Flash Flood Warning 81, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1039 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

.DISCUSSION...LOWERED POPS THIS MORNING...AND DECREASED THEM A BIT
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. TROF IS OFFSHORE AND AREA IS ON THE MORE
SUBSIDENT SIDE OF IT. EXPECTING TO SEE SOME RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DEVELOPMENT OF SEA BREEZE THEN MORE RAIN TONIGHT/OVERNIGHT AS
TROUGH MOVES INLAND. AS A RESULT...LOWERED POPS SOME FOR TODAY BUT
STILL HAVE LIKELY FOR THE COASTAL AREAS AS TROUGH COULD GET CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BRING SHOWERS IN LATE (SHOWERS NOT TOO FAR OFFSHORE AT
THIS TIME).

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  77  87  78  88  /  60  60  70  40  50
VICTORIA          92  74  90  75  90  /  50  40  50  30  30
LAREDO            98  77  92  77  90  /  30  40  60  40  50
ALICE             93  74  89  75  88  /  50  50  60  40  50
ROCKPORT          90  78  88  80  88  /  60  60  70  40  40
COTULLA           94  73  91  73  90  /  30  40  40  30  30
KINGSVILLE        93  76  88  76  89  /  60  60  70  50  50
NAVY CORPUS       90  80  87  81  87  /  60  70  70  40  50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
     TO 5 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

&&

86/GW...SHORT-TERM
76/JR...LONG-TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
513 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-181100-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
513 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE EXTENDING WELL NORTH OF HURRICANE KARL IN
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL PROVIDE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND
AND ADJACENT COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY. RAINFALL TOTALS TO
1/2 INCH TO 1 1/2 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE COASTAL BEND AREA AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED
2 TO 4 INCH TOTALS IS POSSIBLE. HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL
LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS COASTAL COUNTIES. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
RATHER FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL FUNNELS AND WATERSPOUTS. THERE IS A
LOW POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL FUNNELS OR FOR WATERSPOUTS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE GULF AND
MOVE INLAND.

HIGH SWELLS FROM HURRICANE KARL WILL BEGIN REACHING THE AREA LATER
TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN POSTED DUE TO THE EXPECTED
HIGH SEAS. IN ADDITION...THESE SWELLS WILL PROVIDE INCREASING SURF
AND A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS BY EARLY SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND DUE TO DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WELL TO THE NORTH OF HURRICANE KARL.
THERE IS ALSO A LOW POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS AND WEAK
TORNADOES THIS WEEKEND. HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY DUE TO EFFECTS OF
HURRICANE KARL. IN ADDITION...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH KARL WILL
PROVIDE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES ON
SATURDAY. SEA HEIGHTS AROUND 7 FEET WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...
LEADING TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL WATERS ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MJG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1219 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

TXZ240>242-171800-
DUVAL-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-
1219 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

...TWO FUNNEL CLOUDS WERE SPOTTED OVER KLEBERG COUNTY...

AT 1218 PM CDT...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED TWO FUNNEL
CLOUDS JUST SOUTH OF KINGSVILLE.

AT 1218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICARDO...OR 8 MILES
SOUTH OF KINGSVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL
FUNNEL CLOUDS TODAY. MOST OF THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED
AND SHOULD NOT REACH THE GROUND. HOWEVER...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO
SEEK SHELTER IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT A FUNNEL DOES REACH THE GROUND.

GW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1259 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1237 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     KINGSVILLE              27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010                   KLEBERG            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1237 PM AND ANOTHER
            FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1253 PM NEAR KINGSVILLE.

&&

JRUNYEN