Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS Louisville, KY

540 
WGUS73 KLMK 191023
FFSLMK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
523 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010

KYC003-053-057-171-191145-
/O.CON.KLMK.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100819T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CUMBERLAND KY-ALLEN KY-CLINTON KY-MONROE KY-
523 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT FOR
MONROE...CLINTON...SOUTHEASTERN ALLEN AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 503 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
RAIN HAD DIMINISHED OVER THE WARNED AREA...HOWEVER POCKETS OF HEAVY 
RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CUMBERLAND AND CLINTON 
COUNTIES. 

NUMEROUS ROADS IN THE FLIPPIN AREA OF WESTERN MONROE COUNTY WERE 
IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER AND ONE PERSON HAD TO BE RESCUED FROM A 
FLOODED ROAD THERE.   

* OTHER LOCATIONS MAINLY IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MUD LICK...
  GAMALIEL...
  AKERSVILLE...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 8613 3679 8607 3673 8598 3684 8579
      3683 8559 3687 8560 3686 8557 3687 8552
      3694 8546 3694 8538 3693 8525 3690 8528
      3685 8524 3688 8524 3684 8514 3686 8508
      3683 8505 3662 8500 3662 8534

$$

DK

660 
WGUS73 KLMK 191144
FFSLMK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
644 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010

KYC003-053-057-171-191153-
/O.EXP.KLMK.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100819T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CUMBERLAND KY-ALLEN KY-CLINTON KY-MONROE KY-
644 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 645 AM CDT FOR MONROE...
CLINTON...SOUTHEASTERN ALLEN AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO LONGER
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN.

LAT...LON 3664 8613 3679 8607 3673 8598 3684 8579
      3683 8559 3687 8560 3686 8557 3687 8552
      3694 8546 3694 8538 3693 8525 3690 8528
      3685 8524 3688 8524 3684 8514 3686 8508
      3683 8505 3662 8500 3662 8534

$$

CMC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
308 AM EDT THU AUG 19 2010

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

WILL KEEP NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE FCST THRU SUNRISE FOR THE SERN
QUADRANT OF OUR FA (OCCASIONALLY HEAVY) AS LOCAL WRF CLEARLY SHOWS
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ACRS MIDDLE TN MOVG EWD AND ASSOCIATED SLY LO
LEVEL JET AIMED AT OUR SERN COUNTIES INCREASING TO 35-40 KTS BY 09Z.
RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2.5IN/HR HAVE OCCURRED NEAR/JUST NORTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE AS WATER VAPOR/IR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED COOLING TOPS IN
THAT AREA. WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOSELY AS THAT ACTIVITY
MOVES/DEVELOPS NEWD INTO OUR SERN COUNTIES...NAMELY
MONROE...CUMBERLAND...CLINTON...RUSSELL AND ADAIR WHERE 2-6 INCHES
FELL WED.

BY SUNRISE...WILL DECREASE POPS TO SCT TERMS ACRS THE SOUTHEAST...AS
FAR N AS MADISON OR CLARK COUNTY. ELSEWHERE...DRIER AIR SHUD BE
WORKING NW TO SE ACRS OUR FA TDA WITH SOME PRE-SUNRISE FOG ON THE
NRN PERIPHERY OF CLOUDS...MAINLY ACRS THAT PART OF SCNTRL
KY...ALONG/WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. UPR LEVEL RIDGE ACRS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL MOVE EWD AND REACH THE WRN OH VLY BY THE END OF THIS
PERIOD WHILE OH VLY SFC RIDGE DROPS SEWD TO THE APPALACHIANS/MID
ATLANTIC.

TEMPS WILL BE COOLEST TDA ACRS OUR SE QUAD (LOWER-MID 80S) AS CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THRU THE MORNING/POSSIBLY EARLY AFTN THERE. ELSEWHERE
MID 80S TO AROUND 90 WILL BE THE RULE.

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY - WEDNESDAY)...

FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A BLOCKING PATTERN OVER NORTHERN CANADA LATE THIS WEEK WILL FEATURE
RIDGING ACROSS GREENLAND AND THE BAFFIN ISLAND REGION...WITH
SEASONABLY LOW 500MB HEIGHTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
CANADIAN PROVINCES. BASICALLY THIS WILL BRING A PROGRESSIVE FLOW
ACROSS THE US/CANADIAN BORDER WITH A SUCCESSION OF SHORTWAVES
TRAVERSING OUR NORTHERN STATES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

HOT TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY. AS A TRANSIENT
500MB RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...SUBSIDENCE AND A
RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER WELL INTO
THE LOWER 90S FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH GULF MOISTURE RELEGATED WELL
SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF STATES...EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

AS MID LEVEL RIDGING TEMPORARILY RETROGRADES WEST OVER THE
ROCKIES...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CROSS THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
APPALACHIAN CHAIN AND SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND ALLOW GULF
MOISTURE TO RETURN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. EXPECT HIGHER DEWPOINTS
WITH AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS
SATURDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MID-DAY SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH.

UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL UNDERGO A TRANSITION BEGINNING SUNDAY.
TROUGHING ENTERING THE CONUS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ALLOW
A SHARP RIDGE TO BUILD MONDAY ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY...EXTENDING INTO THE GREAT LAKES. AS A 500MB LOW DEVELOPS
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL COMMENCE ACROSS THE
APPALACHIANS.

AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY...STRONG SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS RIDGE WILL DRY THINGS OUT SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH FOR
THE MONDAY AND TUESDAY TIME PERIOD. EXPECT DRIER AIR TO FILTER IN
LATE SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES AVERAGING AROUND 5 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE LATE AUGUST
NORMALS (MID 80S/UPPER 60S). A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT
SEEMS AT THIS TIME MOISTURE STARVED. HOWEVER...DISTINCTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES MAY ARRIVE BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

BULK OF CONVECTIVE OVRRNG ACTIVITY ACROSS KENTUCKY/TENNESSEE BORDER
SHUD REMAIN MAINLY TO THE EAST OF BWG THRU SUNRISE AND TO THE SE OF
LEX. SHOWERS WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BWG TO INCLUDE A VCNTY REMARK.
STILL CONCERNED ABOUT DROPPING VIS/CIGS OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE AMOUNT
OF RAIN THAT FELL WED AND GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES. FEEL THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SOLID IFR TO
POSSIBLY LIFR CONDITIONS FOR A PERIOD TOWARDS DAWN AT BWG.

ELSEWHERE...THE FORECAST IS MUCH MORE OPTIMISTIC WITH SDF STAYING
VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AND LEX POSSIBLY DROPPING TO MVFR
FOR A PERIOD TOWARD DAWN. CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR LEX DUE TO THE LACK
OF RAINFALL AND COULD EASILY SEE THEM STAYING VFR OVERNIGHT.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM........DK/11
LONG TERM.........JSD
AVIATION..........DK/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
809 PM EDT WED AUG 18 2010

KYZ046>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-200015-
WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-
BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-
GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-
SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-
RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
809 PM EDT WED AUG 18 2010 /709 PM CDT WED AUG 18 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WITH THE COMBINATION OF CLEARING SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND AMPLE
AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM MORGANTOWN TO HODGENVILLE TO
RICHMOND...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED BELOW A HALF MILE OVER SHORT
DISTANCES...MAKING DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS A
FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045-200015-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-
809 PM EDT WED AUG 18 2010 /709 PM CDT WED AUG 18 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS A
FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

BJS