Tornado Warning 55, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
225 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

.SHORT TERM...SVR WX OUTBREAK CONTINUES TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE CNTRL
TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUING TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION PUSHING EWD
INTO NE MS/NW AL. THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE IS OCCURRING JUST AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO WRN TN/NW MS.
AHEAD OF THE EXPLOSIVE CONVECTION...STRONG INFLOW ALSO CONTINUES TO
IMPACT THE AREA WITH S WINDS AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS XPCTED TO CONTINUE WORKING EWD THROUGH
THE REMAINING AFTERNOON HRS AND INTO THE EVENING PERIOD.

SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE XPCTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HRS ALTHOUGH
THE INTENSITY/COVERAGE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM W TO E
HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...WITH THE SLY INFLOW WEAKENING AS
WELL. LIKEWISE...THE THREAT FOR SVR WX WILL BE ENDING AS WELL DURING
THE EVENING HRS...AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD
BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. CLOUD COVER WILL BE SLOW TO EXIT AS WELL ALTHOUGH SOME
BREAKS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM W TO E WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

SOME LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON WED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS LAGGING TO THE W. COOLER/DRIER AIR THOUGH
WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
EWD INTO MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS. OVERALL CONDITIONS/TEMPS LOOK TO
RETURN CLOSE TO SEASONAL TRENDS WITH THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE.
&&

.LONG TERM...STRONG/SEASONAL HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE
SE REGION HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND PERIOD...WITH OVERALL CONDITIONS
AND TEMPS HOVERING NEAR NORMAL TRENDS. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
SHOULD THEN BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA GOING INTO THE NEW WEEK AS
THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS TOWARD THE E. SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS MAY ALSO WORK
THEIR WAY BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY TUE AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE W.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    60  80  48  70  38 /  90  30  10   0   0
SHOALS        55  82  45  70  37 /  60  20   0   0   0
VINEMONT      60  80  48  70  38 /  90  40  10   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  56  79  46  69  37 /  90  30  10   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   62  80  50  69  38 /  90  40  10   0   0
FORT PAYNE    61  79  47  69  37 /  90  40  10   0   0
&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COLBERT...CULLMAN...DEKALB...FRANKLIN AL...JACKSON...
     LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...
     MORGAN.

TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     FRANKLIN TN...LINCOLN...MOORE.
&&

09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1007 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-262100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1007 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BRINGING TWO ROUNDS OF POSSIBLE SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE AREA.

AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE
HAIL. THIS PRE FRONTAL ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA BY
LATE MORNING...AND TRACK ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA BETWEEN 1 TO 3
PM...BEFORE REACHING NORTHEAST ALABAMA BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

THE SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE INTO THE AREA
ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS...HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS LINE IS EXPECTED TO
ARRIVE INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM...NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM...AND REACH NORTHEAST ALABAMA BY 6 PM. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS CURRENTLY ONGOING AND REQUESTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

SS/JLL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
201 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

ALZ002-003-261930-
COLBERT-FRANKLIN-
201 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COLBERT AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES
UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HALLTOWN...OR 7 MILES EAST OF RED BAY...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  BELGREEN.
  SRYGLEY CHURCH.
  CROOKED OAK...POSEY LOOP.
  COLBERT HEIGHTS...NEW BETHEL.
  SPRING VALLEY...TUSCUMBIA.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3448 8816 3474 8777 3480 8764 3463 8749
      3432 8804 3446 8816
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 233DEG 41KT 3446 8800

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
202 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

ALZ007-016-261930-
CULLMAN-MORGAN-
202 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CULLMAN AND MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL
230 PM CDT...

AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MASSEY...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HARTSELLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  LEESDALE...FALKVILLE.
  HARTSELLE...COLE SPRINGS.
  SOMERVILLE...PRICEVILLE.
  VALHERMOSO SPRINGS.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3426 8712 3443 8711 3458 8688 3456 8683
      3455 8675 3459 8671 3458 8670 3448 8661
      3421 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 233DEG 32KT 3434 8706

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
245 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

ALZ004-262015-
LAWRENCE-
245 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM
CDT...

AT 240 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HATTON...OR 9 MILES WEST OF MOULTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  COURTLAND...NORTH COURTLAND.
  WHEELER...HILLSBORO.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3445 8744 3454 8753 3456 8753 3458 8751
      3460 8751 3461 8749 3475 8728 3475 8726
      3476 8725 3469 8710 3460 8711 3459 8712
      3443 8742
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 234DEG 41KT 3456 8739

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
304 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

ALZ010-262045-
DE KALB-
304 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DEKALB COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 304 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PEEKS CORNER...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF
RAINSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THIS
STORM IS ALSO SHOWING SOME ROTATION.

PEOPLE IN DEKALB COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUEST...PEEKS
CORNER...FYFFE...LEBANON...SHILOH...RAINSVILLE...PINE RIDGE...FORT
PAYNE...HAMMONDVILLE AND VALLEY HEAD...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3449 8554 3449 8556 3448 8556 3446 8558
      3428 8590 3443 8603 3474 8556 3473 8555
      3452 8551
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 234DEG 43KT 3442 8586

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
321 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

TNZ076-096-262045-
LINCOLN-MOORE-
321 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LINCOLN AND MOORE COUNTIES UNTIL
345 PM CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ARDMORE...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN LINCOLN AND MOORE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
TAFT...BLANCHE...DELLROSE...COLDWATER...CARMARGO...HARMS...SKINEM...
FAYETTEVILLE...MOLINO AND KELSO...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3531 8625 3527 8628 3525 8627 3522 8631
      3518 8628 3515 8632 3513 8630 3499 8666
      3500 8682 3503 8684 3514 8683 3537 8653
      3537 8648 3534 8644 3534 8642 3539 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 238DEG 46KT 3508 8673

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