Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Dodge City, KS

393 
WWUS83 KDDC 270946
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
346 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES
THIS AFTERNOON...AND LOW LEVEL SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO STRONG
WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR WILDFIRE GROWTH.

THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER SUNDAY
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING EVEN STRONGER. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY...THE AIR
MASS ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY. ONCE AGAIN...THE
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND.

KSZ043-061>063-074>076-084>086-272200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.101127T1800Z-101128T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0015.101128T1800Z-101129T0000Z/
SCOTT-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-MORTON-STEVENS-
SEWARD-
346 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010 /246 AM MST SAT NOV 27 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...062...063...074...
075...076...084...085 AND 086...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...
062...063...074...075...076...084...085 AND 086...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 SCOTT...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 061 HAMILTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 062 
  KEARNY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 063 FINNEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 074 
  STANTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 075 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 076 
  HASKELL...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 084 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  085 STEVENS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 086 SEWARD. 

* WIND...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS 
  OF30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 
  45 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15 
  PERCENT RANGE BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ044-077-087-272200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.101127T1800Z-101128T0000Z/
LANE-GRAY-MEADE-
346 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 044...077 AND 087...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 LANE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 077 GRAY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 087 MEADE. 

* WIND...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS 
  OF30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15 
  PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD QUICKLY AND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOR MORE UPDATED INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SUGDEN

573 
WWUS83 KDDC 271021
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
421 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES
THIS AFTERNOON...AND LOW LEVEL SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE TO STRONG
WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR WILDFIRE GROWTH.

THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER SUNDAY
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING EVEN STRONGER. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY...THE AIR
MASS ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY. ONCE AGAIN...THE
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND.

KSZ043-061>063-074>076-084>086-272200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.101127T1800Z-101128T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0015.101128T1800Z-101129T0000Z/
SCOTT-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-MORTON-STEVENS-
SEWARD-
421 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010 /321 AM MST SAT NOV 27 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...062...063...074...
075...076...084...085 AND 086...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...
062...063...074...075...076...084...085 AND 086...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 SCOTT...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 061 HAMILTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 062 
  KEARNY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 063 FINNEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 074 
  STANTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 075 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 076 
  HASKELL...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 084 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  085 STEVENS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 086 SEWARD. 

* WIND...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS 
  OF 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 
  45 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15 
  PERCENT RANGE BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ044-077-087-272200-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.101127T1800Z-101128T0000Z/
LANE-GRAY-MEADE-
421 AM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 044...077 AND 087...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 LANE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 077 GRAY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 087 MEADE. 

* WIND...SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS 
  OF 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15 
  PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD QUICKLY AND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOR UPDATED INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SUGDEN

253 
WWUS83 KDDC 271909 AAA
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
109 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND REDEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES
TODAY WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO BRING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH. A VERY DRY AIR MASS WITH RESULTANT LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS AND IN COMBINATION WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG WINDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR WILDFIRE
GROWTH.

THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER SUNDAY
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING EVEN STRONGER. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY...THE AIR
MASS ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY. ONCE AGAIN...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND STRONG WINDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND.

KSZ030-045-064-078-088-280000-
/O.EXA.KDDC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101128T0000Z/
TREGO-NESS-HODGEMAN-FORD-CLARK-
109 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 030...045...
064...078 AND 088...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 030 TREGO...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 NESS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 064 HODGEMAN...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 078 FORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 088 CLARK. 

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35
  MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN A 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE WILL
  PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ043-061>063-074>076-084>086-280600-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101128T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0015.101128T1800Z-101129T0000Z/
SCOTT-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-MORTON-STEVENS-
SEWARD-
109 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010 /1209 PM MST SAT NOV 27 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 043...061...062...063...074...075...076...084...085 AND
086...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...
062...063...074...075...076...084...085 AND 086...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 SCOTT...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 061 HAMILTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 062 
  KEARNY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 063 FINNEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 074 
  STANTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 075 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 076 
  HASKELL...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 084 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  085 STEVENS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 086 SEWARD. 

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35
  MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
  WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO A 10 TO 15 PERCENT
  RANGE BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ044-077-087-280000-
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101128T0000Z/
LANE-GRAY-MEADE-
109 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 044...
077 AND 087...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 LANE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 077 GRAY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 087 MEADE. 

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35
  MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN A 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE WILL
  PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES 
  THAT START WILL SPREAD QUICKLY AND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO 
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

252 
WWUS83 KDDC 272355
RFWDDC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
555 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS BECOMING STRONGER. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN
TO INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE...THE AIR MASS ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS
WILL REMAIN VERY DRY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND STRONG
WINDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE RAPID SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED ON SUNDAY.

KSZ043-061>063-074>076-084>086-281200-
/O.CAN.KDDC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101128T0000Z/
/O.CON.KDDC.FW.A.0015.101128T1800Z-101129T0000Z/
SCOTT-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-MORTON-STEVENS-
SEWARD-
555 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010 /455 PM MST SAT NOV 27 2010/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...
062...063...074...075...076...084...085 AND 086......FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061... 062...063...074...
075...076...084...085 AND 086...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 SCOTT...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 061 HAMILTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 062 
  KEARNY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 063 FINNEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 074 
  STANTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 075 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 076 
  HASKELL...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 084 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  085 STEVENS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 086 SEWARD. 

* WIND...SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
  MPH WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO A 10 TO 15
  PERCENT RANGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. ANY WILDFIRES THAT
  START WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY AND WILL BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 043...061...062...063...074...075...076...
084...085 AND 086......FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 043...061... 062...063...074...075...076...084...
085 AND 086...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 SCOTT... FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 061 HAMILTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 062 KEARNY... FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 063 FINNEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 074 STANTON... FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 075 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 076 HASKELL... FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 084 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 085 STEVENS... FIRE
  WEATHER ZONE 086 SEWARD.

TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SO THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN TO
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WITH CONTINUED COOLING OVERNIGHT...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE.

&&

$$

KSZ030-044-045-064-077-078-087-088-280100-
/O.CAN.KDDC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101128T0000Z/
TREGO-LANE-NESS-HODGEMAN-GRAY-FORD-MEADE-CLARK-
555 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 030...045... 064...078 AND 088...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 030 TREGO...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 LANE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 NESS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 064 HODGEMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 077 GRAY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 078 FORD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 087 MEADE...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 088 CLARK.

TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SO THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN TO
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WITH CONTINUED COOLING OVERNIGHT...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
315 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR THE WEEKEND ARE 1)LOW
TEMPERATURES WITH THE EXTREMELY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MASS; AND 2) WIND
SPEEDS AS A LEE TROUGH DEEPENS SATURDAY AND CYCLOGENSIS OCCURS
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NEAR ZERO IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS
THROUGH SUNDAY. RED FLAG CRITERIA LIKELY WILL BE MET SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND ALMOST CERTAINLY WILL BE MET SUNDAY.

ANOMALOUS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ANCHORED NEAR
GREENLAND THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF DECEMBER, AND THE FLOW REGIME
ACROSS THE UNITED STATES WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY PROGRESSIVE HIGH
AMPLITUDE TROUGHS MOVING ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THE NUMERICAL MODELS
CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
DECEMBER, ALTHOUGH DIFFERENCE IN SYNOPTIC SCALE DETAILS BECOME MORE
PRONOUNCED WITH TIME. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES NEXT WEEKEND AS A MORE
BLOCKY PATTERN EVOLVES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC, BUT THIS SHOULD BE A
TEMPORARY CONDITION.

IN THE SHORTER TERM, THE GFS MAINTAINS MORE AMPLITUDE WITH THE
TROUGH NEAR 45N/140W AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY THAN THE ECMWF, GEM OR UKMET. THE ECMWF SEEMS TO HAVE
INITIALIZED THE UPSTREAM VORTICITY MAXIMUM EVIDENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY NEAR 52N 142W BETTER THAN THE GFS, AND THE SLOWER ECMWF
SOLUTION IS PREFERRED AS THE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE COUNTRY SUNDAY. MINOR GRID MODIFICATIONS FOR THE FIRST 60 HOURS
LARGELY FOLLOWED THE 12Z ECMWF.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TONIGHT WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN WEST
CENTRAL KANSAS, AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP RAPIDLY WITH EXTREMELY
DRY AIR AND CLEAR SKIES. INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW PERPENDICULAR TO
THE ROCKIES LATER TONIGHT WILL FAVOR THE ONSET OF LEE TROUGHING
BEFORE MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS IN MOST AREAS
AGAIN TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH THE ONSET OF SOUTH WINDS NEAR THE COLORADO
BORDER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES A LITTLE WARMER IN FAR SOUTHWEST
KANSAS. THE LEE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ON SATURDAY, AND SURFACE WINDS
WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30
MPH. MIXING WILL NOT BE TERRIBLY DEEP, BUT H8 WINDS ON THE ECMWF ARE
IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS BY MID AFTERNOON. SUFFICIENT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSFER SHOULD OCCUR TO MEET THE RED FLAG WIND CRITERION. DEWPOINTS
WILL BE EXTREMELY LOW WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS BELOW 10 DEGREES F IN
FAR WESTERN KANSAS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT MAINTAINING RED
FLAG CONDITIONS FOR THREE HOURS, BUT CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO
MERIT A WATCH AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY, BUT BACKING LOW LEVEL WINDS AS PRESSURES FALL IN
THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WILL ELIMINATE DOWNSLOPE WARMING. WINDS WILL
BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE GOOD MIXING SATURDAY NIGHT, AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN TONIGHT.

AS THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE ROCKIES BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR IN EASTERN COLORADO. THE GRADIENT
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER SUNDAY, AND WINDS MAY
MEET ADVISORY CRITERIA. DEWPOINTS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE IN SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD DROP INTO THE 15
PERCENT RANGE AT LEAST FROM GARDEN CITY WESTWARD DURING THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO SATURDAY WITH
LITTLE OR NOW DOWNSLOPE FLOW EXCEPT NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. WITH
THE HOWLING WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES, A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS ISSUED
FROM GARDEN CITY WESTWARD. -01-

DAYS 3-7...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
TRANSITIONING EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS MONDAY BRINGING A
PRECIP OPPORTUNITY TO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HOWEVER,
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO POINT TO AN EXTREME LACK OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE JUST AHEAD OF AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT PROGGED TO PUSH
INTO WESTERN KANSAS EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
FAIRLY DRY FROPA. ALL MODELS DO SHOW INCREASED MID TO UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AND H5 TEMPERATURES AROUND 30C
BELOW AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE ROCKIES LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME OROGRAPHIC FORCED PRECIP JUST LEE OF THE ROCKIES. CANNOT RULE
OUT THE CHANCE FOR A FEW FLURRIES FARTHER EAST ACROSS WEST AND
NORTHWESTERN ZONES DURING THE DAY MONDAY ALTHOUGH NO APPRECIABLE
PRECIP IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE, FAIRLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS A GENERAL ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
DEVELOPS BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH AND PERSISTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY IN WAKE OF A STRONG
COLD FROPA EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING. THE GFS, GEM, AND ECMWF SHOW H85
TEMPERATURES RANGING AS LOW AS 7C BELOW ZERO ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA TO JUST BELOW 0C ACROSS OUR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST.
LOOK FOR HIGHS ONLY UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S(F) ACROSS MUCH OF
THE FA WITH LOWER 40S(F) POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST. WILL NEED TO LOWER
HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES OR SO ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL UNDERGO A SLOW BUT GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK AS A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TAKES HOLD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MID
DAY SATURDAY. WEAK LEE SIDE TROUGHING WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TONIGHT. THIS WILL INFLUENCE A LIGHT AND GENERAL WESTERLY
DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
WITH WINDS 5 TO 10KT. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY DURING THE
DAY AS THE LEE SIDE TROUGH STRENGTHENS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  18  56  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  14  57  24  58 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  22  61  29  63 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  17  58  26  60 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  15  55  26  55 /   0   0   0   0
P28  18  55  28  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ043-061>063-074>076-
084>086.

&&

FN01/32/32

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
300 AM CST FRI NOV 26 2010

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-270900-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
300 AM CST FRI NOV 26 2010 /200 AM MST FRI NOV 26 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP
DOWN INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOONS. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SATURDAY AND
STRENGTHEN EVEN MORE SO ON SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS FOR
THE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. OUTDOOR BURNING THIS WEEKEND
IS DISCOURAGED. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES
AS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SUGDEN