Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Advisories in 2010

River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

March 12, 2010Ingham County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this river flood advisory at Mar 12, 2010, 10:55 PM EST for Ingham County, Michigan. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2010, 10:55 PM EST (03:55 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2010, 10:28 PM EST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

County Ingham County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Red Cedar River near Williamston (WMSM4).

Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
10.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04111379, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

309 
WGUS83 KGRR 130355
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1055 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY

.WARM WEATHER OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST WEEK HAS RESULTED IN
MELTING THE SNOWPACK ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. THE
MELTWATER FROM THE SNOW COMBINED WITH RAINFALL OVER THE COURSE OF
THE LAST 2 DAYS HAS RESULTED IN RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.
MANY RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO GO ABOVE BANKFULL. RAINFALL THURSDAY
NIGHT RANGED FROM ONE TO LOCALLY TWO INCHES IN MANY AREAS. LITTLE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY...GENERALLY UNDER
TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED
AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC065-140555-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.100313T0355Z-100314T1552Z/
/WMSM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1055 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...OVERFLOW BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT 
  TO THE RIVER

$$
2 follow-up statements
608 
WGUS83 KGRR 131537
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT GRAND RAPIDS AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  RED CEDAR RIVER AT EAST LANSING AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  FLAT RIVER NEAR SMYRNA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  ROGUE RIVER BELOW ROCKFORD AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  KALAMAZOO RIVER NEAR NEW RICHMOND AFFECTING ALLEGAN COUNTY
  ST JOSEPH RIVER AT BURLINGTON AFFECTING CALHOUN COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART AFFECTING OSCEOLA COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY

. A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING CLOUDY SKIES AND OCCASIONAL RAIN TO SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN TODAY. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST AND THE RAIN WILL
BECOME LIGHTER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SUNDAY NIGHT...AND SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED MONDAY.
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-141737-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100320T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 20.
* AT 09 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS AUTOMOBILE BUILDING AT 
  IONIA FAIRGROUNDS

$$

MIC081-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100319T0530Z/
/LWLM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 01 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT
  TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-100318T1800Z/
/CMPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES ALONG 
  ABRIGADOR TRAIL

$$

MIC081-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-100319T0000Z/
/GDRM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT GRAND RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR IN LOW LYING
  AREAS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF GRAND RAPIDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE 
  AREAS OF NORTH PARK...COMSTOCK PARK...AND ROBINSON TOWNSHIP

$$

MIC139-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-100316T1130Z/
/RBNM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 08 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.3 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.3 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW AREAS

$$

MIC065-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100318T1730Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 05 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...IN THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND 
  SECTIONS OF EAST MT. HOPE ROAD

$$

MIC065-141552-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-100314T1552Z/
/WMSM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 05 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...OVERFLOW BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT 
  TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC065-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-100315T1800Z/
/ELNM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED CEDAR RIVER AT EAST LANSING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 05 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...
  ADJACENT PARKS...AND FARMLAND

$$

MIC037-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-100319T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 05 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC067-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-100320T0900Z/
/SMYM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE FLAT RIVER NEAR SMYRNA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 20.
* AT 05 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.3 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$

MIC015-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-100319T1200Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF RIVERBEND GOLF 
  COURSE...TYDEN PARK IN HASTINGS...AND HOMES UPSTREAM AND 
  DOWNSTREAM OF HASTINGS

$$

MIC081-140000-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-100314T0000Z/
/ROCM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROGUE RIVER BELOW ROCKFORD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 05 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 7.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL

$$

MIC005-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100316T0000Z/
/RCMM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE KALAMAZOO RIVER NEAR NEW RICHMOND
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 04 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL AND BEGINS TO SPILL OVER 
  INTO LARGE SWAMPY AREAS ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC025-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-100315T0600Z/
/BURM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST JOSEPH RIVER AT BURLINGTON
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW BANKFUL TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL...MINOR OVERFLOW INTO LOW
  LYING WOODED AREAS ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS

$$

MIC105-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100318T0600Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 4.7 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT HIGH WATER TO BEGIN COVERING 
  CAMPGROUND ROAD ADJACENT TO RIVER IN SCOTTVILLE PARK

$$

MIC133-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-100317T0600Z/
/EVRM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 07 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO SURROUND HOMES 
  UPSTREAM OF EVART IN THE JEFFERY SUBDIVISION ALONG LINDEN AND 
  RIVERSIDE ROADS.  PORTIONS OF LINDEN AND RIVERSIDE ROADS IN THE 
  JEFFERY SUBDIVISION BEGIN TO GO UNDERWATER.  HIGH WATER ALSO BEGINS
  TO COVER TROUT DRIVE IN THE DOC AND TOM SUBDIVISION LOCATED JUST 
  EAST OF M66 OFF OF 9 MILE ROAD

$$

MIC123-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-100317T0000Z/
/CROM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 07 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED ITS BANKS AND MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC073-141736-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-100315T1200Z/
/MPTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1037 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 07 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$
MJK
787 
WGUS83 KGRR 140328
FLSGRR


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...

  RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL AFFECTING MUSKEGON COUNTY

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...

  GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY
  SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY
  MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY
  FLAT RIVER NEAR SMYRNA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS AFFECTING BARRY COUNTY
  KALAMAZOO RIVER NEAR NEW RICHMOND AFFECTING ALLEGAN COUNTY
  PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE AFFECTING MASON COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART AFFECTING OSCEOLA COUNTY
  MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON AFFECTING NEWAYGO COUNTY
  CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT AFFECTING ISABELLA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT IONIA AFFECTING IONIA COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  GRAND RIVER AT GRAND RAPIDS AFFECTING KENT COUNTY
  RED CEDAR RIVER AT EAST LANSING AFFECTING INGHAM COUNTY

VERY LIGHT RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF A FEW HUNDRETHS OF AN INCH IS
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL HAVE NO EFFECT ON RIVERS
CURRENTLY UNDER AN ADVISORY. SEVERAL DAYS OF DRY WEATHER ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW RIVERS TO
EITHER CREST OR...IF CRESTED...TO CONTINUE FALLING. THE FOLLOWING
FORECAST IS BASED ON OBSERVED AND FORECAST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND RIVERS ARE 
FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL.  IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA REMAIN 
ALERT TO POSSIBLE FLOODING... OR THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ADVISORY 
BEING UPGRADED TO A WARNING. REPORT OBSERVED FLOODING TO LOCAL 
EMERGENCY SERVICES OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AND REQUEST THEY PASS THIS 
INFORMATION ON TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO YOUR LOCAL 
RADIO... TELEVISION... OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.


&&

MIC067-150528-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100320T1800Z/
/IONM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT IONIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 20.
* AT 09 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS AUTOMOBILE BUILDING AT 
  IONIA FAIRGROUNDS

$$

MIC081-150528-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-100319T0530Z/
/LWLM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT LOWELL
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 01 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT
  TO THE BANKS

$$

MIC081-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-100320T0000Z/
/CMPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR COMSTOCK PARK
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 07 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF HOMES ALONG 
  ABRIGADOR TRAIL

$$

MIC081-150528-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-100319T0000Z/
/GDRM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT GRAND RAPIDS
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 09 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR IN LOW LYING
  AREAS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF GRAND RAPIDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE 
  AREAS OF NORTH PARK...COMSTOCK PARK...AND ROBINSON TOWNSHIP

$$

MIC139-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-100319T0530Z/
/RBNM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT ROBINSON TOWNSHIP
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 06 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.3 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.3 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW AREAS

$$

MIC065-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-100318T1200Z/
/HHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE SYCAMORE CREEK AT HOLT
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 7.55 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER...IN THE LANSING MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE AND 
  SECTIONS OF EAST MT. HOPE ROAD

$$

MIC065-140358-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-100314T1552Z/
/WMSM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED CEDAR RIVER ABOVE WILLIAMSTON.
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 6.96 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
  TO 6.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...OVERFLOW BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT 
  TO THE RIVER

$$

MIC065-150528-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-100315T1800Z/
/ELNM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED CEDAR RIVER AT EAST LANSING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 6.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...
  ADJACENT PARKS...AND FARMLAND

$$

MIC037-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-100320T1800Z/
/MRPM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAPLE RIVER AT MAPLE RAPIDS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 20.
* AT 05 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY LINE ROAD 
  AND A HOME ALONG COUNTY LINE ROAD

$$

MIC067-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-100320T2330Z/
/SMYM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE FLAT RIVER NEAR SMYRNA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 20.
* AT 05 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.3 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF ABOUT 30 DOUBLE R
  RANCH CAMPGROUND SITES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE
  RIVER
$$

MIC015-150528-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-100319T1800Z/
/HSTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE THORNAPPLE RIVER ABOVE HASTINGS
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 09 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 6.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF RIVERBEND GOLF 
  COURSE...TYDEN PARK IN HASTINGS...AND HOMES UPSTREAM AND 
  DOWNSTREAM OF HASTINGS

$$

MIC005-150527-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-100317T1200Z/
/RCMM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE KALAMAZOO RIVER NEAR NEW RICHMOND
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...RIVER IS BANKFULL AND BEGINS TO SPILL OVER 
  INTO LARGE SWAMPY AREAS ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC105-150527-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-100317T1200Z/
/SCTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE PERE MARQUETTE RIVER NEAR SCOTTVILLE
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.0 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 4.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...EXPECT HIGH WATER TO BEGIN COVERING 
  CAMPGROUND ROAD ADJACENT TO RIVER IN SCOTTVILLE PARK

$$

MIC121-140358-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-100314T1200Z/
/WHTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER ABOVE WHITEHALL.
* AT 09 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 5.0 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
  TO 4.1 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...OVERFLOW BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS

$$

MIC133-150527-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-100317T0000Z/
/EVRM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER AT EVART
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 07 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO SURROUND HOMES 
  UPSTREAM OF EVART IN THE JEFFERY SUBDIVISION ALONG LINDEN AND 
  RIVERSIDE ROADS.  PORTIONS OF LINDEN AND RIVERSIDE ROADS IN THE 
  JEFFERY SUBDIVISION BEGIN TO GO UNDERWATER.  HIGH WATER ALSO BEGINS
  TO COVER TROUT DRIVE IN THE DOC AND TOM SUBDIVISION LOCATED JUST 
  EAST OF M66 OFF OF 9 MILE ROAD

$$

MIC123-150527-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-100318T0600Z/
/CROM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE MUSKEGON RIVER NEAR CROTON
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 07 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO EXCEED ITS BANKS AND MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER

$$

MIC073-150000-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-100315T0000Z/
/MPTM4.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1028 PM EST SAT MAR 13 2010

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS EXTENDED FOR
  THE CHIPPEWA RIVER BELOW MT PLEASANT
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 6.48 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  ADJACENT TO THE RIVER

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Mar 12, 10:26 PM EST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 10:26 PM EST, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1026 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

LATEST UPDATE...SHORT TERM...

.SYNOPSIS...(400 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF MICHIGAN WILL NOT MOVE MUCH
UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT WE WILL SEE CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS WILL OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY WITH READINGS REACHING THE 50S EACH
DAY... ALTHOUGH EAST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH AT TIMES WILL MAKE IT
FEEL A TAD COOLER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(1026 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
WILL INCREASE POPS FOR LATE TONIGHT IN MOST AREAS.  IT STILL APPEARS
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE CWA...HOWEVER THE
LIGHTER PCPN COVERAGE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE LAKE ERIE REGION.  WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER SE MO THE STEERING
WINDS WILL BRING THE LAKE ERIE RAINS OVER SW MI LATE TONIGHT.  HAVE
ALSO INCREASED THE WIND SPEEDS FOR OVERNIGHT.  DESPITE THESE WINDS
THE FOG PERSISTS THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-96.  THIS
SEEMS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ENE WINDS COMING OFF OF LAKE HURON.
MOST LIKELY THE AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...BUT SHOULD
NOT BECOME TOO DENSE.

ON SATURDAY YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE CURLING AROUND THE BIG UPPER LOW
IMPACTS THE CWFA... AND WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS OVER ALL BUT THE FAR
NORTHWEST. IT WOULD APPEAR THAT WITH TIME SOME ATLANTIC MOISTURE IS
BEING SLUNG THIS FAR WEST AND THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTERMITTENTLY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT... ESPECIALLY OVER ERN/SRN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA.
THINGS LOOK TO FINALLY DRY OUT ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LOW GETS
FARTHER EAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND DRIER AIR BEGINS
SPREADING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM...(400 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
FAIRLY QUIET LONG TERM PERIOD IS EXPECTED ACROSS SW LOWER MI. THE
ONLY REAL CHALLENGE DURING THE TIME FRAME IS TIMING IN PCPN...IF ANY
FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD.

UPPER LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE STATE WILL SLOWLY MEANDER OFFSHORE
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION BY MON MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SHORT
WAVE RIDGING TAKING SHAPE OVER THE REGION. A SHORT WAVE WILL THEN
DROP SE OUT OF CANADA AND TRACK WEST OF THE STATE DURING THE DAY ON
TUE. IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF ANY ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER/PCPN SHOULD
STAY OUT OF THE AREA...SO WE HAVE MAINTAINED A DRY AND MILD FCST.
TEMPS WILL COOL SLIGHTLY AS THIS FEATURE MOVES SOUTH.

A LONG WAVE RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES ON WED AS
ENERGY COMES ASHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND DIGS ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO WARM TEMPS ONCE AGAIN AND
PROVIDE A DECENT AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE TO THE AREA. MODELS DIFFER IN
THE TIMING OF BREAKING THIS RIDGE DOWN AND BRINGING IN THE SYSTEM
OUT WEST. EURO ENSEMBLES...EURO OPERATIONAL...AND TO A POINT THE GFS
ENSEMBLES FAVOR A SLOWER SOLUTION WHICH IS PREFERRED. THIS WOULD
KEEP PCPN OUT OF THE AREA UNTIL AFTER FRI...AND KEEP MILD AIR IN
WITH MORE SUN.

&&

.AVIATION...(652 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
THE PRIMARY ISSUE TONIGHT IS WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE FOG AND LOW
CEILINGS NORTH OF TO I-96 IN THE AMN... RQB... MOP... AREAS. LOW
LEVEL WINDS ARE NORTHEAST AND THERE IS MOISTURE ROTATING TOWARD THE
WEST FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO...NORTH OF LAKE ERIE TOWARD LOWER
MICHIGAN AROUND THE LARGE SYSTEM PASSING SLOWLY SOUTH OF MICHIGAN
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SINCE THE MOISTURE DID NOT MIX OUT THE DEEP
CYCLONIC FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY... PLUS WE
ARE GOING INTO THE NIGHT TIME I THROUGH TO GO WITH THE LOWER
CIGS/VSBY SHOWN ON THE 18Z GFS MOS (IFR CIGS/VSBY 09Z TO 15Z MOST
TAF SITES).

AS FOR THE RAIN ISSUE...THAT IS MORE ON THE FENCE SINCE THE PRIMARY
SYSTEM DYNAMICS STAY SOUTH OF MICHIGAN. EVEN SO...WITH ALL THAT
MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVEL I COULD SEE LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE
DEVELOPING. IN ANY EVENT I WOULD EXPECT LITTLE IMPROVEMENT DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY WITH IFR CIGS/VSBY CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY EVEN
WITH THE GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...(400 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CRANK UP ENOUGH THIS WEEKEND TO WARRANT SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR SPEED CRITERIA OF SUSTAINED OF FREQUENT GUSTS
OF 22-33 KNOTS. HOWEVER WAVES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 4 FEET DUE
TO THE FLOW BEING OFFSHORE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(400 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010)
CALLS TO COUNTY ROAD COMMISSIONS LATE THIS MORNING INDICATED THAT
SOME MINOR AREAL FLOODING WAS PERSISTING MAINLY NORTH OF GRAND
RAPIDS FROM THE HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL THURSDAY NIGHT. SINCE THERE
WAS STILL WATER OVER SOME ROADS AND EVEN A FEW CLOSURES REPORTED AT
THE TIME OF THOSE CALLS... DECIDED TO LEAVE A FEW COUNTIES IN
ROUGHLY THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWFA UNDER THE AREAL FLOOD
ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED EARLY.

AS FAR AS THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS ALONG THE LARGER/MAINSTEM
RIVERS... SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE OCCURRING AND 16 POINTS ARE AT... OR
FORECAST TO GO TO... AT OR ABOVE BANKFULL. HOWEVER NO POINTS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH THEIR FLOOD STAGES. COMSTOCK PARK AND
ROBINSON TOWNSHIP MAY COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE IN A FEW DAYS.

THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT
WAVE LIFTING NORTH FROM INDIANA IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT SRN LWR
MI. RAIN AMOUNTS OVER THE WEEKEND ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE A
TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS DURING EACH 12 HOUR PERIOD. THIS SHOULD
HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON THE RIVER LEVELS AND THE CURRENT RIVER STAGE
FORECASTS.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI....NONE.
LM....NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS:     MEADE
SHORT TERM:   MEADE JK
LONG TERM:    NJJ
AVIATION:     WDM
MARINE:       MEADE
HYDROLOGY:    MEADE
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 2:10 PM EST, 8 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
210 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-131100-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
210 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SOME MINOR AREAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT
PARTICULARLY NORTH OF GRAND RAPIDS FROM THE HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL
THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS INCLUDES PONDING OF WATER IN LOWLAND AREAS AND
NEAR SWOLLEN CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME THIS WATER COULD CAUSE
INCONVENIENCES SUCH AS ROAD CLOSURES AND BASEMENT FLOODING.

LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED SO THE LOWLAND AREAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RECEDE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK ON THE LARGER
RIVERS SUCH AS THE GRAND AND THE MUSKEGON AS THE CRESTS FLOW
DOWNSTREAM. SOME LOWLAND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THAT OCCURS OVER THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT AND HAVE LITTLE OR NO IMPACT ON FORECASTED RIVER LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ844>849-131100-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
210 PM EST FRI MAR 12 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

EAST WINDS MAY INCREASE TONIGHT TO SPEEDS HIGH ENOUGH TO CREATE A
HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDS AND WAVES WILL LIKELY BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MJS/MEADE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 10:12 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKent6 days
Mar 12, 10:12 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRROsceola71 hr
Mar 13, 4:02 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryGRR23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Michigan, 2010Every river flood advisory in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.