Alert archive / Florida / Hurricane Local Statements in 2010
Hurricane Local Statement 1, NWS Key West, FL
NWS Key West, FL issued this hurricane local statement at Oct 13, 2010, 11:52 AM EDT for Monroe County, Florida. It was in force for 35 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 13, 2010, 11:52 AM EDT (15:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2010, 10:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Key West, FL
County Monroe County, FL
The radar
The Miami radar (KAMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1411 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 535 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
098 WTUS82 KKEY 131552 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1152 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS AND THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN INCLUDING THE OUTER WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3N...LONGITUDE 85.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. HURRICANE PAULA IS MOVING NORTH NEAR 5 MPH WITH WINDS NEAR 100 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THIS AFTERNOON...THEN NEAR OR OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF WESTERN CUBA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND PASS EASTWARD NEAR WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 30 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. .WINDS... WINDS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN WILL REMAIN 15 MPH OR LESS FOR THE BALANCE OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. .MARINE IMPACTS... OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT...NO OTHER MARINE HAZARDS ARE ANTICIPATED. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DETERIORATE DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. GMZ053-054-073>075-140400- /O.NEW.KKEY.TR.A.0001.101013T1552Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1152 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. $$ FLZ077-078-140400- /O.NEW.KKEY.TR.A.0001.101013T1552Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1152 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-132200- /O.NEW.KKEY.HU.S.0001.101013T1552Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1152 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR THURSDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. $$ APA
12 follow-up statements
037 WTUS82 KKEY 131849 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 249 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...PAULA HESITATES...SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD WESTERN CUBA SOON... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS AND THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN INCLUDING THE OUTER WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5N...LONGITUDE 85.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. LITTLE OR NO MOVEMENT WAS EVIDENT. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN NEAR OR OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF WESTERN CUBA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND PASS EASTWARD NEAR WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 30 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. .WINDS... OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN. .MARINE IMPACTS... OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN KEYS COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...NO OTHER MARINE HAZARDS ARE ANTICIPATED .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DETERIORATE DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 600 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-GMZ053-054-073>075-140700- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 249 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS NONE. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES ACROSS OR JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND OF CUBA...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 30 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. SUBSEQUENTLY...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET IN THE OUTER STRAITS SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-140700- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 249 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF HURRICANE PAULA. $$ APA
014 WTUS82 KKEY 132209 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...WEAK HURRICANE PAULA BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS AND THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN INCLUDING THE OUTER WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WEAK HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7N...LONGITUDE 85.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...WILL TURN NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTHEAST TO EAST OVER THE EXTREME WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA LATER THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 900 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-GMZ053-054-073>075-141015- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF CUBA...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ON THE OUTER STRAITS THURSDAY NIGHT. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-141015- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA. $$ APA
879 WTUS82 KKEY 140053 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 853 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...SMALL HURRICANE PAULA INCHING CLOSER TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED NEAR 85 MPH...AND MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... WILL TURN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND TRACK OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATER THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 35 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER... ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR HURRICANE PAULA. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 35 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150100- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 853 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...WINDS AND RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 35 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS RANGES FROM 17 TO 21 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. ...WINDS... NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY...BECOMING NORTH AND INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY OUTER RAIN BANDS AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN LATER THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT... BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150100- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 853 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS ALMOST ZERO. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS RANGES FROM 25 TO 40 PERCENT ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 35 MILES SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS. ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. CLOSER TO THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150100- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 853 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...SHOWERS LIKELY ON THURSDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...RAINFALL IMPACTS... AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS ACROSS FLORIDA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS. $$ JACOBSON
799 WTUS82 KKEY 140329 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...PAULA WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH... AND MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... WILL TURN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND TRACK OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATER THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION...SITUATION OVERVIEW AND PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 3 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150330- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...WINDS AND RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. A FEW GUSTS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY BE POSSIBLE IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ...WINDS... SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THURSDAY...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN LATER THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150330- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS ALMOST ZERO. MINIMAL SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. CLOSER TO THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150330- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...SHOWERS LIKELY ON THURSDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS ACROSS FLORIDA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. $$ JACOBSON
924 WTUS82 KKEY 140631 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...EYE OF PAULA NEARING WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED NEAR 80 MPH...AND MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... WILL TURN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND TRACK OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA EARLY THIS MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATER TODAY...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150645- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. A FEW GUSTS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY BE POSSIBLE IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ...WINDS... SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH TODAY...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150645- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NONE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS ALMOST ZERO. MINIMAL SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. CLOSER TO THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150645- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...SHOWERS LIKELY ON THURSDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND FRIDAY. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS ACROSS FLORIDA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ JACOBSON
615 WTUS82 KKEY 140945 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...PAULA WEAKENING JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...AND STORM MOTION WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... MINIMAL HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...IS FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER WESTERN CUBA BY MIDDAY. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS OR GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA TODAY...IN CASE OF UNEXPECTED CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION...SITUATION OVERVIEW AND PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150945- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AND WINDS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && ...WINDS... SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH TODAY...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150945- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WINDS MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS WELL SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AS PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE FAR OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS. ELSEWHERE...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150945- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...SHOWERS LIKELY TODAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON FLORIDA BAY...THE GULF WATERS...AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS TODAY. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ JACOBSON
876 WTUS82 KKEY 141235 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 835 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...PAULA DECAYING JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL AFFECT THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7N...LONGITUDE 84.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. PAULA IS WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... PAULA...CURRENTLY OVER THE EXTREME WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...IS FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS MORNING. PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO DECAY FURTHER AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE TODAY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY NOON EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-142145- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 835 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE TODAY. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. && $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-142145- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 835 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS TODAY. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WINDS MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS WELL SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-142145- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 835 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TODAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE TODAY. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ APA
181 WTUS82 KKEY 141529 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1129 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...PAULA DECAYING OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL AFFECT THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8N...LONGITUDE 84.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. PAULA IS WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... WEAKENING PAULA...CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF CUBA...IS FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON. PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO DECAY FURTHER AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 55 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD STEER CLEAR OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-142130- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1129 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-142130- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1129 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD STEER CLEAR OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WINDS MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS WELL SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-142130- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1129 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. $$ APA
666 WTUS82 KKEY 141848 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 248 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...PAULA DECAYING OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF CUBA... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL AFFECT THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8N...LONGITUDE 83.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. PAULA IS WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... WEAKENING PAULA...CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF CUBA...IS FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON. PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO DECAY FURTHER AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 55 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD STEER CLEAR OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150300- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 248 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150300- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 248 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD STEER CLEAR OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WINDS MAY INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS WELL SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150300- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 248 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED LOCATION OF STORM...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...AND SITUATIONAL OVERVIEW. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. $$ APA/MR
667 WTUS82 KKEY 142116 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 516 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...PAULA ABSOLUTELY NO THREAT FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN WILL COME TO AN END THIS EVENING IN THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8N...LONGITUDE 83.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FL. PAULA IS WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... DETERIORATING PAULA...CURRENTLY OVER WEST CENTRAL CUBA...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND DECAY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTION OF CUBA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH WILL BE COLLAPSING RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...WINDS AND SEAS AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FLZ077-078-150630- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 516 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...WINDS AND SEAS AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150630- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 516 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...WINDS AND SEAS AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR ANY SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS OR STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && ...WINDS AND SEAS... BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHERS GUSTS IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE BY LATE THIS EVENING AS DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA MOVES EASTWARD AND AWAY FROM OUR AREA. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150630- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 516 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RAIN WILL END THIS EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPARENESS ACTIONS...WINDS AND SEAS AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. $$ APA
129 WTUS82 KKEY 150022 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 822 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CANCELLED FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA STRAITS... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF AND END LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SURROUNDING NEARSHORE WATERS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 82.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST. PAULA IS WEAKENING AND MOVING TO THE EAST NEAR 14 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... PAULA...CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL CUBA...WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND EXPECTED WEAKENING...THE ONLY POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 45 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS EARLY TONIGHT. .NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED WATCHES...STORM POSITION...WINDS AND SEAS...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS. && FLZ077-078-150300- /O.CAN.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 822 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RAIN WILL END THIS EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...WINDS AND SEAS...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150300- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 822 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...WINDS AND SEAS...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. ...WINDS AND SEAS... BEYOND 45 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS...WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS DECAYING TROPICAL STORM PAULA MOVES EASTWARD AND AWAY FROM OUR AREA. $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150300- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 822 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...RAIN WILL END THIS EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM POSITION...WIND AND SEAS...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. $$ 11
277 WTUS82 KKEY 150245 HLSKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1045 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS AND KEYS COASTAL WATERS... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR...THE FLORIDA KEYS AS WELL AS ALL KEYS COASTAL WATERS. PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1N...LONGITUDE 81.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... RAPIDLY WEAKENING PAULA...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER CENTRAL CUBA...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AT AROUND 14 MPH ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. .NEW INFORMATION... DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES...STORM POSITION...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM CRAIG KEY TO THE DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES...DUE TO RESIDUAL SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET. MARINERS SHOULD CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST. FLZ077-078-150345- /O.CAN.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1045 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...NO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... DISCONTINUED WATCHES...STORM POSITION...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. $$ GMZ053-054-073>075-150345- /O.CAN.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1045 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED... ...NEW INFORMATION... DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES...STORM POSITION...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. && $$ FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150345- /O.CAN.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY- GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1045 PM EDT THU OCT 14 2010 ...NO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... DISCONTINUED WATCHES...STORM POSITION...AND SITUATION OVERVIEW. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane local statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Key West, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane local statement went out at Oct 13, 4:56 AM EDT, 6 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 4:56 AM EDT, 6 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 456 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 .DISCUSSION... .CURRENTLY... AFTER A WET TUESDAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE KEYS...DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. HOWEVER...RADAR DETECTS AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AND APPROACHING THE LOWER KEYS AT THIS TIME. SKIES ARE CLOUDY ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE HOVERING IN THE MID 70S... AND WINDS ON LAND ARE MOSTLY FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS. SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS HURRICANE PAULA LOCATED OVER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...WITH A WEAKENING ATLANTIC RIDGE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A COLD FRONT IS ADVANCING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...DRIVEN BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. A STRONG REINFORCING SHORTWAVE IS DROPPING THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES. MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY AND GEIGER KEY GPS-MET DATA INDICATE THAT THE KEYS REMAIN WITHIN A VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS...WITH PWATS HOVERING AROUND 2.3 INCHES. .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE KEYS AGAIN TODAY...HOWEVER THE SITUATION IS NOT AS CLEAR CUT AS IT WAS ON TUESDAY. AN AXIS OF COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FEED NORTHEAST FROM HURRICANE PAULA ACROSS OUR AREA...IN A TYPICAL PREDECESSOR RAINFALL EVENT PATTERN. THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE VERY STRONG/DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT/WARM ADVECTION PATTERN OBSERVED ACROSS THE KEYS ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE WEAKER TODAY. OVERALL THERE IS LESS CONFIDENCE IN A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT...BUT STILL SUFFICIENT POTENTIAL TO CARRY LIKELY POPS AND MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE FORECAST. TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...PAULA IS FORECAST TO TURN EAST ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND MOVE NEAR WESTERN/CENTRAL CUBA...WHILE WEAKENING DUE TO CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY SHEAR. MEANWHILE...MID LATITUDE TROUGHING WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND EASTERN CONUS...DRIVING THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON THURSDAY AND LIKELY THROUGH THE KEYS ON FRIDAY AS PAULA PASSES BY TO OUR SOUTH. THE KEYS WILL REMAIN WITHIN DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME ON THURSDAY...WHEN MOST OF THE GUIDANCE BRINGS ANOTHER MOISTURE SURGE ALONG WITH A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE KEYS. HOWEVER...WITH SO MUCH MOISTURE AVAILABLE RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD DECREASE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS NORTHERLY WINDS ALLOW DRIER AIR TO BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE REGION. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE KEYS REMAIN WITHIN THE THREE DAY FORECAST ERROR CONE FOR PAULA...AND TROPICAL STORM CUMULATIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR KEY WEST ARE CURRENTLY AT 34 PERCENT. WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM AND EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...DIRECT IMPACTS ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE FAR OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION IN CASE OF A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. && .LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... THE LATEST NHC FORECAST INDICATES THAT PAULA SHOULD BE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATING ACROSS CUBA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE KEYS EXPECTED BY THAT TIME. OTHERWISE... THE LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BRING NORTHERLY FLOW AND A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS INTO THE KEYS DURING THIS TIME. WILL HANG ON TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME LINGERING TIMING UNCERTAINTY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THEN WILL REMOVE POPS AND GO WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH MOVES TO THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK... GRADUALLY VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ALLOW MODEST LEVELS OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO FILTER BACK INTO THE KEYS...AND WILL SLOWLY TREND POPS UP THROUGH THE SLIGHT CHANCE RANGE THEN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL (HIGHS IN THE MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID 70S)...HOWEVER DEWPOINTS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 60S SHOULD ALLOW FOR A RATHER COMFORTABLE WEEKEND. && .MARINE... WHILE A LATE EVENING ASCAT PASS DID SHOW SOME EAST WINDS NEAR 15 KNOTS ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...MORE RECENT C-MAN OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE REEF HAVE BEEN RUNNING GENERALLY NEAR 10 KNOTS. THE BACKGROUND WIND FIELD SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT TODAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS ACROSS OUR AREA...HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER AND GUSTY IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS TONIGHT...THEN NORTHEAST/EAST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WHEN PAULA IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST ACROSS CUBA WHILE WEAKENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NECESSARY ACROSS PARTS OF THE COASTAL WATERS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. OTHERWISE EXPECT FRESH NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW TO PREVAIL ACROSS OUR AREA ON FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH. MARINERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING HURRICANE PAULA THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. && .AVIATION... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILL IN ACROSS THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING. PERIODIC IFR/LIFR CIGS AND OR VIS WILL OCCUR WITHIN ANY STRONGER CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE SLOW AND ERRATIC MOVEMENT OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS NOW WEST OF THE TERMINALS...WILL STILL HOLD OFF WITH DETAILING THE LOWER CONDITIONS AT THE TERMINALS ATTM. OF COURSE...AMENDMENTS WILL BE MADE IMMEDIATELY WHEN NEEDED. PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST SIGNIFICANT AVIATION WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR TURBULENCE AND CONVECTIVE WEATHER. JUST LIGHT TO GENTLE EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... KEY WEST 82 75 82 75 / 70 50 60 40 MARATHON 82 75 82 75 / 70 50 60 40 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GM...NONE. && PUBLIC/MARINE.........JACOBSON AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....FUTTERMAN VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 10:50 AM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1050 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 UPDATED TO INSERT TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS AND THE WATERS SOUTHWARD FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-141000- MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS- FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM- OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT- KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM- 1050 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE STRAITS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TODAY...THEN APPROACH WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND PASS EASTWARD NEAR WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...DIRECT IMPACTS WOULD LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE FAR OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR 60 NM. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA. OTHERWISE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY HURRICANE PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AND ACROSS THE ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY AND UNCERTAINTY...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR AT LEAST A PORTION OF OUR SERVICE AREA. IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. APA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Key West, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 11:52 AM EDT | Tropical Storm Watch | KEY | Monroe | 35 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Local Statements in Florida, 2010Every hurricane local statement in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.