Tornado Warning 10, NWS Wilmington, OH

427 
WWUS51 KILN 022221
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
621 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

OHC021-109-149-022230-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-100602T2230Z/
MIAMI OH-CHAMPAIGN OH-SHELBY OH-
621 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...WESTERN CHAMPAIGN AND NORTHEASTERN MIAMI
COUNTIES...

AT 618 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ST. PARIS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ST. PARIS.

IN ADDITION...ROSEWOOD...KISER LAKE STATE PARK...MILLERSTOWN...
THACKERY AND SPRINGHILLS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF
FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4009 8414 4029 8416 4028 8401 4027 8400
      4026 8385 4004 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 278DEG 27KT 4013 8399

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
538 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. THIS WILL CREATE A FAVORED TRACK FOR WEAK SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE WAVES TO TRACK ALONG THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WRINGING
OUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPDATING TO ACCOUNT FOR CONVECTION THAT FIRED ALONG A BOUNDARY TO
THE WEST. STORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST HALF OF CWA AND SLOWLY
SPREAD EAST THIS EVENING AS THEY SLOWLY BLEND THEIR INDIVIDUAL
UPDRAFTS TOGETHER AND DIE OUT LATER THIS EVENING. OUTFLOW FROM
THIS SYSTEM MAY ALSO INITIATE MORE IN THE SOUTHEAST...WILL AMEND
FORECAST AGAIN IF THIS OCCURS.

TEMPS TONIGHT SHOULD DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S...NOT TOO FAR
OFF OF CURRENT DEWPOINTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN ALONG THE OHIO RIVER THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
UNTIL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND NEGATES
ANY ACTIVITY THAT MAY STILL BE LINGERING ALONG IT DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. WITH DAYTIME HEATING...A SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM OR
DOWNSTREAM SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY AND THIS APPEARS TO
HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF OCCURRANCE THAN CONVECTION TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WERE ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY BUT CONSISTENT WITH WHAT WE
HAVE BEEN SEEING THE LAST FEW DAYS. MID 80S AND MID 60S FOR
MAX/MINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MAIN UPDATE TO THE LONG TERM WAS TO INCREASE POPS SATURDAY AS
MODELS ARE AGREEING A LITTLE BETTER ON THE POSSIBILITY OF THE NEXT
FRONT MOVING IN A LITTLE QUICKER. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE ON TIMING BUT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR A LOW
CHANCE POP AT THIS POINT.

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL HOVER AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL
NORMALS...WITH HIGHS AROUND 80 AND LOWS CLOSE TO 60.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXPECT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES AND
CONVERGENCE INCREASES AHEAD OF A TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS INDIANA.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING IN COVERAGE. SO HAVE USED VCSH
AND CB QUALIFIERS FOR TIME FRAME THAT APPEARS TO HAVE THE BEST
CHANCE AT THIS TIME. CHANCE OF CONVECTION MAY EXTEND PAST 06Z BUT
UNCERTAINTY INCREASES WITH TIME. AFTER THAT THERE MAY BE SOME
CLEARING AND WITH LIGHT WINDS AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXPECT
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS TO DEVELOP IN MIST/FOG. THIS SHOULD
DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER 12Z. BUT THE CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD.

.OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT AND AND AGAIN SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRANKS
NEAR TERM...FRANKS
SHORT TERM...FRANKS
LONG TERM...FRANKS
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1141 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-030815-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1141 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

THE ATMOSPHERE IS BEING CAPPED IN THE WAKE OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL ALLOW SUFFICIENT HEATING FOR THE
ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. A
DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF ILLINOIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO THE REGION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. HOWEVER THERE IS UNCERTAINTY WHERE
THE PRIMARY FOCUS WILL BE FOR THESE STORMS AND ALSO HOW STRONG
THEY BECOME. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO A THREAT WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVING OVER THE SAME
LOCATION...WHICH COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

CHANCES FOR OCCASIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY. SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
POSSIBILITY...ALTHOUGH THIS THREAT WILL BE MORE LIKELY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 71 ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS
EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
545 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

OHZ042-043-051-022230-
MIAMI OH-DARKE OH-SHELBY OH-
545 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN SHELBY...EASTERN DARKE
AND NORTHERN MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...

AT 545 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WEBSTER...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...BRADFORD...COVINGTON...
PIQUA...SIDNEY AND TROY.

ALSO...HORATIO...RUSSIA...BLOOMER...NEWPORT...CIRCLE HILL...
CLAYTON...POLO AND HOUSTON ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4032 8401 4026 8401 4001 8404 4010 8464
      4033 8455

AN