Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

939 
WWUS83 KEAX 070227
RFWEAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
927 PM CDT SAT NOV 6 2010

...HIGH FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

.INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS...ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS...WILL INCREASE THE DRYING RATE
OF VEGETATION IN THE WARNED AREA ON SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE
WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS...AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...WILL
RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN AREAS FROM EASTERN
KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSOURI.

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ020-021-028>030-037-038-043>045-053-054-
071030-
/O.CON.KEAX.FW.W.0002.101107T1800Z-101108T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-BATES-HENRY-
927 PM CDT SAT NOV 6 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST
SUNDAY. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...20...21...28...29...30...37...38...43...44
...45
IN KANSAS...25...57...60...102...103...104...105

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION SUNDAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY DEAD AND
DORMANT FUELS WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL
FIRE BEHAVIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SUNDAY. THOSE WITH FIRE
WEATHER INTERESTS SHOULD CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION ON SUNDAY.
AREAS MOST THREATENED BY THE HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER WILL EXTEND FROM
SAINT JOSEPH TO SEDALIA...SOUTHWARD...WHICH WILL INCLUDE THE KANSAS
CITY METRO AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

498 
WWUS83 KEAX 071021
RFWEAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
421 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...HIGH FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

.THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS...WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...AND A VERY LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL INCREASE THE
DRYING RATE OF VEGETATION ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH
OF A ST JOSEPH TO SEDALIA LINE.

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ020-021-028>030-037-038-043>045-053-054-
071830-
/O.CON.KEAX.FW.W.0002.101107T1800Z-101108T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-BATES-HENRY-
421 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...20...21...28...29...30...37...38...43...44
...45
IN KANSAS...25...57...60...102...103...104...105

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY DEAD
AND DORMANT FUELS WILL RESULT IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR THIS AFTERNOON. THOSE WITH FIRE WEATHER
INTERESTS SHOULD CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION TODAY. AREAS MOST
THREATENED BY THE HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER LIE SOUTH OF A SAINT JOSEPH
TO SEDALIA LINE...WHICH INCLUDES THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MJ

243 
WWUS83 KEAX 071626
RFWEAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1026 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...HIGH FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
MISSOURI...

.THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS...WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND A VERY LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
INCREASE THE DRYING RATE OF VEGETATION ACROSS MISSOURI AND EASTERN
KANSAS THIS TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.

MOZ001>008-011>017-022>025-031>033-039-040-046-080000-
/O.EXA.KEAX.FW.W.0002.101107T1800Z-101108T0000Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-SALINE-HOWARD-
COOPER-
1026 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...1...2...3...4...5...6...7...8...11...12...13
...14...15...16...17...22...23...24...25...31...32...33
...39...40...46.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY
DEAD AND DORMANT FUELS WILL RESULT IN A VERY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR THIS AFTERNOON. THOSE WITH
FIRE WEATHER INTERESTS SHOULD CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION
TODAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ020-021-028>030-037-038-043>045-053-054-
080000-
/O.CON.KEAX.FW.W.0002.101107T1800Z-101108T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-BATES-HENRY-
1026 AM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...25...57...60...102...103...104...105...20...21...28...29
...30...37...38...43...44...45...53...54.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY
DEAD AND DORMANT FUELS WILL RESULT IN A VERY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR THIS AFTERNOON. THOSE WITH
FIRE WEATHER INTERESTS SHOULD CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION
TODAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

CUTTER

609 
WWUS83 KEAX 072154
RFWEAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
354 PM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...HIGH FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND
MISSOURI AND AGAIN MONDAY ACROSS FROM WEST CENTRAL TO CENTRAL
MISSOURI...

.THE COMBINATION OF SOUTHERLY WINDS...WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...AND A VERY LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS HAS RESULTED IN
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. RETURNING
MOISTURE...FROM THE GULF...WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO EASTERN KANSAS
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI MONDAY. THIS WILL MITIGATE THE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH...BUT NOT ALL...OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR
MONDAY. AREAS FROM WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI ARE
EXPECTED TO SEE THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY...BREEZY WINDS...AND
DRY FUELS PERSIST FOR ONE MORE DAY. THEREFORE A RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THOSE AREAS FOR MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...MOISTURE RETURN
SHOULD HAVE SPREAD ACROSS ENOUGH OF MISSOURI TO MITIGATE THE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS OVER OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.


MOZ039-040-044>046-053-054-080600-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FW.W.0003.101108T1600Z-101109T0000Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101108T0000Z/
SALINE-HOWARD-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
354 PM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...39...40...44...45...46...53...54.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL DOMINATE THE REGION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF
THESE WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 20
PERCENT...AND DRY DEAD AND DORMANT FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A
VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY. 

THESE SAME CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO PORTIONS
OF WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI MONDAY...WHICH HAS THUS RESULTED
IN THE NEED FOR ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING FOR MONDAY. AREAS AFFECTED
WILL GENERALLY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE RUNNING FROM BUTLER IN
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...THROUGH MARSHELL AND FAYETTE IN CENTRAL
MISSOURI.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037-038-
043-080000-
/O.CON.KEAX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101108T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-CASS-
354 PM CST SUN NOV 7 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...25...57...60...102...103...104...105...1...2...3...4
...5...6...7...8...11...12...13...14...15...16...17
...20...21...22...23...24...25...28...29...30...31...32
...33...37...38.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL DOMINATE THE REGION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT...AND DRY
DEAD AND DORMANT FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A VERY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE BEHAVIOR. THOSE WITH FIRE WEATHER
INTERESTS SHOULD CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION TODAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

CUTTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1217 PM CDT SAT NOV 6 2010

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ARE WINDS AND HEIGHTENED FIRE
DANGER. SEE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS.

NICE WARMUP IN STORE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK STARTS
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES TODAY AND THEN
SEVERAL CATEGORIES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY. ALL MODELS SHIFT
SURFACE RIDGE NOW OVERHEAD TO THE EAST WITH PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE
PLAINS RESULTING IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS. MOS GUIDANCE AND
PREVIOUS FORECAST ARE ON TRACK AND ONLY TWEAKED TEMPERATURES BY A
DEGREE OR TWO HEAR AND THERE. AIRMASS IS QUITE DRY THROUGH THE
ENTIRE COLUMN AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL NOT RETURN IN EARNEST
UNTIL TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY AS GULF MOISTURE IS SHUT OFF BY SURFACE
RIDGING INTO THE NW GULF OF MEXICO.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SHORTWAVE JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN
CA COAST. NAM/GFS/ECMWF/SREF/GEM ARE VERY SIMILAR IN HANDLING THIS
FEATURE AND THE RESULTING EFFECT ON SENSIBLE WEATHER. THIS FEATURE
WILL RACE NORTHEAST AND PASS JUST NORTH OF THE CWA SUNDAY NIGHT. NO
MOISTURE OF ANY CONSEQUENCE SO THE PROLONGED DRY SPELL WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW UP BY MONDAY NIGHT ON HOW THE
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HANDLE THE NEXT AND BIGGER UPPER TROUGH PLOWING
THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. CONSENSUS IS FASTER/MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS
APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER ALTHOUGH IT DOES HAVE SOME RUN-TO-RUN
CONTINUITY. GFS TENDS TO HAVE A FASTER BIAS WITH PROGRESSIVE
SYSTEMS. 00Z NAM AND GEM ARE MORE IN LINE WITH THE EARLIER 12Z ECMWF
IN SLOWING DOWN THE EASTWARD ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH AS DOWNSTREAM
UPPER RIDGE SHARPENS OVER THE MS AND WESTERN OH VALLEYS. 00Z ECMWF
SHOWS GOOD CONTINUITY AT H5 THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND IS EVEN
SLOWER ON WEDNESDAY. FAVOR USING A BLEND BETWEEN ECMWF AND CONSENSUS
WHICH SUGGESTS RAISING TEMPERATURES A BIT ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO SLOWER
ARRIVAL OF COLD FRONT. AND IT REALLY ISNT MUCH OF COLD FRONT AS THIS
WILL BE A PACIFIC SYSTEM WITH A MARITIME POST FRONTAL AIRMASS
OVERSPREADING THE REGION. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM APPEARS IT WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE IN THE RETURN FLOW TO
JUSTIFY AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY.

CONTINUING WITH THE ECMWF/CONSENSUS BLEND INTO THURSDAY/FRIDAY
FAVORS A SECOND STRONG UPPER TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION TYPE PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPING FAR DOWNSTREAM. WHILE THE DETAILS ARE LACKING THIS FAR
OUT THERE ARE ENOUGH INDICATORS TO GO WITH MID RANGE CHANCE POPS
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

MJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A VERY
DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN AN ENHANCED OUTDOOR FIRE DANGER THREAT
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. WHILE THERE IS AN INCREASED FIRE
DANGER THREAT TODAY MAINLY OVER NW MO PARAMETERS WILL LIKELY FAIL TO
MEET RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA THIS REGION DUE TO WIND SPEEDS
REMAINING BELOW THRESHOLDS.

THE DRYING WHICH WILL OCCUR ON SATURDAY WILL MAKE IT MORE LIKELY
THAT RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA WILL BE MET OVER NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL MO AND EASTERN KS. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL LIKELY
BE STRONGER AND MORE GUSTY. 10 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE IN
THE 7-9 PERCENT RANGE WHICH IS SUFFICIENTLY DRY TO SUPPORT THE
GROWTH AND RAPID SPREAD OF ANY OUTDOOR FIRE. THE MAIN CONCERN
CONTINUES TO BE HOW MUCH MIXING WILL THERE BE TO REACH THE NECESSARY
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS FOR A WARNING. BELIEVE THERE REMAINS A HIGH
ENOUGH CHANCE FOR THIS TO OCCUR THAT THE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING IS JUSTIFIED.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE TERMINALS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY ISSUE TO WATCH FOR WILL BE THE GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WIND. DURING THE DAY TODAY WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM
THE SOUTHWEST...BUT OVER NIGHT THEY WILL BACK TO DUE SOUTH WHERE THEY
SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH SUNDAY.

CUTTER

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ020-021-028>030-037-
     038-043>045-053-054.

KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1259 PM CDT SAT NOV 6 2010

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-071100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1259 PM CDT SAT NOV 6 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A BREEZY SOUTHWEST WIND AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN A
HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER THREAT ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WARMER TEMPERATURES COUPLED WITH DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER THREAT. MUCH OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AS
WELL AS EASTERN KANSAS MAY SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES...STRONGER WINDS AND
EXTREMELY DRY VEGETATION. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED THIS
WEEKEND.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AS A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS SWEEP THROUGH THE MID SECTION OF THE
NATION. AT THIS TIME NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CUTTER