Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Indianapolis, IN

540 
WWUS53 KIND 111842
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
242 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

INC119-111851-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100611T1900Z/
OWEN-
242 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN OWEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3946 8672 3945 8720 3966 8692
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 225DEG 16KT 3946 8704

$$

INC021-133-111900-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100611T1900Z/
CLAY-PUTNAM-
242 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN CLAY
AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

AT 236 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BRAZIL...OR 17
MILES EAST OF TERRE HAUTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HARMONY AROUND 250 PM EDT...
  REELSVILLE AND CAGLES MILL LAKE AROUND 300 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3946 8672 3945 8720 3966 8692
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 225DEG 16KT 3946 8704
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

JK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
118 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE
REGION. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A COLD FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON/...
ARRIVAL OF A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING AS THE WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED INTO LOWER MICHIGAN
AND NORTHWEST OHIO. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER AND
MID 80S AS OF 15Z WITH DEWPOINTS SURGING INTO THE 70S.

FORECAST FOCUS IS ON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER
LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS WITH A COLD
FRONT WELL BACK TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND
WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WITH CURRENT TEMPERATURES ALREADY CLOSE TO CONVECTIVE
TEMPS...ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ACROSS THE
REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. INITIAL FOCUS OF THE ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE OVER SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MID
LEVEL FORCING APPROACHING WITH THE UPPER LOW. HOWEVER...LAPS
SOUNDINGS INDICATING A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH MLCAPES AT OR JUST ABOVE 2000
J/KG.

STORMS WILL BE OF A PULSE VARIETY THIS AFTERNOON IN THIS
AIRMASS...AND NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A FEW MAY PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED WET MICROBURST. HOWEVER...BL SHEAR VALUES ARE NOT
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER. THE MAIN CONCERN FROM
THE STORMS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOTS
OF LIGHTNING. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE ALREADY APPROACHING 2
INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AND WITH STORM MOTIONS FORECAST TO
REMAIN LESS THAN 15KTS FOR THE BULK OF THE REST OF THE DAY...SOME
LOCATIONS WILL SEE A QUICK 1 TO 2 INCHES.

ZONE AND GRID UPDATES OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING/...
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PROGGED TO MOVE INTO
THE REGION LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT MORNING. GFS/NAM/EURO CONTINUE TO
BE IN AGREEMENT IN REGARD TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW...WITH THE
STRONGEST PART MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA. THE GEM WAS THE
OUTLYING MODEL...SO DISREGARDED IT.

LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE SHOWING THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY FROM SAT 12Z-
20Z. SO...BUMPED POPS UP TO 60 PERCENT ON SAT MORN/EARLY AFTERNOON.
IT IS ALSO STARTING TO LOOK MORE LIKE A FLOOD ADVISORY IS GOING TO
BE NEEDED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA. MODELS
ARE NOW PREDICTING AMOUNTS IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY...RESULTING IN MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...THE FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ON MONDAY. MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE WARM FRONT ACROSS THE
AREA...SO WENT WITH UPPER 80S FOR THE HIGHS...AND LOW 70S FOR
LOWS. TOMORROW AND SUNDAY...THE NAM BECOMES MUCH COOLER THAN GFS
AND SREF. LIKED THE GFS/SREF WITH THE WARM AIR STILL IN PLACE
BEHIND THE FRONT. MODELS SLOWLY START COMING INTO AGREEMENT WITH
COLD FRONT ON MONDAY...SO WENT WITH A BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND CONTINUED CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL STILL BE IN
PLAY FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED. NEWER MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
COME IN HOLDING THE BOUNDARY FURTHER NORTH DURING THE EARLY PART
OF THE WEEK BEFORE FINALLY DROPPING SOUTH LATER ON TUESDAY. ENOUGH
OF A CONSENSUS TO JUSTIFY KEEPING PRECIP CHANCES IN SUNDAY NIGHT
AND ADDING THEM FOR MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY AS WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. MUCH TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE ANY
ADDITIONAL DETAIL AS TIMING OF THE WAVES AND SPECIFIC LOCATION OF
THE BOUNDARY DIFFER DEPENDING ON THE MODEL. THE MAIN POINT TO TAKE
AWAY THOUGH IS THAT THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT CHANCE POPS INTO TUESDAY.

BEYOND THIS POINT...ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT
WITH EXPANDING A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER
80S FOR MOST EARLY IN THE WEEK...WITH A WARMING TREND TOWARDS THE
END OF THE EXTENDED AS THE UPPER RIDGE ATTEMPTS TO EXPAND NORTH ONCE
AGAIN AND SOUTHERLY WINDS PUMP MORE HUMID AIR BACK INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY. LOWS WILL LARGELY REMAIN IN THE 60S THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 111800Z TAFS/...

TRICKY AVIATION FORECASTING IN STORE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS AN
UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE SW AND MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE SOURTHERN TIER OF THE STATE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THIS
WEEKEND...EXPECT RENEWED CHANCES FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE ENTIRE STATE. 18Z TAF PACKAGE TRIED TO DEPICT THIS AS BEST AS
POSSIBLE WITH A MIXTURE OF -SHRA/VCTS AND CB GROUPS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING THE COLUMN MOISTEN ENUF TO PUT MANY
TERMINALS IN MFVR OVERNIGHT, WHICH WAS INCLUDED IN THE TAFS.

CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE SAT MORNING. MOST TERMINALS
SHOULD RISE TO VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...RYAN
NEAR TERM...RYAN
SHORT TERM...TDUD
LONG TERM....RYAN
AVIATION...SMF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
355 AM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

INZ021-030-031-036>042-045>049-052>057-061>065-068>072-120800-
CARROLL-CLINTON-HOWARD-MONTGOMERY-BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-
DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-CLAY-OWEN-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
355 AM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS COULD PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH...BRIEF DOWNPOURS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY. LIGHTNING IS A THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ028-029-035-043-044-051-060-067-120800-
WARREN-TIPPECANOE-FOUNTAIN-VERMILLION-PARKE-VIGO-SULLIVAN-KNOX-
355 AM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE WABASH
RIVER. SEE THE LATEST RIVER STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS COULD PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH...BRIEF DOWNPOURS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY. LIGHTNING IS A THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM.

LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH RIVER UNTIL AT
LEAST SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS COULD PROLONG OR EXACERBATE THE HIGH WATER
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1144 AM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

INZ063-064-070-071-111630-
BARTHOLOMEW-BROWN-JACKSON-LAWRENCE-
1144 AM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

AT 1139 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF BEDFORD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ELKINSVILLE AROUND 1155 AM EDT...
  STORY AROUND NOON EDT...
  SPURGEONS CORNER AROUND 1205 PM EDT...
  STONE HEAD AROUND 1210 PM EDT...
  GNAW BONE AROUND 1215 PM EDT...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

SMF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1207 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

INZ055-063-064-111700-
BARTHOLOMEW-BROWN-JOHNSON-
1207 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

AT 1203 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM NEAR NASHVILLE...OR 16 MILES EAST OF BLOOMINGTON...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NASHVILLE AROUND 1210 PM EDT...
  GNAW BONE AROUND 1215 PM EDT...
  PEOGA AROUND 1230 PM EDT...
  PRINCES LAKES AROUND 1235 PM EDT...
  TAYLORSVILLE AROUND 1240 PM EDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. ADDITIONALLY...THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
OF UP TO ONE HALF AN INCH PER HOUR WHICH WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS.

SMF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
123 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1243 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W MONTGOMERY          38.67N 87.07W
06/11/2010                   DAVIESS            IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWERLINES DOWN

&&

LRHUDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
152 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HEAVY RAIN       OOLITIC                 38.89N 86.53W
06/11/2010  E0.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           IN   PUBLIC

            POWER OUTAGE

&&

LRHUDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
212 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1243 PM     TSTM WND GST     BLOOMINGTON             39.17N 86.52W
06/11/2010  E0 MPH           MONROE             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3RD ST AND JORDON...50 MPH

&&

LRHUDY