Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2010

River Flood Warning 131, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 17, 2010Forsyth County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Jul 17, 2010, 12:59 AM EDT for Forsyth County, Georgia. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2010, 12:59 AM EDT (04:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2010, 2:07 PM EDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Flood severity
Minor

County Forsyth County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Creek at GA 9 near Cumming (CMGG1).

Action stage
4 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02335580, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 16, 7:40 PM EDT, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 7:40 PM EDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
740 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH AXIS ORIENTED FROM ONTARIO
THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THIS WILL ALLOW SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES TO CROSS GA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH THE LONGWAVE
TROUGH TO OUR NORTHWEST AND A STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE
ATLANTIC...A PLUME OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL INCREASINGLY BE FUNNELED INTO GA
THIS WEEKEND. KEPT POPS HIGHEST ON SATURDAY PRIOR TO THE RIDGE
BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE MID/UPPER TROPOSPHERIC HIGH DRIFTS WEST FROM OVER BERMUDA ON
MONDAY TO GEORGIA BY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE HUMID TROPICAL
AIRMASS PERSISTS ACROSS GA THROUGH THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN A FEW
SHRA/TSRA EACH DAY...THOUGH COVERAGE WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LIMITED
BY THE BUILDING UPPER HIGH DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AND LIKELY WARMING A DEGREE OR
TWO THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVEN THE ADDITIONAL SUNSHINE AND LOW LEVEL
WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE SOUTH TO THE WEST.

07
&&

.AVIATION... /ISSUED 740 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010/
ISOLATED CONVECTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 02Z TO 04Z. CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT INDIVIDUAL TAF SITES NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MENTION
ANYTHING MORE DEFINITE THAN CB IN THE CLOUD GROUP. SCATTERED
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AFTER 18Z SATURDAY. COVERAGE SHOULD
BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR PROB30 AT ALL TAF SITES.

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 09Z OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
OR RAIN COOLED AREAS. SCATTERED MVFR VISIBILITIES SHOULD DEVELOP
BETWEEN 09Z AND 14Z. WITH CONTINUED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL
FLOW I AM SOMEWHAT CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN APPROXIMATELY 10Z AND 14Z...BUT CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH RIGHT NOW TO INCLUDE A IFR CEILING FORECAST. THIS
WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY OVERNIGHT FOR ANY TRENDS IN THAT
DIRECTION.

WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 KTS OR LESS THROUGH 14Z...
INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 KTS AFTER 14Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  90  70  90  71 /  40  50  40  40  30
ATLANTA         72  87  71  88  72 /  40  50  40  50  20
BLAIRSVILLE     70  81  68  83  68 /  50  60  40  40  20
CARTERSVILLE    72  88  70  88  69 /  50  60  40  50  20
COLUMBUS        73  90  72  91  74 /  30  50  30  50  20
GAINESVILLE     72  86  71  87  71 /  50  60  50  40  20
MACON           72  93  72  92  71 /  30  50  30  40  30
ROME            74  90  71  90  70 /  50  60  40  50  20
PEACHTREE CITY  70  89  69  88  69 /  40  50  30  50  30
VIDALIA         75  94  74  95  74 /  30  50  20  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 9:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
935 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-170945-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
935 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY MOIST AIRMASS HAS SETTLED OVER THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS IN FROM THE ATLANTIC.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE INSTABILITY HAS BUILT OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WITH
CAPE IN THE 1500 TO 2000 RANGE AND LIFTED INDICES AROUND MINUS 4 TO
MINUS 5. THE ATMOSPHERE IS ALSO FAIRLY MOIST WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AROUND 1.75 TO 1.85 INCHES. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SLOWLY
STABILIZING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY
WILL LINGER FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 9:19 PM EDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
919 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

GAZ022-033-034-045-170200-
919 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING IN PARTS OF DEKALB...GWINNETT...FORSYTH AND FULTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...

AT 918 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT STRETCHED FROM NEAR DUNWOODY TO
NEAR DORAVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF DEKALB...GWINNETT...FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES
THROUGH 1000 PM EDT.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
ACROSS DAWSON AND LUMPKIN COUNTIES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS
INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS IS LIKELY.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 9:21 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
921 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

GAZ022-033-034-045-170200-
921 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING IN PARTS OF DEKALB...GWINNETT...FORSYTH AND FULTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...

AT 918 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT STRETCHED FROM NEAR DUNWOODY TO
NEAR DORAVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF DEKALB...GWINNETT...FORSYTH AND FULTON COUNTIES
THROUGH 1000 PM EDT.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES.
DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS LIKELY.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 9:48 PM EDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
948 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

GAZ014-015-170230-
948 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING IN
DAWSON AND LUMPKIN COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

AT 947 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT STRETCHED FROM NEAR LEN
FOOTE HIKE INN TO ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAWSONVILLE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO REDEVELOP OVER PARTS OF DAWSON AND LUMPKIN
COUNTIES THIS EVENING... AND THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS THROUGH 1030 PM EDT.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
PARTS OF DAWSON AND LUMPKIN COUNTIES. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS
INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AND PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS IS LIKELY.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 9:52 PM EDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
952 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

GAZ086-170230-
952 PM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING IN
EMANUEL COUNTY UNTIL 1030 PM EDT...

AT 952 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL EMANUEL COUNTY NEAR
CANOOCHEE AND SWAINSBORO... AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS EMANUEL COUNTY THROUGH 1030 PM EDT.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS
EMANUEL COUNTY...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND MODOC...TWIN CITY...CANOOCHEE
AND GARFIELD. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

 DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS LIKELY.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 10:12 PM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 11:22 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
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        Please try again in a few minutes.
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 10:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCForsyth3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.