COLLAPSED...POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SMALL
            TREES DOWN NEAR US 49 AND PUNKIN CENTER ROAD.

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 N PARAGOULD          36.22N 90.51W
04/30/2010                   GREENE             AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CARAWAY             35.71N 90.33W
04/30/2010                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DAMAGED FROM US 135 TO MISSISSIPPI COUNTY LINE NEAR
            CR 884. TREE ON HOUSE AT CR 885 ALSO.

1225 AM     HAIL             MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANILA                  35.88N 90.16W
05/01/2010                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHED BLOWN DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. ALSO SOME POWER
            LINES TOWN SOUTH OF MANILLA.

0142 AM     HAIL             STANTON                 35.46N 89.40W
05/01/2010  E1.75 INCH       HAYWOOD            TN   AMATEUR RADIO

0155 AM     HAIL             BROWNSVILLE             35.59N 89.25W
05/01/2010  E1.00 INCH       HAYWOOD            TN   PUBLIC

0200 AM     TSTM WND GST     MARTIN                  36.34N 88.86W
05/01/2010  M72.00 MPH       WEAKLEY            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLSJR
Special weather statement, May 1, 2:47 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
247 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

TNZ049-050-088-089-010815-
FAYETTE TN-SHELBY TN-HAYWOOD TN-TIPTON TN-
247 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 315 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHERN HAYWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  EAST CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND WINDS AT
LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DANCYVILLE AT 247 AM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN FAYETTE...HAYWOOD...SHELBY AND TIPTON COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

.A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY AREA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph59 min
Apr 30, 10:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph4 hr
Apr 30, 10:05 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph40 min
Apr 30, 10:31 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene, Randolph44 min
Apr 30, 10:43 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett63 min
Apr 30, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett32 min
Apr 30, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph47 min
Apr 30, 11:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Poinsett, Randolph4 hr
Apr 30, 11:24 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPoinsett36 min
Apr 30, 11:27 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene48 min
Apr 30, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett57 min
Apr 30, 11:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCross3 hr
Apr 30, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett38 min
Apr 30, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett43 min
Apr 30, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi, Poinsett39 min
Apr 30, 11:54 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett51 min
Apr 30, 11:56 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay49 min
Apr 30, 11:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi46 min
May 1, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis42 min
May 1, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett, St. Francis49 min
May 1, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Mississippi39 min
May 1, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi39 min
May 1, 12:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett3 hr
May 1, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett48 min
May 1, 12:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi40 min
May 1, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi50 min
May 1, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis48 min
May 1, 1:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGMississippi3 hr
May 1, 1:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden3 hr
May 1, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis47 min
May 1, 1:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett40 min
May 1, 2:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett47 min
May 1, 2:21 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis12 hr
May 1, 2:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Lee, St. Francis52 min
May 1, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis45 min
May 1, 3:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis43 min
May 1, 3:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi47 min
May 1, 4:06 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis39 min
May 1, 4:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi46 min
May 1, 4:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis12 hr
May 1, 10:14 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGPhillips4 hr
May 1, 11:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMEGClay, Greene9 hr
May 1, 11:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMEGSt. Francis9 hr
May 1, 11:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMEGMississippi, Poinsett9 hr
May 1, 11:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMEGLee, St. Francis9 hr
May 1, 3:10 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis24 hr
May 1, 3:18 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis24 hr
May 1, 3:43 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyMEGCrittenden2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2010Every flash flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.