Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2010
River Flood Warning 2, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Jan 19, 2010, 7:59 AM CST for Bates County, Cass County, Henry County, Missouri. It took effect at Jan 19, 2010, 8:20 AM CST. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2010, 7:59 AM CST (13:59 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 19, 2010, 8:20 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 21, 2010, 8:43 AM CST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Bates County, MO, Cass County, MO, Henry County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point South Grand River near Urich (URHM7).
- Action stage
- 21 ft
- Minor stage
- 24 ft
- Moderate stage
- 26 ft
- Major stage
- 33 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06921600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
110
WGUS43 KEAX 191359
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
759 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...HENRY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC013-037-083-201359-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0002.100119T1420Z-100121T0650Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100119T1420Z.100119T1800Z.100120T0650Z.UU/
759 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 24.4 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 23.9 TUE 07 AM 24.4 THIS AFTERNOON
$$8 follow-up statements
666
WGUS83 KEAX 191646
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1046 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...HENRY
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CASS...COOPER...
HENRY...JOHNSON...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-201646-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0003.100120T0640Z-100122T0300Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.100120T0640Z.100120T1800Z.100121T0300Z.UU/
1046 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BIG CREEK
BLAIRSTOWN 20 18.7 TUE 10 AM 20.9 EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON
$$
MOC053-195-201645-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100123T1047Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T0000Z.100122T1047Z.NO/
1046 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.1 FEET BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY
MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 24.0 TUE 10 AM 25.1 WEDNESDAY EVENING
$$
MOC013-037-083-201645-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100123T0200Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100119T1545Z.100121T0000Z.100122T0200Z.UU/
1046 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 23.9 TUE 07 AM 25.5 WEDNESDAY EVENING
$$
ACH216
WGUS83 KEAX 201119
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
519 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...
COOPER...HENRY...JOHNSON...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-211119-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100122T1400Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.100120T1127Z.100120T1800Z.100121T1400Z.UU/
519 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 5:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BIG CREEK
BLAIRSTOWN 20 19.8 WED 05 AM 21.0 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC053-195-211118-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100123T2125Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100120T1800Z.100122T2125Z.NO/
519 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 4:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.8 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 25.4 WED 05 AM 25.8 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC013-037-083-211118-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100123T1200Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0035Z.100121T0600Z.100122T1200Z.UU/
519 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 3:19 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY YESTERDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 23.8 TUE 03 PM 25.5 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
$$574
WGUS83 KEAX 201717
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1117 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...
COOPER...HENRY...JOHNSON...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-211717-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100123T0045Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.100120T1230Z.100121T0600Z.100122T0045Z.UU/
1117 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BIG CREEK
BLAIRSTOWN 20 20.3 WED 11 AM 21.1 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
$$
MOC053-195-211716-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T0824Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T0600Z.100123T0824Z.NO/
1117 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.2 WED 11 AM 26.5 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-211716-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100123T1647Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100121T0600Z.100122T1647Z.UU/
1117 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 8:48 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.6 FEET BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE
FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 24.7 WED 09 AM 25.6 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
$$
ACH903
WGUS83 KEAX 210144
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
744 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...
HENRY...JOHNSON
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-220144-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100123T0600Z/
/BLRM7.1.ER.100120T1230Z.100121T1200Z.100122T0600Z.UU/
744 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN.
* AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY
THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...THE WEST BANK OF THE CREEK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BIG CREEK
BLAIRSTOWN 20 20.3 WED 07 PM 20.8 THURSDAY MORNING
$$
MOC053-195-220143-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T0824Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T0600Z.100123T0824Z.NO/
744 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 6:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.4 WED 07 PM 26.5 EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-220143-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100124T0000Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100122T0000Z.100123T0000Z.UU/
744 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 5:37 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY
THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY
EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 24.9 WED 06 PM 25.3 THURSDAY EVENING
$$442
WGUS83 KEAX 210741
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
141 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER...SALINE
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...
CASS...HENRY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-220741-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1100Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T1200Z.100123T1100Z.NO/
141 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 12:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.4 THU 01 AM 26.5 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC013-037-083-220740-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100124T0000Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100122T0000Z.100123T0000Z.UU/
141 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 5:37 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 24.9 WED 06 PM 25.3 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-220740-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100122T1205Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.100121T0700Z.100121T1200Z.100121T1205Z.UU/
141 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 1:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE
CREEK BEGINS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
WAKENDA CREEK
CARROLLTON 16 16.0 THU 01 AM 16.0 THIS MORNING
$$
NRR930
WGUS83 KEAX 211056
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
456 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...
CASS...CHARITON...COOPER...HENRY...LINN...LIVINGSTON...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-221056-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1100Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T1200Z.100123T1100Z.NO/
456 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.5 THU 05 AM 26.5 THIS MORNING
$$
MOC033-041-115-117-221055-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-100123T0130Z/
/SNZM7.1.ER.100121T1500Z.100121T1800Z.100122T0130Z.NO/
456 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* AT 3:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
GRAND RIVER
SUMNER 26 24.5 THU 04 AM 26.5 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC013-037-083-221055-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100124T0000Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100122T0000Z.100123T0000Z.UU/
456 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 5:37 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 24.9 WED 06 PM 25.3 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-221055-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100122T1205Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.100121T0700Z.100121T0945Z.100121T1205Z.UU/
456 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 4:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY THIS
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE
CREEK BEGINS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
WAKENDA CREEK
CARROLLTON 16 16.0 THU 04 AM 16.0 THIS MORNING
$$
NRR824
WGUS83 KEAX 211256
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
656 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CARROLL
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...
COOPER...HENRY...SALINE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC053-195-221256-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100124T1100Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.100119T1448Z.100121T1800Z.100123T1100Z.NO/
656 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* AT 6:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
BLACKWATER RIVER
BLUE LICK 24 26.5 THU 07 AM 26.5 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
MOC013-037-083-221255-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100124T0000Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100122T0000Z.100123T0000Z.UU/
656 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 5:37 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.3 FEET BY THIS
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ACROSS LOCATIONS WITHIN 0.5 TO 1.5
MILES OF THE RIVER. AREAS AFFECTED INCLUDE LOW LYING PASTURES ALONG
WITH CROPLAND AND SECONDARY ROADS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 24.9 WED 06 PM 25.3 THIS EVENING
$$
MOC033-221200-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-100122T1200Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.100121T0700Z.100121T0945Z.100121T1200Z.UU/
656 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* AT 6:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THIS MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE
CREEK BEGINS.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
WAKENDA CREEK
CARROLLTON 16 16.0 THU 06 AM 13.8 THIS AFTERNOON
$$
NRR311
WGUS83 KEAX 211443
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
843 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...BATES...CASS...HENRY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.
&&
MOC013-037-083-211513-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100124T0000Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.100120T0132Z.100120T2337Z.100121T0752Z.UU/
843 AM CST THU JAN 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH.
* AT 8:06 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:52 AM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 21.2 FEET BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
&&
LATEST
LOCATION FS STAGE DAY/TIME FORECAST
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
URICH 24 23.3 THU 08 AM 22.7 THIS AFTERNOON
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 19, 5:36 AM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 5:36 AM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
536 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010
...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...
.DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM...YET ANOTHER NIGHT OF EXPANSIVE STRATUS AND DENSE
FOG ACROSS THE CWA. VISIBILITIES HAVE CONTINUED TO BE MUCH MORE
VARIABLE THIS MORNING...DUE IN PART TO SLIGHTLY BETTER MIXING WITH
AN EAST WIND BETWEEN 5-10 MPH. DESPITE THE INTRODUCTION OF COLDER
SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES...BOUNDARY LAYER CAA HAS BEEN
LIMITED SIGNIFICANTLY. CURRENTLY ONLY AREAS BELOW FREEZING ARE ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE IOWA BORDER REGION. FURTHER SOUTH...A WELL DEFINED
SFC WARM FRONT FALLS ALONG THE OZARKS WITH UPR 40S PINNED IN
SOUTHERN MO.
THE SHORT TERM FCST TURNS MORE INTERESTING AS WE HEAD INTO AND
THROUGH THE MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THE WORK WEEK. NOSE OF AN INCREDIBLY
INTENSE UPR JET IS NOW BEGINNING TO PUSH ONTO THE CALIFORNIA
COAST...DRIVING SEVERAL PAC S/W TROUGHS TOWARDS THE CONUS. THE FIRST
SUCH WAVE IS NOW CROSSING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING PRODUCING
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY AS IT CROSSED CALIFORNIA. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO
REACH THE CWA LATER THIS EVENING. IN THE MEANTIME...EXTENSIVE STRATUS
AND FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME HOURS. UNLIKE THE PAST
FEW DAYS...AN INCREASING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM SFC CYCLOGENESIS
TO OUR SW AND SFC RIDGING TO THE NE WILL PRODUCE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER
EASTERLY COMPONENT AS THE WARM FRONT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE CWA TODAY.
THIS INCREASED MIXING SHOULD ALLOW VIS TO INCREASE STEADILY THIS
MORNING. WILL NOT MODIFY THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY...BUT IT MAY NEED TO
BE CANCELLED EARLY. BY THE AFTN HOURS...WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL
COMMENCE IN THE LOWER LVLS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AS THE SFC WARM FRONT
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD. SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AREAS OF DRIZZLE OR PERHAPS
EVEN A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER MAY DEVELOP AFTER NOON. TEMPS WILL REMAIN
TRICKY TODAY...GIVEN THE EXTENSIVE STRATUS ALOFT AND REINFORCING WEAK
CAA FROM THE NE...AREAS OF NORTHERN MO MAY STRUGGLE TO CLIMB MUCH PAST
THE FREEZING MARK.
BY THIS EVE...FAIRLY INTENSE AND DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL COMMENCE
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING S/W. EXPECTING AN ELONGATED AREA OF
DRIZZLE/SHOWERS BY THE EVENING HOURS LIFTING FROM SW TO NE. SOUNDINGS
INDICATE AT LEAST SOME WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH DECENT SIGNALS
FROM SEVERAL ELEVATED CONVECTION PARAMETERS TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED ISO
THUNDER MENTION IN THE GRIDS.
OF MORE QUESTION WILL BE THE SFC THERMAL PROFILE IN THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA OVERNIGHT. GENERALLY FOLLOWING THE GFS/ECMWF
WHICH HAS INITIALIZED VERY WELL WITH CURRENT READINGS. THE NAM HAS
BEEN TOO COLD AT THE SFC AND HAS TOO MUCH CAA IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER. WHILE READINGS MAY ONLY CLIMB JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN THE
NOR THEN CWA THIS AFTN...GFS/EC/GEM AND EVEN LATEST NAM SUGGEST A
MUCH DEEPER AND FURTHER NORTH TRACK OF SFC LOW PRESSURE AS THE S/W
CROSSES THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE UPR
TROUGH SHOULD ALLOW A FAIRLY WARM SURGE OF AIR TO BE PULLED
NORTHWARD INTO THE CWA. HAVE LEVELED OFF TEMPS AND EVEN INDICATED
RISING TEMPS SOUTH OF I-70 THROUGH DAYBREAK WED.
FEEL THE ONLY CHC OF ANY LIGHT ICING WILL BE ALONG THE EXTREME
NORTHERN PORTION OF MISSOURI AND THAT CHANCE MAY BE SLIGHT. A
COUPLE FACTORS WEIGH IN...FIRST AND FOREMOST BEING INCREASING
BOUNDARY LAYER WAA FROM APPROACHING SFC LOW. SECONDLY...GIVEN THE
WARM PROFILES ALOFT...ANY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY
TRY TO MIX DOWN WARMER AIR TO THE SFC. NEVERTHELESS...A LIGHT ICING
UNDER ONE TENTH OF AN INCH MAY BE POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED SFCS NEAR THE
IA BOARDER THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. NO PLANS TO ISSUE ANY WINTER WX
PRODUCT ATTM...AND WILL ALLOW THE NEXT FCSTER TO REEVALUATE THROUGH
THE DAY AS TEMPS AND TRENDS CAN BE VISUALIZED.
A BRIEF BREAK MAY ARRIVE FOR MUCH OF THE DAYTIME HOURS OF WEDNESDAY
AS THE S/W RAPIDLY LIFTS NE AND SYNOPTIC SUBSIDENCE SETS IN. HAVE
LOWERED POPS SOME WHICH MAY NEED TO BE LOWERED FURTHER (MORE LIKELY
IN THE AFTN). STRATUS DOES LOOK TO REMAIN IN PLACE...BUT DUE TO
SUBSIDENCE ABOVE THE LAYER MAY NOT BE DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE DRIZZLE.
TEMPS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S SOUTH OF HWY 50
BEFORE LEVELING OFF OR DROPPING IN THE AFTN.
NEXT S/W QUICKLY RACES IN BEHIND THE INITIAL WAVE FOR WED NIGHT AND
THU. EC REMAINS A STRONG AND NORTHERN OUTLIER ATTM...WITH ALL OTHER
GUIDANCE FURTHER SOUTH AND LESS INTENSE. NEVERTHELESS WILL LOWER
POPS IN THE NORTHERN ZONES AND INCREASE POPS IN THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. THE POTENTIAL FOR A QUICK QUARTER INCH OF QPF COULD NEARLY
ASSURE MINOR RIVER FLOODING IN THE SOUTHERN CWA.
UPR STORM STILL ON TRACK FOR THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A NICE WARMUP
FOR FRI AND SAT. WILL NOT GO AS HIGH AS SOME GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FOR
FRIDAY (MID-UPR 50S) ALTHOUGH POTENTIAL DOES EXIST. MY MAIN POINT OF
CONTENTION IS A PURELY SE COMPONENT TO THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS.
TYPICALLY NOT A GOOD WARMING WIND FOR THE CWA ESPECIALLY WITH VERY
MOIST GROUND COVER REMAINING. STILL...MID TO UPR 40S SEEMS VERY
PLAUSIBLE.
DUX
&&
.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...THE VSBYS HAVE GRADUALLY IMPROVED DURING THE LAST
FEW HOURS AS SFC WINDS HAVE SLOWLY INCREASED. THE INCREASE IN WINDS
WAS DUE TO THE APPROACH OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH
VSBYS MAY TEMPORARILY BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES THROUGH
14Z...VSBYS WILL SEE A SLOW IMPROVEMENT THIS MORNING AS SFC WINDS
CONTINUE TO INCREASE. CIGS WILL REMAIN LOW THIS MORNING...BUT WILL
ALSO SEE A SLOW INCREASE IN HEIGHT THROUGH THE DAY DUE TO DAYTIME INSOLATION.
REGARDLESS CIGS WILL REMAIN BELOW 1000 FEET. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES
INTO MISSOURI. CIGS WILL REMAIN IN THE IFR CATEGORY AS THE TERMINALS
WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF A WARM FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE NORTH FROM
SRN MO TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL INSURE GOOD LOW LEVEL MIXING
TONIGHT...LIKELY KEEPING VSBYS IN THE MVFR CATEGORY.
DB
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR MOZ001>008-011>017-
020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.
KS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ025-057-060-
102>105.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 5:53 AM CST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 553 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-201200- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 553 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. VISIBILITIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN NEAR ONE HALF MILE IN MOST LOCATIONS...HOWEVER LOCALIZED VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY RAPIDLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING AND LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NIGHT. WHILE MUCH OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN...TEMPERATURES IN EXTREME NORTHERN MISSOURI MAY HOLD NEAR THE FREEZING MARK INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS MAY LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT ICING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY UNDER ONE TENTH OF AN INCH AND MAINLY OCCURRING ON ELEVATED SURFACES. ADDITIONALLY...AN ISOLATED CLAP OF THUNDER MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY RAIN WILL EXIT THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE FOR RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER MOSTLY FROZEN GROUNDS MAY LEAD TO RIVER FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE FOR RAIN MAY ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH THE THREAT FOR RIVER FLOODING INCREASING AT THAT TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER SPOTTERS IN AREAS NEAR THE IOWA BORDER ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS WHICH MAY OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. DUX
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 6:51 AM CST | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper, Saline | 5 days |
| Jan 19, 10:12 AM CST | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cass, Henry, Johnson | 38 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.