Small Craft Advisory 56, NWS JSJ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
637 AM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-021000-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
637 AM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...DIURNAL
HEATING AND FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL INDUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR...NORTHWEST AND WEST SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO AND POSSIBLY THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AS
WELL AS INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS STILL EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION OVER THE WEEKEND AND MAINTAIN MOIST AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF AN ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
THEREFORE...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING AS WELL AS MUDSLIDES IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. PLEASE ALSO
REFER TO LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS ON FLOODING
POTENTIAL NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RAINFALL REPORTS OF GREATER THAN 3 INCHES AND/OR
FLOODING REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-021000-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
637 AM AST FRI OCT 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME. THEREFORE...INTERVALS OF CLOUDINESS AND
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE LOCAL REGION OVER THE WEEKEND AND MAINTAIN MOIST AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF AN ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
THEREFORE...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH AND GUT FLOODING AS WELL AS MUDSLIDES IN
AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR
MORE DETAILS ON FLOODING POTENTIAL. EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...RAINFALL REPORTS OF GREATER THAN 3 INCHES AND/OR
FLOODING REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

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