Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

939 
WGUS74 KMAF 300646
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
146 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

TXC329-300800-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-100630T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIDLAND-
146 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
NORTHERN MIDLAND COUNTY...

AT 139 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED 
TO DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
OVER NORTHERN MIDLAND COUNTY.  THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING WEST AROUND 
15 MPH AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES UP TO ONE  
INCH PER HOUR.  THIS ALONG WITH PREVIOUS RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO 
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MIDLAND AND
GREENWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 10226 3208 10185 3186 10184 3184 10228

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
642 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
DUE TO A MOIST TROPICAL AIR MASS IN PLACE...SCATTERED STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO AROUND MIDNIGHT AT OR NEAR ALL TERMINALS. MVFR TO
OCCASIONAL IFR CEILINGS ARE THEN LIKELY TO DEVELOP AREAWIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH CLOUD CEILINGS SLOWLY IMPROVING TO VFR BY MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 148 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010/

DISCUSSION...
5H RIDGE IS WELL DEVELOPED TO THE N INVOF WRN NEBRASKA. TO THE S
ACRS W TX/SE NM REMNANT SHEAR AXIS IS STILL IN PLACE AND IS
GENERALLY E-W ACRS S PLAINS AREA. FARTHER S THERE IS A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION SLOWLY MOVING WWD THRU MAF/S CWFA. RICH ATMOSPHERIC MSTR
IS IN PLACE AS SEEN ON 06Z MAF SOUNDING WITH PW/S NEAR 1.6". ALSO
HIGH THETA-E AIR IS IN PLACE WITH A SECONDARY MAX/RIDGE JUST S OF
THE ABOVE NOTED SHEAR AXIS. FOR THE MOST PART CONVECTION HAS BEEN
FOCUSED ALONG/INVOF THE WWD MOVING CIRCULATION. AREA WITH BETTER
INSOLATION LIKE PARTS OF THE TRANS PECOS ARE SEEING SCATTERED
TSTMS. LOCAL HEAVY RAIN WILL BE PRIMARY CONCERN INTO THE EVENING.
ELY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL SLOWLY PUSH HIER THETA-E AIR W ORIENTING
ALONG THE MTNS WED PM AND THUS STILL LOOKS LIKE SCT/NUMEROUS TSTMS
WILL DEVELOP ACRS MUCH OF THE TRANS PECOS WED. DEPENDING ON HOW
PRECIP DEVELOPS REMAINDER OF TODAY AND WED IN THE MTNS A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR WED ACRS TRANS PECOS. CLOUD COVER
AND COOL 85H TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPS ON THE PLEASANT
SIDE. FARTHER N THOUGH IT WILL BE A DOWN DAY WRT PRECIP AS MORE
STABLE AND LOWER THETA-E AIR DRIER NOSES INTO THE NE CWFA.
THURSDAY WILL TEND TO BE DOWN DAY FOR PRECIP MOST OF THE AREA AS
DRIER/SUBSIDENT AIR WILL BE WORKING ITS WAY NW AHEAD OF ALEX. POPS
WILL TEND TO INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY WITH HIEST POPS ACRS THE S
TAPERING OFF THE LOWER POPS N AND NW. WARMEST TEMPS WILL BE ACRS
SE NM THUR/FRI...BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MOST OF CWFA. GFS
HAS FINALLY TURNED BULLISH ON POPS. DEPENDING ON TRACK OF ALEX/S
REMNANTS FRI/SAT ESPECIALLY HIGH THETA-E AIR MAY MAKE INTO THE BIG
BEND/RIO GRANDE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...EVEN INTO
SUNDAY. PRESENCE OF RIDGE ALOFT (I.E. WEAK WINDS) MAY EVEN HOLD
THETA-E RIDGE IN PLACE MON/TUE. MEX GUIDANCE REFLECTS EXTENDED
PERIOD OF LIKELY POPS...BUT SO DOES ECMWF QPF. AS SUCH WILL
CERTAINLY KEEP POPS IN THRU THE EXTENDED AND RATHER HIGH CONSIDER
ITS THE EXTENDED PERIOD...TEMPS WILL SHOW ONLY A SLOW WARM-UP.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
155 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-301900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
155 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 /1255 PM MDT TUE JUN 29 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE
TRANS PECOS REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT GENERALLY ALONG
AND WEST OF A CARLSBAD TO FORT STOCKTON LINE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
MAY ONCE AGAIN LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND