Tornado Warning 38, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

589 
WWUS52 KGSP 271916
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
316 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

NCC097-271925-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-101027T1945Z/
IREDELL NC-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL IREDELL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF IREDELL COUNTY...SO THE 
WARNING FOR IREDELL COUNTY IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3590 8036 3588 8040 3585 8038 3582 8043
      3582 8047 3578 8046 3578 8047 3568 8076
      3585 8070 3592 8070 3604 8045 3594 8035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 243DEG 26KT 3580 8065

$$

NCC059-159-271945-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-101027T1945Z/
DAVIE NC-ROWAN NC-
316 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ROWAN AND DAVIE COUNTIES...

AT 313 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WOODLEAF...OR 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOCKSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
COOLEEMEE...FORK CHURCH...BERMUDA RUN AND ADVANCE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.
OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME
OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS
BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 8036 3588 8040 3585 8038 3582 8043
      3582 8047 3578 8046 3578 8047 3568 8076
      3585 8070 3592 8070 3604 8045 3594 8035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 243DEG 26KT 3580 8065

$$

MOORE

260 
WWUS52 KGSP 271930
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
330 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

NCC159-271939-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-101027T1945Z/
ROWAN NC-
330 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ROWAN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED OUT OF ROWAN COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3590 8036 3588 8040 3585 8038 3582 8043
      3582 8047 3578 8046 3578 8047 3583 8062
      3584 8063 3585 8070 3592 8070 3604 8045
      3594 8035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 244DEG 37KT 3585 8048

$$

NCC059-271945-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-101027T1945Z/
DAVIE NC-
330 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR DAVIE
COUNTY...

AT 326 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COOLEEMEE...OR
NEAR MOCKSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FORK
CHURCH...ADVANCE AND BERMUDA RUN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.
OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME
OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS
BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 8036 3588 8040 3585 8038 3582 8043
      3582 8047 3578 8046 3578 8047 3583 8062
      3584 8063 3585 8070 3592 8070 3604 8045
      3594 8035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 244DEG 37KT 3585 8048

$$

RWH

579 
WWUS52 KGSP 271946
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
346 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

NCC059-271955-
/O.EXP.KGSP.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-101027T1945Z/
DAVIE NC-
346 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR DAVIE COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS 
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3590 8036 3588 8040 3585 8038 3582 8043
      3582 8047 3578 8046 3578 8047 3583 8062
      3584 8063 3585 8070 3592 8070 3604 8045
      3594 8035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 244DEG 37KT 3585 8047

$$

RWH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
252 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE AREA WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TODAY AND WILL
BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH LATE ON THURSDAY AND REMAIN
OVER THE AREA THROUGH  THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL STALLED ACROSS WESTERN NC THROUGH NE GA AT
18Z. ONE FRONTAL WAVE IS OVER THE NC FOOTHILLS WITH ANOTHER EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER NE GA BY LATE AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERE HAS DESTABALIZED TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BOUNDARY WITH LAPS CAPES 1000+J AND SUFFICIENT
SHEAR/HELICITY FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS/SMALL SUPERCELLS. LATEST HRRR
DEVELOPS NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH MOST
ACTIVITY SETTLING INTO THE SOUTHERN UPSTATE/NC PIEDMONT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SPC HAS A WELL PLACED TORNADO WATCH IN PLACE UNTIL 01Z.
HENCE...GRIDS WILL REFLECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH POPS SLOWLY LOWERING FROM NW TO SE THROUGH
THE NIGHT. BOTH NAM/GFS FINALLY MOVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT OF THE
FORECAST AREA ON THU...THOUGH NAM IS SLOWER. USED A MODEL BLEND
WHICH HANGS ONTO TO SOME CLOUDS/POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UPSTATE
INTO THE NC PIEDMONT INTO THU MORNING. EARLY MORNING STRATUS/FOG
WILL DISSIPATE OTHER AREAS SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. LOTS OF SUNSHINE
ALONG WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL PUSH TEMPS WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE. USED A MOS BLEND FOR MOST FORECAST FIELDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM WEDNESDAY...COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION THU NIGHT AND FRI AS THE STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE NE STATES
FLATTENS AND LIFTS INTO SE CANADA. THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD SEE FREEZING
TEMPS THU NIGHT AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IN SHELTERED VALLEYS.
ONLY THE SRN NC MTNS HAVE NOT HAD THE FROST/FREEZE PROGRAM TURNED
OFF FOR THE YEAR...AND THESE ZONES DON/T LOOK TO HAVE QUITE ENOUGH
FREEZING TEMPS TO ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH FOR THU NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION BY FRIDAY NIGHT...AT WHICH TIME I THINK
FREEZING TEMPS WILL AFFECT THE REST OF THE MTNS. PARTS OF THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT COULD ALSO SEE THEIR FIRST GOOD FROST OF THE
YEAR. I/LL MENTION THIS IN THE HWO. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE LOW ON FRI AND SAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM WEDNESDAY...WHILE THEY GO ABOUT IT IN SOMEWHAT
DIFFERENT WAYS...THE ECMWF AND GFS AGREE IN DEVELOPING A HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST...WHICH RESULTS IN THE
DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OF A SHARP TROUGH OVER THE ERN US. BOTH
MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CUT OFF UPPER LOW
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY FOR TUE AND WED ON NEXT WEEK.

WHILE THE GFS APPEARS TO CUT OFF THE LOW TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH...AND
THE EC IS PROBABLY TAKING TOO MUCH ENERGY INTO THE BASE OF THE
TOUGH...THE OVERALL SCENARIO POTENTIALLY LOOKS QUITE WET ACROSS THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA FOR TUE AND WED OF NEXT WEEK. AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE LOW DIGS...AND WITH SIGNS OF COLD AIR DAMMING IN THE
SFC PRESSURE FIELD...THIS LOOKS TO BE MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN THAN A
SEVERE EVENT...THOUGH THAT COULD CERTAINLY CHANGE.

THE WEATHER BEFOREHAND...FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...LOOKS DRY AND MILD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT...CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SUPPORT THE IDEA THAT A FRONTAL WAVE
WILL MOVE ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH AND SPREAD
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS INTO THE CLT AIRSPACE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
LATEST HRRR SUGGESTS THAT THE BEST WINDOW FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
21Z-00Z. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG WINDS AND CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOW VFR CEILINGS WILL LOWER
TO IFR/MVFR IN STORMS. ALL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS LOW IFR CEILIGNS LATE
TONIGHT...THEN LIFTING SLOWLY AFTER 12Z. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER
TO THE W-SW BY LATE TONIGHT.

ELSEWHERE...EXPECT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS TO INCREASE ALONG WITH
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS UPSTATE SC FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. ALSO CAN'T RULE OUT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A BRIEF TORNADO. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN IN THE
KAVL/KHKY UNTIL LATE EVENING WITH JUST AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. SHOWERS/STORMS WLL TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO LOW IFR LATE TONIGHT
AND THEN LIFT/SCATTERED THU MORNING. IFR FOG ALSO IS EXPECTED AT
KAVL/KHKY EARLY THU.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE FEATURED FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY WITH
NO RESTRICTIONS OTHER THAN EARLY MORNING MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PAT
NEAR TERM...LG
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...LG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1139 AM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ004>014-019-281545-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-
CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1139 AM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT
STRONG WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY. THIS WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER DAY OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST WILL
INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS
THE REGION UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRAIN...OR REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE
SAME LOCATION. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN. A FEW
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS
OCCURS...ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-
SCZ001>003-281545-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
1139 AM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA...
TENNESSEE BORDER TODAY. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE OUT OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
WHERE THERE WILL BE GREATER INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR.

HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH
AND EAST SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. A COUPLE OF THE STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
917 AM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W PIEDMONT            34.71N 82.50W
10/26/2010                   ANDERSON           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR WREN FIRE DEPT

&&

PTANNER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
133 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

SCZ006-010-012-271830-
ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-LAURENS-
133 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ANDERSON...NORTHWESTERN
LAURENS AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EDT...

AT 131 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ANDERSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN ANDERSON...NORTHWESTERN LAURENS AND SOUTHEASTERN
GREENVILLE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

ANDERSON...BELTON...WILLIAMSTON...SIMPSONVILLE AND FOUNTAIN INN...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3458 8276 3485 8222 3466 8202 3443 8268

$$'

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
204 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

NCZ035-036-056-069-504-271900-
ALEXANDER-CATAWBA-GREATER BURKE-IREDELL-LINCOLN-
204 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CATAWBA...NORTHWESTERN
LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN ALEXANDER...SOUTHEASTERN BURKE AND WESTERN
IREDELL COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 159 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTH OF COOKSVILLE...OR 15 MILES WEST OF
LINCOLNTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CATAWBA...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN ALEXANDER...
SOUTHEASTERN BURKE AND WESTERN IREDELL COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

VALE...NEWTON...CONOVER...CLAREMONT...LOOKOUT SHOALS LAKE AND
STATESVILLE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3597 8097 3574 8079 3564 8094 3550 8151
      3551 8151 3555 8151 3556 8152 3556 8154
      3556 8158 3560 8161

MOORE