Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2010

River Flood Warning 4, NWS St. Louis, MO

January 22, 2010Fayette County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jan 22, 2010, 6:25 AM CST for Fayette County, Illinois. It took effect at Jan 22, 2010, 11:06 AM CST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 22, 2010, 6:25 AM CST (12:25 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 22, 2010, 11:06 AM CST
Expired: Jan 28, 2010, 11:45 AM CST
In force: 6 days
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity: Minor

County Fayette County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kaskaskia River at Vandalia (VNDI2). The gauge peaked at 20.02 ft at Jan 26, 2010, 5:00 AM CST.

Action stage: 16 ft
Minor stage: 18 ft
Moderate stage: 24 ft
Major stage: 26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05592500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

742 
WGUS43 KLSX 221225
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
625 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS... 


  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED OVER THE PAST 
48 HOURS...AND RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT ACROSS THE BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-231225-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0004.100122T1645Z-100126T0300Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100122T1645Z.100123T1200Z.100125T0300Z.NO/
625 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* FROM THIS MORNING TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  5:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 18.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/23  01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   17.53      18.6   18.6   17.5   16.2   15.7

13 follow-up statements

552 
WGUS83 KLSX 221520
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
920 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF RAINFALL RECEIVED OVER THE PAST 
48 HOURS...AND RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT ACROSS THE BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-231520-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.100122T1706Z-100126T0600Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100122T1706Z.100124T0000Z.100125T0600Z.NO/
920 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/23  01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   17.71      18.7   18.8   17.6   16.5   15.9

317 
WGUS83 KLSX 230155
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
755 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  
        KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...VANDALIA  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF TWO DAY RAINFALL TOTALS AND SNOW MELT
RUNOFF...



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS..


            KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...CARLYLE  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF CONTROLLED RELEASES ALONG WITH RAIN
AND SNOW MELT RUNOFF...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS 
AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-240155-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100125T2100Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T2100Z.100124T0600Z.100124T2100Z.NO/
755 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 6:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.3 FEET SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

ILC027-240154-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 425.0 FEET LATER TONIGHT. 
* ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 423.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  RURAL DAMAGE BEGINS.  
  TOWNSHIP ROADS IN COVINGTON BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 421.0 FEET...LEFT BANK IN VICINITY OF THE GAGE OVERFLOWS
  WITH MINOR FLOODING OF PARK LANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/23  01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   17.93      17.7   18.2   17.3   16.4   15.8
  CARLYLE TW      424  424.89     425.0  425.0  425.0  424.9  424.8

471 
WGUS83 KLSX 231620
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1020 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF RUNOFF DUE TO MELTING SNOW...AND 
UP TO ONE INCH OF PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-241620-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100128T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100124T0000Z.100127T1200Z.NO/
1020 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.3 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   18.09      18.2   18.2   18.2   18.0   16.6

035 
WGUS83 KLSX 240257
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS 
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


&&

ILC051-250257-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1800Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100125T1800Z.100128T1800Z.NO/
857 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.9 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

ILC027-250256-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 424.9 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 423.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  RURAL DAMAGE BEGINS.  
  TOWNSHIP ROADS IN COVINGTON BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 421.0 FEET...LEFT BANK IN VICINITY OF THE GAGE OVERFLOWS
  WITH MINOR FLOODING OF PARK LANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   18.28      18.6   19.7   19.9   19.4   18.4
  CARLYLE TW      424  424.91     424.9  424.9  424.9  424.8  424.8

283 
WGUS83 KLSX 241559
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
959 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER...

        AT VANDALIA...AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 
        AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER...AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 0.50 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WITH
LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CARLYLE
TAIL WATER IMPACTED BY WATER RELEASES FROM CARLYLE LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-251559-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T0000Z.100128T1200Z.NO/
959 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.8 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ILC027-251558-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
959 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 425.0 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST               7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18    18.66      19.6   19.8   19.3   18.0   16.6
  CARLYLE TW       424   424.93     424.9  425.0  425.0  425.0  425.0

354 
WGUS83 KLSX 250205
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
805 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS..
  

     KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

     KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS 
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-260205-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T0000Z.100128T1200Z.NO/
805 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.8 FEET TOMORROW EVENING
  AND THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

ILC027-260204-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 425.0 FEET TOMORROW EVENING.  
* ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 423.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  RURAL DAMAGE BEGINS.  
  TOWNSHIP ROADS IN COVINGTON BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 421.0 FEET...LEFT BANK IN VICINITY OF THE GAGE OVERFLOWS
  WITH MINOR FLOODING OF PARK LANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/25  01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   19.11      19.8   19.3   18.0   16.7   16.2
  CARLYLE TW      424  424.92     425.0  425.0  425.0  425.0  425.0

646 
WGUS83 KLSX 251604
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1004 AM CST MON JAN 25 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER...

        AT VANDALIA...AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 
        AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER...AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 0.75 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 48 HOURS OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WITH
LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CARLYLE
TAIL WATER IMPACTED BY WATER RELEASES FROM CARLYLE LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-261604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1400Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T0000Z.100128T1400Z.NO/
1004 AM CST MON JAN 25 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.9 FEET BY THISEVENING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ILC027-261603-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 AM CST MON JAN 25 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD STEADY NEAR 425.0 OVER THE NEXT
  SEVERAL DAYS. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST                7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29  01/30

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18    19.71      19.9   19.4   18.1   16.8   16.3
  CARLYLE TW       424   424.92     425.0  425.0  425.0  425.0  425.0

268 
WGUS83 KLSX 260103
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
703 PM CST MON JAN 25 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
 
       KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

       KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

               
                PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS 
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


&&

ILC051-270103-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T0000Z.100128T1200Z.NO/
703 PM CST MON JAN 25 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 6:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 19.0 FEET AFROUND NOON THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

ILC027-270102-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
703 PM CST MON JAN 25 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 425.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.  
* ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/26  01/27  01/28  01/29  01/30

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   19.76      19.8   19.3   18.0   16.7   16.2
  CARLYLE TW      424  424.92     424.9  424.9  424.9  424.9  425.0

233 
WGUS83 KLSX 261548
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
948 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER...

        AT VANDALIA...AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 
        AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER...AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 0.75 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND UPON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WITH
LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CARLYLE
TAIL WATER IMPACTED BY WATER RELEASES FROM CARLYLE LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-271548-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T1030Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T1130Z.100128T1030Z.NO/
948 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ILC027-271547-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD STEADY AROUND 425 FEET OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST                7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     01/27  01/28  01/29  01/30  01/31

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18    19.89      19.2   17.9   16.8   16.2   15.9
  CARLYLE TW       424   424.92     424.9  424.9  424.9  424.9  425.0

664 
WGUS83 KLSX 270236
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
836 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...


  KASKASKIA RIVER AT

    VANDALIA
    CARLYLE LAKE TAIL WATER


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LAST WEEKEND AT
VANDALIA AND FROM RELEASES FROM CARLYLE LAKE AT THE TAIL WATER
LOCATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-280236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T0800Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T1130Z.100128T0800Z.NO/
836 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING AND SHOULD 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

ILC027-280235-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE LAKE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 424.6 FEET THROUGH 
  THE WEEKEND.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/27  01/28  01/29  01/30  01/31

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18   19.71     19.2   17.8   16.8   16.1   15.8
  CARLYLE LAKE TW  424  424.63    424.6  424.6  424.6  424.6  424.6

328 
WGUS83 KLSX 271451
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER...

        AT VANDALIA...AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 
        AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER...AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 0.75 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION 
FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CARLYLE TAIL WATER IMPACTED 
BY WATER RELEASES FROM CARLYLE LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-281451-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T0959Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T1130Z.100128T0959Z.NO/
851 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY.

$$

ILC027-281450-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.091209T1422Z.100105T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TAIL WATER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 424.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. 

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST               7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     01/28  01/29  01/30  01/31  02/01

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18    19.20      17.9   16.9   16.2   15.9   15.7
  CARLYLE TW       424   424.52     424.2  423.7  423.7  424.2  424.6

593 
WGUS83 KLSX 280127
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
726 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...


  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL LAST WEEKEND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-290126-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T0959Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T1130Z.100128T0959Z.NO/
726 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL THURSDAY.
* AT 6:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING AND SHOULD 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/28  01/29  01/30  01/31  02/01

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA          18   18.74     17.9   16.9   16.2   15.8   15.5

064 
WGUS83 KLSX 281745
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1145 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
               
              KASKASKIA RIVER AT ...VANDALIA

             PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

                  ...WARNING CANCELLED...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC051-281815-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100129T0959Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.100123T1118Z.100126T1130Z.100128T1550Z.NO/
1145 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:50 AM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 17.1 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   01/29  01/30  01/31  02/01  02/02

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   17.95      17.1   16.4   16.0   15.6   15.4

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 22, 6:22 AM CST, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 6:22 AM CST, 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
622 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

.DISCUSSION...
/301 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010/

IMPRESSIVE LARGE UPPER TROF COVERS THE WESTERN CONUS THIS MORNING
WITH UPPER RIDGING ACROSS OUR NECK OF THE WOODS. LARGE STRATUS
SHIELD COVERS THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING AS ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED UNDER A WEAK
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. LOOKING AT THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY...I
AM REALLY HAVING MY DOUBTS OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CLEARING TODAY ACROSS
THE CWA. HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPERATURES BELOW THE COOLER MET GUIDANCE
AND CLOSER TO 2M TEMPERATURES ADVERTISED BY LOCAL WRF. BELIEVE THE
VAST MAJORITY OF THE CWA WILL LIKELY NOT RISE OUT OF THE 30S TODAY.

THE RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE CWA BY THIS EVENING...WITH WARM
ADVECTION AND SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND KEEPING TEMPERATURES STEADY OR
SLOWLY RISING HEADING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. NOT ANTICIPATING
WIDESPREAD FOG DUE TO INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT/SURFACE WIND.

IN THE MEANTIME...THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW/TROF WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TO THE UPPER MIDWEST ON SATURDAY. STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON THE
NOSE OF A +50KT  LOW-LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL
LEAD TO AN AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING/MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME INDICATION THAT A
SECONDARY AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN
MISSOURI...WHICH WILL ONLY AID IN LARGE SCALE CONVERGENCE AND LIFT.

DRY SLOT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA ON SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF SOME CLEARING...MAINLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE 70 IN ILLINOIS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON - HAVE THEREFORE KEPT TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER
HERE.

COLD AIR ADVECTION AND STRATUS OVERSPREADS THE BISTATE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE AFFECTS THE AREA. HAVE
MAINTAINED CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA DURING THIS PERIOD WHERE BEST SYNOPTIC LIFT WILL EXIST.

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION...
/557 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010/

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...11-3.9 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LIFR/IFR STRATUS
DECK SOLIDLY IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. AMPLE LOW LVL
MOISTURE BENEATH AN INVERSION...LGT WINDS...AND LACK OF MIXING
WITH RIDGE AXIS OVERHEAD ALL SUGGEST STRATUS WILL BE SLOW TO
LIFT. AS THE NEXT LOW PRES SYS APPROACHES TONIGHT...INCREASING
SELY WINDS WILL PROMOTE MIXING AND LEAD TO SOME VSBY IMPROVEMENTS.
-RA TO SPREAD FM W TO E NEAR THE END OF THE TAF PD WITH SCT -TSRA
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROADER RAIN SHIELD.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 3:31 AM CST, 2 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
331 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-231200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
331 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES
EARLY THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CVKING

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 22, 10:54 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Pike	4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2010 Every river flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.