Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 17, 2010Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 17, 2010, 3:45 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 17, 2010, 3:45 PM MDT (21:45 UTC)
Expired: May 17, 2010, 4:45 PM MDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 17, 1:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2459 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 702 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 2:07 PM MDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 2:07 PM MDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
307 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING SOUTH INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN THIS
AFTERNOON. CONVECTION WAS SLOW TO DEVELOP WEST EARLIER DUE TO
COOLER SURFACE TEMPS FROM LINGERING CLOUDS...BUT THIS IS NO LONGER
THE CASE AS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MANAGED TO DEVELOP IN HOWARD
AND MITCHELL COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING
IN THE MOUNTAINS THANKS TO DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 60. SHEAR VALUES
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
THREATS. CANNOT RULE OUT THE TORNADO THREAT IF A THUNDERSTORMS
MANAGES TO STAY ANCHORED ON THE FRONT BISECTING THE BASIN BUT THIS
MAY BE DIFFICULT AS THE ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT DOES NOT MATCH
WELL WITH EXPECTED STORM MOVEMENT. THUNDERSTORMS MAY NOT LAST LONG
INTO THIS EVENING UNLESS AN MCS FORMS...MAINLY FROM THE CONVECTION
IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND ROLLS SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.

TOMORROW WILL SEE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH
SLIGHTLY INCREASED SHEAR VALUES AND A DRYLINE TO FORCE CONVECTION
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WILL BE DRY WITH INCREASING TEMPS. A WEAK
FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL DO LITTLE TO COOL THINGS OFF WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS REMAINING.

HENNIG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              65  85  67  90  /  40  30  30  10
CARLSBAD NM                58  92  57  92  /  60  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  68  91  67  93  /  60  20  20  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           65  92  65  94  /  60  30  20  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          59  87  60  85  /  30  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   60  91  62  90  /  40  30  20  10
MARFA TX                   56  88  50  88  /  30  20  10   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    62  87  65  91  /  50  30  20  10
ODESSA TX                  63  87  66  90  /  50  30  20  10
WINK TX                    65  97  65  98  /  40  30  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

44/10

Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 2:05 PM MDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
305 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-182015-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
305 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010 /205 PM MDT MON MAY 17 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN...THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE TRANS PECOS
REGION...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND THE BIG BEND
REGION. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER HAZARDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH
COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS...THE PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE TRANS PECOS REGION
TUESDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE ACROSS THESE
LOCATIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...STORM
SPOTTER GROUPS...AND OTHER INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 17, 3:18 PM MDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
418 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     HAIL             8 S ALPINE              30.25N 103.67W
05/17/2010  E2.75 INCH       BREWSTER           TX   STORM CHASER

&&

70

Local storm report, May 17, 3:19 PM MDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
419 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             12 S ALPINE             30.19N 103.67W
05/17/2010  E4.25 INCH       BREWSTER           TX   PUBLIC

&&

70

Local storm report, May 17, 3:20 PM MDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
420 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     HAIL             8 S ALPINE              30.25N 103.67W
05/17/2010  E2.75 INCH       BREWSTER           TX   STORM CHASER

            BASEBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 8 MILES SOUTH OF ALPINE.

&&

MSCHULDT

Special weather statement, May 17, 3:31 PM MDT, 14 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 17, 3:36 PM MDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
436 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     HAIL             6 W MENTONE             31.71N 103.70W
05/17/2010  E1.75 INCH       REEVES             TX   PUBLIC

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 6 MILES WEST OF MENTONE.

&&

MSCHULDT

Local storm report, May 17, 3:40 PM MDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
440 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             MENTONE                 31.71N 103.60W
05/17/2010  E0.88 INCH       LOVING             TX   STORM CHASER

            NICKEL HAIL REPORTED IN MENTONE.

&&

MSCHULDT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 16, 6:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	66 min
May 16, 7:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	39 min
May 17, 12:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis	41 min
May 17, 1:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	40 min
May 17, 1:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves	56 min
May 17, 1:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	60 min
May 17, 2:24 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Brewster	36 min
May 17, 2:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis, Reeves	63 min
May 17, 2:42 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Brewster	33 min
May 17, 3:07 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis	53 min
May 17, 3:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	60 min
May 17, 3:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving, Reeves, Ward	55 min
May 17, 3:28 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Brewster	32 min
May 17, 4:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	55 min
May 17, 4:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving	54 min
May 17, 4:32 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Loving, Reeves	44 min
May 17, 4:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	63 min
May 17, 4:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	62 min
May 17, 4:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	53 min
May 17, 4:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	60 min
May 17, 4:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	54 min
May 17, 5:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	56 min
May 17, 5:13 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	62 min
May 17, 5:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	59 min
May 17, 5:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Lea	57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2010 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.