Tornado Warning 14, NWS Jackson, KY

862 
WWUS53 KJKL 042148
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
548 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

KYC063-175-042157-
/O.CAN.KJKL.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-100804T2215Z/
ELLIOTT KY-MORGAN KY-
548 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MORGAN AND SOUTHERN ELLIOTT
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT.

LAT...LON 3804 8300 3801 8302 3792 8309 3806 8327
      3811 8322 3812 8321 3812 8320 3813 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 303DEG 12KT 3804 8313

$$

RICHEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
405 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...UPDATED

THE BIGGEST CONCERNS IN THE NEAR TERM PERIOD ARE THE ONGOING
CONVECTION AND THEN THE ONGOING HEAT EVENT ACROSS THE REGION.

THE PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO FLATTEN OUT AND SHIFT
TO THE WEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SHIFTS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
STATES. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BOUNDARY WILL DROP SOUTH
INTO THE CWA ON THU AND GRADUALLY EXIT THE AREA THROUGH FRI MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND
OH VALLEY AND REMAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

FOR NOW...OPTED TO LET THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING AND HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING AND THEN WILL EXTEND ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR ALL
AREAS ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MTN PARKWAY THROUGH THU EVENING. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION IN THE VERY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE. THIS WILL LARGELY
BE MESOSCALE DRIVEN WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LEADING TO NEW
CONVECTION. PW WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH AND THE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
FOR SOME STORMS TO BACKBUILD ALONG THE OUTFLOW AND POSSIBLY TRAIN AND
LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND MODEST MID LEVEL
FLOW...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND EASTERN SECTIONS COULD LEAD TO
A STORM OR TWO WITH MARGINALLY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. A
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS POTENTIAL ACROSS THE NORTH AS AN
OUTFLOW WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE OH RIVER AND MAY IMPACT THE NW PART OF
THE AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD GENERALLY BE AT AT MIN OVERNIGHT...BUT
HIGH DEWPOINTS AND RESIDUAL CLOUDS SHOULD LEAD TO TEMPS NOT FALLING
MUCH BELOW THE MID 70S IN MANY AREAS PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE
HEAT. AS FOR MAX T...THE MAV MOS HAS BEEN PERSISTENTLY TOO HIGH MUCH
OF THE SUMMER SO HAVE UNDERCUT...BUT COMPROMISED BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AND THE 12Z MET MOS.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BY
LATE THU AM OR THU AFTERNOON ALONG OR IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AS A
BIT OF UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE DUE TO FALLING
HEIGHTS FROM THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH. CONVECTION WILL LINGER THE
LONGEST IN THE SOUTH...AS THE FRONT GRADUALLY PUSHES SOUTH OF THE
AREA. WITH UPPER LEVEL WINDS WESTERLY AND THE FRONT EXPECTED TO BE
RELATIVELY EAST TO WEST ORIENTED...TRAINING OF CELLS IS POSSIBLE.
A COOLER AND SOMEWHAT DRIER AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO WORK INTO THE AREA
ON FRI AND FRI NIGHT.

.LONG TERM.../FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...UPDATED

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD A COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL TO OUR SOUTH
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES. AS A RESULT WE WILL BE
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MUCH LESS HUMID AIR
MASS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS
FOR OUR AREA. THE LONG RANGE MOS HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE TOO HIGH...AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR MUCH OF THIS SUMMER...AND WILL BE DISREGARDED.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD DROP INTO THE OHIO VALLEY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXACTLY WHEN THIS GETS FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO AFFECT OUR AREA IS
UNCERTAIN. HAVE FOLLOWED THE HPC GUIDANCE WITH THE FRONT REACHING
THE OH RIVER ON WEDNESDAY. AS SUCH HAVE KEPT ALL RAIN CHANCES OUT OF
THE FORECAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VFR
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION SHOULD
DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THROUGH THIS
EVENING. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY APPROACHING FROM THE N COULD LEAD TO A
BIT GREATER COVERAGE OF CONVECTION 20Z TO 00Z ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN SECTIONS...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING SOUTH OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP ON
THU AS DAYTIME HEATING COMBINES WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION. THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD COULD BRING BRIEF LOCALIZED
IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...HAVE HANDLED THIS WITH JUST A
VCTS FOR NOW AS CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND COVERAGE IS NOT ALL THAT HIGH.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ052-104.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
KYZ044-051-052.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ044-
050-051-058-059-068-069-079-080-083>087-111-114-116.

HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR KYZ058-059-068-069-079-
080-083>087-111-114-116.

HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR KYZ060-088-106>110-112-
113-115-117>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...SBH
AVIATION...JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

KYZ058-059-068-069-079-080-083>087-111-114-116-060000-
ESTILL-POWELL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-LEE-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S...WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110...OUTSIDE OF AN THUNDERSTORMS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM
THE HEAT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

KYZ060-088-106>110-112-113-115-117>120-060000-
MENIFEE-HARLAN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...HAZARD...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID 90S...WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES AROUND 105...OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

KYZ104-060000-
ELLIOTT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID 90S...WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES AROUND 105...OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

KYZ044-051-060000-
FLEMING-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...OWINGSVILLE
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S...WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110...OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM
THE HEAT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

KYZ050-060000-
MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT STERLING
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S...WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110...OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM
THE HEAT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

KYZ052-060000-
ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD
456 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES INITIALLY WILL BE IN THE MID 90S...WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES OF 100 TO 105...OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE MID 70S...PROVIDING LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING MAY CONTAIN STRONG
WINDS AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE ASKED TO PROVIDE REPORTS ON THURSDAY.

HAL/JP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
224 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

KYZ120-041900-
PIKE-
224 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 300
PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

   NORTHERN PIKE.

AT 224 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GULNARE...OR 9
MILES NORTH OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

DUSTY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
410 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

KYZ044-052-104-042045-
FLEMING-ROWAN-ELLIOTT-
410 PM EDT WED AUG 4 2010

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 445 PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

   EAST CENTRAL FLEMING...
   NORTHERN ROWAN AND
   NORTHWESTERN ELLIOTT.

AT 410 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR WALTZ...OR 9
MILES NORTH OF MOREHEAD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...TRIPLETT AROUND
420 PM EDT...GATES AROUND 430 PM EDT...HALDEMAN AROUND 440 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

RICHEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
445 PM EDT WED AUG 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE MOREHEAD           38.26N 83.35W
08/04/2010                   ROWAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            UTILITY POLE DOWN ALONG BUFFALO BRANCH RD

&&

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