Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2010
Wind Advisory 1, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this wind advisory at Jan 23, 2010, 4:41 AM CST for 19 counties in Mississippi; East Carroll Parish, Morehouse Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana; Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas. It took effect at Jan 23, 2010, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2010, 4:41 AM CST (10:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 23, 2010, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 24, 2010, 2:30 AM CST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
All 24 counties
Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 0 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
079 WWUS74 KJAN 231041 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 441 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>041-231845- /O.CAN.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.100123T1500Z-100124T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.100123T1500Z-100124T1000Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA... RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI... ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN... KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE... ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA 441 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WIND ADVISORY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN. THIS WILL RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOK TO OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ042>062-231845- /O.CON.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.100123T1500Z-100124T1000Z/ RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH... WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH... WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA... PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR... CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS... HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE... RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL... SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 441 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN. THIS WILL RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH... GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ CME
5 follow-up statements
720 WWUS74 KJAN 231729 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1129 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>041-240130- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA... RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI... ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN... KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE... ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA 1129 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ042>062-240130- /O.CON.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH... WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH... WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA... PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR... CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS... HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE... RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL... SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 1129 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN THIS AFTERNOON AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH... GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING WHEN THEY BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ 40
928 WWUS74 KJAN 232031 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 231 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 MSZ028>033-037>039-240445- /O.CAN.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ /O.EXA.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON... WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE... KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE 231 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ MSZ063>066-072>074-240445- /O.EXA.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 231 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH... GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING WHEN THEY BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-040-041-240445- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA... RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK... ANGUILLA 231 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ042>062-240445- /O.CON.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH... WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH... WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...YAZOO CITY... RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA... PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR... CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS... HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE... RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL... SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE... BROOKHAVEN 231 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH... GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING WHEN THEY BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ 40
144 WWUS74 KJAN 240223 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 823 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 MSZ028>033-037-241000- /O.CAN.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ /O.EXA.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON... WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO 823 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-040-041-241000- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA... RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK... ANGUILLA 823 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ038-039-042>066-072>074-241000- /O.CON.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA- WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN- HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON- SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH... WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH... WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...LOUISVILLE... MACON...BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 823 PM CST SAT JAN 23 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ 50
452 WWUS74 KJAN 240610 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1210 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-240715- /O.CAN.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG... WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP... OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA... RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA... MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA 1210 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 20 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLIER STORMS. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AND WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-059>061-240715- /O.CAN.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN- CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH... WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH... WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...VICKSBURG... PORT GIBSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE 1210 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS MAY CONTINUE TO OCCASIONALLY GUST UP TO 20 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AND WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ MSZ026>033-036-037-241000- /O.CON.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- HOLMES-ATTALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO 1210 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND EVENTUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ MSZ038-039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-241000- /O.CON.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS- RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR- FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR... CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON... MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS... HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...BROOKHAVEN... MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS... MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON... PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 1210 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OCCASIONALLY BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS AND ROTTED TREES CAUSING SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING THESE STRONG WINDS. && $$ 50
956 WWUS74 KJAN 240830 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 230 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...WIND AND LAKE WIND ADVISORIES CANCELLED... MSZ026>033-036-037-240930- /O.CAN.KJAN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- HOLMES-ATTALA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO 230 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES IN THE WAKE OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. $$ MSZ038-039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-240930- /O.CAN.KJAN.LW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1000Z/ WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS- RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR- FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE... YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE... PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...JACKSON...PEARL... BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR... CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON... MAGEE...MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS... HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...BROOKHAVEN... MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS... MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON... PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 230 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES IN THE WAKE OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. $$ COHEN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 23, 4:36 AM CST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 4:36 AM CST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
436 AM CST SAT JAN 23 2010
.SHORT TERM...THE MAIN ISSUE AND QUESTION FOR THIS FORECAST
IS...WILL THERE BE ANY SVR WX TONIGHT? AS MUCH AS I HATE TO ADMIT
IT...I REALLY DON'T KNOW. SO...CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THAT ASPECT OF
THE FORECAST AND MY REASONING WILL FOLLOW BELOW.
THE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 48HRS WILL BE CONTROLLED BY THE VERY LARGE
AND ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW WHICH CURRENTLY TAKES UP THE ENTIRE W HALF
OF THE CONUS. THIS SYSTEM IS VERY DYNAMIC AND FULL OF STRONG WINDS
THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. THE MAIN SYNOPTIC SFC LOW IS BACK
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND WE ARE BEGINNING TO SEE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTEN AS PRESSURE FALLS ARE STARTING TO MOVE EAST. LOOK
FOR THE LARGE UPPER LOW TO SHIFT A BIT TO THE EAST TODAY. THERE WILL
BE A S/W ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW AND THIS WILL
SWING NE AND ALLOW THE LARGE CIRCULATION TO TAKE ON A SLIGHT NEG
TILT. AS THIS FEATURE ROTATES E-WARD...LOOK FOR A MESO-SCALE SFC LOW
TO REFLECT THOSE HEIGHT FALLS AND SHIFT ACROSS AR FROM LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN COMBINE WITH THE MAIN SFC LOW AND
DEEPEN AS IT SHIFTS INTO THE MIDWEST STATES. THIS FEATURE IS OF
INTEREST BECAUSE IT WILL SHIFT A PRE-FRONTAL SFC TROUGH ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS TROUGH WILL SUPPORT SOLID PRES FALLS BETWEEN 3-10 PM
WHICH WILL RESULT IN WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE N 1/3RD OF THE CWA
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. THERE CURRENTLY IS A LAKE WIND ADV
IN EFFECT AND THAT WILL REMAIN FOR MOST AREAS...BUT I UPGRADED THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS TO A WIND ADV DUE TO STRONGER EXPECTED WINDS. LOOK
FOR SOUTHERLY SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
AS ALL THESE SFC FEATURES EVOLVE...LL MOISTURE WILL MAKE A STRONG
AND QUICK COMEBACK. EVIDENCE OF THIS IS ALREADY NOTED AS LOW STRATUS
HAS BEEN STREAMING N-WARD BACK ACROSS TX AND SW/W LA THIS MORNING.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS DEEPER AND STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS
DEVELOP. MODELS BRING NORTHWARD LOWER TO MID 60S SFC DEWPTS AND THAT
SEEMS REASONABLE. THIS WILL OCCUR TODAY AS STRONG CAPPING WILL EXIST
JUST ABV THAT CLOUD LAYER. LOOK FOR WARM CONDITIONS TODAY WITH UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S FOR HIGHS. THIS WILL OCCUR WITH A MIX OF SUN/CLOUDS
AND DECENT WINDS.
AS ALL THIS COMES TOGETHER AND STRONG ASCENT SPREADS OVER THE
REGION...WILL THERE BE ENOUGH INGREDIENTS TO SUPPORT SVR STORMS
TONIGHT? MY GUT FEELING IS NO...BUT THERE IS ENOUGH POTENTIAL THAT
EXISTS TO KEEP SOME MENTION OF IT AND TO NOT REMOVE THAT WORDING
FROM THE HWO/GRAPHICAST. THE MAIN REASON FOR THINKING THIS SYSTEM
WILL NOT SUPPORT SVR STORMS IS PURELY BASED ON THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY. GENERALLY...GUID IS ONLY SUPPORTING 100-200 J/KG OF SFC
OR MLCAPE. THIS WILL BE ONE OF THOSE VERY HIGH SHEAR LOW CAPE
SYSTEMS. IN FACT THE SHEAR LOOKS TO BE TOO STRONG FOR THE LOW
AMOUNTS OF CAPE OFFERED AND WHAT DEVELOPS WILL GET SHEARED APART AND
THUS SUBSEQUENT DOWNDRAFTS WILL BE OUT OF BALANCE WITH THE PARENT
CONVECTION AND STRUGGLE. THE 0-6KM SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE 70-90 KTS
AS A MID LEVEL 90-100KT JET STREAK MOVES INTO THE AREA. HI RES MODEL
OUTPUT INDICATES THIS WELL AS THEY DO NOT SHOW ANY REAL ORGANIZED
AREAS OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT AS THE MAIN ASCENT INTERACTS WITH THE
LL MOISTURE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A BIT HIGHER MLCAPE ACROSS
THE NW CWA AS STRONG COOLING IN THE 3-10 KFT LAYER COULD SUPPORT
SOME 300-500 J/KG OF CAPE AND THAT MAY BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A MORE
BALANCE AND VIGOROUS UPDRAFT WHICH WOULD IN-TURN ALLOW FOR A BETTER
DOWNDRAFT. I WILL FOCUS THE LOW END SVR/STRONG RISK FOR AREAS N OF
I-20. AS FOR THE THUNDER POTENTIAL...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO ANY
STRIKES! BUT THERE COULD BE SOME AND IF THAT DOES OCCUR...IT WILL BE
FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. I ONLY WORDED SLIGHT CHC FOR THUNDER WITH CHC
IN THE N 1/3.
WE WILL GET THE DRY SLOT TO WORK IN FROM THE SW AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
BEGIN TO PUT AN END TO PRECIP AS THINGS SHIFT E INTO AL. I'M NOT
IMPRESSED WITH THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND HAVE GONE MUCH LOWER WITH
QPF THAN THE PREV FORECAST. NOT VIGOROUS CONVECTION MOVING AT VERY
HIGH SPEEDS WILL NOT OFFER MUCH LIQUID IN THE OLE BUCKET. AS FOR
POPS...I CUT VALUES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS CAPPING REALLY SEEMS TO
HURT THE POTENTIAL. THIS IS SUPPORTED WELL BY THE LATEST GUID AS
WELL AS HI RES OUTPUT. FOR TONIGHT...GUID POPS WERE ACCEPTED WITH A
INCREASE TO 100% THROUGH THE HWY 82 CORRIDOR. MEASURING SOME PRECIP
UP THAT WAY LOOKS TO BE A GIVEN...EVEN IF IT IS JUST A TENTH OR SO.
AS FOR TEMPS...THE WARM GUID WAS ACCEPTED TODAY. VALUES SEEMED A TAD
LOW AT GLH SO I INCREASED THOSE. FOR TONIGHT...SFC WINDS AND
LINGERING BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR A BIT WARMER
CONDITIONS THAN GUID IS SUGGESTING. I USED A BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM.
SUN SEEMS TO BE ANOTHER WARM DAY AND I USED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GFS
AGAIN AS SUNNY SKIES AND LOW LEVEL DRY AIR SHOULD SUPPORT 63-70
DEGREES. /CME/
.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE
BUILDING OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY IN WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE DEPARTING
TO THE EAST. LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON MONDAY ACROSS
NORTHERN ZONES GRADUALLY CLEARING MONDAY NIGHT. COOLER WEATHER WILL
ACCOMPANY THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH
THE 60 DEGREE MARK MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MORNING LOWS WILL BE
BACK IN THE 30S...WITH UPPER 20S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OVERHEAD ALLOWING EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP. CUT GFS MOS DURING THIS PERIOD ACROSS
THE BOARD TOWARD COOLER ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE.
THINGS WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE ON THURSDAY MORNING WITH RETURN FLOW
SETTING UP AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. 00Z GFS
AND ECMWF SHOW SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES BEYOND 00Z THURS WITH
THE ECMWF KEEPING A SLOWER CLOSED UPPER LOW AS THE S/WV MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WHILE THE GFS OPENS UP THE WAVE AND BLASTS
INTO OUR REGION 12 HRS FASTER THAN THE ECMWF. PREFER THE SLOWER
ECMWF SOLUTION AS IT HAS MORE SUPPORT FROM THE GEFS THAN THE OP GFS
DOES. EXPECT LIGHT RAIN TO BEGIN OVERTAKING THE CWA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THURS MORNING AS WARM/MOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT SPREADS OVER
THE AREA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE LOW. INTRODUCED A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS BOTH
GFS AND ECMWF GENERALLY SHOWING AN AREA OF MUCAPE 200-400J/KG
SLIDING OVER THE AREA ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWALTER INDICES <0. THE GFS
WITH ITS SURFACE LOW DISPLACED FARTHER NORTH DRAWS GREATER
INSTABILITY FARTHER NORTH INTO OUR REGION THAN THE ECMWF...AS SUCH
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH IN THUNDER BEING REALIZED NORTH OF I-20 BUT
FOR NOW WILL MENTION SLIGHT THUNDER CHANCES ALL ZONES. CANT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS
TIME EITHER WITH 0-6KM SHEAR RUNNING 50KTS+. BUT WITH CONFIDENCE
RUNNING LOW WITH TIMING AND AREAL COVERAGE WILL OMIT INTRODUCING
THIS POSSIBILITY INTO THE HWO FOR NOW. AS MENTIONED BEFORE THE GFS
IS FASTER WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT...AND CONSIDERED
CONTINUING THE SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDER WORDING INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SLOWER ECMWF BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW
WITH THIS AS WELL. REALLY HOPE TO SEE SOME BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
THIS SYSTEM WITH TODAYS AND TONIGHT MODEL RUNS. AFTER THE FRONT
CLEARS THE AREA COOLER DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN FILTERING INTO THE
REGION. LOW LEVELS REMAIN SATURATED IN WAKE OF THE LOW THOUGH AND
KEPT A MENTION OF LIGHT RAIN GOING THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AND INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS SHOW SATURATED SUBFREEZING
TEMPERATURE PROFILES ENTERING THE PICTURE EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES SO WENT AHEAD AND
INTRODUCED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES MIXING IN WITH THE RAIN
ACROSS THE NORTH FRIDAY EVENING...WITH JUST SNOW FLURRIES EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE EVERYTHING DRIES OUT LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
GFS MOS LOWS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY APPEARED TO CONTINUE THE HIGH
TREND AND CUT MOST SITES TOWARD COOLER ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE. HIGH TEMPS
GENERALLY ACCEPTED. /BK/
&&
.AVIATION...DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 71 55 67 41 / 18 83 14 0
MERIDIAN 69 55 69 40 / 12 83 39 0
VICKSBURG 72 53 67 42 / 28 74 13 0
HATTIESBURG 73 57 70 43 / 9 77 40 0
NATCHEZ 73 54 67 42 / 21 60 13 0
GREENVILLE 68 52 64 39 / 45 100 12 9
GREENWOOD 71 54 65 39 / 29 100 13 9
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
MSZ018-019-025>041.
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
MSZ042>062.
LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
LAZ007>009.
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
LAZ015-016-023>026.
AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
ARZ074-075.
&&
CME/BK/Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 3:22 PM CST, 13 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 322 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 232130- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 322 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCATIONS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER ONE OR TWO TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE AREA WITH THE BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE WEST OF I-55 AND NORTH OF I-20. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. AFTER EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 28/COHEN
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2010Wind Advisories in Louisiana, 2010Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2010Every wind advisory in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.