Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 12, 2010Barber County, Comanche County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 12, 2010, 7:05 PM CDT for Barber County, Comanche County, Kansas. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 12, 2010, 7:05 PM CDT (00:05 UTC)
Expired: May 12, 2010, 7:34 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Barber County, KS, Comanche County, KS

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 607 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 86 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

473 
WUUS53 KDDC 130005
SVRDDC
KSC007-033-130100-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0038.100513T0005Z-100513T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
705 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BARBER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 700 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
  SOUTH OF AETNA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  AETNA...
  HARDTNER...
  KIOWA...
  LAKE CITY...
  MEDICINE LODGE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF BARBER AND SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9918 3746 9886 3746 9847 3738 9846
      3738 9834 3699 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 217DEG 25KT 3701 9896
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JJOHNSON

2 follow-up statements

507 
WWUS53 KDDC 130020
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
720 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

KSC033-130030-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-100513T0100Z/
COMANCHE KS-
720 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3708 9844 3701 9877 3701 9898 3746 9886
      3746 9847 3738 9846 3738 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 217DEG 25KT 3709 9888

$$

KSC007-130100-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-100513T0100Z/
BARBER KS-
720 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBER COUNTY
UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 719 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
AETNA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAKE CITY...
  MEDICINE LODGE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF BARBER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 9844 3701 9877 3701 9898 3746 9886
      3746 9847 3738 9846 3738 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 217DEG 25KT 3709 9888
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JJOHNSON

531 
WWUS53 KDDC 130034
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
734 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

KSC007-130044-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-100513T0100Z/
BARBER KS-
734 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BARBER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3708 9844 3701 9877 3701 9898 3746 9886
      3746 9847 3738 9846 3738 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 217DEG 25KT 3717 9881

$$

JJOHNSON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 12, 2:57 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 2:57 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
257 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

A FAIRLY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS EJECTING INTO THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD TRAVERSE THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEEN
SHUNTED TO THE EAST SOMEWHAT TODAY WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH BARBER COUNTY. DESPITE THE APPROACH OF THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENT THINKING IS THAT WE WILL NOT HAVE AS MUCH
ELEVATED INSTABILITY OVER THE SHALLOW COOL LAYER AS WE DID LAST NIGHT.
IN FACT THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION THAT WE HAD LAST NIGHT
WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL FRONT PASSES ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. MID
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ACTUALLY BE FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE AHEAD OF THE MID
LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE SO SHOWERS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. HOWEVER,
THE MODELS ARE IN SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT ON HOW WIDESPREAD THIS
WILL BE. THE NAM IS MUCH DRIER WITH THE GFS BEING THE WETTEST
MODEL. ANY SURFACE BASED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE CONFINED TO
EXTREME EASTERN BARBER COUNTY BEFORE 5 PM.

FAIRLY TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
SHORTWAVE RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATE. SOME SHOWER
ACTIVITY COULD SNEAK INTO FAR SOUTHWEST KS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BUT
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE PRECIP MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER
FRIDAY NIGHT GIVEN THE STABLE AIRMASS THAT WILL BE IN PLACE.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE HELD UP BY CLOUDS AND WIND TONIGHT SO MINS
WERE RAISED A FEW DEGREES. OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES COULD RADIATE
TOWARD 10-12Z SO MID TO UPPER 30S WERE KEPT THERE. OTHERWISE NO
BIG CHANGES WERE MADE TO TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY.

DAYS 3-7...

THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE SOME SMALL
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS (AS MENTIONED BELOW)
WHICH ARE THE FOCUS OF MOST OF THE ATTENTION IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST. THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS CHARACTERIZED BY
GENERAL TROFINESS OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY WITH RIDGING
OVER THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY (CONSISTENT WITH GWO 4-5). THIS IS
FORECAST BY MODELS TO CONTINUE WHICH IS REASONABLE CONSIDERING THE
STRENGTH OF THE GWO SIGNAL AT PRESENT. THIS ADDS SOME CONFIDENCE TO
THE FORECAST BUT THE DEVIL WILL BE IN THE DETAILS, WHICH ARE NOT
EASY TO DISCERN VERY FAR OUT.

THERE IS MUCH AGREEMENT THAT A SHORTWAVE WILL SHIFT NE-WARD THROUGH
THE SW FLOW FROM NM ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS FRI NIGHT. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE EC, THE MODELS ARE QUITE WET WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT
SEEMS PROBABLE THAT A MCS WILL FORM OVER THE NM/TX/CO HIGH PLAINS
LATE FRIDAY AND PROGRESS ACROSS WRN KS FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AM. RAISED
THE POPS TO UPPER CHANCE OVER MUCH OF MY FA DURING THAT PERIOD. THE
MAIN TROF WILL BE SLOW TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE PLAINS AND HAVE
CARRIED CHANCE POPS ALL THE WAY THROUGH SUNDAY. RELATIVELY COOL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND GIVEN THE GREATER
TENDENCY FOR LOW HEIGHTS, UPSLOPE FLOW, AND PRECIP. BY MON WE BREAK
OUT OF THE COOL WEATHER AS SFC FLOW COMES AROUND TO MORE SOUTHERLY
AND M/SUNNY SKIES RETURN. WHILE THERE IS SOME HINT OF PRECIP MON
AFTERNOON, THINK THAT WILL BE CONFINED TO CO/NM, WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE. WE SHOULD REMAIN WARM INTO TUE AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE PLAINS. WE MAY SEE A SHORTWAVE PUNCH THROUGH THE RIDGE FOR SOME
STORMS TUE AFTERNOON WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE FORECASTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE RIDGE WED. AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO GO WITH MUCH MORE
THAN SLGT CHC POPS TUE/WED, BUT FEEL THE NEED TO HAVE SOME POPS IN.

FOR WK 2, IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL EITHER REMAIN IN A SW FLOW REGIME OR
TRANSITION TO MORE OF A RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS. THE 12Z EC IS SHOWING
A MONSTER RIDGE DEVELOPING OUT TOWARD DAY10 AND THE GFS HAS A RATHER
SUBSTANTIAL RIDGE AS WELL, ALTHOUGH MORE POSITIVELY TILTED. WITH
THIS IN MIND, WILL LEAN TOWARD ABOVE NORM TEMPS AND NEAR NORMAL
PRECIP FOR THE WEEK TWO FCST. -WRIGHT

.AVIATION...

FOG HAS LIFTED AT ALL TERMINALS AND STRATUS REMAINS THE ONLY
PROBLEM. STRATUS IS BEGINNING TO ERODE FROM THE SW AND WE MAY SEE
KGCK/KDDC GO BKN (MVFR) IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THINK CIGS WILL
CU UP AGAIN AS A STRONG UPR TROF MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES LATE THIS
AFT/EVE AND TONIGHT. SAID TROF WILL ALSO KEEP THE CHC OF SHRA
(MAYBE EVEN ISOLD ELEVATED TS) TONIGHT. FLOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN N-NW
AT ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT WITH SPEEDS DECREASING. -WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  40  65  43  71 /  40   0   0  10
GCK  37  65  41  70 /  40   0   0  30
EHA  37  66  42  69 /  20   0   0  40
LBL  39  67  43  69 /  20   0   0  30
HYS  39  66  42  70 /  50   0   0   0
P28  43  67  44  71 /  30  10   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN24/34

Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 7:06 AM CDT, 11 hours 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
706 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>079-084>088-131215-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-MORTON-STEVENS-
SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-
706 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 /606 AM MDT WED MAY 12 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR THROUGH  MID
MORNING TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND HAIL EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

KSZ066-080-081-089-090-131215-
STAFFORD-KIOWA-PRATT-COMANCHE-BARBER-
706 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT EXISTS LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON. SMALL HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WOULD BE
THE MAIN THREAT IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND HAIL EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

RUSSELL

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 12, 3:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
338 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             7 N HARDTNER            37.12N 98.64W
05/12/2010  E1.00 INCH       BARBER             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JRJ

Local storm report, May 12, 4:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
430 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             10 E MEDICINE LODGE     37.29N 98.40W
05/12/2010  E0.75 INCH       BARBER             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JRJ

Local storm report, May 12, 4:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
434 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             2 ESE SHARON            37.24N 98.38W
05/12/2010  E1.00 INCH       BARBER             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JRJ

Special weather statement, May 12, 5:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
526 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

KSZ090-122330-
BARBER-
526 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BARBER COUNTY...

AT 521 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HARDTNER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3700 9835 3699 9898 3717 9898 3745 9846
      3738 9844 3738 9834 3705 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 220DEG 34KT 3704 9862

18

Local storm report, May 12, 6:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
602 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             7 W HARDTNER            37.02N 98.77W
05/12/2010  E1.00 INCH       BARBER             KS   PUBLIC

&&

JRJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 12, 7:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Pratt	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2010 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.