River Flood Warning 68, NWS St. Louis, MO

976 
WGUS83 KLSX 160054
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
754 PM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
 MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-170054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0068.100317T0000Z-100321T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.100317T0000Z.100317T1800Z.100320T0600Z.NO/
754 PM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 24.6 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   22.40      23.4   24.4   24.5   24.2   23.9

609 
WGUS83 KLSX 161509
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1009 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-171509-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0068.100316T2230Z-100321T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.100316T2230Z.100317T1800Z.100320T0600Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* THE LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE IS 23.3 FEET FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.5 FEET WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0    22.40      24.4   24.5   24.1   23.9   23.4

746 
WGUS83 KLSX 161515 CCA
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1009 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...


  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER
CASE/

&&

MOC113-171509-
/O.COR.KLSX.FL.W.0068.100316T2230Z-100321T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.100316T2230Z.100317T1800Z.100320T0600Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* THE LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE IS 23.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.5 FEET WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0    22.40      24.4   24.5   24.1   23.9   23.4

318 
WGUS83 KLSX 170213
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
913 PM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
                CUIVRE RIVER AT 

                   ...OLD MONROE  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS 
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


&&

MOC113-180213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-100320T0000Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.100317T1800Z.100317T1800Z.100318T1200Z.NO/
913 PM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 6:24 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.40      23.9   24.0   23.7   23.5   23.2

526 
WGUS83 KLSX 171358
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 AM CDT WED MAR 17 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...


  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-181357-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-100320T0000Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.100318T1200Z.100318T1200Z.100318T1200Z.NO/
857 AM CDT WED MAR 17 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* THE LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.40      24.0   23.8   23.6   23.2   22.8

351 
WGUS83 KLSX 180132
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
832 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
   THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR 
                    THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR ...OLD MONROE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-180202-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-100320T0000Z/
/OMNM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 PM CDT WED MAR 17 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* AT 6:34 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 23.9 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.85      23.9   23.7   23.7   23.6   23.5

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
723 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

.DISCUSSION...
/214 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010/

WHILE THE LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE FINALLY APPEAR TO HAVE COME TO AN
END...THE CLOUD TRENDS ARE NOW THE TOUGH PART OF THIS FORECAST.
RAMIFICATIONS WHERE THE CLOUDS PERSIST VS. NOT ARE BIG...EVIDENT IN
THE SPREAD OF HIGH TEMPERATURES RECORDED YESTERDAY FROM NRN MO
THRU ERN IA INTO WI. A SIZEABLE WEDGE OF CLEARING IS CURRENTLY
SPREADING SWD ACROSS ERN IA AND NW IL. CURRENT TRENDS WOULD
SUGGEST THIS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH SOUTHWESTWARD INTO ERN MO THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER THERE ARE ALSO INDICATIONS THAT STRATROCU WILL
REDEVELOP LATE MORNING WHERE THERE IS ANY CLEARING...AND THIS
SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN THE WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW PRESENT ACROSS THE
AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL CERTAINLY BE WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. ATTM
HAVE SHADED MOST OF THE MO REGION EXPECT THE ERN OZARKS TOWARDS
THE WARMER MET MOS. I WISH I COULD SAY THE PROBLEMS WITH THE
CLOUDS WILL GO AWAY TONIGHT BUT PORTIONS OF THE REGION...MOST
LIKELY FROM WRN IL INTO SE MO WILL STILL HAVE QUITE A BIT OF
CLOUDINESS AT SUNSET AND THESE CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR SWD.
FEWER ISSUES APPEAR ON TAP FOR TUESDAY. PROVIDED THE NAM RH FIELDS
ARE CORRECT...WHICH I HAVE FOLLOWED...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S AND
MAYBE EVEN PUSHING 60.

THE NEXT NW FLOW SYSTEM IS STILL ON TRACK TO IMPACT THE REGION
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTER MOVING SWD SOMEWHERE
FROM ERN KS INTO WRN MO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. IF THE MODELS MAINTAIN
THIS LOCATION AND IT IS INDEED CORRECT...THEN THE EXTENT OF POPS
IN THE CURRENT FORECAST ARE PROBABLY A BIT OVERDONE...AS THE
GREATEST CHANCE WOULD PROBABLY BE ACROSS WRN AND CENTRAL MO WHERE
THE STRONGEST QG FORCING IS PROGGED. I'M A BIT RELUCTANT TO TRIM
BACK THE ALREADY LOW POPS ATTM...AND WILL MAINTAIN A LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS WITH THIS FORECAST. AFTER THIS SYSTEM THE HEIGHTS ALOFT
WILL RISE AND LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SWLY. IN
RESPONSE A GOOD WARM-UP IS STILL ON TRACK FOR THE LATER PART OF
THE WEEK WITH HIGHS INTO THE 60S.

GLASS

&&

.AVIATION...
/559 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010/

TRICKY CLOUD FORECAST TDA WITH N-NELY LOW LEVEL WINDS BRINGING
DRIER AIR SWWD THRU PORTIONS OF NERN MO W CNTRL IL SW INTO CNTRL
MO. FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN UIN DUE TO THE CLEAR SKY EARLY THIS MRNG.
THIS FOG WILL DISSIPATE LATER THIS MRNG AND IT APPEARS THAT MOST
OF THE STRATUS CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN W OF UIN THIS MRNG. STRATUS
CLOUDS HAVE ADVECTED INTO COU BUT DRIER AIR FROM THE NE MAY ERODE
THIS QUICKLY THIS MRNG. STL/SUS IS ON THE WRN EDGE OF A CLOUD MASS
OVER E CNTRL IL...SRN IL AND SERN MO BUT THIS CLOUD COVER IS NOT
AS LOW AT 2500-4000 FT. LEANED TOWARD THE MORE OPTIMISTIC NAM
MODEL RH...CLOUD FORECAST LATER TDA AND TGT. FORECAST SCT LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS IN UIN AND COU THIS AFTN AND TGT...WITH A BKN VFR CEILING
IN STL/SUS TIL 12Z TUE THEN SCATTERING OUT. SHOULD BE SCT-BKN
DIURNAL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS DEVELOPING IN THE CLEAR AREAS LATE
THIS MRNG WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PRESENT. N-NWLY SFC WNDS
WILL CONTINUE THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SFC RDG OVER THE NRN
RCKYS AND NRN PLAINS BUILDS SLOWLY SEWD.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...DO NOT THINK THE LOWER LEVEL STRATUS CLOUDS
OVER PORTIONS OF NERN AND CNTRL MO WILL MAKE IT INTO STL THIS MRNG
BUT STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS FROM IL MAY CONTINUE TO MOVE THRU THE AREA
WITH CEILINGS AROUND 3000 FT. MORE DIURNAL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS
SHOULD DEVELOP LATE THIS MRNG AND THIS AFTN WITH CEILINGS AROUND
3500 FT EXPECTED. THIS CLOUD DECK SHOULD SCATTER OUT LATER TGT AND
EARLY TUE MRNG.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
345 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-161200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
345 AM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG PARTS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AS WELL AS THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY. SEE
THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG PARTS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR
SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

GLASS