Flash Flood Warning 55, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
310 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

.DISCUSSION...
THE REMNANTS OF HERMINE CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN CONCHO VALLEY WITH THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION OVER
COLEMAN COUNTY AS OF 2 AM. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL FROM THE HILL
COUNTRY NORTHWARD TO ABOUT BOSQUE COUNTY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THROUGH MIDDAY WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WITH
SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN
KILLEEN AND MERIDIAN. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TOP OF SOME
ISOLATED 9+ INCH RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 3 AM WILL PRODUCE MAJOR
FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELL...WESTERN MCLENNAN...EASTERN
CORYELL AND BOSQUE COUNTIES. OBVIOUSLY...WE WILL LEAVE THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF NORTH TEXAS.
ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION THAT WAS HERMINE HAS SLOWED ITS NORTHWARD
PROGRESSION OVERNIGHT..IT IS PROGGED TO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...EXPECT RAIN
CHANCES TO DECREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY TODAY. LOW LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES STILL SUPPORT ROTATION OF SOME STORMS WITH A LOW
CHANCE OF BRIEF TROPICAL FUNNELS OR TORNADOES.

THE CIRCULATION WILL OPEN UP AND LIFT ONTO THE PLAINS BY THURSDAY
MORNING WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY IN THE
NORTHEAST ZONES OF NORTH TEXAS.

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE EAST ON THE
WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BRING WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH ONLY SOME SLIGHT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
ON SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 80S DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE
RAIN AND CLOUD COVER. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE THURSDAY AND
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S TO MIDDLE 90S. TEMPERATURES ON
THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS WITH LOWS MAIN IN THE 70S AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90S.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  87  77  93  78  95 / 100  40  30  10  10
WACO, TX              88  76  93  77  94 / 100  30  20  10  10
PARIS, TX             84  73  91  74  92 /  80  50  40  20  10
DENTON, TX            84  76  92  76  94 / 100  50  30  20  10
MCKINNEY, TX          84  75  92  76  92 / 100  40  40  20  10
DALLAS, TX            86  76  92  78  94 / 100  40  30  10  10
TERRELL, TX           85  74  92  77  94 /  80  40  30  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         87  75  93  77  94 /  80  30  30  10  10
TEMPLE, TX            88  76  93  76  94 /  90  30  20  10  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     83  74  91  73  93 / 100  50  30  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR TXZ091>093-
100>104-115>119-129>134-141>145-156>161-174-175.

&&

79/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
348 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS WEST
OF A LINE FROM HEARNE TO ENNIS TO SHERMAN AS THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE SPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. BRIEF TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS
OR ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ON THURSDAY
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS DURING THE
MORNING HOURS.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED WEST OF SHERMAN...WAXAHACHIE
TO HEARNE LINE MAINLY FOR FLOODING. HOWEVER...ISOLATED SPOTTER
ACTIVATION FOR TORNADOES IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO
THIRDS OF NORTH TEXAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
235 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SALADO                  30.93N  97.53W
09/08/2010                   BELL               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER IS RUSHING OVER THE ACCESS ROADS OF I-35 NEAR
            SALADO CREEK. GAUGE IS CURRENTLY AT 6 FEET.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
245 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0244 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SALADO                  30.93N  97.53W
09/08/2010                   BELL               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BRIDGE IN SALADO HAS TREES AND DEBRIS...INCLUDING A
            TRUCK...WASHED UP ONTO IT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
323 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

TXZ159-080845-
MCLENNAN TX-
323 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTY

AT 322 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCGREGOR...MOVING NORTH AT
30 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BELLMEAD...BEVERLY HILLS...
CRAWFORD...HEWITT...LACY-LAKEVIEW...LORENA...MCGREGOR...NORTHCREST...
ROBINSON...WACO AND WOODWAY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

TROPICAL THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE TO NO
WARNING.

LAT...LON 3139 9746 3167 9745 3168 9744 3176 9724
      3171 9693 3135 9713 3134 9717 3132 9730
TIME...MOT...LOC 0822Z 193DEG 26KT 3143 9728

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 AM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SALADO                  30.93N  97.53W
09/08/2010                   BELL               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER IN A HOUSE ON COLLEGE AND ROYAL ST IN SALADO.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
359 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

TXZ157-158-080930-
CORYELL TX-BELL TX-
359 AM CDT WED SEP 8 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL BELL COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN CORYELL COUNTY

AT 358 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARKER HEIGHTS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BELTON...FORT HOOD...
KILLEEN...MORGAN'S POINT RESORT...NOLANVILLE AND MOTHER NEFF STATE
PARK.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 445 AM CDT FOR BELL
COUNTY.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3112 9780 3126 9771 3148 9753 3133 9742
      3125 9734 3102 9747
TIME...MOT...LOC 0858Z 204DEG 32KT 3116 9757

CAVANAUGH

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