River Flood Warning 7, NWS St. Louis, MO

647 
WGUS83 KLSX 241635
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LA MOINE RIVER...

        AT RIPLEY...AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 1 INCH OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION
FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC009-251635-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0007.100124T2308Z-100129T2000Z/
/RIPI2.1.ER.100124T2308Z.100125T1200Z.100128T2000Z.NO/
1035 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CREST NEAR 22.7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL DAMAGES BEGIN.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   21.25      22.7   22.1   22.2   22.2   20.9

382 
WGUS83 KLSX 250347
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
947 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
      LA MOINE RIVER AT ...RIPLEY AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS 
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC009-260347-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100129T1500Z/
/RIPI2.1.ER.100125T0452Z.100127T1800Z.100128T1500Z.NO/
947 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL 
  DAMAGES BEGIN.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   21.81      22.2   22.2   22.3   22.1   20.8

238 
WGUS83 KLSX 251640
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1040 AM CST MON JAN 25 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LA MOINE RIVER...

        AT RIPLEY...AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC009-251710-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100129T1500Z/
/RIPI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1040 AM CST MON JAN 25 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY.
* AT 9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 21.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 21.1 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29  01/30

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   21.67      21.1   21.0   21.1   19.8   15.6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
615 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

.DISCUSSION...
/302 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010/

RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO PULL NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL PROGRESS EAST WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE LAST OF THE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES IN THE
LARGER UPPER TROF ROTATES ACROSS THE REGION. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...BUT WITH THE INCREASED NORTHWEST WIND AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE WINTER AROUND HERE.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
PROVIDING SEASONAL COLD WEATHER. MAYBE WE WILL FINALLY GET TO SEE
THE SUN TUESDAY AFTERNOON?

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE/LOW THAT
WILL BE BARRELING ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TUESDAY NIGHT.
GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN/ECWMF/GEM ARE BEGINNING TO COME INTO ALIGNMENT
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CONUS...FROM TEXAS TO GEORGIA...ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS ON WEDNESDAY.

APPEARS A CLASSIC OVERRUNNING WINTER PRECIPITATION EVENT WILL TAKE
PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WITH THE TYPICAL ARRAY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES FROM
RAIN/FREEZING RAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI TO SNOW ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL HIGHLY DEPEND ON HOW
FAR SOUTH AND DEEP THE ARCTIC AIR CAN BUILD.

SINCE THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE IS SO FAR SOUTH...THE
DRY AIR FACTOR WITH THE IMPINGING HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEFINITELY COME
INTO PLAY WITH THIS EVENT. WOULD EXPECT A VERY SHARP GRADIENT IN
SNOWFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE...WHICH LOOKS TO ALIGN WITH
INTERSTATE 70 AT THIS TIME.

I HAVE INTRODUCED FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TO THE FORECAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION TRENDING TOWARD
ALL SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE COLD AIR DEEPENS OVER
THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE LOW/TROF.

THERE IS NO DOUBT WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE DISCREPANCIES IN THE SPEED
AND TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM IN THE DAYS AHEAD...BUT GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL IMPACT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA I PLAN ON
MENTIONING A POTENTIAL WINTER STORM IN THE HWO.

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION...
/550 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010/

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...SFC LOW OVER IA/IL BORDER CONTINUES TO MOVE
NEWD AWAY FM THE BISTATE REGION WITH CDFNT STRETCHING SWWD THROUGH
MO AND BACK INTO OK AT 11Z. WINDS WILL TURN WLY AFTER FROPA WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS PROMOTING MIXING...LEADING TO A GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS/VSBYS. BRIEF PD OF VFR CONDS AT STL/SUS THIS
MORNING WAS DUE TO THE DRY SLOT DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND A RETURN TO
IFR/MVFR CIGS IS EXPECTED AS THE DRY SLOT SHIFTS EWD AND CLDS WRAP
AROUND THE DEPARTING LOW PRES SYS. A SHORTWAVE TROF WILL ROTATE
AROUND THE SYSTEM TONIGHT...SUPPORTING -SN AT UIN/COU TOWARDS THE
END OF THE TAF PD.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
419 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-251200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
419 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY...PRIMARILY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

A WINTER STORM MAY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI AND
ILLINOIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. MUCH UNCERTAINTY
STILL EXISTS AS THIS STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND DAYS AWAY FROM MAKING LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THE LATEST
FORECAST DATA SUGGESTS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CVKING